{"id":194,"date":"2020-07-31T11:31:55","date_gmt":"2020-07-31T10:31:55","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/research.reading.ac.uk\/met-energy\/?page_id=194"},"modified":"2021-10-21T10:48:07","modified_gmt":"2021-10-21T09:48:07","slug":"outputs","status":"publish","type":"page","link":"https:\/\/research.reading.ac.uk\/met-energy\/next-generation-challenges-workshop\/outputs\/","title":{"rendered":"Next Generation Energy Climate Modelling 2020"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h3><strong>Next Generation Challenges in Energy-Climate Modelling 2020<\/strong><\/h3>\n<h5><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">A 2-day online workshop<\/span><\/i><\/h5>\n<h5><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">22<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">nd<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> and 23<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">rd<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> June 2020: 6-10am Denver, 1-5pm London, 10pm-2am Sydney<\/span><\/h5>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Supported by the PRIMAVERA project under the <\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">European Union\u2019s Horizon 2020 programme, Grant Agreement no. 641727 (<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/uip.primavera-h2020.eu\/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">https:\/\/uip.primavera-h2020.eu<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">).<\/span><\/p>\n<p>The workshop received enormous interest with over 140 applications from around the globe. \u00a0The organising committee would therefore like to extend our gratitude to all those who contributed &#8220;perspective talks&#8221; and participated in the many and varied discussions that took place. \u00a0\u00a0<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The workshop booklet (a list of participants and their research interests) is available <a href=\"https:\/\/research.reading.ac.uk\/met-energy\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/53\/Unorganized\/next_gen_booklet_20200731.pdf\">here<\/a>. \u00a0For a description of the workshop, it&#8217;s aims and other outputs, please see below.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><strong>Summary publication available in BAMS <a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1175\/BAMS-D-20-0256.1\">here<\/a>.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Presentations &#8211; Day 1 &#8211; Historic climate<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/research.reading.ac.uk\/met-energy\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/53\/2020\/07\/NextGenEC2020-Introduction-David-Brayshaw.pdf\">Workshop introduction<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/research.reading.ac.uk\/met-energy\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/53\/2020\/07\/NextGenEC2020-Historic-General.pptx\">&#8220;Historic climate&#8221; session introduction<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/research.reading.ac.uk\/met-energy\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/53\/2020\/07\/NextGenEC2020-Historic-Jan-Wohland.pdf\">Speaker 1 &#8211; Jan Wohland<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/research.reading.ac.uk\/met-energy\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/53\/2020\/07\/NextGenEC2020-Historic-Matteo-de-Felice.pdf\">Speaker 2 &#8211; Matteo De Felice<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/research.reading.ac.uk\/met-energy\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/53\/2020\/07\/NextGenEC2020-Historic-Keith-Bell.pdf\">Speaker 3 &#8211; Keith Bell<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Presentations &#8211; Day 2 &#8211; Future climate<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/research.reading.ac.uk\/met-energy\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/53\/2020\/07\/NextGenEC2020-Introduction-Day-2-David-Brayshaw.pdf\">Brief re-introduction<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/research.reading.ac.uk\/met-energy\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/53\/2020\/07\/NextGenEC2020-Future-General.pptx\">&#8220;Future climate&#8221; session introduction<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/research.reading.ac.uk\/met-energy\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/53\/2020\/07\/NextGenEC2020-Future-Paula-Gonzalez.pdf\">Speaker 1 &#8211; Paula Gonzalez<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/research.reading.ac.uk\/met-energy\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/53\/2020\/07\/NextGenEC2020-Future-Sofia-Simoes.pdf\">Speaker 2 &#8211; Sofia Simoes<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/research.reading.ac.uk\/met-energy\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/53\/2020\/07\/NextGenEC2020-Future-Bri-Mathias-Hodge.pptx\">Speaker 3 &#8211; Bri-Mathias Hodge<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/research.reading.ac.uk\/met-energy\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/53\/2020\/07\/NextGenEC2020-Closing-Wrap-Up-David-Brayshaw.pdf\">Concluding remarks<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Chair:\u00a0David Brayshaw (Univ Reading)<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Organising committee:\u00a0<\/span>Hannah Bloomfield (Univ Reading); Jethro Browell (Univ Strathclyde);\u00a0Roger Dargaville (Monash);\u00a0Matteo de Felice (JRC);\u00a0Paula Gonzalez (Univ Reading);\u00a0Katharina Gruber (BOKU);\u00a0Adriaan Hilbers (ICL);\u00a0Alex Kies (Univ Frankfurt);\u00a0Julie Lundquist (Univ Colorado);\u00a0Mathaios Panteli (Univ Manchester);\u00a0James Price (UCL);\u00a0Laurens Stoop (Utrecht University, TenneT, KNMI);\u00a0Hazel Thornton (UK Met Office);\u00a0Jan Wohland (ETH Zurich) and\u00a0Marianne Zeyringer (Univ Oslo)<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h3><b>About the workshop<\/b><\/h3>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<h5>Motivation<\/h5>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Recent years have seen a growing appreciation of the risks posed by climate variability, change and uncertainty in power system operations and planning.\u00a0 The traditional paradigm whereby a relatively small set (~1-5 years) of weather data were seen as sufficient for characterizing weather and climate risk is being replaced by one where it is common to see direct use of long-term climate data sets in energy system modelling, e.g., solving power system dispatch and planning with several or even a few tens of years of climate data, derived from historical meteorological reanalyses or global climate model (GCM) simulations.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">There remain, however, many scientific and technical questions to be addressed in order to quantify and understand climate risk in power systems.\u00a0 In particular, recent work has highlighted additional sources of weather and climate uncertainty which are poorly addressed by current techniques.\u00a0 This includes, for example:<\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">the role of multi-decadal variations in climate,<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">the challenge of running multi-year or multi-decadal simulations with complex\/computationally-expensive power system models,<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">reanalysis selection (differences between the weather recorded in different reanalysis products, e.g., MERRA2, ERA5, JRA55, CSFR, etc),<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">issues around the use of climate models (GCMs and RCMs), e.g., resolution, biases, process representation, inter-model differences,<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">error propagation in modelling chains, and<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">epistemic uncertainties of climate model and scenario choice.<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Collectively, these issues are associated with relatively poor level of understanding of how these large-volume climate data sources can be ingested into complex energy system models to better understand and manage climate risk.\u00a0 The links between the \u201cenergy\u201d and \u201cclimate\u201d research communities have historically been rather weak and, in consequence, it is rare to find the scientific best practices of each community fully embodied in any single study.<\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h5>Workshop concept<\/h5>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">This workshop will bring together a leading international group of researchers working at the interface between climate science and energy applications<\/span><b><i>.\u00a0 <\/i><\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The aim is to stimulate an active and ongoing discussion around the use of both historic and future climate datasets (e.g., reanalysis and GCM output) in energy system analysis.\u00a0 The workshop will therefore address four key topics over two sessions:<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b>Session 1 (Monday) \u2013 The use of historic climate data in power system modelling<\/b><\/p>\n<ol>\n<li><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u00a0 \u00a0 To what extent are the<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u00a0implications of \u201cpresent-day\u201d climate risk\/uncertainty in energy systems well characterised by existing methodological approaches?<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> \u00a0 \u00a0 <\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">How can historic climate data be better used to estimate climate risk\/uncertainty in energy system modelling?<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><b>Session 2 (Tuesday) \u2013 Climate change and energy system modelling<\/b><\/p>\n<ol start=\"3\">\n<li><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> \u00a0 \u00a0 <\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">To what extent does climate change affect our understanding of future risk\/uncertainty in energy systems?<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> \u00a0 \u00a0 <\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">What are the implications of using GCMs in the assessment of future energy-climate risk?<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The intended outcomes are, firstly and foremost, to build a closer research community at the interface of energy and climate.\u00a0 It will also seek to produce one or more white papers reviewing the state of the art and next challenges for the field.\u00a0 The focus of the meeting is therefore expected to be on the scientific and technical problems associated with climate-robust energy system design and operation strategies (particularly relating to the electricity system but including elements of whole-systems where appropriate), rather than the provision of \u201cpolicy level\u201d insights into any single energy system design problem.<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>&nbsp; Next Generation Challenges in Energy-Climate Modelling 2020 A 2-day online workshop 22nd and 23rd June 2020: 6-10am Denver, 1-5pm London, 10pm-2am Sydney Supported by the PRIMAVERA project under the&#8230;<a class=\"read-more\" href=\"&#104;&#116;&#116;&#112;&#115;&#58;&#47;&#47;&#114;&#101;&#115;&#101;&#97;&#114;&#99;&#104;&#46;&#114;&#101;&#97;&#100;&#105;&#110;&#103;&#46;&#97;&#99;&#46;&#117;&#107;&#47;&#109;&#101;&#116;&#45;&#101;&#110;&#101;&#114;&#103;&#121;&#47;&#110;&#101;&#120;&#116;&#45;&#103;&#101;&#110;&#101;&#114;&#97;&#116;&#105;&#111;&#110;&#45;&#99;&#104;&#97;&#108;&#108;&#101;&#110;&#103;&#101;&#115;&#45;&#119;&#111;&#114;&#107;&#115;&#104;&#111;&#112;&#47;&#111;&#117;&#116;&#112;&#117;&#116;&#115;&#47;\">Read More 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