Skip to main content

Department of Meteorology – University of Reading

Show access keys

Dr. Caroline Wainwright

Postdoctoral Research Assistant

Please note, until 2019 I worked under the name of Caroline Dunning.

For more information on my research please see my personal website.

Research Interests:

  • East African climate
  • West African Monsoon
  • Rainfall seasonality
  • Climate variability and change
  • User-relevant metrics

Research Projects:

  • HyCristal: Integrating Hydro-Climate Science into Policy Decisions for Climate-Resilient Infrastructure and Livelihoods in East Africa
  • Mars Cocoa and Climate Change
  • GCRF African SWIFT: Science for Weather Information and Forecasting Techniques



Wainwright, C.M., Finney, D.L., Kilavi, M., Black, E., and Marsham, J.H. (2020) Extreme rainfall in East Africa October 2019–January 2020 and context under future climate change, Weather,

Monerie, P., Wainwright, C.M., Sidibe, M. and Akinsanola, A.A. (2020) Model uncertainties in climate change impacts on Sahel precipitation in ensembles of CMIP5 and CMIP6 simulations, Climate Dynamics,

Wainwright, C.M., Hirons, L.C., Klingaman, N.P., Allan, R.P., Black, E., and Turner, A.G. (2019) The impact of air–sea coupling and ocean biases on the seasonal cycle of southern West African precipitation, Climate Dynamics,

Wainwright, C.M., Marsham, J.H., Keane, R.J., Rowell, D.P., Finney, D.L. Black, E., and Allan, R.P. (2019) ‘Eastern African Paradox’ rainfall decline due to shorter not less intense Long Rains, npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 2, 34,

Dunning, C.M., Black, E. and Allan, R.P. (2018) Later Wet Seasons with More Intense Rainfall over Africa under Future Climate Change, Journal of Climate, 31, 9719–9738, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-18-0102.1 | Press Release

Dunning, C.M., Allan, R.P. and Black, E. (2017) Identification of deficiencies in seasonal rainfall simulated by CMIP5 climate models, Environmental Research Letters, 12(11), 114001, doi:10.1088/1748-9326/aa869e | Blog

Dunning, C.M., E Black, and R.P. Allan (2016) The onset and cessation of seasonal rainfall over Africa. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 121 11,405-11,424, doi: 10.1002/2016JD025428 | Blog

Dunning, C. M., Turner, A. G., & Brayshaw, D. J. (2015). The impact of monsoon intraseasonal variability on renewable power generation in India. Environmental Research Letters, 10(6), 064002 doi:10.1088/1748-9326/10/6/064002.

Kolusu, S. R., Marsham, J. H., Mulcahy, J., Johnson, B., Dunning, C., Bush, M., & Spracklen, D. V. (2015). Impacts of Amazonia biomass burning aerosols assessed from short-range weather forecasts. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 15(21), 12251-12266, doi:10.5194/acp-15-12251-2015.

Gray, S. L., Dunning, C. M., Methven, J., Masato, G., & Chagnon, J. M. (2014). Systematic model forecast error in Rossby wave structure. Geophysical Research Letters, 41(8), 2979-2987, doi: 10.1002/2014GL059282.

Last update: 5th October 2020



Met 3L61 -



We use Javascript to improve your experience on, but it looks like yours is turned off. Everything will still work, but it is even more beautiful with Javascript in action. Find out more about why and how to turn it back on here.
We also use cookies to improve your time on the site, for more information please see our cookie policy.

Back to top