Future Climate for Africa<\/em><\/a> programme. I recently returned from two and a half weeks in Uganda, where I studied the governance of land in the districts bordering Lake Victoria. Some uncertainty surrounds just what impacts shifts in the climate will have in this region, but what is far more certain is that millions more people are destined to migrate into the Basin over the coming decades, augmenting the natural increase in population, and placing the natural and social resources in the region under increasing strain.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n
I was fortunate to link up with a former student, Javiane Agenonga, now an assistant lecturer at Gulu University, Hoima campus. We found that there are two issues that are most exercising Ugandans at the moment which are closely connected: first<\/em>, a national debate is hotting up around the move by the ruling NRM (National Resistance Movement) which is led by former general, President Yoweri Museveni, to change the constitution to extend the age at which a person is eligible to stand for and indeed occupy the highest office in the land.\u00a0 Specifically, they want to remove the 75 year age limit, something that will allow the encumbent \u2013 who has been in power for 31 years – to stand for re-election in the next election in 2021. The unstated aim is to perpetuate the relations of power and patronage that currently hold sway in Uganda. A growing number of Ugandans are expressing their unhappiness with this turn of events, alarmed by recent statements from NRM MPs that \u2018the army is behind us\u2019 in their push to effect this change.<\/p>\nThe second<\/em> issue is the tension countrywide that surrounds access to, ownership of and use of land in Uganda. At the present time, a national Commission of Inquiry into land matters<\/em>, headed by the highly respected Judge, Justice Catherine Bamugemereire, is taking evidence on illegal land evictions, fraudulent land deals and bitter, long-standing disputes over land ownership across the country. Land issues in some districts are more contentious than others \u2013 in Mubende district, Central Region, land disputes have long been the cause of significant political disaffection, while in Hoima district in Western Uganda, the recent discovery of oil at Lake Albert has seen the value of land skyrocket, with politicians and senior government officials and their networks seeking to cash in on the boom times this promises. Districts like Mpigi and Masaka which lie close to Kampala are also witnessing a spike in property prices and this poses a threat to peace and stability in these areas, as poorer people leasing pieces of land are pushed off land deemed ripe for development.<\/p>\nThe two issues are connected in this way: President Museveni has never flinched from using state-sanctioned violence \u2013specifically the Ugandan People\u2019s Defence Force (UPDF) \u2013 to force people into line. The rule of law often follows later. However, as Ugandans contemplate a time beyond his rule, the lid is beginning to come off disputes between people, disputes that often find expression in the idiom of ethnic and class difference that could be rather more difficult to contain in future.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Current research in the Lake Victoria Basin by Dr Andrew Ainslie, Lecturer in International Rural Development I am part of a team led by the Walker Institute conducting research in…Read More ><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"__cvm_playback_settings":[],"__cvm_video_id":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[25],"tags":[46,187,518],"class_list":["post-1474","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-prosperity-resilience","tag-africa","tag-climate","tag-lake-victoria"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nNews from Prosperity and Resilience: Andrew Ainslie - Connecting Research<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/research.reading.ac.uk\/research-blog\/2017\/10\/06\/news-from-prosperity-and-resilience-andrew-ainslie\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_GB\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"News from Prosperity and Resilience: Andrew Ainslie - Connecting Research\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Current research in the Lake Victoria Basin by Dr Andrew Ainslie, Lecturer in International Rural Development I am part of a team led by the Walker Institute conducting research in...Read More >\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/research.reading.ac.uk\/research-blog\/2017\/10\/06\/news-from-prosperity-and-resilience-andrew-ainslie\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Connecting Research\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/theuniversityofreading\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2017-10-06T08:01:37+00:00\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Martin Watts\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@UniRdg_Research\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@UniRdg_Research\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Martin Watts\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Estimated reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"3 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/research.reading.ac.uk\/research-blog\/2017\/10\/06\/news-from-prosperity-and-resilience-andrew-ainslie\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/research.reading.ac.uk\/research-blog\/2017\/10\/06\/news-from-prosperity-and-resilience-andrew-ainslie\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Martin Watts\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/research.reading.ac.uk\/research-blog\/#\/schema\/person\/7db63d5a455bb6b8a1655df56c4e6b0f\"},\"headline\":\"News from Prosperity and Resilience: Andrew Ainslie\",\"datePublished\":\"2017-10-06T08:01:37+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2017-10-06T08:01:37+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/research.reading.ac.uk\/research-blog\/2017\/10\/06\/news-from-prosperity-and-resilience-andrew-ainslie\/\"},\"wordCount\":557,\"commentCount\":1,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/research.reading.ac.uk\/research-blog\/#organization\"},\"keywords\":[\"Africa\",\"climate\",\"lake victoria\"],\"articleSection\":[\"Prosperity & Resilience\"],\"inLanguage\":\"en-GB\"},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/research.reading.ac.uk\/research-blog\/2017\/10\/06\/news-from-prosperity-and-resilience-andrew-ainslie\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/research.reading.ac.uk\/research-blog\/2017\/10\/06\/news-from-prosperity-and-resilience-andrew-ainslie\/\",\"name\":\"News from Prosperity and Resilience: Andrew Ainslie - Connecting Research\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/research.reading.ac.uk\/research-blog\/#website\"},\"datePublished\":\"2017-10-06T08:01:37+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2017-10-06T08:01:37+00:00\",\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/research.reading.ac.uk\/research-blog\/2017\/10\/06\/news-from-prosperity-and-resilience-andrew-ainslie\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"en-GB\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/research.reading.ac.uk\/research-blog\/2017\/10\/06\/news-from-prosperity-and-resilience-andrew-ainslie\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/research.reading.ac.uk\/research-blog\/2017\/10\/06\/news-from-prosperity-and-resilience-andrew-ainslie\/#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Home\",\"item\":\"https:\/\/research.reading.ac.uk\/research-blog\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"News from Prosperity and Resilience: Andrew Ainslie\"}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/research.reading.ac.uk\/research-blog\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/research.reading.ac.uk\/research-blog\/\",\"name\":\"Connecting Research\",\"description\":\"Research stories from across the University of Reading\",\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/research.reading.ac.uk\/research-blog\/#organization\"},\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"SearchAction\",\"target\":{\"@type\":\"EntryPoint\",\"urlTemplate\":\"https:\/\/research.reading.ac.uk\/research-blog\/?s={search_term_string}\"},\"query-input\":\"required name=search_term_string\"}],\"inLanguage\":\"en-GB\"},{\"@type\":\"Organization\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/research.reading.ac.uk\/research-blog\/#organization\",\"name\":\"University of Reading\",\"alternateName\":\"UoR\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/research.reading.ac.uk\/research-blog\/\",\"logo\":{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-GB\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/research.reading.ac.uk\/research-blog\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/research.reading.ac.uk\/research-blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/72\/2022\/10\/University-of-Reading-Logo-1.png\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/research.reading.ac.uk\/research-blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/72\/2022\/10\/University-of-Reading-Logo-1.png\",\"width\":440,\"height\":147,\"caption\":\"University of Reading\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/research.reading.ac.uk\/research-blog\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/\"},\"sameAs\":[\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/theuniversityofreading\/\",\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/UniRdg_Research\",\"https:\/\/www.linkedin.com\/school\/university-of-reading\/mycompany\/verification\/\",\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/channel\/UCsFUmxmcVbVJ-9iGczsKfuw\",\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/University_of_Reading\",\"https:\/\/www.instagram.com\/uniofreading\/?hl=en\",\"https:\/\/www.tiktok.com\/@uniofreading\"]},{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/research.reading.ac.uk\/research-blog\/#\/schema\/person\/7db63d5a455bb6b8a1655df56c4e6b0f\",\"name\":\"Martin Watts\",\"image\":{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-GB\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/research.reading.ac.uk\/research-blog\/#\/schema\/person\/image\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/d0e4330928a8450302f76e687aae444cc8cad1acaf78e26aec4a710f6a48b390?s=96&d=mm&r=g\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/d0e4330928a8450302f76e687aae444cc8cad1acaf78e26aec4a710f6a48b390?s=96&d=mm&r=g\",\"caption\":\"Martin Watts\"},\"url\":\"https:\/\/research.reading.ac.uk\/research-blog\/author\/m-r-wattsreading-ac-uk\/\"}]}<\/script>\n<!-- \/ Yoast SEO plugin. -->","yoast_head_json":{"title":"News from Prosperity and Resilience: Andrew Ainslie - Connecting Research","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https:\/\/research.reading.ac.uk\/research-blog\/2017\/10\/06\/news-from-prosperity-and-resilience-andrew-ainslie\/","og_locale":"en_GB","og_type":"article","og_title":"News from Prosperity and Resilience: Andrew Ainslie - Connecting Research","og_description":"Current research in the Lake Victoria Basin by Dr Andrew Ainslie, Lecturer in International Rural Development I am part of a team led by the Walker Institute conducting research in...Read More >","og_url":"https:\/\/research.reading.ac.uk\/research-blog\/2017\/10\/06\/news-from-prosperity-and-resilience-andrew-ainslie\/","og_site_name":"Connecting Research","article_publisher":"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/theuniversityofreading\/","article_published_time":"2017-10-06T08:01:37+00:00","author":"Martin Watts","twitter_card":"summary_large_image","twitter_creator":"@UniRdg_Research","twitter_site":"@UniRdg_Research","twitter_misc":{"Written by":"Martin Watts","Estimated reading time":"3 minutes"},"schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"Article","@id":"https:\/\/research.reading.ac.uk\/research-blog\/2017\/10\/06\/news-from-prosperity-and-resilience-andrew-ainslie\/#article","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/research.reading.ac.uk\/research-blog\/2017\/10\/06\/news-from-prosperity-and-resilience-andrew-ainslie\/"},"author":{"name":"Martin Watts","@id":"https:\/\/research.reading.ac.uk\/research-blog\/#\/schema\/person\/7db63d5a455bb6b8a1655df56c4e6b0f"},"headline":"News from Prosperity and Resilience: Andrew Ainslie","datePublished":"2017-10-06T08:01:37+00:00","dateModified":"2017-10-06T08:01:37+00:00","mainEntityOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/research.reading.ac.uk\/research-blog\/2017\/10\/06\/news-from-prosperity-and-resilience-andrew-ainslie\/"},"wordCount":557,"commentCount":1,"publisher":{"@id":"https:\/\/research.reading.ac.uk\/research-blog\/#organization"},"keywords":["Africa","climate","lake victoria"],"articleSection":["Prosperity & Resilience"],"inLanguage":"en-GB"},{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https:\/\/research.reading.ac.uk\/research-blog\/2017\/10\/06\/news-from-prosperity-and-resilience-andrew-ainslie\/","url":"https:\/\/research.reading.ac.uk\/research-blog\/2017\/10\/06\/news-from-prosperity-and-resilience-andrew-ainslie\/","name":"News from Prosperity and Resilience: Andrew Ainslie - Connecting Research","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/research.reading.ac.uk\/research-blog\/#website"},"datePublished":"2017-10-06T08:01:37+00:00","dateModified":"2017-10-06T08:01:37+00:00","breadcrumb":{"@id":"https:\/\/research.reading.ac.uk\/research-blog\/2017\/10\/06\/news-from-prosperity-and-resilience-andrew-ainslie\/#breadcrumb"},"inLanguage":"en-GB","potentialAction":[{"@type":"ReadAction","target":["https:\/\/research.reading.ac.uk\/research-blog\/2017\/10\/06\/news-from-prosperity-and-resilience-andrew-ainslie\/"]}]},{"@type":"BreadcrumbList","@id":"https:\/\/research.reading.ac.uk\/research-blog\/2017\/10\/06\/news-from-prosperity-and-resilience-andrew-ainslie\/#breadcrumb","itemListElement":[{"@type":"ListItem","position":1,"name":"Home","item":"https:\/\/research.reading.ac.uk\/research-blog\/"},{"@type":"ListItem","position":2,"name":"News from Prosperity and Resilience: Andrew Ainslie"}]},{"@type":"WebSite","@id":"https:\/\/research.reading.ac.uk\/research-blog\/#website","url":"https:\/\/research.reading.ac.uk\/research-blog\/","name":"Connecting Research","description":"Research stories from across the University of Reading","publisher":{"@id":"https:\/\/research.reading.ac.uk\/research-blog\/#organization"},"potentialAction":[{"@type":"SearchAction","target":{"@type":"EntryPoint","urlTemplate":"https:\/\/research.reading.ac.uk\/research-blog\/?s={search_term_string}"},"query-input":"required name=search_term_string"}],"inLanguage":"en-GB"},{"@type":"Organization","@id":"https:\/\/research.reading.ac.uk\/research-blog\/#organization","name":"University of Reading","alternateName":"UoR","url":"https:\/\/research.reading.ac.uk\/research-blog\/","logo":{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en-GB","@id":"https:\/\/research.reading.ac.uk\/research-blog\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/","url":"https:\/\/research.reading.ac.uk\/research-blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/72\/2022\/10\/University-of-Reading-Logo-1.png","contentUrl":"https:\/\/research.reading.ac.uk\/research-blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/72\/2022\/10\/University-of-Reading-Logo-1.png","width":440,"height":147,"caption":"University of Reading"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/research.reading.ac.uk\/research-blog\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/"},"sameAs":["https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/theuniversityofreading\/","https:\/\/twitter.com\/UniRdg_Research","https:\/\/www.linkedin.com\/school\/university-of-reading\/mycompany\/verification\/","https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/channel\/UCsFUmxmcVbVJ-9iGczsKfuw","https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/University_of_Reading","https:\/\/www.instagram.com\/uniofreading\/?hl=en","https:\/\/www.tiktok.com\/@uniofreading"]},{"@type":"Person","@id":"https:\/\/research.reading.ac.uk\/research-blog\/#\/schema\/person\/7db63d5a455bb6b8a1655df56c4e6b0f","name":"Martin Watts","image":{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en-GB","@id":"https:\/\/research.reading.ac.uk\/research-blog\/#\/schema\/person\/image\/","url":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/d0e4330928a8450302f76e687aae444cc8cad1acaf78e26aec4a710f6a48b390?s=96&d=mm&r=g","contentUrl":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/d0e4330928a8450302f76e687aae444cc8cad1acaf78e26aec4a710f6a48b390?s=96&d=mm&r=g","caption":"Martin Watts"},"url":"https:\/\/research.reading.ac.uk\/research-blog\/author\/m-r-wattsreading-ac-uk\/"}]}},"cc_featured_image_caption":{"caption_text":false,"source_text":false,"source_url":false},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/research.reading.ac.uk\/research-blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1474","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/research.reading.ac.uk\/research-blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/research.reading.ac.uk\/research-blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/research.reading.ac.uk\/research-blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/8"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/research.reading.ac.uk\/research-blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1474"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/research.reading.ac.uk\/research-blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1474\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/research.reading.ac.uk\/research-blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1474"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/research.reading.ac.uk\/research-blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1474"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/research.reading.ac.uk\/research-blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1474"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}