{"id":3041,"date":"2022-06-03T10:21:49","date_gmt":"2022-06-03T09:21:49","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/research.reading.ac.uk\/economics\/?post_type=tribe_events&p=3041"},"modified":"2022-06-03T10:21:49","modified_gmt":"2022-06-03T09:21:49","slug":"roses-bundrick","status":"publish","type":"tribe_events","link":"https:\/\/research.reading.ac.uk\/economics\/event\/roses-bundrick\/","title":{"rendered":"Jacob Bundrick, University of Central Arkansas (ROSES)"},"content":{"rendered":"

Author<\/strong>: Jacob Bundrick, University of Central Arkansas<\/p>\n

Title<\/strong>: Mixed Strategy and the Money Down: A Field Test from American College Football<\/p>\n

Abstract<\/strong>: Field tests of mixed strategies have primarily focused on the play of experts, leaving to question whether players of moderate quality adhere to the predictions of mixed-strategy equilibrium. This paper fills that gap by examining the matching pennies game using third-down play calls in American college football. Specifically, I use the Firth logit to analyze data from the University of Central Arkansas\u2019s (UCA) 476 offensive third-down plays from the team\u2019s 33 contests played during the 2018-2020 seasons. Moreover, I exploit the offense\u2019s discretization of third-down distances to observe whether decision makers alter their tactics to play mixed strategies when conditions change. Preliminary results indicate that play types are called in a manner consistent with the equalization of success rates across strategies, but tests of serial independence in play calls provide mixed results.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

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