Recent publications

Showing publications by group members since January 2024

The full publication archive may be found here.

Bharati, Priya, Deb, Pranab, Hunt, Kieran M.R., (2024) PDO-driven interdecadal variability of snowfall over the Karakoram and Western Himalaya. Weather and Climate Dynamics, doi: https://dx.doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2845 (In Press)
Swaminathan, Ranjini, Schewe, Jacob, Walton, Jeremy, Zimmermann, Klaus, Jones, Colin, Betts, Richard, Burton, Chantelle, Jones, Chris, Mengel, Matthias, Reyer, Christopher, Turner, Andy, Weigel, Katja, (2024) Regional impacts poorly constrained by climate sensitivity. Earth's Future, 12 (12). doi: https://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2024EF004901
Black, Emily, Ellis, John, Maidment, Ross I., (2024) A computationally lightweight model for ensemble forecasting of environmental hazards: General TAMSAT-ALERT v1.2.1. Geoscientific Model Development, 17 (22). pp. 8353-8372. doi: https://dx.doi.org/10.5194/gmd-17-8353-2024
Crook, Julia, Hardy, Sam, Methven, John, Schwendike, Juliane, Yik, Diong Jeong, Yang, Gui-Ying, (2024) The structure of Borneo vortices and their relationship with cold surges, the Madden–Julian oscillation and equatorial waves. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, doi: https://dx.doi.org/10.1002/qj.4905
Cheng, Yifeng, Wang, Lu, Chen, Xiaolong, Zhou, Tianjun, Turner, Andy, Wang, Lijuan, (2024) Constrained projections indicate less delay in onset of summer monsoon over the Bay of Bengal and South China Sea. Geophysical Research Letters, 51 (21).
Monerie, Paul-Arthur, Dong, Buwen, Sun, Weiwen, Zhang, Lixia, (2024) The profound influence of the North Atlantic Ocean on Northeast Asia: a comprehensive multi-model study. Atmospheric Science Letters, doi: https://dx.doi.org/10.1002/asl.1280
Douville, Hervé, Allan, Richard P., Arias, Paola A., Fisher, Rosie A., (2024) Call for caution regarding the efficacy of large-scale afforestation and its hydrological effects. Science of the Total Environment, 950 doi: https://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.175299
Hunt, Kieran, Baudouin, Jean-Philippe, Turner, Andy, Dimri, A P, Jellani, Ghulam, Pooja, -, Chattopadhyay, Rajib, Cannon, Forest, Arulalan, T, Shekhar, M S, Sabin, T P, Palazzi, Eliza, (2024) Western disturbances and climate variability: a review of recent developments. Weather and Climate Dynamics, (In Press)
Hunt, Kieran, Harrison, Sandy, (2024) A novel explainable deep learning framework for reconstructing South Asian palaeomonsoons. Climate of the Past, (In Press)
Rodell, Matthew, Barnoud, Anne, Robertson, Franklin R., Allan, Richard P., Bellas-Manley, Ashley, Bosilovich, Michael G., Chambers, Don, Landerer, Felix, Loomis, Bryant, Nerem, R. Steven, O’Neill, Mary Michael, Wiese, David, Seneviratne, Sonia I., (2024) An abrupt decline in global terrestrial water storage and its relationship with sea level change. Surveys in Geophysics, doi: https://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10712-024-09860-w
Dijkstra, Isa J, Bloomfield, Hannah C, Hunt, Kieran, (2024) Identifying weather patterns responsible for renewable energy droughts over India. Advances in Geosciences (ADGEO), (In Press)
Yin, Zejiang, Dong, Buwen, Yang, Song, Wei, Wei, (2024) Soil moisture–atmosphere coupling amplifies the change in extreme heat in inner East Asia under rapid summer warming. Environmental Research Letters, doi: https://dx.doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ad95a1 (In Press)
Xie, Jinhui, Hsu, Pang-Chi, Lee, June-Yi, Wang, Lu, Turner, Andy, (2024) Tropical intraseasonal oscillations as key driver and source of predictability for the 2022 Pakistan record-breaking rainfall event. npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, (In Press)
Gu, Jian-Feng, Plant, Robert S., Holloway, Christopher E., (2024) Connections between sub-cloud coherent updrafts and the life cycle of maritime shallow cumulus clouds in large eddy simulation. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 16 (10). doi: https://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2023MS003986
Deoras, Akshay, Turner, Andrew G., Volonté, Ambrogio, Menon, Arathy, (2024) The role of midlatitude dry air during the withdrawal of the Indian summer monsoon. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, doi: https://dx.doi.org/10.1002/qj.4859
Qian, Shengyi, Hu, Haibo, Hodges, Kevin I., Yang, Xiu-Qun, Song, Tangxuan, (2024) Synergistic forcing of the troposphere and stratosphere on explosively developing cyclones over the North Pacific during the cold season. Geophysical Research Letters, 51 (17). doi: https://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2024GL110069
Gudoshava, Masilin, Nyinguro, Patricia, Talib, Joshua, Wainwright, Caroline, Mwanthi, Anthony, Hirons, Linda, de Andrade, Felipe, Mutemi, Joseph, Gitau, Wilson, Thompson, Elisabeth, Gacheru, Jemima, Marsham, John, Endris, Hussen Seid, Woolnough, Steven, Segele, Zewdu, Atheru, Zachary, Artan, Guleid, (2024) Drivers of sub-seasonal extreme rainfall and their representation in ECMWF forecasts during the Eastern African March-to-May seasons of 2018 to 2020. Meteorological Applications, 31 (5). doi: https://dx.doi.org/10.1002/met.70000
Hu, Kai, Feng, Xinyan, Zhang, Qi, Shao, Pengfei, Liu, Ziran, Xu, Yao, Wang, Shiqian, Wang, Yuanyuan, Wang, Han, Di, Li, Xia, Min, (2024) Review of satellite remote sensing of carbon dioxide inversion and assimilation. Remote Sensing, 16 (18). doi: https://dx.doi.org/10.3390/rs16183394
Wang, Kaixi, Zheng, Zhiyuan, Zhu, Xian, Dong, Wenjie, Tett, Simon F. B., Dong, Buwen, Zhang, Wenxia, Lott, Fraser C., Bu, Lulei, Wang, Yumiao, Li, Huixin, Nading, Nergui, Freychet, Nicolas, Wang, Dongqian, Qiao, Shaobo, (2024) Anthropogenic influences on the extremely dry and hot summer of 2020 in Southern China and projected changes in the likelihood of the event. Weather and Climate Extremes, 45 doi: https://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.wace.2024.100706
Yin, Zejiang, Dong, Buwen, Wei, Wei, Yang, Song, (2024) Anthropogenic impacts on amplified midlatitude European summer warming and rapid increase of heatwaves in recent decades. Geophysical Research Letters, 51 (16). doi: https://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2024GL108982
Feng, Xiangbo, (2024) Translation speed slowdown and poleward migration of western North Pacific tropical cyclones. npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 7 doi: https://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41612-024-00748-5
Kolstad, Erik W., Parker, Douglas J., MacLeod, David A., Wainwright, Caroline M., Hirons, Linda C., (2024) Beyond the regional average: drivers of geographical rainfall variability during East Africa's short rains. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, doi: https://dx.doi.org/10.1002/qj.4829
John, V. O., Shi, L., Chung, E. -S., Allan, R. P., Buehler, S. A., Soden, B. J., (2024) Upper tropospheric humidity [in “State of the Climate in 2023”]. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 105 (8). pp. S59-S60. doi: https://dx.doi.org/10.1175/2024BAMSStateoftheClimate.1
Bharati, Priya, Deb, Pranab, Hunt, Kieran, Orr, Andrew, Dash, Mihir Kumar, (2024) ENSO-induced latitudinal variation of the subtropical jet modulates extreme winter precipitation over the Western Himalaya. Advances in Atmospheric Sciences, (In Press)
Ng, Kelvin S., Leckebusch, Gregor C., Hodges, Kevin I., (2024) Improvement of decadal predictions of monthly extreme Mei-yu rainfall via a causality guided approach. Environmental Research: Climate, (In Press)
Swaminathan, Ranjini, Quaife, Tristan, Allan, Richard, (2024) A machine learning framework to evaluate vegetation modeling in Earth system models. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 16 (7). doi: https://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2023MS004097
Layton-Matthews, Kate, Erikstad, Kjell E., Sandvik, Hanno, Ballesteros, Manuel, Hodges, Kevin, Mesquita, Michael d.S., Reiertsen, Tone K., Yoccoz, Nigel G., Bustnes, Jan Ove, (2024) Path analysis reveals combined winter climate and pollution effects on the survival of a marine top predator. Journal of Animal Ecology, (In Press)
Xie, Yuanyu, Zhou, Mi, Hunt, Kieran M. R., Mauzerall, Denise L., (2024) Recent improvements in PM_2.5 air quality in India benefited from meteorological variation. Nature Sustainability, doi: https://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41893-024-01366-y
Lin, Shuheng, Dong, Buwen, Yang, Song, Zhang, Tuantuan, (2024) Diverse impacts of the Indian summer monsoon on ENSO among CMIP6 models and its possible causes. Environmental Research Letters, 45 (In Press)
Delfino, R. J., Hodges, Kevin, Vidale, Pier Luigi, Bagtasa, G., (2024) Sensitivity of Philippine historically damaging tropical cyclone events to surface and atmospheric temperature forcings. Regional Studies in Marine Science, doi: https://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.rsma.2024.103595 (In Press)
Pinheiro, Henri Rossi, Hodges, Kevin Ivan, Gan, Manoel Alonso, (2024) Exploring the vertical extent and deepening mechanisms of cut-off lows in the Southern Hemisphere: insights from eddy kinetic energy analysis. Weather and Climate Dynamics, (In Press)
Loeb, Norman G., Ham, Seung-Hee, Allan, Richard P., Thorsen, Tyler J., Meyssignac, Benoit, Kato, Seiji, Johnson, Gregory C., Lyman, John M., (2024) Observational assessment of changes in Earth's energy imbalance since 2000. Surveys in Geophysics, doi: https://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10712-024-09838-8
Emerton, R., Hodges, K. I., Stephens, E., Amelie, V., Mustafa, M., Rakotomavo, Z., Coughlan de Perez, E., Magnusson, L., Vidale, P.-L., (2024) How well can global ensemble forecasts predict tropical cyclones in the southwest Indian Ocean?. Meteorological Applications, 31 (3). doi: https://dx.doi.org/10.1002/met.2195
Hunt, Kieran M. R., Bloomfield, Hannah C., (2024) Quantifying renewable energy potential and realised capacity in India: opportunities and challenges. Meteorological Applications, 31 (3). doi: https://dx.doi.org/10.1002/met.2196
Monerie, Paul-Arthur, Chadwick, Robin, Wilcox, Laura J., Turner, Andrew G., (2024) An uncertain future change in aridity over the tropics. Environmental Research Letters, 19 (5). doi: https://dx.doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ad42b8
de Andrade, Felipe M., Hirons, Linda C., Woolnough, Steven J., (2024) Skill assessment and sources of predictability for the leading modes of sub-seasonal Eastern Africa short rains variability. Climate Dynamics, doi: https://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-024-07244-9
Vessey, Alexander F., Hodges, Kevin I., Shaffrey, Len C., Day, Jonathan J., (2024) The risk of synoptic-scale Arctic cyclones to shipping. Natural Hazards and Earth System Science, (In Press)
Chen, Ying, Haywood, Jim, Wang, Yu, Malavelle, Florent, Jordan, George, Peace, Amy, Partridge, Daniel G., Cho, Nayeong, Oreopoulos, Lazaros, Grosvenor, Daniel, Field, Paul, Allan, Richard P., Lohmann, Ulrike, (2024) Substantial cooling effect from aerosol-induced increase in tropical marine cloud cover. Nature Geoscience, doi: https://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41561-024-01427-z
Allan, David, Allan, Richard P., (2024) Odden ice melt linked to Labrador Sea ice expansions and the Great Salinity Anomalies of 1970–1995. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 129 (4). doi: https://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2023JC019988
Galea, Daniel, Hodges, Kevin, Lawrence, Bryan N., (2024) Investigating differences between Tropical cyclone detection systems. Artificial Intelligence for the Earth Systems, 3 (2). doi: https://dx.doi.org/10.1175/AIES-D-22-0046.1
Lamptey, Benjamin, Abded, Salah Sahabi, Gudoshava, Masilin, Mutemi, Joseph, Bopape, Mary-Jane, Adefisan, Elijah Adesanya, Igri, Moudi Pascal, Seidou Sanda, Ibrak, Ndiaye, Ousmane, Parker, Douglas J., Dougill, Andy, Fink, Andreas, Knippertz, Peter, Woolnough, Steven, Kolstad, Erik, (2024) Challenges and ways forward for sustainable weather and climate services in Africa. Nature Communications, Nature Communications. 15 (1). doi: https://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41467-024-46742-6
Hunt, Kieran M. R., (2024) Increasing frequency and lengthening season of western disturbances is linked to increasing strength and delayed northward migration of the subtropical jet. Weather and Climate Dynamics, 5 (1). pp. 345-356. doi: https://dx.doi.org/10.5194/wcd-5-345-2024
Black, Emily, Boult, Victoria, Hirons, Linda, Woolnough, Steven, (2024) The potential value of seasonal drought forecasts in the context of climate change: a case study of the African elephant conservation sector. Meteorological Applications, 31 (2). doi: https://dx.doi.org/10.1002/met.2190
Luterbacher, Jürg, Allan, Rob, Wilkinson, Clive, Hawkins, Ed, Teleti, Praveen, Lorrey, Andrew, Brönnimann, Stefan, Hechler, Peer, Velikou, Kondylia, Xoplaki, Elena, (2024) The importance and scientific value of long weather and climate records; examples of historical marine data efforts across the globe. Climate, 12 (3). doi: https://dx.doi.org/10.3390/cli12030039
Crook, Julia, Morris, Fran, Fitzpatrick, Rory Gordon John, Peatman, Simon C., Schwendike, Juliane, Stein, Thorwald H., Birch, Cathryn E., Hardy, Sam, Yang, Gui-Ying, (2024) Impact of the Madden–Julian oscillation and equatorial waves on tracked mesoscale convective systems over southeast Asia. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, doi: https://dx.doi.org/10.1002/qj.4667
Peng, Yi, Guo, Yi-Peng, Zhao, Jiuwei, Tan, Zhe-Min, Chen, Xu, Feng, Xiangbo, (2024) Tropical cyclogenesis bias over the central North Pacific in CMIP6 simulations. Journal of Climate, doi: https://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-23-0224.1
Black, Emily, (2024) Global change in agricultural flash drought over the 21st century. Advances in Atmospheric Sciences, 41 (2). pp. 209-220. doi: https://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00376-023-2366-5
Nischal, S., Attada, Raju, Hunt, Kieran M.R., Barlow, Mathew, (2024) Underlying physical mechanisms of winter precipitation extremes over India’s high mountain region. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, doi: https://dx.doi.org/10.1002/qj.4661
Sheng, Bosi, Dong, Buwen, Wang, Haolin, Zhang, Mingming, Lin, Shuheng, Si, Peng, Lott, Fraser C., Li, Qingxiang, (2024) Anthropogenic influences on extremely persistent seasonal precipitation in Southern China during May–June 2022. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 105 (2). pp. 425-431. doi: https://dx.doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-23-0137.1
Su, Qin, Dong, Buwen, Tian, Fangxing, Klingaman, Nicholas P., (2024) Anthropogenic influence on decadal changes of concurrent hot and dry events over China around the mid-1990s. Advances in Atmospheric Sciences, 41 (2). pp. 233-246. doi: https://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00376-023-2319-z
Lin, Shuheng, Dong, Buwen, Yang, Song, (2024) Enhanced impacts of ENSO on the Southeast Asian summer monsoon under global warming and associated mechanisms. Geophysical Research Letters, 51 (2). doi: https://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2023GL106437
Xiu, Zhi‐Feng, Ma, Yu‐Zhang, Zhang, Qing‐He, Xing, Zan‐Yang, Zhang, Shun‐Rong, Zhang, Yong‐Liang, Oksavik, Kjellmar, Lyons, Larry, Lockwood, Michael, Wang, Yong, (2024) Direct observation of the space hurricane disturbed polar thermosphere. Geophysical Research Letters, 51 (1). doi: https://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2023gl106735
Lin, Shuheng, Dong, Buwen, Yang, Song, He, Shan, Hu, Yamin, (2024) Causes of diverse impacts of ENSO on the Southeast Asian summer monsoon among CMIP6 models. Journal of Climate, 37 (2). pp. 419-438. doi: https://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-23-0303.1
Lavender, S. L., Stirling, A. J., Whitall, M., Stratton, R., Daleu, Chimene, Plant, Robert S., Lock, A., Gu, Jian-Feng, (2024) The use of idealised experiments in testing a new convective parameterization: performance of CoMorph-A. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, (In Press)
Shi, Jian, Feng, Xiangbo, Toumi, Ralf, Zhang, Chi, Hodges, Kevin I., Tao, Aifeng, Zhang, Wei, Zheng, Jinhai, (2024) Global increase in tropical cyclone ocean surface waves. Nature Communications, 15 doi: https://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41467-023-43532-4
Gu, Yan, Cheng, Feng, Yang, Lijie, Xu, Junhui, Chen, Xiaomin, Cheng, Long, (2024) Cost-aware cloud workflow scheduling using DRL and simulated annealing. Digital Communications and Networks, doi: https://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.dcan.2023.12.009
Wolf, G., Ferrett, S., Methven, J., Frame, T. H. A., Holloway, C. E., Martinez-Alvarado, O., Woolnough, S. J., (2024) Comparison of probabilistic forecasts of extreme precipitation for a global and convection-permitting ensemble and hybrid statistical-dynamical method based on equatorial wave information. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, doi: https://dx.doi.org/10.1002/qj.4627