{"id":1178,"date":"2023-07-03T02:21:09","date_gmt":"2023-07-03T01:21:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/research.reading.ac.uk\/s2s-summit2023\/?page_id=1178"},"modified":"2023-07-03T02:21:09","modified_gmt":"2023-07-03T01:21:09","slug":"abstract230","status":"publish","type":"page","link":"https:\/\/research.reading.ac.uk\/s2s-summit2023\/programme\/abstract230\/","title":{"rendered":"Abstract 230"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>[vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text]<strong>Abstract ID:<\/strong> 230<\/p>\n<h2 style=\"text-align: center\">Relating the properties of quasi-stationary Rossby waves to the jet that they live on<\/h2>\n<p style=\"text-align: center\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\"><strong>Lead Author:<\/strong> John Methven<br \/>\nUniversity of Reading, United Kingdom<br \/>\n<\/span><\/p>\n<p><strong>Keywords:<\/strong> Persistent weather, Modes of variability, Wave activity, Jetstream, Phase speed<\/p>\n<p><strong>Abstract: <\/strong>In recent decades, western Europe has seen a number of extreme<br \/>\nseasons. For example, anomalously high precipitation totals for the<br \/>\nsummers of 2007 and 2012 as well as the exceptionally high temperature<br \/>\nof summer 2003 and the coldness of winter 2009\/10. One common feature<br \/>\nin all these examples is the existence of persistent, near stationary<br \/>\nRossby wave patterns on the tropopause. Here a rigorous framework is<br \/>\nused to extract these &#8220;&#8221;slow modes of variability&#8221;&#8221; from<br \/>\ndata in such a way that each mode has an intrinsic phase speed related<br \/>\nonly to its spatial structure, in a similar way that a bell rings with a<br \/>\ncharacteristic note. The phase speed is derived from global<br \/>\nconservation properties. The question addressed here is how these slow<br \/>\nmodes of variability relate to the structure of the background state jet<br \/>\nthat they live on.<\/p>\n<p>Idealised experiments using a global primitive equation model are<br \/>\nconstructed where the only forcing is a weak relaxation to a zonally<br \/>\nsymmetric balanced background state which includes a sloping tropopause<br \/>\nand westerly jet with a latitude that can be controlled by a single parameter.<br \/>\nThe jet is baroclinically unstable and so wave activity is sustained through<br \/>\nrepeated growth of baroclinic waves and their nonlinear life cycles.<br \/>\nModes of variability in the perturbations are extracted from global data<br \/>\nusing the empirical normal mode (ENM) technique. This amounts to<br \/>\nEOF analysis using pseudomomentum (wave activity) as the norm.<br \/>\nFor a linear system the ENMs would equal the dynamical<br \/>\nnormal modes since they are also orthogonal under this norm. Although<br \/>\nthe system is nonlinear, only a few ENMs dominate the variability and<br \/>\nthe ratio of pseudoenergy to pseudomomentum yields a unique phase<br \/>\nspeed for each. It is shown how the properties of the dominant modes<br \/>\ndepend on the quasi-equilibrium background state jet strength and latitude.<br \/>\nIn this way seasons with anomalously persistent mid-latitude Rossby wave<br \/>\nactivity may be related to the interannual variability in the background<br \/>\nstate zonal flow.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Co-authors:<br \/>\n<\/strong>Dominic Jones (University of Albany)<br \/>\nThomas Frame (University of Reading)<br \/>\nPaul Berrisford (ECMWF)[\/vc_column_text][vc_separator][\/vc_column][\/vc_row][vc_row][vc_column width=&#8221;1\/6&#8243;][vc_single_image image=&#8221;344&#8243; img_size=&#8221;full&#8221; onclick=&#8221;custom_link&#8221; link=&#8221;http:\/\/s2sprediction.net\/&#8221;][\/vc_column][vc_column width=&#8221;1\/6&#8243;][vc_single_image image=&#8221;345&#8243; img_size=&#8221;full&#8221; onclick=&#8221;custom_link&#8221; link=&#8221;https:\/\/public.wmo.int\/en&#8221;][\/vc_column][vc_column width=&#8221;1\/6&#8243;][vc_single_image image=&#8221;346&#8243; img_size=&#8221;full&#8221; onclick=&#8221;custom_link&#8221; link=&#8221;https:\/\/community.wmo.int\/activity-areas\/wwrp&#8221;][\/vc_column][vc_column width=&#8221;1\/6&#8243;][vc_single_image image=&#8221;347&#8243; img_size=&#8221;full&#8221; onclick=&#8221;custom_link&#8221; link=&#8221;https:\/\/www.wcrp-climate.org\/&#8221;][\/vc_column][vc_column width=&#8221;1\/6&#8243;][vc_single_image image=&#8221;348&#8243; img_size=&#8221;full&#8221;][\/vc_column][vc_column width=&#8221;1\/6&#8243;][vc_single_image image=&#8221;349&#8243; img_size=&#8221;full&#8221; onclick=&#8221;custom_link&#8221; link=&#8221;https:\/\/www.reading.ac.uk\/&#8221;][\/vc_column][\/vc_row]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>[vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text]Abstract ID: 230 Relating the properties of quasi-stationary Rossby waves to the jet that they live on Lead Author: John Methven University of Reading, United Kingdom Keywords: Persistent weather, Modes&#8230;<a class=\"read-more\" href=\"&#104;&#116;&#116;&#112;&#115;&#58;&#47;&#47;&#114;&#101;&#115;&#101;&#97;&#114;&#99;&#104;&#46;&#114;&#101;&#97;&#100;&#105;&#110;&#103;&#46;&#97;&#99;&#46;&#117;&#107;&#47;&#115;&#50;&#115;&#45;&#115;&#117;&#109;&#109;&#105;&#116;&#50;&#48;&#50;&#51;&#47;&#112;&#114;&#111;&#103;&#114;&#97;&#109;&#109;&#101;&#47;&#97;&#98;&#115;&#116;&#114;&#97;&#99;&#116;&#50;&#51;&#48;&#47;\">Read More ><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":145,"featured_media":0,"parent":528,"menu_order":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","template":"","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"__cvm_playback_settings":[],"__cvm_video_id":"","footnotes":""},"coauthors":[13],"class_list":["post-1178","page","type-page","status-publish","hentry"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v21.8.1 - 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