{"id":399,"date":"2019-03-18T12:31:56","date_gmt":"2019-03-18T12:31:56","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/research.reading.ac.uk\/palaeoclimate\/?p=399"},"modified":"2019-03-26T15:55:13","modified_gmt":"2019-03-26T15:55:13","slug":"firemip-sensitivity-experiments-by-sandy-harrison","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/research.reading.ac.uk\/palaeoclimate\/firemip-sensitivity-experiments-by-sandy-harrison\/","title":{"rendered":"FireMIP Sensitivity Experiments. By Sandy Harrison"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>It is very exciting to see that the FireMIP paper on the sensitivity of burnt area to environmental and anthropogenic controls, led by Lina Teckentrup, is now out in Biogeosciences Discussions (<a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.5194\/bg-2019-42\">https:\/\/doi.org\/10.5194\/bg-2019-42<\/a>). In this paper, the FireMIP group has analysed historical outputs from seven state-of-the-art fire models to understand how differences in models translate into differences in simulated fire regimes. The sensitivity experiments isolate the impact of the individual drivers of fire, including atmospheric CO<sub>2<\/sub>, population density, land-use change, lightning and climate. These analyses show that the major causes of diverging trajectories between models are related first to the way anthropogenic ignitions and suppression are treated in individual models, and second to the effects of land-use on vegetation and fire. These analyses also show that there is a strong influence of climate on the inter-annual variability in burned area, and this implies that we need to improve the simulation of climate-induced changes in biomass accumulation and fuel properties in order to capture extremes in fire behavior better. This paper helps to highlight which areas we urgently need to focus on in developing a new fire model as part of the work of the Leverhulme Centre on Wildfires.<\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_401\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-401\" style=\"width: 871px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-401 size-full\" style=\"letter-spacing: 0.08px\" src=\"https:\/\/research.reading.ac.uk\/palaeoclimate\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/78\/Unorganized\/FireMIP-sensitivity-figure.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"871\" height=\"571\" srcset=\"https:\/\/research.reading.ac.uk\/palaeoclimate\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/78\/Unorganized\/FireMIP-sensitivity-figure.png 871w, https:\/\/research.reading.ac.uk\/palaeoclimate\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/78\/Unorganized\/FireMIP-sensitivity-figure-300x197.png 300w, https:\/\/research.reading.ac.uk\/palaeoclimate\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/78\/Unorganized\/FireMIP-sensitivity-figure-768x503.png 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 871px) 100vw, 871px\" \/><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-401\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Relative difference in annual global burned area (\u0394BA) in % across 1900 to 2013 between the baseline experiment SF1 and the sensitivity experiments SF2_CO2 (a), SF2_FPO (b), SF2_FLA (c), SF2_FLI (d) and (e) (see publication for details). Note that the y-axis range differs between the panels.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>It is very exciting to see that the FireMIP paper on the sensitivity of burnt area to environmental and anthropogenic controls, led by Lina Teckentrup, is now out in Biogeosciences&#8230;<a class=\"read-more\" href=\"&#104;&#116;&#116;&#112;&#115;&#58;&#47;&#47;&#114;&#101;&#115;&#101;&#97;&#114;&#99;&#104;&#46;&#114;&#101;&#97;&#100;&#105;&#110;&#103;&#46;&#97;&#99;&#46;&#117;&#107;&#47;&#112;&#97;&#108;&#97;&#101;&#111;&#99;&#108;&#105;&#109;&#97;&#116;&#101;&#47;&#102;&#105;&#114;&#101;&#109;&#105;&#112;&#45;&#115;&#101;&#110;&#115;&#105;&#116;&#105;&#118;&#105;&#116;&#121;&#45;&#101;&#120;&#112;&#101;&#114;&#105;&#109;&#101;&#110;&#116;&#115;&#45;&#98;&#121;&#45;&#115;&#97;&#110;&#100;&#121;&#45;&#104;&#97;&#114;&#114;&#105;&#115;&#111;&#110;&#47;\">Read More ><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":140,"featured_media":401,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"__cvm_playback_settings":[],"__cvm_video_id":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[22],"tags":[10,26,12,24,30,2],"class_list":["post-399","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-blog","tag-fire","tag-fire-regime","tag-firemip","tag-leverhulme-centre-for-wildfires","tag-model-evaluation","tag-publication"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v21.8.1 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>FireMIP Sensitivity Experiments. By Sandy Harrison - SPECIAL Palaeoclimate<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/research.reading.ac.uk\/palaeoclimate\/firemip-sensitivity-experiments-by-sandy-harrison\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_GB\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"FireMIP Sensitivity Experiments. By Sandy Harrison - SPECIAL Palaeoclimate\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"It is very exciting to see that the FireMIP paper on the sensitivity of burnt area to environmental and anthropogenic controls, led by Lina Teckentrup, is now out in Biogeosciences...Read More &gt;\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/research.reading.ac.uk\/palaeoclimate\/firemip-sensitivity-experiments-by-sandy-harrison\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"SPECIAL Palaeoclimate\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2019-03-18T12:31:56+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2019-03-26T15:55:13+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/research.reading.ac.uk\/palaeoclimate\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/78\/Unorganized\/FireMIP-sensitivity-figure.png\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"871\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"571\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/png\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Bronwyn Dixon\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Bronwyn Dixon\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Estimated reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"1 minute\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/research.reading.ac.uk\/palaeoclimate\/firemip-sensitivity-experiments-by-sandy-harrison\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/research.reading.ac.uk\/palaeoclimate\/firemip-sensitivity-experiments-by-sandy-harrison\/\",\"name\":\"FireMIP Sensitivity Experiments. 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