{"id":1848,"date":"2018-05-10T10:48:28","date_gmt":"2018-05-10T09:48:28","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/research.reading.ac.uk\/met-radiation\/?page_id=1848"},"modified":"2018-05-10T10:56:45","modified_gmt":"2018-05-10T09:56:45","slug":"publications","status":"publish","type":"page","link":"https:\/\/research.reading.ac.uk\/met-radiation\/publications\/","title":{"rendered":"Publications"},"content":{"rendered":"

Our publications<\/i><\/span><\/h2>\n

A list of our refereed publications going back to 1998, with selected publications before then.<\/p>\n

If you have problems accessing any of these papers, please contact\u00a0Keith Shine\u00a0<\/a>.<\/p>\n

Keith Shine’s Researcher ID on the ISI Web of Science and\u00a0<\/span>ResearcherID<\/a>\u00a0is D-9093-2012, where a full list of his references can be found. See also Orcid ID<\/a>\u00a00000-0003-2672-9978<\/p>\n

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Publications in press<\/u><\/b><\/p>\n

Mangini F, Irvine EA, Shine KP, Stringer MA\u00a0The dependence of minimum-time routes over the North Atlantic on cruise altitude\u00a0<\/b>Meteorological Applications\u00a0<\/i><\/span>doi: 10.1002\/met.1733<\/p>\n

<\/a><\/p>\n

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Publications in 2018\u00a0<\/u><\/b>
\nCheca-Garcia R, Hegglin MI, Kinnison DE, Plummer DA, Shine KP 2018:\u00a0Historical tropospheric and stratospheric ozone radiative forcing using the CMIP6 database\u00a0<\/b>Geophys. Res. Lett., 45,<\/i><\/span>doi:10.1002\/2017GL076770.\u00a0
\nLink to abstract<\/a><\/p>\n

<\/a><\/p>\n

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Publications in 2017\u00a0<\/u><\/b>
\nElsey J, Coleman MD, Gardiner T, Shine KP 2017:\u00a0Can measurements of the near-infrared solar spectral irradiance be reconciled? A new ground-based assessment between 4000-10000 cm-1<\/sup>.\u00a0<\/b>Geophysical Research Letters, 44:10071-10080\u00a0<\/i><\/span>doi:10.1002\/2017GL073902\u00a0
\nLink to abstract (open access)<\/a><\/p>\n

Myhre G, Myhre CL, Forster PM, Shine KP 2017\u00a0Correspondence: Halfway to doubling of CO2<\/sub>radiative forcing<\/b>\u00a0Nature Geoscience\u00a0<\/i><\/span>doi:10.1038\/ngeo3036\u00a0
\nLink to abstract<\/a><\/p>\n

Aamaas B, Berntsen TK, Fuglestvedt JS, Shine KP, Collins WJ 2017:\u00a0Regional temperature change potentials for short lived climate forcers from multiple models\u00a0<\/b>Atmos Chem Phys 17:10795-10809\u00a0<\/i><\/span>doi:10.5194\/acp-17-10795-2017\u00a0
\nLink to abstract (open access)<\/a><\/p>\n

Matthes S, Grewe V, Dahlmann K, Fr\u00f6mming C, Irvine E, Lim L, Linke F, L\u00fchrs V, Owen B, Shine K, Stromatas S, Yamashita H, Yin F 2017:\u00a0A concept for multi-criteria environmental assessment of aircraft trajectories\u00a0<\/b>Aerospace 4:42\u00a0<\/i><\/span><\/i>doi: 10.3390\/aerospace4030042\u00a0
\nLink to abstract (open access)<\/a><\/p>\n

Lund MT, Aamaas B, Berntsen T, Bock L, Burkhardt U, Fuglestvedt JS, Shine KP 2017:\u00a0Emission metrics for quantifying regional climate impacts of aviation\u00a0<\/b>Earth Syst. Dynam. 8:547-563<\/i><\/span><\/i>doi:10.5194\/esd-8-547-2017\u00a0
\nLink to abstract (open access)<\/a><\/p>\n

Gordon IE, Rothman LS, Hill C, Kochanov RV, Tan Y, Bernath PF, Birk M, Boudon V, Campargue A, Chance KV, Drouin BJ, Flaud J-M, Gamache RR, Hodges JT, Jacquemart D, Perevalov VI, Perrin A, Shine KP, Smith MAH, Tennyson J, oon GC, Tran H, Tyuterev VG, Barbe A, Cs\u00e1sz\u00e1r AG, Devi VM, Furtenbacher T, Harrison JJ, Hartmann JM, Jolly A, Johnson TJ, Karman T, Kleiner I, Kyuberis AA, Loos J, Lyulin OM, Massie ST, Mikhailenko SN, Moazzen-Ahmadi N, M\u00fcller HSP, Naumenko OV, Nikitin AV, Polyansky OL, Rey M, Rotger M, Sharpe SW, Sung K, Starikova E, Tashkun SA, Vander Auwera J, Wagner G, Wilzewski J, Wcislo P, Yu S, Zak EJ:\u00a0The HITRAN2016 Molecular Spectroscopic Database\u00a0<\/b>Journal of Quantitative Spectroscopy and Radiative Transfer (to appear)\u00a0<\/i><\/span><\/i>doi:10.1016\/j.jqsrt.2017.06.038\u00a0
\nLink to abstract (open access)<\/a><\/p>\n

Myhre G, Forster PM, Samset BH, Hodnebrog \u00d8, Sillmann J, Aalbergsj\u00f8 SG, Andrews T, Boucher O, Faluvegi G, Fl\u00e4schner D, Kasoar M, Kharin V, Kirkev\u00e5g A, Lamarque J-F, Olivi\u00e9, D, Richardson T, Shindell D, Shine KP, Stjern CW, Takemura T, Voulgarakis A, Zwiers F 2017:\u00a0PDRMIP: A Precipitation Driver and Response Model Intercomparison Project, Protocol and preliminary results\u00a0<\/b>Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 98:1185-1198\u00a0<\/i><\/span><\/i>doi: 10.1175\/BAMS-D-16-0019.1.\u00a0
\nLink to abstract (open access)<\/a><\/p>\n

Grewe V, Matthes S, Fr\u00f6mming C, Brinkop S, J\u00f6ckel P, Gierens K, Champougny T, Fuglestvedt J, Hasselrud A, Irvine EA, Shine KP 2017:\u00a0Feasibility of climate-optimized air traffic routing for trans-Atlantic flights\u00a0<\/b>Environmental Research Letters 12:034003\u00a0<\/i><\/span><\/i>doi: 10.1088\/1748-9326\/aa5ba0\u00a0
\nLink to abstract (open access)\u00a0<\/a>
\nLink to news article\u00a0<\/a>
\nLink to Institute of Physics press release<\/a><\/p>\n

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Publications in 2016\u00a0<\/u><\/b>
\nEtminan M, Myhre G, Highwood EJ, Shine KP 2016:\u00a0Radiative forcing of carbon dioxide, methane and nitrous oxide: a significant revision of the methane radiative forcing<\/b>Geophysical Research Letters 43:12614-12623\u00a0<\/i><\/span><\/i>doi: 10.1002\/2016GL071930.\u00a0
\nLink to abstract (open access)\u00a0<\/a>
\nShort summary of the paper\u00a0<\/a>
\nLink to Ellie Highwood’s blog post on the paper<\/a><\/p>\n

Checa-Garcia R, Shine KP, Hegglin MI 2016:\u00a0The contribution of greenhouse gases to the recent slowdown in global-mean temperature trends\u00a0<\/b>
\nEnvironmental Research Letters 11:094018\u00a0<\/i><\/span><\/i>doi: 10.1088\/1748-9326\/11\/9\/094018\u00a0
\nLink to abstract (open access)\u00a0<\/a>
\nLink to news article<\/a><\/p>\n

Irvine EA, Shine KP, Stringer MA 2016:\u00a0What are the implications of climate change for trans-Atlantic aircraft routing and flight time?\u00a0<\/b>
\nTransportation Research Part D: Transport and Environment 47:44-53\u00a0<\/i><\/span><\/i>doi:10.1016\/j.trd.2016.04.014\u00a0
\nLink to abstract (open access)<\/a><\/p>\n

Allen MR, Fuglestvedt JS, Shine KP, Reisinger A, Pierrehumbert RT, Forster PM 2016:\u00a0New use of global warming potentials to compare cumulative and short-lived climate pollutants\u00a0<\/b>
\nNature Climate Change\u00a0<\/i><\/span><\/i>doi:10.1038\/nclimate2998\u00a0
\nLink to abstract\u00a0<\/a>
\nBlog post by two of the authors<\/a><\/p>\n

Shine KP, Campargue A, Mondelain D, McPheat RA, Ptashnik IV, Weidmann D, 2016:\u00a0The water vapour continuum in near-infrared windows – current understanding and prospects for its inclusion in spectroscopic databases\u00a0<\/b>
\nJ. Molec. Spectroscopy 327:193-208\u00a0<\/i><\/span><\/i>doi: 10.1016\/j.jms.2016.04.011\u00a0
\nLink to abstract (open access)<\/a><\/p>\n

Samset BH, Myhre G, Forster PM, Hodnebrog O, Andrews T, Faluvegi G, Flaschner D, Kasoar M, Kharin V, Kirkevag A, Lamarque J-F, Olivie D, Richardson T, Shindell D, Shine KP, Takemura T, Voulgarakis A 2016:\u00a0Fast and slow precipitation responses to individual climate forcers: A PDRMIP multi-model study\u00a0<\/b>
\nGeophys Res Lett 43:2782-2791\u00a0<\/span><\/i>doi:10.1002\/2015GL067231.\u00a0
\nLink to abstract<\/a><\/p>\n

Aamaas B, Berntsen TK, Fuglestvedt JS, Shine KP, Bellouin N 2016:\u00a0Regional emission metrics for short-lived climate forcers from multiple models\u00a0<\/b>
\n<\/i>Atmos Chem Phys 16:7451-7468<\/span>\u00a010.5194\/acp-16-7451-2016\u00a0
\nLink to abstract (open access)<\/a><\/p>\n

Ptashnik, IV, McPheat R, Polyansky OL, Shine KP, Smith KM 2016:\u00a0Intensities and self-broadening coefficients of the strongest water vapour lines in the 2.7 and 6.25 micron absorption bands<\/b>
\n<\/i>J Quant Spectrosc Radiat Transf 177:92-107\u00a0<\/span>doi: 10.1016\/j.jqsrt.2016.02.001\u00a0
\nLink to abstract (open access)<\/a><\/p>\n

Macintosh CR, Allan RP, Baker LH, Bellouin N, Collins W, Mousavi Z, Shine KP 2016:\u00a0Contrasting fast precipitation responses to tropospheric and stratospheric ozone forcing\u00a0<\/b>
\n<\/i>Geophys Res Lett 43:1263-1271\u00a0<\/span>doi:10.1002\/2015GL067231.\u00a0
\nLink to abstract (open access)<\/a><\/p>\n

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Publications in 2015<\/u><\/b>Shine KP, Allan RP, Collins WJ, Fuglestvedt, JS 2015:\u00a0Metrics for linking emissions of gases and aerosols to global precipitation changes\u00a0<\/b>
\n<\/i>Earth Syst Dynam 6:525-540\u00a0<\/span>doi:10.5194\/esd-6-525-2015\u00a0
\nLink to abstract (open access)<\/a><\/p>\n

Irvine EA, Shine KP 2015:\u00a0Ice-supersaturation and the potential for contrail formation in a changing climate\u00a0<\/b>
\n<\/i>Earth Syst Dynam 6:555-568\u00a0<\/span>10.5194\/esd-6-555-2015\u00a0
\nLink to abstract (open access)<\/a><\/p>\n

Stohl A, Aamaas B, Amann M, Baker LH, Bellouin N, Berntsen TK, Boucher O, Cherian R, Collins W, Daskalakis N, Dusinska M, Eckhardt S, Fuglestvedt JS, Harju M, Heyes C, Hodnebrog \u00d8, Hao J, Im U, Kanakidou M, Klimont Z, Kupiainen K, Law KS, Lund MT, Maas R, MacIntosh CR, Myhre G, Myriokefalitakis S, Olivi\u00e9 D, Quaas J, Quennehen B, Raut J-C, Rumbold ST, Samset BH, Schulz M, Seland \u00d8, Shine KP, Skeie RB, Wang S, Yttri KE, and Zhu T 2015:\u00a0Evaluating the climate and air quality impacts of short-lived pollutants\u00a0<\/b>
\n<\/i>Atmos Chem Phys 15:10529-10566\u00a0<\/span>10.5194\/acp-15-10529-2015\u00a0
\nLink to abstract (open access)<\/a><\/p>\n

R\u00e4del G, Shine KP, Ptashnik IV 2015:\u00a0Global radiative and climate effect of the water vapour continuum at visible and near-infrared wavelengths\u00a0<\/b>
\nQ J R Meteorol Soc 141:727-738\u00a0<\/span><\/i>10.1002\/qj.2385\u00a0
\nLink to abstract (open access)<\/a><\/p>\n

MacIntosh CR, Shine KP, Collins WJ 2015:\u00a0Radiative forcing and climate metrics for ozone precursor emissions: the impact of multi-model averaging\u00a0<\/b>
\n<\/i>Atmos Chem Phys 15:3957-3969\u00a0<\/span>10.5194\/acpd-14-27195-2014\u00a0
\nLink to abstract (open access)<\/a><\/p>\n

Shine KP 2015:\u00a0Radiative forcing and climate change.\u00a0<\/b>In Encyclopedia of Aerospace Engineering R Blockley and W Shyy (Eds) John Wiley and Sons Ltd, Chichester, 10.1002\/9780470686652.eae526.pub2
\nUpdate based on the original article by Keith Shine, Encyclopedia of Aerospace Engineering \u00a9 2010, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.
\nLink to abstract<\/a><\/a><\/p>\n

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Publications in 2014\u00a0<\/u><\/b>
\nFuglestvedt JS, Samset BH, Shine KP 2014:\u00a0Counteracting the climate effects of volcanic eruptions using short-lived greenhouse gases\u00a0<\/b>
\n<\/i>Geophys Res Lett 41:8627-8635\u00a0<\/span>10.1002\/2014GL061886\u00a0
\nLink to abstract<\/a><\/p>\n

McLandress C, Shepherd TG, Reader MC, Plummer DA, Shine KP 2014:\u00a0The climate impact of past changes in halocarbons and CO2<\/sub>\u00a0in the tropical UTLS region<\/b>
\n<\/i>J Climate 27:8646-8660\u00a0<\/span>10.1175\/JCLI-D-14-00232.1\u00a0
\nLink to abstract<\/a><\/p>\n

Maycock AC, Joshi MM, Shine KP, Davis SM, Rosenlof KH 2014:\u00a0Changes in lower stratospheric water vapour and stratospheric temperature trends over the past 30 years\u00a0<\/b>
\n<\/i>Q J R Meteorol Soc 140:2176-2185\u00a0<\/span>10.1002\/qj.2287\u00a0
\nLink to abstract (open access)<\/a><\/p>\n

Etminan M, Highwood EJ, Laube JC, McPheat R, Marston G, Shine KP, Smith KM 2014:\u00a0Infrared Absorption Spectra, Radiative Efficiencies, and Global Warming Potentials of Newly-Detected Halogenated Compounds: CFC-113a, CFC-112 and HCFC-133a\u00a0<\/b>
\n<\/i>Atmosphere 5:473-483<\/span>\u00a0doi:10.3390\/atmos5030473\u00a0
\nLink to abstract (open access)<\/a><\/p>\n

Grewe V, Champougny T, Matthes S, Fr\u00f6mming C, Brinkop S, S\u00f8vde OA, Irvine EA, Halscheidt L 2014:\u00a0Reduction of the air traffic’s contribution to climate change: A REACT4C case study\u00a0<\/b>
\n<\/i>Atmospheric Environment 94:616-625\u00a0<\/span>10.1016\/j.atmosenv.2014.05.059\u00a0
\nLink to abstract<\/a><\/p>\n

Irvine EA, Hoskins BJ, Shine KP 2014:\u00a0A simple framework for assessing the trade-off between the climate impact of aviation carbon dioxide emissions and contrails for a single flight\u00a0<\/b>
\n<\/i>Environmental Research Letters 9:064021<\/span>\u00a0doi:10.1088\/1748-9326\/9\/6\/064021\u00a0
\nLink to abstract (open access)<\/a><\/p>\n

Irvine EA, Hoskins BJ, Shine KP 2014:\u00a0A Lagrangian analysis of ice-supersaturated air over the North Atlantic\u00a0<\/b>
\n<\/i>J Geophys Res 119:90-100\u00a0<\/span>10.1002\/2013JD020251\u00a0
\nLink to abstract<\/a><\/p>\n

Grewe V, Fr\u00f6mming C, Matthes S, Brinkop S, Ponater M, Dietm\u00fcller S, J\u00f6ckel1 P, Garny H, Tsati E, S\u00f8vde AO, Fuglestvedt J, Berntsen TK, Shine KP, Irvine EA, Champougny T, Hullah P 2014:Aircraft routing with minimal climate impact: the REACT4C climate cost function modelling approach (V1.0)\u00a0<\/b>
\n<\/i>Geosci Model Dev 7:175-201\u00a0<\/span>doi: 10.5194\/gmd-7-175-2014\u00a0
\nLink to abstract (open access)<\/a><\/a><\/p>\n

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Publications in 2013\u00a0<\/u><\/b>
\nShine KP 2013:\u00a0Climate Change.\u00a0<\/b>In “Pollution: Causes, Effects and Control” (Ed: R M Harrison) ISBN: 978-1-84973-648-0 Royal Society of Chemistry Publishing\u00a0
\nLink to publisher’s website<\/a><\/p>\n

Menang KP, Coleman MD, Gardiner TD, Ptashnik IV, Shine KP 2013:\u00a0A high-resolution near-infrared extraterrestrial solar spectrum derived from ground-based Fourier transform spectrometer measurements\u00a0<\/b>
\n<\/i>J Geophys Res: Atmos 118:5319-5531\u00a0<\/span>10.1002\/jgrd.50425\u00a0
\nLink to abstract<\/a><\/p>\n

Hodnebrog \u00d8, Etminan M, Fuglestvedt JS, Marston G, Myhre G, Nielsen CJ, Shine KP, Wallington TJ 2013:\u00a0Global Warming Potentials and Radiative Efficiencies of Halocarbons and Related Compounds: A Comprehensive Review\u00a0<\/b>
\n<\/i>Reviews of Geophysics 51:300-378<\/span>\u00a010.1002\/rog.20013\u00a0
\nLink to abstract<\/a><\/p>\n

Menang K, Shine KP 2013:\u00a0The effect of chosen extraterrestrial solar spectrum on clear-sky atmospheric absorption and heating rates in the near infrared\u00a0<\/b>. RADIATION PROCESSES IN THE ATMOSPHERE AND OCEAN (IRS2012): Proceedings of the International Radiation Symposium (IRC\/IAMAS) (eds: Cahalan RF, Fischer J) Date: 6-10 August 2012 AIP Conf. Proc. 1531, pp. 520-523; doi:10.1063\/1.4804821\u00a0
\nLink to abstract<\/a><\/p>\n

Ptashnik IV, Petrova TM, Ponomarev YuN, Shine KP, Solodov AA, Solodov AM 2013:\u00a0Near-infrared water vapour self-continuum at close to room temperature\u00a0<\/b>.
\n<\/i>J Quant Spec Radiat Transf 120:23-35\u00a0<\/span>10.1016\/j.jqsrt.2013.02.016\u00a0
\nLink to abstract (open access)<\/a><\/p>\n

Irvine EA, Hoskins BJ, Shine KP, Lunnon RW, Fromming C 2013:\u00a0Characterizing north Atlantic weather patterns for climate-optimal routing\u00a0<\/b>.
\n<\/i>Meteorological Applications 20:80-93\u00a0<\/span>DOI: 10.1002\/met.1291\u00a0
\nLink to abstract<\/a><\/p>\n

Maycock AC, Joshi MM, Shine KP, Scaife AA 2013:\u00a0The circulation response to idealized changes in water vapor.\u00a0<\/b>
\n<\/i>J Climate 26:545-561\u00a0<\/span>DOI: 10.1175\/JCLI-D-12-00155.1\u00a0
\nLink to abstract<\/a><\/p>\n

K\u00f6hler MO, R\u00e4del G, Shine KP, Rogers HL, Pyle JA 2013:\u00a0Latitudinal variation of the effect of aviation NOx emissions on atmospheric ozone and methane and related climate metrics\u00a0<\/b>
\n<\/i>Atmospheric Environment 64:1-9\u00a0<\/span>DOI: 10.1016\/j.atmosenv.2012.09.013\u00a0
\nLink to abstract<\/a><\/p>\n

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Publications in 2012\u00a0<\/u><\/b><\/p>\n

Tol RSJ, Berntsen TK, O’Neill BC, Fuglestvedt JS, Shine KP 2012:\u00a0A unifying framework for metrics for aggregating the climate effect of different emissions\u00a0<\/b>
\n<\/i>Environmental Research Letters 7:044006\u00a0<\/span>doi:10.1088\/1748-9326\/7\/4\/044006\u00a0
\nLink to abstract (open access)<\/a><\/p>\n

Wilcox LJ, Shine KP, Hoskins BJ 2012:\u00a0Radiative forcing by aviation water vapour emissions\u00a0<\/b>
\n<\/i>Atmospheric Environment 63:1-13\u00a0<\/span>DOI: 10.1016\/j.atmosenv.2012.08.072\u00a0
\nLink to abstract<\/a><\/p>\n

Lund MT, Berntsen T, Fuglestved JS, Ponater M. Shine KP 2012:\u00a0How much information is lost by using global-mean climate metrics? An example using the transport sector\u00a0<\/b>.
\n<\/i>Climatic Change 113:949-963\u00a0<\/span>DOI:10.1007\/s10584-011-0391-3\u00a0
\nLink to abstract<\/a><\/p>\n

Irvine EA, Hoskins BJ, Shine KP 2012:\u00a0The dependence of contrail formation on the weather pattern and altitude in the North Atlantic\u00a0<\/b>
\n<\/i>Geophys Res Lett 39:L12802\u00a0<\/span>doi:10.1029\/2012GL051909\u00a0
\nLink to abstract<\/a><\/p>\n

Maycock AC, Shine KP:\u00a0Stratospheric water vapor and climate: Sensitivity to the representation in radiation codes\u00a0<\/b>
\n<\/i>J Geophys Res 117:D13102\u00a0<\/span>doi:10.1029\/2012JD017484\u00a0
\nLink to abstract<\/a><\/p>\n

Shine KP, Ptashnik IV, R\u00e4del G 2012:\u00a0The water vapour continuum: brief history and recent developments\u00a0<\/b>.
\n<\/i>Surveys in Geophysics 33:535-555 DOI: 10.1007\/s10712-011-9170-y\u00a0
\nLink to abstract<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n

Costa SMS, Shine KP 2012:\u00a0Outgoing longwave radiation due to directly-transmitted surface emission\u00a0<\/b>.
\n<\/i>J Atmos Sci 69, 1865-1870<\/span>\u00a0DOI: 10.1175\/JAS-D-11-0248.1\u00a0
\nLink to abstract<\/a><\/p>\n

Ptashnik IV, McPheat RA, Shine KP, Smith KM, Williams RG 2012:\u00a0Water vapour foreign continuum absorption in near infrared windows from laboratory measurements.\u00a0<\/b>
\n<\/i>Phil Trans Roy Soc A 370:2557-2577\u00a0<\/span>doi:10.1098\/rsta.2011.0218
\nLink to abstract\u00a0<\/a><\/p>\n

Gardiner TD, Coleman M, Browning H, Tallis L, Ptashnik IV, Shine KP 2012:\u00a0Absolute high spectral resolution measurements of surface solar radiation for detection of water vapour continuum absorption.\u00a0<\/b>
\n<\/i>Phil Trans Roy Soc A 370:2590-2610\u00a0<\/span>doi: 10.1098\/rsta.2011.0221
\nLink to abstract\u00a0<\/a><\/p>\n

Newman SM, Green PD, Ptashnik IV, Gardiner TD, Coleman MD, McPheat RA, Smith KM 2012:Airborne and satellite remote sensing of the mid-infrared water vapour continuum\u00a0<\/b>
\n<\/i>Phil Trans Roy Soc A370:2611-2636\u00a0<\/span>doi:10.1098\/rsta.2011.0223
\nLink to abstract\u00a0<\/a><\/p>\n

Wilcox LJ, Hoskins BJ, Shine KP 2012:\u00a0A global blended tropopause based on ERA data. Part I Climatology\u00a0<\/b>
\n<\/i>Q J R Meteorol Soc 138:561-575\u00a0<\/span>DOI:10.1002\/qj.951
\nLink to abstract\u00a0<\/a>
\nData (including updated data for 1979-2014) available\u00a0here<\/a><\/p>\n

Wilcox LJ, Hoskins BJ, Shine KP 2012:\u00a0A global blended tropopause based on ERA data. Part II: Trends and tropical broadening.\u00a0<\/b>
\n<\/i>Q J R Meteorol Soc 138:576-584\u00a0<\/span>DOI:10.1002\/qj.951
\nLink to abstract<\/a><\/p>\n

Jones HM, Haywood J, Marenco F, O’Sullivan D, Meyer J, Thorpe R, Gallagher MW, Kr\u00e4mer M, Bower KN, R\u00e4del G, Rap A, Forster P, Coe H 2012\u00a0A methodology for in-situ and remote sensing of microphysical and radiative properties of contrails as they evolve into cirrus\u00a0<\/b>
\n<\/i>Atmos Chem Phys 12:8157-8175<\/span>
\nLink to abstract (open access)<\/a><\/a><\/p>\n

\n

Publications in 2011\u00a0<\/u><\/b><\/p>\n

Haywood JM, Bellouin N, Jones, A, Boucher O, Wild M, Shine KP:\u00a0The roles of aerosol, water vapor and cloud in future global dimming\/brightening.\u00a0<\/b>
\n<\/i>J Geophys Res\u00a0<\/span>116:D20203 doi:10.1029\/2011JD016000
\nLink to abstract<\/a><\/p>\n

Ptashnik IV, McPheat RA, Shine KP, Smith KM, Williams RG 2011:\u00a0Water vapour continuum absorption in near-infrared windows derived from laboratory measurements.\u00a0<\/b>
\n<\/i>J Geophys Res\u00a0<\/span>D16305, 10.1029\/2011JD015603
\nLink to abstract<\/a><\/p>\n

Tallis L, Coleman M, Gardiner T, Ptashnik IV, Shine KP 2011:\u00a0Assessment of the consistency of H2<\/sub>O line intensities over the near-infrared using sun-pointing ground-based Fourier transform spectroscopy\u00a0<\/b>
\n<\/i>J Quant Spectrosc Radiat Transf\u00a0<\/span>112:2268-2280 10.1016\/j.jqsrt.2011.06.007
\nLink to abstract<\/a><\/p>\n

Crook JA, Forster PM, Stuber N 2011:\u00a0Spatial Patterns of Modelled Climate Feedback and Contributions to Temperature Response and Polar Amplification\u00a0<\/b>
\nJ Climate\u00a0<\/span><\/i>24:3575-3592 10.1175\/2011JCLI3863.1
\nLink to abstract<\/a><\/p>\n

Seidel DJ, Gillett NP, Lanzante JR, Shine KP, Thorne PW 2011:\u00a0Stratospheric temperature trends: our evolving understanding.\u00a0<\/b>
\nWiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change\u00a0<\/span><\/i>2:592-616 10.1002\/wcc.125
\nLink to abstract<\/a><\/p>\n

Bravo I, Marston G, Nutt DR, Shine KP 2011:\u00a0Radiative efficiencies and global warming potentials using theoretically determined absorption cross-sections for several hydrofluoroethers (HFEs) and hydrofluoropolyethers (HFPEs)\u00a0<\/b>
\nJ Quant Spectrosc Radiat Transf\u00a0<\/span><\/i>112:1967-1977 10.1016\/j.jqsrt.2011.05.001
\nLink to abstract\u00a0<\/a><\/p>\n

Maycock AC, Shine KP, Joshi MM 2011:\u00a0The temperature response to stratospheric water vapour changes\u00a0<\/b>
\nQ J R Meteorol. Soc.\u00a0<\/span><\/i>137:1070-1082 10.1002\/qj.822
\nLink to abstract<\/a><\/p>\n

Shine KP, Highwood EJ, R\u00e4del G, Stuber N, Balkanski Y 2011:\u00a0Climate model calculations of the impact of aerosols from road transport and shipping\u00a0<\/b>
\n<\/i>Optica Atmosfery i Okeana\u00a0<\/span>24:444-451
\nAlso in\u00a0<\/i>Atmospheric and Oceanic Optics\u00a0<\/span>(ISSN 1024 8560), 2012, 25:62-70 doi: 10.1134\/S1024856012010125
\nLink to abstract<\/a><\/p>\n

Ptashnik IV, Shine KP, Vigasin AA 2011:\u00a0Water vapour self-continuum and water dimers. 1. Review and analysis of recent work.\u00a0<\/b>
\nJ Quant Spectrosc Radiat Transf\u00a0<\/span><\/i>112:1286-1303 10.1016\/j.jqsrt.2011.01.012
\nLink to abstract\u00a0<\/a><\/p>\n

Thorne PW, Lanzante JR, Peterson TC, Seidel DJ, Shine KP 2011:\u00a0Tropospheric temperature trends: history of an ongoing controversy.\u00a0<\/b>
\nWiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change\u00a0<\/span><\/i>2:66-88 doi: 10.1002\/wcc.80
\nLink to abstract\u00a0<\/a><\/p>\n

Maycock AC, Keeley SPE, Charlton-Perez AJ, Doblas-Reyes FJ 2011:\u00a0Stratospheric circulation in seasonal forecasting models: Implications for seasonal prediction.\u00a0<\/b>
\nClimate Dynamics\u00a0<\/span><\/i>36:309-321 10.1007\/s00382-009-0665-x
\nLink to abstract<\/a><\/p>\n

Myhre G, Shine KP, R\u00e4del G, Gauss M, Isaksen ISA, Tang Q, Prather MJ, Williams JE, van Velthoven P, Dessens O, Koffi B, Szopa S, Hoor P, Grewe V, Borken-Kleefeld J, Berntsen TK, Fuglestvedt JS 2011:\u00a0Radiative forcing due to changes in ozone and methane caused by the transport sector\u00a0<\/b>.
\nAtmospheric Environment\u00a0<\/span><\/i>45:387-394 doi:10.1016\/j.atmosenv.2010.10.001
\nLink to abstract<\/a><\/a><\/p>\n

\n

Publications in 2010\u00a0<\/u><\/b><\/p>\n

Bravo I, Aranda A., Hurley MD, Marston G, Nutt DR, Shine KP, Smith K, Wallington TJ 2010:Infrared absorption spectra, radiative efficiencies, and global warming potentials of perfluorocarbons: comparison between experiment and theory\u00a0<\/b>
\nJ. Geophys. Res.,\u00a0<\/span><\/i>115:D24317 doi:10.1029\/2010JD014771
\nLink to abstract<\/a><\/p>\n

Olivi\u00e9 D, Stuber N 2010:\u00a0Emulating AOGCM results using simple climate models\u00a0<\/b>
\nClimate Dynamics\u00a0<\/span><\/i>35:1257-1287 doi: 10.1007\/s00382-009-0725-2
\nLink to abstract<\/a><\/p>\n

Shine KP 2010:\u00a0Radiative forcing and climate change.\u00a0<\/b>In Encyclopedia of Aerospace Engineering R Blockley and W Shyy (Eds) John Wiley and Sons Ltd, Chichester, 10.1002\/9780470686652.eae526 See Shine KP 2015 for update.
\nLink to abstract\u00a0<\/a>
\nLink to abstract of 2015 update<\/a><\/p>\n

Ptashnik IV, Tretyakov MYu 2010:\u00a0Comments on the Paper ‘Detection of the Absorption Spectra of Water Clusters under Atmospheric Conditions’\u00a0<\/b>,
\nJETP Lett.,\u00a0<\/span><\/i>91(5), 251-3
\nLink to abstract<\/a><\/p>\n

Shine KP 2010:\u00a0Climate effect of inhaled anaesthetics\u00a0<\/b>
\nBritish Journal of Anaesthesia<\/span>\u00a0<\/i>105:731-733
\nLink to paper<\/a><\/p>\n

R\u00e4del G, Shine KP 2010:\u00a0Validating ECMWF forecasts for the occurrence of ice supersaturation using visual observations of persistent contrails and radiosonde measurements over England<\/b>
\nQ.J.R.Meteorol.Soc\u00a0<\/span><\/i>136:1723-1732 doi: 10.1002\/qj.670
\nLink to abstract<\/a><\/p>\n

Fuglestvedt JS, Shine KP, Cook J, Berntsen T, Lee DS, Stenke A, Skeie RB, Velders GJM, Waitz IA 2010:\u00a0Assessment of transport impacts on climate and ozone: metrics\u00a0<\/b>
\nAtmospheric Environment\u00a0<\/span><\/i>44:4648-4677 doi:10.1016\/j.atmosenv.2009.04.044
\nLink to abstract<\/a><\/p>\n

Ptashnik IV, Smith KM 2010\u00a0Water vapour line intensities and self-broadening coefficients in the 5000-5600 cm-1<\/sup>\u00a0spectral region\u00a0<\/b>
\nJ. Quant. Spectrosc. Radiat. Trans<\/span><\/i>\u00a010:1317-1327 doi:10.1016\/j.jqsrt.2010.01.007
\nLink to abstract<\/a><\/p>\n

Joshi MM, Webb MJ, Maycock AC, Collins M 2010:\u00a0Stratospheric water vapour and high climate sensitivity in a version of the HadSM3 climate model\u00a0<\/b>
\nAtmos Chem Phys\u00a0<\/span><\/i>10:7161-7167
\nLink to abstract (open access)<\/a><\/p>\n

Bravo I, Diaz-de-Mera Y, Aranda A, Smith K, Shine KP, Marston G 2010:\u00a0Atmospheric chemistry of C4<\/sub>F9<\/sub>OC2<\/sub>H5<\/sub>\u00a0(HFE-7200), C4<\/sub>F9<\/sub>OCH3<\/sub>\u00a0(HFE-7100), C3<\/sub>F7<\/sub>OCH3<\/sub>\u00a0(HFE-7000) and C3<\/sub>F7<\/sub>CH2<\/sub>OH: temperature dependence of the kinetics of their reactions with OH radicals, atmospheric lifetimes and global warming potentials\u00a0<\/b>
\nPhys.Chem.Chem.Phys\u00a0<\/span><\/i>12:5115-5125 doi: 10.1039\/b923092k
\nLink to abstract<\/a><\/p>\n

Dall Amico M, Gray LJ, Rosenlof KH, Scaife AA, Shine KP, Stott PA 2010:\u00a0Climate model simulatipns of recent decades with improved stratospheric representation: variability and trends in the stratosphere\u00a0<\/b>
\nClimate Dynamics\u00a0<\/span><\/i>34:381-398 doi: 10.1007\/s00382-009-0604-x
\nLink to abstract<\/a><\/p>\n

Balkanski Y, Myhre G, Gauss M, R\u00e4del G, Highwood EJ, Shine KP 2010:\u00a0Direct radiative effect of aerosols emitted by transport: from road, shipping and aviation<\/b>
\nAtmos Chem Phys\u00a0<\/span><\/i>10:4477-4489 doi:10.5194\/acp-10-4477-2010
\nLink to abstract (open access)<\/a><\/a><\/p>\n

\n

Publications in 2009<\/u><\/b><\/p>\n

Myhre G, Kvalev\u00e5g M, R\u00e4del G, Cook J, Shine KP, Clark H, Karcher F, Markowicz J, Kardas A, Wolkenberg P, Ponater M, Forster P, Rap, A, De Leon RR 2009:\u00a0Intercomparison of radiative forcing calculations of stratospheric water vapour and contrails\u00a0<\/b>
\nMeteorologische Zeitschrift\u00a0<\/span><\/i>18:585-596
\nLink to abstract<\/a><\/p>\n

Haywood JM, Allan RP, Bornemann J, Forster P, Francis PN, Milton S, R\u00e4del G, Alexandru Rap A, Shine KP, Thorpe R 2009\u00a0Case Study of the radiative forcing of persistent contrails evolving into contrail-induced cirrus<\/b>
\nJ Geophys Res\u00a0<\/span><\/i>114:D24201 doi:10.1029\/2009JD012650
\nLink to abstract<\/a><\/p>\n

Paynter DJ, Ptashnik IV, Shine KP, Smith KM, McPheat R, Williams RG 2009:\u00a0Laboratory measurements of the water vapor continuum in the 1200 cm-1<\/sup>\u00a0– 8000 cm-1<\/sup>\u00a0region between 293 K and 351 K.\u00a0<\/b>
\nJ Geophys Res\u00a0<\/span><\/i>114:D21301, doi:10.1029\/2008JD011355
\nLink to abstract<\/a><\/p>\n

Boucher O, Friedlingstein P, Collins W, Shine KP 2009:\u00a0Indirect GWP and GTP due to methane oxidation.\u00a0<\/b>
\nEnvironmental Research Letters\u00a0<\/span><\/i>4:044007
\nLink to abstract (open access)<\/a><\/p>\n

Shine KP 2009:\u00a0The global warming potential: the need for an interdisciplinary retrial. An editorial comment<\/b>
\nClimatic Change\u00a0<\/span><\/i>96:467-472 doi: 10.1007\/s10584-009-9647-6
\nLink to abstract<\/a><\/p>\n

Hoor P., Borken-Kleefeld J., Caro D., Dessens O., Endresen O., Gauss M., Grewe V., Hauglustaine D., Isaksen I.S.A., J\u00f6ockel P., Lelieveld J., Myhre G., Meijer E., Olivie D., Prather M., Schnadt Poberaj C., Shine K.P., Staehelin J., Tang Q., van Aardenne J., van Velthoven P., and Sausen R. 2009:\u00a0The impact of traffic emissions on atmospheric ozone and OH: Results from QUANTIFY\u00a0<\/b>
\nAtmos Chem Phys\u00a0<\/span><\/i>9:3113-3136
\nLink to abstract (open access)<\/a><\/p>\n

Martinerie P, Nourtier-Mazauric E, Barnola J-M, Sturges WT, Worton DR, Atlas D, Gohar LK, Shine KP, Brasseur GP 2009:\u00a0Long-lived halocarbon trends and budgets from atmospheric chemistry modelling constrained with measurements in polar firn\u00a0<\/b>
\nAtmos Chem Phys\u00a0<\/span><\/i>9:3911-3934
\nLink to abstract (open access)<\/a><\/p>\n

Austin J, Wilson J, Akiyoshi H., Bekki S, Butchart N, Claud C, Forster P, Garcia RR, Gillett NP, Keckhut P, Langematz U, E.Manzini E, Nagashima T, Randel WJ, Rozanov E, Shepherd TG, Shibata K, Shine KP, Struthers H, Thompson D, Wu F, Yoden S 2009:\u00a0Coupled chemistry climate model simulations of stratospheric temperatures and their trends for the recent past.<\/b>
\nGeophysical Research Letters\u00a0<\/span><\/i>36, L13809, doi:10.1029\/2009GL038462
\nLink to abstract<\/a><\/p>\n

Stone EJ, Lowe JA, Shine KP 2009:\u00a0The impact of carbon capture and storage on climate.<\/b>
\nEnergy and Environmental Science\u00a0<\/span><\/i>2:81-91
\nLink to abstract<\/a><\/p>\n

Randel WJ, Shine KP, Austin J, Barnett J, Chantal C, Gillett NP, Keckhut P, Langematz U, Lin, R, Long C, Mears C, Miller A, Nash J, Seidel DJ, Thompson DWJ, Wu F, Yoden S 2009:\u00a0An update of observed stratospheric temperature trends.<\/b>
\nJournal of Geophysical Research\u00a0<\/span><\/i>114:D02107 doi:10.1029\/2008JD010421
\nLink to abstract<\/a><\/p>\n

Gray LJ, Rumbold ST, Shine KP 2009:\u00a0Stratospheric temperatures and radiative forcing responseto 11-year solar cycle changes in irradiance and ozone.\u00a0<\/b>
\nJ Atmos Sci<\/span><\/i>\u00a066:2402-2417
\nLink to abstract<\/a><\/p>\n

<\/a><\/p>\n

\n

Publications in 2008<\/u><\/b><\/p>\n

K\u00f6hler MO, R\u00e4del G, Dessens O, Shine KP, Rogers HL, Wild O, Pyle JA 2008:\u00a0Impact of perturbations of nitrogen oxide emissions from global aviation.<\/b>
\nJ Geophys Res<\/span><\/i>\u00a0113:D11305, doi:10.1029\/2007JD009140.
\nLink to abstract<\/a><\/p>\n

Ptashnik IV 2008:\u00a0Evidence for the contribution of water dimers to the near-IR water vapour self-continuum\u00a0<\/b>
\nJ. Quant. Spectrosc. Radiat. Trans<\/span><\/i>\u00a0109:831-852
\nLink to abstract<\/a><\/p>\n

R\u00e4del G, Shine KP 2008:\u00a0Influence of aircraft cruise altitudes on radiative forcing by persistent contrails.<\/b>
\nJ Geophys Res<\/span><\/i>\u00a0113:D07105 doi:10.1029\/2007JD009117.
\nLink to abstract<\/a><\/p>\n

Isaksen ISA, Rognerud B, Myhre G, Haigh JD, Rumbold ST, Shine KP, Zerefos C, Tourpali K, Randel W 2008:\u00a0Radiative forcing from modelled and observed stratospheric ozone changes due to the 11-year solar cycle\u00a0<\/b>
\nAtmos. Chem. Phys. Discuss.\u00a0<\/span><\/i>8:4353-4371.
\nLink to abstract<\/a><\/p>\n

Shine KP, Barnett JJ, Randel WJ 2008:\u00a0Temperature trends derived from Stratospheric Sounding Unit radiances: the effect of increasing CO2<\/sub>\u00a0on the weighting function.<\/b>
\nGeophys. Res. Lett.\u00a0<\/span><\/i>35:L02710, doi:10.1029\/2007GL032218.
\nLink to abstract<\/a>
\n<\/a><\/p>\n

\n

Publications in 2007<\/b><\/p>\n

Forster PMdeF, Shine KP, and Stuber N 2007:\u00a0Corrigendum to “It is premature to include non-CO2<\/sub>\u00a0effects of aviation in emission trading schemes”<\/b>
\nAtmospheric Environment\u00a0<\/span><\/i>41:3941 doi:10.1016\/j.atmosenv.2005.11.081
\nLink to abstract.<\/a>\u00a0Here is the\u00a0original article\u00a0<\/a><\/p>\n

Gohar LK, Shine KP 2007:\u00a0Equivalent CO2<\/sub>\u00a0and its use in understanding the climate effects of increased greenhouse gas concentrations.<\/b>
\nWeather\u00a0<\/span><\/i>62:307-311.
\nLink to abstract<\/a><\/p>\n

Myhre G, Nilsen JS, Gulstad L, Shine KP, Rognerud B, Isaksen ISA 2007:\u00a0Radiative forcing due to stratospheric water vapour from CH4<\/sub>\u00a0oxidation\u00a0<\/b>
\nGeophys. Lett. Res.\u00a0<\/span><\/i>34:L01807 doi:1029\/2006GL027472
\nLink to abstract<\/a><\/p>\n

Paynter DJ, Ptashnik IV , Shine KP, Smith KM 2007:\u00a0Pure water vapor continuum measurements between 3100 and 4400 cm-1<\/sup>: Evidence for water dimer absorption in near atmospheric conditions<\/b>
\nGeophys. Res. Lett.\u00a0<\/span><\/i>34:L12808, doi:10.1029\/2007GL029259.
\nLink to abstract<\/a><\/p>\n

R\u00e4del G, Shine KP 2007:\u00a0Evaluation of the use of radiosonde humidity data to predict the occurrence of persistent contrails<\/b>
\nQ.J.Roy.Meteor.Soc.\u00a0<\/span><\/i>133: 1413.1423 DOI: 10.1002\/qj.128.
\nLink to abstract<\/a><\/p>\n

Ptashnik IV 2007:\u00a0Evaluation of suitable spectral intervals for near-IR laboratory detection of water vapour continuum absorption\u00a0<\/b>
\nJ. Quant. Spectrosc. Radiat. Trans<\/span><\/i>\u00a0108:146-160
\nLink to abstract<\/a><\/p>\n

Shine KP, Berntsen TK, Fuglestvedt JS, Bieltvedt Skeie R, Stuber N 2007:\u00a0Comparing the climate effect of emissions of short- and long-lived climate agents<\/b>
\nPhil. Trans. R.Soc. A<\/span><\/i>\u00a0365:1903-1914, doi:10.1098\/rsta.2007.2050
\nLink to abstract<\/a><\/p>\n

Shine KP and Sturges WT 2007:\u00a0CO2<\/sub>\u00a0is not the only gas<\/b>
\nScience\u00a0<\/span><\/i>315:1804-1805, doi:10.1126\/science.1141677
\nLink to summary<\/a>
\nLink to full text<\/a><\/p>\n

Stuber N, Forster PM de F 2007:\u00a0The impact of diurnal variations of air traffic on contrail radiative forcing<\/b>
\nAtmos. Chem. Phys.<\/span><\/i>\u00a07:3153–3162
\nLink to full text<\/a><\/p>\n

Tompkins AM, Gierens K, and Radel G 2007:\u00a0Ice supersaturation in the ECMWF integrated forecast system\u00a0<\/b>
\nQ. J. R. Meteorol. Soc.\u00a0<\/span><\/i>133: 53-63
\nLink to Abstract<\/a><\/p>\n

Worton DE, Sturges WT, Gohar LK, Shine KP, Martinerie P, Oram DE, Humphrey SP, Begley P, Gunn L, Barnola JM, Schwander J and Mulvaney R 2007:\u00a0Atmospheric trends and radiative forcings of CF4<\/sub>\u00a0and C2<\/sub>F6<\/sub>\u00a0inferred from firn air<\/b>
\nEnviron.Sci.Technol.\u00a0<\/span><\/i>41:2184-2189 doi:10.1021\/es061710t
\nLink to abstract<\/a><\/p>\n

<\/a><\/p>\n

\n

Publications in 2006<\/b><\/p>\n

Butchart N, Scaife AA, Bourqui M, de Grandpre J, Hare SHE, Kettleborough J, Langematz U, Manzini E, Sassi F, Shibata K, Shindell D and Sigmond M 2006:\u00a0Simulations of anthropogenic change in the strength of the Brewer-Dobson circulation.<\/b>
\nClimate Dynamics\u00a0<\/span><\/i>27, 727-741
\nLink to abstract<\/a><\/p>\n

Casanova SEB, Shine KP, Gardiner T, Coleman M, Pegrum H 2006:\u00a0Assessment of the consistency of near-infrared water vapor line intensities using high spectral resolution ground-based Fourier-transform measurements of solar radiation<\/b>
\nJ. Geophys Res.,<\/span><\/i>111, D11302 doi 10.1029\/2005JD006583
\nLink to abstract<\/a><\/p>\n

Collins WD, Ramaswamy V, Schwarzkopf MD, Sun Y, Portmann RW Fu Q, Casanova SEB, Dufresne JL, Fillmore DW, Forster PMD, Galin VY, Gohar LK, Ingram WJ, Kratz DP, Lefebvre MP, Li J, Marquet P, Oinas V, Tsushima Y, Uchiyama T and Zhong WY 2006:\u00a0Radiative forcing by well-mixed greenhouse gases: Estimates from climate models in the IPCC AR4<\/b>
\nJ. Geophys. Res.\u00a0<\/span><\/i>111:D14317 doi:10.1029\/2005JD006713
\nLink to abstract<\/a><\/p>\n

Costa SMS and Shine KP 2006\u00a0An estimative of the global impact of multiple scattering by clouds on outgoing longwave radiation\u00a0<\/b>
\nQuart J R Met Soc.,<\/span><\/i>\u00a0132:885-895 doi:10.1256\/qj.05.169
\nLink to abstract<\/a><\/p>\n

Forster PMdeF, Shine KP, and Stuber N 2006:\u00a0It is premature to include non-CO2<\/sub>\u00a0effects of aviation in emission trading schemes\u00a0<\/b>
\nAtmospheric Environment\u00a0<\/span><\/i>40:1117-1121 doi 10.1016\/j.atmosenv.2005.11.005
\nLink to abstract.\u00a0<\/a>Important: See also\u00a0corrigendum<\/a><\/p>\n

Gauss M, Myhre G, Isaksen ISA, Grewe V, Pitari G, Wild O, Collins WJ, Dentener FJ, Ellingsen K, Gohar LK, Hauglustaine DA, Iachetti D, Lamarque J-F, Mancini E, Mickley LJ, Prather MJ, Pyle JA, Sanderson MG, Shine KP, Stevenson DS, Sudo K, Szopa S, and Zeng G 2006:Radiative forcing since preindustrial times due to ozone change in the troposphere and the lower stratosphere\u00a0<\/b>
\nAtmos. Chem. Phys.,<\/span><\/i>\u00a06, 575-599.
\nLink to abstract<\/a><\/p>\n

Robson JI, Gohar LK, Hurley MD, Shine KP and Wallington TJ 2006:\u00a0Revised IR spectrum, radiative efficiency and global warming potential of nitrogen trifluoride<\/b>
\nGeophys. Res. Lett.,<\/span><\/i>\u00a033:L10817 doi 10.10 29\/2006GL026210
\nLink to abstract<\/a><\/p>\n

Stuber N, Forster P, Radel G, and Shine KP 2006:\u00a0The importance of the diurnal and annual cycle of air traffic for contrail radiative forcing<\/b>
\nNature ,<\/span><\/i>\u00a0441:864-867 doi:10.1038\/nature04877
\nLink to abstract<\/a>
\n<\/a><\/p>\n

\n

Publications in 2005<\/b><\/p>\n

Berntsen TK, Fuglestvedt JS, Joshi MM, Shine KP, Stuber N, Ponater M, Sausen R, Hauglustaine DA, Li L 2005:\u00a0Response of climate to regional emissions of ozone precursors: sensitivities and warming potentials\u00a0<\/b>
\nTellus\u00a0<\/span><\/i>4: 283-304, doi:10.1111\/j.1600-0889.2005.00152.x
\nLink to abstract<\/a><\/p>\n

Bourqui_MS, Taylor CP, Shine KP 2005:\u00a0A new fast stratospheric ozone chemistry scheme in an intermediate general circulation model. Part II: Application to effects of future increases in greenhouse gases<\/b>
\nQuart J R Met Soc\u00a0<\/span><\/i>doi: 10.1256\/qj.04.19
\nLink to abstract<\/a><\/p>\n

Forster PMdeF, Collins M, 2004:\u00a0Quantifying the water vapour feedback associated with post-Pinatubo cooling\u00a0<\/b>
\nClimate Dynamics<\/span><\/i>\u00a023:207-214
\nLink to abstract<\/a><\/p>\n

Forster, P. M. de F., and M. Joshi 2005:\u00a0The role of halocarbons in the climate change of the troposphere and stratosphere\u00a0<\/b>
\nClimate Change<\/span><\/i>
\ndoi 10.1007\/s10584-005-5955-7
\nLink to abstract<\/a><\/p>\n

Hurley, M. D., T. J. Wallington, G. A. Buchanan, L. K. Gohar, G. Marston, and K. P. Shine, 2005:\u00a0IR spectrum and radiative forcing of CF4<\/sub>\u00a0revisitied.<\/b>
\nJ. Geophys. Res.<\/span><\/i>,110 D02102, 10.1029\/2004JD005201
\nLink to abstract<\/a><\/p>\n

Johnson BT, 2005:\u00a0The Semidirect Aerosol Effect: Comparison of a Single-Column Model with Large Eddy Simulation for Marine Stratocumulus\u00a0<\/b>
\nJournal of Climate<\/span><\/i>\u00a0doi: 10.1175\/JCLI-3233.1
\nLink to abstract<\/a><\/p>\n

Ptashnik IV, Smith KM, Shine KP, 2005:\u00a0Self-broadened line parameters for water vapour in the spectral region 5000-5600cm-1<\/sup>\u00a0<\/b>
\nJournal of Molecular Spectroscopy<\/span><\/i>232:186-201 doi:10.1016\/j.jms.2005.04.008
\nLink to abstract<\/a><\/p>\n

Shine KP, Berntsen TK, Fuglestvedt JS and Sausen R 2005:\u00a0Scientific issues in the design of metrics for inclusion of NOx in global climate agreements\u00a0<\/b>
\nProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences\u00a0<\/span><\/i>
\n232:186-201 doi 10.1073\/pnas.0506865102
\nLink to abstract<\/a><\/p>\n

Shine KP, Fuglestvedt JS, Hailemariam K, Stuber N, 2005:\u00a0Alternatives to the global warming potential for comparing climate impacts of emissions of greenhouse gases<\/b>
\nClimatic Change<\/span><\/i>\u00a068:281-302 doi:10.1007\/s10584-005-1146-9
\nLink to abstract<\/a><\/p>\n

Shine KP, Gohar LK, Hurley MD, Marston G, Martin D, Simmonds PG, Wallington TJ and Watkins M, 2005:\u00a0Perfluorodecalin: global warming potential and first detection in the atmosphere\u00a0<\/b>
\nAtmospheric Environment<\/span><\/i>\u00a039:1759-1763 doi:10.1016\/j.atmosenv.2005.01.001
\nLink to abstract<\/a><\/p>\n

Taylor CP, Bourqui_MS 2005:\u00a0A new fast stratospheric ozone chemistry scheme in an intermediate general circulation model. Part I: Description and evaluation\u00a0<\/b>
\nQuart J R Met Soc\u00a0<\/span><\/i>doi: 10.1256\/qj.04.18
\nLink to abstract<\/a><\/p>\n

<\/a><\/p>\n

\n

Publications in 2004<\/b><\/p>\n

Johnson BT, Shine KP, Forster PM, 2004:\u00a0The semi-direct aerosol effect: Impact of absorbing aerosols on marine stratocumulus<\/b>
\nQuart J Roy Met Soc\u00a0<\/span><\/i>130: 1407-1422
\nLink to abstract<\/a><\/p>\n

Gettelman A, Forster, PMD, Fujiwara M, Fu Q, Vomel H, Gohar LK, Johanson C, Ammerman M, 2004:\u00a0Radiation balance of the tropical tropopause layer\u00a0<\/b>
\nJ. Geophys. Res.\u00a0<\/span><\/i>109, D07103, 10.1029\/2003JD004190
\nLink to abstract<\/a><\/p>\n

Gohar LK, Myhre G, Shine KP, 2004:\u00a0Updated radiative forcing estimates of four halocarbons\u00a0<\/b>
\nJ. Geophys. Res.\u00a0<\/span><\/i>109, D01107, 10.1029\/2003JD004320
\nLink to abstract<\/a><\/p>\n

Forster PMdeF, Burkholder JB, Clerbaux C, Coheur PF, Dutta M, Gohar LK, Hurley MD, Myhre G, Portmann RW, Shine KP, Wallington TJ and Wuebbles D, 2004:\u00a0Resolving the uncertainties in the radiative forcing of HFC-134a\u00a0<\/b>
\nJ. Quant. Spectrosc. Radiat. Trans.<\/span><\/i>\u00a093:447-460 doi:10.10106\/j.jqsrt.2004.08.038
\nLink to abstract<\/a><\/p>\n

Ptashnik IV, Smith KM, Shine KP, Newnham DA, 2004:\u00a0Laboratory measurements of water vapour continuum absorption in spectral region 5000-5600cm\u00a0-1<\/sup>: Evidence for water dimers\u00a0<\/b>
\nQuart J Roy Met Soc<\/span><\/i>\u00a0130:2391-2408
\nLink to abstract<\/a>\u00a0(450 kb)<\/p>\n

Smith KM, Ptashnik I, Newnham DA, Shine KP, 2004:\u00a0Absorption by water vapour in the 1 to 2 \u00b5m region\u00a0<\/b>
\nJ. Quant. Spectrosc. Radiat. Trans.<\/span><\/i>, 83:735-749
\nLink to abstract<\/a><\/p>\n

<\/a><\/p>\n

\n

Publications in 2003<\/b><\/p>\n

Joshi MM, Shine KP, 2003:\u00a0A GCM study of volcanic eruptions as a cause of increased stratospheric water vapor\u00a0<\/b>
\nJournal of Climate<\/span><\/i>\u00a016:3525-3534
\nLink to abstract<\/a><\/p>\n

Joshi M, Shine K, Ponater M, Stuber N, Sausen R, Li L 2003:\u00a0A comparison of climate response to different radiative forcings in three general circulation models: towards an improved metric of climate change\u00a0<\/b>
\nClimate Dynamics<\/span><\/i>\u00a020:843-854
\nLink to abstract<\/a><\/p>\n

Ptashnik IV, Shine KP 2003:\u00a0Calculation of solar radiative fluxes in the atmosphere: The effect of the updates in spectroscopic data<\/b>
\nAtmos. Oceanic Opt.\u00a0<\/span><\/i>16: 251-255
\nClick here for an acrobat (.pdf) version<\/a>\u00a0(690 kb)<\/p>\n

Sexton DMN, Grubb H, Shine KP, Folland CK 2003:\u00a0Design and analysis of climate model experiments for the efficient estimation of anthropogenic signals<\/b>
\nJournal of Climate\u00a0<\/span><\/i>16: 1320-1336
\nLink to abstract<\/a><\/p>\n

Shine KP, Cook J, Highwood EJ, Joshi MM 2003:\u00a0Alternative to radiative forcing for estimating the relative importance of climate change mechanisms<\/b>
\nGeophys. Res. Lett.,<\/span><\/i>30, 2047 10.1029\/2003GL018141
\nLink to abstract<\/a><\/p>\n

Shine KP, Bourqui MS, Forster PMdeF, Hare SHE, Langematz U, Braesicke P, Grewe V, Ponater M, Schnadt C, Smith CA, Haigh JD, Austin J, Butchart N, Shindell DT, Randel WJ, Nagashima T, Portmann RW, Solomon S, Seidel DJ, Lanzante J, Klein S, Ramaswamy V, Schwarzkopf MD, 2003:\u00a0A comparison of model-simulated trends in stratospheric temperatures\u00a0<\/b>
\nQuart J Roy Met Soc\u00a0<\/span><\/i>129: 1565-1588
\nLink to abstract<\/a><\/p>\n

<\/a><\/p>\n

\n

Publications in 2002<\/b><\/p>\n

Berntsen TK, Fuglestvedt JS, Joshi MM, Shine KP, Ponater M, Sausen R and Hauglustaine D 2002:\u00a0Indirect forcings from emissions of NOx and CO: Is the location of emissions important?\u00a0<\/b>
\nNon-CO2<\/sub>\u00a0Greenhouse Gases: Scientific understanding, control options and policy aspects<\/span><\/i>Eds. J. Van Ham et al.,\u00a0Millpress (Rotterdam)\u00a0<\/i>pp 363-371<\/p>\n

Chagas JCS, Newnham DA, Smith KM, Shine KP 2002:\u00a0Impact of new measurements of oxygen collision-induced absorption on estimates of short-wave atmospheric absorption\u00a0<\/b>
\nQuart J Roy Met Soc\u00a0<\/span><\/i>128: 2377-2396
\nLink to abstract<\/a><\/p>\n

Gettelman A, Forster PM de F 2002:\u00a0Definition and climatology of the tropical tropopause layer\u00a0<\/b>
\nJ. Met. Soc. Japan<\/span><\/i>\u00a080: 911-924
\nLink to abstract<\/a><\/p>\n

Sausen R, Ponater M, Stuber N, Joshi M, Shine K and Li L 2002:\u00a0Climate response to inhomogenously distributed forcing agents\u00a0<\/b>
\nNon-CO2<\/sub>\u00a0Greenhouse Gases: Scientific understanding, control options and policy aspects<\/span><\/i>Eds. J. Van Ham et al.,\u00a0Millpress (Rotterdam)<\/i>\u00a0pp 377-383<\/p>\n

Myhre G, Jonson JE, Bartnicki J, Stordal F, Shine KP 2002:\u00a0Role of spatial and temporal variations in the computation of radiative forcing due to sulphate aerosols: A regional study\u00a0<\/b>
\nQuart J Roy Met Soc\u00a0<\/span><\/i>128: 973-989
\nLink to abstract<\/a><\/p>\n

Forster PM de F, Shine KP (2002):\u00a0Assessing the climate impact and its uncertainty for trends in stratospheric water vapor\u00a0<\/b>
\nGeophys. Res. Lett.<\/span><\/i>\u00a029: 10.1029\/2001GL013909
\nLink to abstract<\/a><\/p>\n

Nielsen OJ, Nicolaisen FM, Bacher C, Hurley MD, Wallington TJ, Shine KP 2002:\u00a0Infrared spectrum and global warming potential of SF5<\/sub>CF3<\/sub>\u00a0<\/b>
\nAtmospheric Environment<\/span><\/i>\u00a036:1237-1240\u00a0
\nLink to abstract<\/a><\/p>\n

Shine KP 2002:\u00a0Atmospheric ozone and climate change\u00a0<\/b>
\nOzone: Science and Engineering.<\/span><\/i>\u00a023:429-435\u00a0
\nLink to abstract<\/a><\/p>\n

Shine, KP and EJ Highwood 2002:\u00a0Problems in quantifying natural and anthropogenic perturbations to the Earth’s energy balance\u00a0<\/b>
\n“Meteorology at the Millenium”\u00a0<\/span><\/i>Ed: RP Pearce,\u00a0Academic<\/i>\u00a0pp 123-132\u00a0
\nLink to Amazon!<\/a><\/p>\n

<\/a><\/p>\n

\n

Publications in 2000-2001<\/b><\/p>\n

Forster PM de F, Tourpali K 2001:\u00a0The effect of tropopause height changes on the calculation of ozone trends and their radiative forcing\u00a0<\/b>
\nJ. Geophys. Res.\u00a0<\/span><\/i>106: 12241-12252\u00a0
\nLink to abstract<\/a><\/p>\n

Forster PM de F, Ponater M, Zhong W 2001:\u00a0Testing broadband radiation schemes for their ability to calculate the radiative forcing and temperature response to stratospheric water vapour and ozone changes\u00a0<\/b>
\nMeteorol Z.\u00a0<\/span><\/i>10: 387-393\u00a0
\nLink to abstract<\/a><\/p>\n

Sihra, K, Hurley MD, Shine KP, Wallington TJ 2001:\u00a0Updated radiative forcing estimates of sixty-five halocarbons and non-methane hydrocarbons\u00a0<\/b>
\nJ Geophys Res\u00a0<\/span><\/i>106: 20493-20506.
\nLink to abstract<\/a><\/p>\n

Chagas JCS, Newnham DA, Smith KM, Shine KP 2001:\u00a0Effects of improvements in near-infared water vapour line intensities on short-wave atmospheric absorption\u00a0<\/b>
\nGeophys Res Lett\u00a0<\/span><\/i>28: 2401-2402
\nLink to abstract<\/a><\/p>\n

Rosier SM, Shine KP 2000:\u00a0The effect of two decades of ozone change on stratospheric temperatures as indicated by a general circulation model\u00a0<\/b>
\nGeophys Res Lett<\/span><\/i>\u00a027:2617-2620\u00a0
\nLink to abstract<\/a><\/p>\n

Sturges WT, Wallington TJ, Hurley MD, Shine KP, Sihra K, Engel A, Oram DE, Penkett SA, Mulvaney R, Brenninkmeijer CAM 2000:\u00a0A potent greenhouse gas identified in the atmosphere: SF5<\/sub>CF3<\/sub>\u00a0<\/b>
\nScience<\/span><\/i>\u00a0289:611-613\u00a0
\nLink to abstract<\/a><\/p>\n

Shine KP, 2000:\u00a0Radiative forcing and climate change<\/b>\u00a0
\nSpace Science Reviews\u00a0<\/span><\/i>94:363-373\u00a0
\nLink to abstract<\/a><\/p>\n

Ballard J, Knight RJ, Newnham DA, Auwera JV, Herman M, Lonardo GD, Masciarelli G, Nicolaisen FM, Beukes JA, Christensen LK, McPheat R, Duxbury G, Freckleton R, Shine KP 2000:\u00a0An intercomparison of laboratory measurements of absorption cross sections and integrated absorption intensities for HCFC-22\u00a0<\/b>
\nJ Quant Spectrosc Radiat Transf<\/span><\/i>\u00a066: 109-128\u00a0
\nLink to abstract<\/a><\/p>\n

Forster PMdeF, Blackburn M, Glover R, Shine KP 2000:\u00a0An examination of climate sensitivity for idealised climate change experiments in an intermediate general circulation model<\/b>\u00a0
\nClimate Dynamics<\/span><\/i>\u00a016:833-849<\/p>\n

Highwood E, Shine KP 2000:\u00a0Radiative forcing and global warming potentials of 11 halogenated compounds.<\/b>\u00a0
\nJ Quant Spectrosc Radiat Transf<\/span><\/i>\u00a066:169-183<\/p>\n

<\/a><\/p>\n

\n

Publications in 1998-1999<\/b><\/p>\n

Allan RP, Shine KP, Slingo A, Pamment JA 1999:\u00a0The dependence of clear-sky outgoing longwave radiation on surface temperature and height dependent changes in relative humidity\u00a0<\/b>
\nQuart J Roy Meteorol Soc<\/span><\/i>\u00a0125:2103-2126<\/p>\n

Forster PMdeF 1999:\u00a0Radiative forcing due to stratospheric ozone changes 1979-1997, using updated trend estimates\u00a0<\/b>
\nJ Geophys Res<\/span><\/i>\u00a0104:24395-24399<\/p>\n

Forster PMdeF, Shine KP 1999:\u00a0Stratospheric water vapour changes as a possible contributor to observed stratospheric cooling\u00a0<\/b>
\nGeophys Res Lett<\/span><\/i>\u00a026:3309-3312<\/p>\n

Highwood E, Shine KP, Hurley MD, Wallington TJ 1999:\u00a0Estimation of direct radiative forcing due to non-methane hydrocarbons\u00a0<\/b>
\nAtmos. Env.<\/span><\/i>\u00a033:759-767<\/p>\n

Sabziparvar AA, Shine KP, Forster PMdeF 1999:\u00a0A model derived global climatology of ultraviolet irradiance at the Earth’s surface\u00a0<\/b>
\nPhotochem. PhotoBiol<\/span><\/i>\u00a069:193-202<\/p>\n

Shine KP, Forster PMdeF 1999:\u00a0The effect of human activity on radiative forcing of climate change: a review of recent developments\u00a0<\/b>
\nGlobal and Planetary Change<\/span><\/i>\u00a020:205-225<\/p>\n

Freckleton RS, Highwood EJ, Shine KP,Wild O, Law KS, Sanderson MG 1998:\u00a0Greenhouse gas radiative forcing: effects of averaging and inhomogeneities in trace gas distribution\u00a0<\/b>
\nQuart J Royal Meteorol Soc<\/span><\/i>\u00a0124:2099-2127<\/p>\n

Myhre G, Highwood EJ, Shine KP, Stordal F 1998:\u00a0New estimates of radiative forcing due to well-mixed greenhouse gases\u00a0<\/b>
\nGeophys Res Lett<\/span><\/i>\u00a025:2715-2718<\/p>\n

Pinnock S, Shine KP 1998:\u00a0The effects of changes in HITRAN and uncertainties in the spectroscopy of infrared irradiance calculations\u00a0<\/b>
\nJ Atmos Sci<\/span><\/i>\u00a055:1950-1964<\/p>\n

Sabziparvar AA, Forster PMdeF, Shine KP 1998:\u00a0Changes in ultraviolet radiation due to stratospheric and tropospheric ozone changes since pre-industrial times\u00a0<\/b>
\nJ Geophys Res<\/span><\/i>\u00a0103:26107-26113<\/p>\n

Shine KP, Freckleton RS, Forster PMdeF 1998:\u00a0Comment on “Climate forcing by stratospheric ozone depletion calculated from observed temperature trends”<\/b>\u00a0
\nGeophys Res Lett<\/span><\/i>. 25:663-664<\/p>\n

Stevenson DS, Johnson CE, Collins WJ, Derwent RG, Shine KP, Edwards JM 1998:\u00a0Evolution of tropospheric ozone radiative forcing\u00a0<\/b>
\nGeophys Res Lett<\/i><\/span>\u00a025:3819-3822<\/p>\n

<\/a><\/p>\n

\n

Selected Publications before 1998<\/b><\/p>\n

Berntsen T, Isaksen ISA, Fuglesvedt JS, Myhre G, Stordal F, Larsen, TA, Freckleton RS, Shine KP 1997:\u00a0Effects of anthropogenic emissions on tropospheric ozone and radiative forcing\u00a0<\/b>
\nJ.Geophys Res<\/span><\/i>\u00a0102:28101-28126\u00a0
\nLink to abstract<\/a><\/p>\n

Christidis N, Hurley MD, Pinnock S, Shine KP, Wallington TJ 1997:\u00a0Further calculations of the radiative forcing of CFC-11 and possible fluorocarbon replacements to the CFCs\u00a0<\/b>
\nJ Geophys Res<\/span><\/i>\u00a0<\/span>102:19597-19609\u00a0
\nLink to abstract<\/a><\/p>\n

Forster PMdeF, Shine KP 1997:\u00a0Radiative forcing and temperature trends from stratospheric ozone depletion\u00a0<\/b>
\nJ Geophys Res\u00a0<\/span><\/i>102:10841-10855\u00a0
\nLink to abstract<\/a><\/p>\n

Forster PMdeF, Freckleton RS, Shine KP 1997:\u00a0On the concept of radiative forcing\u00a0<\/b>
\nClimate Dynamics\u00a0<\/span><\/i>13:547-560<\/p>\n

Haywood JM, Roberts DL, Slingo A, Edwards JM, Shine KP 1997:\u00a0Global circulation model calculations of the radiative forcing of anthropogenic sulphate and soot aerosol<\/b>\u00a0
\nJ Climate\u00a0<\/span><\/i>10:1562-1577<\/p>\n

Haywood JM, Shine KP 1997:\u00a0Multi-spectral calculations of the radiative forcing of tropospheric sulphate and soot aerosols using a column model\u00a0<\/b>
\nQuart J Royal Meteorol Soc\u00a0<\/span><\/i>123:1907-1931<\/p>\n

Pinnock S, Hurley MD, Shine KP, Wallington TJ, Smyth TJ 1995:\u00a0Radiative forcing of climate by hydrochlorofluorocarbons and hydrofluorocarbons\u00a0<\/b>.
\nJ Geophys Res\u00a0<\/span><\/i>100:23227-23238\u00a0
\nLink to abstract<\/a><\/p>\n

Haywood JM, Shine KP 1995:\u00a0The effect of anthropogenic sulfate and soot aerosol on the clear sky planetary radiation budget\u00a0<\/b>.\u00a0
\nGeophys Res Lett\u00a0<\/span><\/i>22:603-606<\/p>\n

Sun Z, Shine KP 1994:\u00a0Studies of the radiative properties of ice and mixed phase clouds\u00a0<\/b>.\u00a0
\nQ J R Meteorol Soc\u00a0<\/span><\/i>120:111-137<\/p>\n

Shine KP, Crane RG 1984:\u00a0The sensitivity of a one-dimensional thermodynamic sea-ice model to changes in cloudiness\u00a0<\/b>.
\nJ Geophys Res\u00a0<\/span><\/i>89:10615-10622\u00a0
\nLink to abstract<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Our publications A list of our refereed publications going back to 1998, with selected publications before then. If you have problems accessing any of these papers, please contact\u00a0Keith Shine\u00a0. 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