{"id":680,"date":"2023-07-02T17:41:28","date_gmt":"2023-07-02T16:41:28","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/research.reading.ac.uk\/s2s-summit2023\/?page_id=680"},"modified":"2023-07-02T17:46:14","modified_gmt":"2023-07-02T16:46:14","slug":"abstract004","status":"publish","type":"page","link":"https:\/\/research.reading.ac.uk\/s2s-summit2023\/programme\/abstract004\/","title":{"rendered":"Abstract 004"},"content":{"rendered":"

[vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text]Abstract ID:<\/strong> 004<\/p>\n

Subseasonal prediction of diverse MJO and BSISO events in GFDL SPEAR model<\/h2>\n

Lead Author:<\/strong> Baoqiang Xiang
\nGFDL\/NOAA, UCAR, United States of America
\n<\/span><\/p>\n

Keywords:<\/strong> MJO, BSISO, S2S, Diversity<\/p>\n

Abstract:<\/strong> First I will introduce a newly developed subseasonal-to-seasonal (S2S) prediction system using the GFDL SPEAR global coupled model. Based on 20-year hindcast results (2000-2019), then I will present the overall prediction skill of the boreal wintertime Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO) and boreal summer intraseasonal oscillation (BSISO). Additionally, we find that the prediction is strongly dependent on the propagation feature of different types of MJO\/BSISO. The SPEAR model shows its capability, beyond the propagation, in predicting their initiation for different types of MJO\/BSISO along with discrete precursory convection anomalies. Potential factors influencing the forecast skill of MJO\/BSISO will be discussed. If I have time, I will also introduce the prediction performance of NAO, Atmospheric Rivers, and heat waves in western North America during the summer of 2021.<\/p>\n

Co-authors:
\n<\/strong>Lucas Harris, Thomas L. Delworth, Bin Wang, Guosen Chen, et al.[\/vc_column_text][vc_separator][\/vc_column][\/vc_row][vc_row][vc_column width=”1\/6″][vc_single_image image=”344″ img_size=”full” onclick=”custom_link” link=”http:\/\/s2sprediction.net\/”][\/vc_column][vc_column width=”1\/6″][vc_single_image image=”345″ img_size=”full” onclick=”custom_link” link=”https:\/\/public.wmo.int\/en”][\/vc_column][vc_column width=”1\/6″][vc_single_image image=”346″ img_size=”full” onclick=”custom_link” link=”https:\/\/community.wmo.int\/activity-areas\/wwrp”][\/vc_column][vc_column width=”1\/6″][vc_single_image image=”347″ img_size=”full” onclick=”custom_link” link=”https:\/\/www.wcrp-climate.org\/”][\/vc_column][vc_column width=”1\/6″][vc_single_image image=”348″ img_size=”full”][\/vc_column][vc_column width=”1\/6″][vc_single_image image=”349″ img_size=”full” onclick=”custom_link” link=”https:\/\/www.reading.ac.uk\/”][\/vc_column][\/vc_row]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

[vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text]Abstract ID: 004 Subseasonal prediction of diverse MJO and BSISO events in GFDL SPEAR model Lead Author: Baoqiang Xiang GFDL\/NOAA, UCAR, United States of America Keywords: MJO, BSISO, S2S, Diversity…Read More ><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":145,"featured_media":0,"parent":528,"menu_order":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","template":"","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"__cvm_playback_settings":[],"__cvm_video_id":"","footnotes":""},"coauthors":[13],"class_list":["post-680","page","type-page","status-publish","hentry"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nAbstract 004 - WWRP\/WCRP S2S Summit 2023<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/research.reading.ac.uk\/s2s-summit2023\/programme\/abstract004\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_GB\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Abstract 004 - WWRP\/WCRP S2S Summit 2023\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"[vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text]Abstract ID: 004 Subseasonal prediction of diverse MJO and BSISO events in GFDL SPEAR model Lead Author: Baoqiang Xiang GFDL\/NOAA, UCAR, United States of America Keywords: MJO, BSISO, S2S, Diversity...Read More >\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/research.reading.ac.uk\/s2s-summit2023\/programme\/abstract004\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"WWRP\/WCRP S2S Summit 2023\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2023-07-02T16:46:14+00:00\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Estimated reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"1 minute\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"Robert Lee\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/research.reading.ac.uk\/s2s-summit2023\/programme\/abstract004\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/research.reading.ac.uk\/s2s-summit2023\/programme\/abstract004\/\",\"name\":\"Abstract 004 - 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