{"id":815,"date":"2023-07-02T19:28:14","date_gmt":"2023-07-02T18:28:14","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/research.reading.ac.uk\/s2s-summit2023\/?page_id=815"},"modified":"2023-07-02T19:28:14","modified_gmt":"2023-07-02T18:28:14","slug":"abstract069","status":"publish","type":"page","link":"https:\/\/research.reading.ac.uk\/s2s-summit2023\/programme\/abstract069\/","title":{"rendered":"Abstract 069"},"content":{"rendered":"

[vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text]Abstract ID:<\/strong> 069<\/p>\n

The Navy Earth System Prediction Capability Version 2 Ensemble Forecast System<\/h2>\n

Lead Author:<\/strong> William James Crawford
\nU. S. Naval Research Laboratory, Monterey, CA, United States of America
\n<\/span><\/p>\n

Keywords:<\/strong> Ensemble, Operational, ESPC, Verification, Upgrades<\/p>\n

Abstract:<\/strong> The Navy Earth System Predictability Capability (Navy ESPC) is a global coupled forecast system that consists of the NAVy Global Environmental Model (NAVGEM) atmosphere model, the HYbrid Coordinate Ocean Model (HYCOM) and the Community Ice CodE (CICE). This system has been developed to meet U. S. Navy needs for high-resolution global environmental forecasts on timescales from days to months, and a unique aspect of the system is the eddy resolving ocean model at the ensemble and deterministic resolutions. The Navy ESPC Version 1 Ensemble Forecast System (Navy ESPC V1-Ens) became operational in August 2020, and produces weekly 45-day 16-member forecasts. We will present early verification results for the Navy ESPC V2-Ens system currently undergoing a one-year reanalysis\/reforecast test for operational transition. New capabilities and upgrades from V1 to V2 include one-way coupling to the WAVEWATCH III wave model, an extension of the NAVGEM top to 100 km and improved representation of the middle atmosphere, updating the CICE component from V4 to V6, increased NAVGEM horizontal resolution, and inclusion of ocean tides in the ensemble configuration. Improvements to the ensemble design planned beyond Navy ESPC V2 will also be presented.<\/p>\n

Co-authors:
\n<\/strong>Clark Rowley (U. S. Naval Research Laboratory, Stennis, MS)
\nCarolyn Reynolds (U. S. Naval Research Laboratory, Monterey, CA)
\nRichard Allard (U. S. Naval Research Laboratory, Stennis, MS)
\nCharlie Barron (U. S. Naval Research Laboratory, Stennis, MS)
\nMaria Flatau (U. S. Naval Research Laboratory, Monterey, CA)
\nDavid Hebert (U. S. Naval Research Laboratory, Stennis, MS)
\nGregg Jacobs (U. S. Naval Research Laboratory, Stennis, MS)
\nMatthew Janiga (U. S. Naval Research Laboratory, Monterey, CA)
\nTommy Jensen (U. S. Naval Research Laboratory, Stennis, MS)
\nDavid Kuhl (U. S. Naval Research Laboratory, Washington, DC)
\nRobert Linzell (Peraton, Inc. Herndon, VA)
\nFei Liu (Science Applications International Corporation\/Cherokee Nation Business)
\nJustin McLay (U. S. Naval Research Laboratory, Monterey, CA)
\nE. Joseph Metzger (U. S. Naval Research Laboratory, Stennis, MS)
\nStephanie Rushley (National Research Council, Monterey, CA)
\nJames Ridout (U. S. Naval Research Laboratory, Monterey, CA)
\nErick Rogers (U. S. Naval Research Laboratory, Stennis, MS)
\nJay Shriver (U. S. Naval Research Laboratory, Stennis, MS)
\nOle Martin Smedstad (Peraton, Inc. Herndon, VA)
\nPrasad Thoppil (U. S. Naval Research Laboratory, Stennis, MS)
\nTamara Townsend (U. S. Naval Research Laboratory, Stennis, MS)
\nTimothy Whitcomb (U. S. Naval Research Laboratory, Monterey, CA)[\/vc_column_text][vc_separator][\/vc_column][\/vc_row][vc_row][vc_column width=”1\/6″][vc_single_image image=”344″ img_size=”full” onclick=”custom_link” link=”http:\/\/s2sprediction.net\/”][\/vc_column][vc_column width=”1\/6″][vc_single_image image=”345″ img_size=”full” onclick=”custom_link” link=”https:\/\/public.wmo.int\/en”][\/vc_column][vc_column width=”1\/6″][vc_single_image image=”346″ img_size=”full” onclick=”custom_link” link=”https:\/\/community.wmo.int\/activity-areas\/wwrp”][\/vc_column][vc_column width=”1\/6″][vc_single_image image=”347″ img_size=”full” onclick=”custom_link” link=”https:\/\/www.wcrp-climate.org\/”][\/vc_column][vc_column width=”1\/6″][vc_single_image image=”348″ img_size=”full”][\/vc_column][vc_column width=”1\/6″][vc_single_image image=”349″ img_size=”full” onclick=”custom_link” link=”https:\/\/www.reading.ac.uk\/”][\/vc_column][\/vc_row]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

[vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text]Abstract ID: 069 The Navy Earth System Prediction Capability Version 2 Ensemble Forecast System Lead Author: William James Crawford U. S. Naval Research Laboratory, Monterey, CA, United States of America…Read More ><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":145,"featured_media":0,"parent":528,"menu_order":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","template":"","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"__cvm_playback_settings":[],"__cvm_video_id":"","footnotes":""},"coauthors":[13],"class_list":["post-815","page","type-page","status-publish","hentry"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nAbstract 069 - WWRP\/WCRP S2S Summit 2023<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/research.reading.ac.uk\/s2s-summit2023\/programme\/abstract069\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_GB\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Abstract 069 - WWRP\/WCRP S2S Summit 2023\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"[vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text]Abstract ID: 069 The Navy Earth System Prediction Capability Version 2 Ensemble Forecast System Lead Author: William James Crawford U. 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