Flexibility Reading Room on Conceptualising Flexibility

On Tuesday 28th July 2020 the Flexibility Theme held the first of a series of ‘Reading Room’ seminars starting with the very idea of ‘flexibility’ itself. Future topics are ‘seasonality’ (Oct) and ‘contingency’ (date to be decided!).

For the first reading room, the Flexibility team was joined by an interdisciplinary group (engineers, physicists, social scientists) from around the world (Norway, Germany, Italy, Switzerland, and Japan) to discuss a recently published article by Stanley Blue, Elizabeth Shove, and Peter Forman in Time and Society  Conceptualising Flexibility: Challenging Representations of Time and Society in the Energy Sector.

You can listen to the recording here.

The discussion explored different ideas arising from the article.

One was the relational status of the concepts of fixity and flexibility, and how the meaning of these terms changes depending on what is being described, and from what point of view. For example, while meal times might appear more flexible that they were 50 years ago, the sequences of activities in which they are set has remained relatively fixed. While a given practice appears flexible when compared to a given time-slot, its position can be quite fixed within one or more sequences of practices.

We also discussed the possibility of capturing, describing, and measuring flexibility in society when it is described in emergent and complex terms. Is this a hopeless task or not? Opinions differed.

Related to this we talked about what methods might be used to capture aspects of sequencing, synchronisation, and therefore of flexibility, for example with time-use data, by or by somehow measuring the strengthening and weakening of ties and links between practices. What could be captured described by measuring variation, change over time, extended sequences, and the effects of repetition?

The article ends by challenging experts in the energy sector to engage with more fundamental insights from social scientific studies of time – and especially with ideas about the temporal constitution of society and energy demand. The editor for Time and Society, Michelle Bastian, who also joined the session, invited people working on time and temporality to engage with issues relating to the energy sector and the environment more generally.

The next Flexibility reading room will be on seasonality on 1st October. Let Elizabeth or Stan know if you would like to be involved.

The Social Value Toolkit for Architecture

The Social Value Toolkit for Architecture has just been published by the RIBA. Written by the Research Practice Leads, a group of architecture practitioners led by Prof Flora Samuel, and industry experts, the aim of the tool is to raise awareness of the social value of design in discussions of social value. A subject high on the policy agenda. Prof Samuel is part of the UKGBC social value taskforce https://www.ukgbc.org/news/ukgbc-task-group-to-define-social-value-for-the-built-environment/

Bursting the bubble?

Sarah Royston reviews Jacopo Torriti’s webinar on Demand Side Flexibility: Beyond price and technology, 02 June 2020.

Jacopo Torriti’s webinar began with an intriguing graphic, which represents the amount of flexibility in an energy system as a more-or-less inflated sphere: the bigger the bubble, the better. If I imagine flexibility in my own daily activities that way, then lockdown has certainly burst my bubble. Everyday routines have inevitably been tightly constrained by major restrictions on how we all use space. And, like many juggling caring commitments with employment, I’m bound by newly complex temporal constraints, with each minute pre-allocated within a closely-interlocked household schedule.

As I mourn flexibilities I never previously appreciated, it seems a good moment to reflect on what flexibility means, and why it’s such an important topic for energy demand research. In this webinar, Jacopo provided a fascinating tour of core ideas and emerging findings within the CREDS research theme on Flexibility. He explained that flexibility is high on energy policy agendas, largely due to the shift towards renewable energy sources, bringing new challenges for the ‘balancing’ of supply and demand. As a result, policymakers and system engineers are increasingly concerned with defining, measuring and increasing the ‘volume’ of flexibility capacity within energy systems; seeking to inflate those bubbles.

Once imagined in this way, flexibility capacity can be given a monetary value within ‘flexibility markets’, as described in a recent paper by Jacopo’s Flexibility theme colleagues [1]. Demand-side flexibility is seen as a resource that can be developed and exploited through technological means (such as storage technologies and automated Demand Side Response) as well as through financial incentives such as Time of Use tariffs.

Beyond techno-economic framings

However, as the webinar’s title suggests, getting to grips with flexibility means thinking beyond these dominant techno-economic framings. To this end, the CREDS Flexibility theme explores not only pricing regimes and technologies, but also socio-temporal orders and practices, and how all these intersect to produce patterns of (in)flexibility that matter for energy demand. As we’d expect from the researchers involved, work within the theme draws on an exciting range of methods and data, including time use studies, electricity consumption data, agent based modelling and machine learning approaches.

One interesting project highlighted by Jacopo is led by researchers at Lancaster University, and investigates histories of fuel transitions on the Isle of Man. As other historically-engaged energy research has shown [2], examining past infrastructures, practices and service expectations can be valuable in challenging assumptions about the durability of present arrangements, and can open up new possibilities in how we envision, plan, and build for the future. To me, this kind of work also provides a crucial reminder that treating current norms as eternal is not just an academic error; if these are embedded into new flexibility policies, concrete infrastructures from domestic water tanks to power stations will be literally built on these assumptions, locking in unsustainable patterns of demand.

Another highly topical piece of work within the theme concerns the ways that flexibility interventions such as ToU tariffs are likely to affect different groups. In keeping with the theme’s emphasis on practices, this research has clustered people based on what they do during specific peak times. This analysis reveals likely winners and losers from (both current and future) flexibility policies; for example, families with children perform many energy-using activities during peak times, and could suffer under time-based payment models. As one questioner highlighted in the Q&A session, flexibility interventions raise major issues of equity and justice: will poorer and more vulnerable groups suffer enforced ‘flexing’ of their activities? Related to this, other important work in the theme looks at minimum standards for energy services in relation to flexibility, asking what uses are essential and should not be ‘flexed’.

Fundamental questions

Jacopo concluded by highlighting some fundamental questions underlying the theme’s work, including flexibility of what; and when; and for whom? I was especially interested that he asked, “Flexibility where?”. The theme’s research to date focuses largely on issues of time; for example, Blue et al. (2020) emphasise temporal issues such as synchronisation and sequencing. I wonder about the spatial dimensions of flexibility, especially the degree of rigidity/fluidity in activities’ co-locational demands, in other words: must people be present in the same place? Can it be a virtual space instead? It is little exaggeration to say that in the Covid period, such questions of co-location can be matters of life and death. And to us as energy researchers, spatial flexibility matters in all sorts of ways, including for mobility demands; for ICT-based alternatives to travel (that use energy in their construction, use and disposal); for issues of renewable prosumption (where and how much self-generated energy is used); and for the design of local and regional grid infrastructures. The spatialities of flexibility (obviously bound up with its temporalities) might offer further intriguing intersections between the Flexibility theme and its sister-themes on Transport & Mobility and Digital Society.

This webinar had particular resonance for me because of my work on the Energy-SHIFTS project, which aims to improve the impact of Social Sciences and Humanities evidence within EU policymaking on energy. Jacopo’s subtitle, “Beyond price and technology” could be applied to virtually all our outputs and communications to policymakers, as we challenge these discourses (around quantification, commodification, efficiency, predict-and-provide, behaviouralism and so on) that pervade the governance of flexibility, and every other aspect of energy systems. As Jacopo’s talk has made clear, ongoing work within the CREDS Flexibility theme serves as a showcase for this agenda, demonstrating the relevance and value of critical, socially-engaged research on energy demand.

References

[1] Blue, S., Shove, E., & Forman, P. (2020). Conceptualising flexibility: Challenging representations of time and society in the energy sector. Time & Society. doi 10.1177/0961463X20905479 [2] See, for example, work within the EPSRC’s DEMAND Centre.

Lockdown and electricity demand in the UK: Flexing demand to when renewables are on by Jacopo Torriti

The Covid-19 lockdown presented the UK energy system with a new set of challenges, emphasised the importance of renewables and taught some lessons around flexible tariffs and negative prices.

Graph by Timur Yunusov and José Luis Ramírez-Mendiola

The figure below shows the trend in GB national electricity demand in 2020. The red lines mark the dates of the first death from Covid-19, the 100th death and the beginning of lockdown.

A large proportion of people had to stay at home and this led to an increase in residential electricity demand. This increase has been more than compensated by reductions in industrial and commercial demand. For instance, in the first week of lockdown (i.e. week commenced on 23 March 2020), electricity demand was 13% lower on average compared with the same period a year ago.

The Figure above shows national electricity demand during lockdown (blue line). The shaded red band corresponds to the 95th percentile range, and the average is for years prior to 2020, starting from 2012. The differences have been more market in Southern England and London which according to Elexon experienced demand reductions of over 300MWh on average over individual days.


Graph by Timur Yunusov and José Luis Ramírez-Mendiola

A UKERC blog observed that during the first week of lockdown there was higher homogeneity between weekends and weekdays. Morning peaks during lockdown are lower, whereas evening peaks are still pronounced. Weekday mornings show trends which resemble weekend mornings, with lower peaks. During the day demand remains low and at no point reaches pre-lockdown levels or indeed the average levels from previous years.

The issue of whether weekdays and weekends during lockdown resemble each other call for analysis of demand based on the day of the week. In the figure below we compare Tuesdays, Thursdays and Saturdays for the lockdown weeks with the same period in 2019. What can be observed is that Saturday mornings featured significantly low levels of electricity demand during lockdown. Consumption is reduced on Saturdays and so even more on Sundays. It is therefore on working days that the demand for electricity has fallen most during lockdown.

Graph by Timur Yunusov and José Luis Ramírez-Mendiola

The timing of people’s activities matters in understanding how electricity demand changes during the day and the week. Not only demand profiles, but also activities changed significantly during lockdown. Data from the Meter project shows that days in lockdown start on average half hour later compared with ‘normal’ days and that activities during the evening are less hectic. British people in lockdown do more gardening, spend more time in front of a screen (arguably because of work from home for adults as well as home learning for children), consumer more hot drinks and do not read more.

During the Covid-19 crisis, renewables were the only type of electricity generation to experience an increase. Windy and sunny days contributed to extremely high levels of generation from renewables. For more than 800 consecutive hours the grid was coal-free for the first time since the industrial revolution. April experienced record levels of solar generation. In May energy demand during Bank Holidays reached even lower levels and solar renewables alone powered one third of national electricity generation. At the end of May solar and wind generation reached 60% of electricity generation.

This combination of low demand because of lockdown and high levels of renewables brought about a relatively new circumstance in the UK: some consumers were remunerated in association with negative system prices. Flexible tariffs, such as ‘Agile’ offered by Octopus Energy are quite rare and limited to consumers with smart meters (for more information, see a new book published by Routledge). Every 30 minutes price is defined on the grounds of demand and whether suppliers are experiencing a surplus or not for a given period. For instance, the great number of sunny and windy days in April have brought about several price plunges. This means that the price of electricity plunges below zero. Information about prices is provided the evening before and this gives the opportunity to consumers to plan when to charge electric vehicles or also traditional appliances like dishwashers and washing machines at times when they will be paid for their consumption. Perhaps even more surprisingly, during the lockdown we started to see examples of flexibility of demand without price. For instance, despite scarcity of flour in supermarkets during the lockdown period, there is a website suggesting best times and days to bake based on the carbon intensity of the grid. Not all flexibility needs to happen through either price or technology. The reconfiguration of demand based on the timing and availability of renewables could lead to higher levels of decarbonisation than we are currently thinking about. And this is something we should reflect on even after lockdown.

Funding success for European Marie Curie ITN project on affordable housing

RE-DWELL involves Professor Flora Samuel, Professor of Architecture in the Built Environment at Reading as a Co-Investigator.

The project will equip a new generation of researchers with transdisciplinary skills to address the urgent need for affordable housing. Affordability is normally looked at in solely economic terms. This project will propose an expanded definition of affordability that encompasses affordability for the environment and society. It builds on Prof. Samuel’s pioneering work on the mapping and measuring of social value in housing and neighbourhoods.

RE-DWELL, led by FUNITEC in Barcelona, was awarded €3.9m, of which Reading will receive €254,000.

The ITN networks cover nearly 1,400 organisations – including 158 small and medium enterprises – as part of the Marie Skłodowska-Curie Actions programme.

Demand Side Flexibility: Beyond price and technology – CREDS Webinar by Jacopo Torriti

Professor Jacopo Torriti will present research carried out by the CREDS Flexibility theme, including historical progressions in peak demand, core power demand (core capacity) estimates from different smart metering datasets, car commutes and EV charging times, clustering of residential users based on activities at peak demand and ratios of peak to off-peak activities.

The event will take place on Tuesday 2 June 2020 from 10:00 – 11:00.

Please REGISTER to receive a link.

Dr Izabela Wieczorek’s contribution has been shortlisted for the prestigious FAD Awards

The book José Miguel de Prada Poole. La arquitectura perecedera de las pompas de jabón (José Miguel de Prada Poole and the Perishable Architecture of Soap Bubbles) (Recolectores Urbanos, 2019) with Dr Izabela Wieczorek’s contribution ‘Dispositivos atmosféricos, tecnologías de la inmersión y acumulaciones de espumas, o las paradojas de la burbuja’ (‘Atmospheric devices, technologies of immersion and foam accumulations, or the bubble paradox’) has been shortlisted for the prestigious FAD Awards in the category Thought and Criticism.

Running since 1958, Premios FAD are one of the oldest and most prestigious architectural awards in Europe, acknowledging excellence of both built and written works in the field.

The book is one of the 7 shortlisted entries regarded by the judging panel as ‘standing out for research and critical knowledge of architecture and its context’

The volume has been conceived as a collection of critical writings accompanying a wide selection of both known and unedited material from the archive of the Spanish architect José Miguel de Prada Poole. The publication accompanied the first retrospective and monographic exhibition of Prada Poole’s work curated by Antonio Cobo and coproduced by the Centro Andaluz de Arte Contemporáneo (CAAC) and the Museo de Arte Contemporáneo de Castilla y León (MUSAC) under the title ‘José Miguel de Prada Poole and the Perishable Architecture of Soap Bubbles’, referring to Prada Poole’s text published in 1974. Both exhibition and the book reveal the visionary talent and radical thinking of a unique architect, whose interests in collaborative design processes, new urban models, adaptive structures and life of buildings acquire new relevance in the context of contemporary debates about architectural practice and climate change.

Contributors include: José Miguel de Prada Poole, Antonio Cobo, Ferran Ventura Blanch, Juan Navarro Baldeweg, Francisco Jarauta, Iñaki Ábalos, Izabela Wieczorek, Carolina Gonzalez Vives.

FAD awards link:

http://arquinfad.org/premisfad/es/ediciones-anteriores/?edicio/2020/obra/10711/

Publisher link:

http://editorial.recolectoresurbanos.com/tienda/jose-miguel-de-prada-poole-la-arquitectura-perecedera-de-las-pompas-de-jabon/

PolGRG Book Prize – Dr Penelope Plaza received Special Commendation for Culture as Renewable Oil

Dr Penelope Plaza’s book, Culture as Renewable Oil: How Territory, Bureaucratic Power and Culture Coalesce in the Venezuelan Petrostate, received a Special Commendation from the judging panel of the Political Geography Research Group Book Award (2019-2020).

Her book, regarded by the judging panel as “a fascinating read and an outstanding achievement”, was one of the five shortlisted entries for the PolGRG Book Award (2019-2020), granted in coordination with the Political Geography (PG) journal with support from the Royal Geographical Society (RGS-IBG).

https://polgrg.wordpress.com/2019/09/06/the-polgrg-book-award-2019-2020-in-conjunction-with-political-geography-journal/.

A panel composed of representatives of both PolGRG (committee and selected members) and PG Journal reviewed all shortlisted entries. The communication sent by the PolGRG Secretary to Dr Plaza stated that: “while you were not awarded the prize on this occasion, we wanted to offer a special commendation to your work in order to acknowledge the strength of the book in what was a very strong pool of nominations”.

Panel comments on Culture as Renewable Oil: How Territory, Bureaucratic Power and Culture Coalesce in the Venezuelan Petrostate

“Culture as Renewable Oil is a fascinating and important contribution, conceptualising the relation between culture, politics, oil and urban space through a study of the Hugo Chávez era of Venezuelan Petro-Socialism (a political and economic model that utilises finance generated by oil to build a socialist state and society). Entwining theories of state space, bureaucratic power and culture as a resource, Plaza Azuaje corrects the compartmentalisation of the material and cultural effects of oil. To do so, the book considers how the state-owned oil company, Petróleos de Venezuela Sociedad Anónima (PDVSA), extended its role over cultural symbols, equating oil with culture and presenting oil as a renewable resource.

Plaza Azuaje provides a rich and fascinating discussion of the symbiotic and cyclical relationship between oil, territory, Bureaucratic Power and oil to inform debates in political geography and Energy Humanities. The book is empirically rich – drawing upon an extensive critical discourse analysis of key speeches, policy and news materials, along with a visual and textual analysis – and theoretically deep. Plaza Azuaje advances discussions within political and urban geography, connecting theories of State Space as territory and state theory (focusing on rentier theory and Bureaucratic Power) with literature on culture from Energy Humanities. The book is a key reading for anyone concerned with the role of culture in the city and in particular those that seek to understand its link with territory and power. With Venezuela currently caught in hyperinflation, economic stagnation, violence and political conflict, the book is empirically timely, revealing how the illusion of ‘culture as renewable oil’ is untenable. In short, it is a fascinating read and an outstanding achievement.”