{"id":296,"date":"2013-03-11T16:28:25","date_gmt":"2013-03-11T16:28:25","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/research.reading.ac.uk\/football-research\/?p=296"},"modified":"2019-08-27T17:40:31","modified_gmt":"2019-08-27T16:40:31","slug":"can-economics-determine-the-performance-of-football-managers","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/research.reading.ac.uk\/football-research\/can-economics-determine-the-performance-of-football-managers\/","title":{"rendered":"Can economics determine the performance of football managers"},"content":{"rendered":"<h2>and answer the question of which manager is next to face the sack?<\/h2>\n<h5>11 March 2013<\/h5>\n<p>A recently published research paper by ICMA Centre\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/bit.ly\/12pf1OB\">Professor Adrian Bell<\/a>,\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/bit.ly\/ZeJTws\">Professor Chris Brooks<\/a>\u00a0and PhD researcher\u00a0Tom Markham\u00a0is gaining national attention in both the finance sector and the football industry. The paper titled &#8220;The performance of football club managers: skill or luck?&#8221; is now available online and\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/bit.ly\/W0gGaI\">freely downloadable<\/a>\u00a0in an open access Journal.<\/p>\n<p>The paper develops a performance management tool and considers its application to the football industry. The paper then utilises the model to evaluate the extent to which the performance of football managers in the Barclays Premier can be attributed to skill or luck when measured separately from the characteristics of the team.<\/p>\n<p>The authors note, \u201cit is clear that appropriately evaluating the performance of football club managers is an important task, not just financially, but because of the impact that the manager&#8217;s skill can have on the performance of his team.\u201d The aim of developing the model is to determine whether a manager\u2019s performance is improving or weakening, and hence, determine whether he should be fired.<\/p>\n<p>The article assesses how sackings seem to be embedded in the culture of the sport, with the average managerial tenure in the four English professional years only 2.44 years between 1992 and 2005. In fact, as we approach the end of the 2012\/13 football season several managers are looking over their shoulder and this season alone there have already been 3 sackings in the Premier League (EPL).<\/p>\n<p>The high profile sackings of Chelsea managers in recent seasons and the repeated calls from some tabloid newspapers for the sacking of football managers have garnered the issue much attention. Yet the paper is one of very few academic studies that have attempted to evaluate a manager\u2019s performance, by adopting a bootstrapping approach.<\/p>\n<p>The research by ICMA Centre academic staff and researchers has featured twice in\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/on.ft.com\/10C8Gze\">the Financial Times<\/a>, on the cover of the prominent football industry magazine, FC Business, and has been presented at the European conference in Sports Economics. The authors have also spoken about the research on local radio stations and at several academic seminars.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Source<\/strong>:\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.icmacentre.ac.uk\/news\/2013\/can-economics-determine-the-performance-of-football-managers-and-answer-the-question-of-which-manager-is-next-to-face-the-sack\"> ICMA Centre News<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>and answer the question of which manager is next to face the sack? 11 March 2013 A recently published research paper by ICMA Centre\u00a0Professor Adrian Bell,\u00a0Professor Chris Brooks\u00a0and PhD researcher\u00a0Tom&#8230;<a class=\"read-more\" href=\"&#104;&#116;&#116;&#112;&#115;&#58;&#47;&#47;&#114;&#101;&#115;&#101;&#97;&#114;&#99;&#104;&#46;&#114;&#101;&#97;&#100;&#105;&#110;&#103;&#46;&#97;&#99;&#46;&#117;&#107;&#47;&#102;&#111;&#111;&#116;&#98;&#97;&#108;&#108;&#45;&#114;&#101;&#115;&#101;&#97;&#114;&#99;&#104;&#47;&#99;&#97;&#110;&#45;&#101;&#99;&#111;&#110;&#111;&#109;&#105;&#99;&#115;&#45;&#100;&#101;&#116;&#101;&#114;&#109;&#105;&#110;&#101;&#45;&#116;&#104;&#101;&#45;&#112;&#101;&#114;&#102;&#111;&#114;&#109;&#97;&#110;&#99;&#101;&#45;&#111;&#102;&#45;&#102;&#111;&#111;&#116;&#98;&#97;&#108;&#108;&#45;&#109;&#97;&#110;&#97;&#103;&#101;&#114;&#115;&#47;\">Read More ><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":219,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"_uf_show_specific_survey":0,"_uf_disable_surveys":false,"__cvm_playback_settings":[],"__cvm_video_id":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[7,8],"tags":[],"coauthors":[6],"class_list":["post-296","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-football","category-football-finance"],"acf":[],"aioseo_notices":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v21.8.1 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Can economics determine the performance of football managers - Football Research<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/research.reading.ac.uk\/football-research\/can-economics-determine-the-performance-of-football-managers\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_GB\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Can economics determine the performance of football managers - Football Research\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"and answer the question of which manager is next to face the sack? 11 March 2013 A recently published research paper by ICMA Centre\u00a0Professor Adrian Bell,\u00a0Professor Chris Brooks\u00a0and PhD researcher\u00a0Tom...Read More &gt;\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/research.reading.ac.uk\/football-research\/can-economics-determine-the-performance-of-football-managers\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Football Research\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2013-03-11T16:28:25+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2019-08-27T16:40:31+00:00\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Alex Daykin\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Alex Daykin\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Estimated reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"2 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/research.reading.ac.uk\/football-research\/can-economics-determine-the-performance-of-football-managers\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/research.reading.ac.uk\/football-research\/can-economics-determine-the-performance-of-football-managers\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Alex Daykin\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/research.reading.ac.uk\/football-research\/#\/schema\/person\/532e1ce773445fb76d77785ea76f5be8\"},\"headline\":\"Can economics determine the performance of football managers\",\"datePublished\":\"2013-03-11T16:28:25+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2019-08-27T16:40:31+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/research.reading.ac.uk\/football-research\/can-economics-determine-the-performance-of-football-managers\/\"},\"wordCount\":370,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/research.reading.ac.uk\/football-research\/#organization\"},\"articleSection\":[\"Football\",\"Football finance\"],\"inLanguage\":\"en-GB\"},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/research.reading.ac.uk\/football-research\/can-economics-determine-the-performance-of-football-managers\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/research.reading.ac.uk\/football-research\/can-economics-determine-the-performance-of-football-managers\/\",\"name\":\"Can economics determine the performance of football managers - Football Research\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/research.reading.ac.uk\/football-research\/#website\"},\"datePublished\":\"2013-03-11T16:28:25+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2019-08-27T16:40:31+00:00\",\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/research.reading.ac.uk\/football-research\/can-economics-determine-the-performance-of-football-managers\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"en-GB\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/research.reading.ac.uk\/football-research\/can-economics-determine-the-performance-of-football-managers\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/research.reading.ac.uk\/football-research\/can-economics-determine-the-performance-of-football-managers\/#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Home\",\"item\":\"https:\/\/research.reading.ac.uk\/football-research\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"Can economics determine the performance of football managers\"}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/research.reading.ac.uk\/football-research\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/research.reading.ac.uk\/football-research\/\",\"name\":\"Football Research\",\"description\":\"\",\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/research.reading.ac.uk\/football-research\/#organization\"},\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"SearchAction\",\"target\":{\"@type\":\"EntryPoint\",\"urlTemplate\":\"https:\/\/research.reading.ac.uk\/football-research\/?s={search_term_string}\"},\"query-input\":\"required name=search_term_string\"}],\"inLanguage\":\"en-GB\"},{\"@type\":\"Organization\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/research.reading.ac.uk\/football-research\/#organization\",\"name\":\"University of Reading\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/research.reading.ac.uk\/football-research\/\",\"logo\":{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-GB\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/research.reading.ac.uk\/football-research\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/research.reading.ac.uk\/football-research\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/125\/Unorganized\/ReadingHenleylogo.jpg\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/research.reading.ac.uk\/football-research\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/125\/Unorganized\/ReadingHenleylogo.jpg\",\"width\":267,\"height\":82,\"caption\":\"University of Reading\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/research.reading.ac.uk\/football-research\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/\"}},{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/research.reading.ac.uk\/football-research\/#\/schema\/person\/532e1ce773445fb76d77785ea76f5be8\",\"name\":\"Alex Daykin\",\"image\":{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-GB\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/research.reading.ac.uk\/football-research\/#\/schema\/person\/image\/26159086a629d325cff50dd27004d579\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/48d6c4db18e4195997d9ec88cad612357d655264b37576280d9aceae3fa7aac4?s=96&d=mm&r=g\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/48d6c4db18e4195997d9ec88cad612357d655264b37576280d9aceae3fa7aac4?s=96&d=mm&r=g\",\"caption\":\"Alex Daykin\"},\"url\":\"https:\/\/research.reading.ac.uk\/football-research\/author\/a-j-daykinreading-ac-uk\/\"}]}<\/script>\n<!-- \/ Yoast SEO plugin. -->","yoast_head_json":{"title":"Can economics determine the performance of football managers - Football Research","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https:\/\/research.reading.ac.uk\/football-research\/can-economics-determine-the-performance-of-football-managers\/","og_locale":"en_GB","og_type":"article","og_title":"Can economics determine the performance of football managers - Football Research","og_description":"and answer the question of which manager is next to face the sack? 11 March 2013 A recently published research paper by ICMA Centre\u00a0Professor Adrian Bell,\u00a0Professor Chris Brooks\u00a0and PhD researcher\u00a0Tom...Read More >","og_url":"https:\/\/research.reading.ac.uk\/football-research\/can-economics-determine-the-performance-of-football-managers\/","og_site_name":"Football Research","article_published_time":"2013-03-11T16:28:25+00:00","article_modified_time":"2019-08-27T16:40:31+00:00","author":"Alex Daykin","twitter_card":"summary_large_image","twitter_misc":{"Written by":"Alex Daykin","Estimated reading time":"2 minutes"},"schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"Article","@id":"https:\/\/research.reading.ac.uk\/football-research\/can-economics-determine-the-performance-of-football-managers\/#article","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/research.reading.ac.uk\/football-research\/can-economics-determine-the-performance-of-football-managers\/"},"author":{"name":"Alex Daykin","@id":"https:\/\/research.reading.ac.uk\/football-research\/#\/schema\/person\/532e1ce773445fb76d77785ea76f5be8"},"headline":"Can economics determine the performance of football managers","datePublished":"2013-03-11T16:28:25+00:00","dateModified":"2019-08-27T16:40:31+00:00","mainEntityOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/research.reading.ac.uk\/football-research\/can-economics-determine-the-performance-of-football-managers\/"},"wordCount":370,"publisher":{"@id":"https:\/\/research.reading.ac.uk\/football-research\/#organization"},"articleSection":["Football","Football finance"],"inLanguage":"en-GB"},{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https:\/\/research.reading.ac.uk\/football-research\/can-economics-determine-the-performance-of-football-managers\/","url":"https:\/\/research.reading.ac.uk\/football-research\/can-economics-determine-the-performance-of-football-managers\/","name":"Can economics determine the performance of football managers - Football Research","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/research.reading.ac.uk\/football-research\/#website"},"datePublished":"2013-03-11T16:28:25+00:00","dateModified":"2019-08-27T16:40:31+00:00","breadcrumb":{"@id":"https:\/\/research.reading.ac.uk\/football-research\/can-economics-determine-the-performance-of-football-managers\/#breadcrumb"},"inLanguage":"en-GB","potentialAction":[{"@type":"ReadAction","target":["https:\/\/research.reading.ac.uk\/football-research\/can-economics-determine-the-performance-of-football-managers\/"]}]},{"@type":"BreadcrumbList","@id":"https:\/\/research.reading.ac.uk\/football-research\/can-economics-determine-the-performance-of-football-managers\/#breadcrumb","itemListElement":[{"@type":"ListItem","position":1,"name":"Home","item":"https:\/\/research.reading.ac.uk\/football-research\/"},{"@type":"ListItem","position":2,"name":"Can economics determine the performance of football managers"}]},{"@type":"WebSite","@id":"https:\/\/research.reading.ac.uk\/football-research\/#website","url":"https:\/\/research.reading.ac.uk\/football-research\/","name":"Football Research","description":"","publisher":{"@id":"https:\/\/research.reading.ac.uk\/football-research\/#organization"},"potentialAction":[{"@type":"SearchAction","target":{"@type":"EntryPoint","urlTemplate":"https:\/\/research.reading.ac.uk\/football-research\/?s={search_term_string}"},"query-input":"required name=search_term_string"}],"inLanguage":"en-GB"},{"@type":"Organization","@id":"https:\/\/research.reading.ac.uk\/football-research\/#organization","name":"University of Reading","url":"https:\/\/research.reading.ac.uk\/football-research\/","logo":{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en-GB","@id":"https:\/\/research.reading.ac.uk\/football-research\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/","url":"https:\/\/research.reading.ac.uk\/football-research\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/125\/Unorganized\/ReadingHenleylogo.jpg","contentUrl":"https:\/\/research.reading.ac.uk\/football-research\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/125\/Unorganized\/ReadingHenleylogo.jpg","width":267,"height":82,"caption":"University of Reading"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/research.reading.ac.uk\/football-research\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/"}},{"@type":"Person","@id":"https:\/\/research.reading.ac.uk\/football-research\/#\/schema\/person\/532e1ce773445fb76d77785ea76f5be8","name":"Alex Daykin","image":{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en-GB","@id":"https:\/\/research.reading.ac.uk\/football-research\/#\/schema\/person\/image\/26159086a629d325cff50dd27004d579","url":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/48d6c4db18e4195997d9ec88cad612357d655264b37576280d9aceae3fa7aac4?s=96&d=mm&r=g","contentUrl":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/48d6c4db18e4195997d9ec88cad612357d655264b37576280d9aceae3fa7aac4?s=96&d=mm&r=g","caption":"Alex Daykin"},"url":"https:\/\/research.reading.ac.uk\/football-research\/author\/a-j-daykinreading-ac-uk\/"}]}},"cc_featured_image_caption":{"caption_text":false,"source_text":false,"source_url":false},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/research.reading.ac.uk\/football-research\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/296","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/research.reading.ac.uk\/football-research\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/research.reading.ac.uk\/football-research\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/research.reading.ac.uk\/football-research\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/219"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/research.reading.ac.uk\/football-research\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=296"}],"version-history":[{"count":4,"href":"https:\/\/research.reading.ac.uk\/football-research\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/296\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":313,"href":"https:\/\/research.reading.ac.uk\/football-research\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/296\/revisions\/313"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/research.reading.ac.uk\/football-research\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=296"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/research.reading.ac.uk\/football-research\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=296"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/research.reading.ac.uk\/football-research\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=296"},{"taxonomy":"author","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/research.reading.ac.uk\/football-research\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/coauthors?post=296"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}