Recent Publications

Recent publications

Selected recent publications from University of Reading researchers and collaborators in applied weather, climate, forecasting, risk, impacts, energy and climate communication.

  1. Arnell, N. W., Hawkins, E., Shepherd, T. G., Haigh, I. D., Harvey, B. J., Wilcox, L. J., Shaffrey, L. C., & Turner, A. G. (2025). High-impact low-likelihood climate scenarios for risk assessment in the UK. Earth’s Future, 13(12), e2025EF006946. https://doi.org/10.1029/2025EF006946
  2. Da Costa, J., Cloke, H. L., Neumann, J., & Salvidge, N. (2026). Warning cultures in practice: Shadow systems in local flood risk governance. Progress in Disaster Science, 29, 100513. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.pdisas.2025.100513
  3. O’Reilly, C. H., MacLeod, D., Befort, D. J., Shepherd, T. G., & Weisheimer, A. (2025). Evaluating seasonal forecast improvements over the past two decades. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.70036
  4. Hunt, K. M. R., Baudouin, J.-P., Turner, A. G., Dimri, A. P., Jeelani, G., Pooja, Chattopadhyay, R., Cannon, F., Arulalan, T., Shekhar, M. S., Sabin, T. P., & Palazzi, E. (2025). Western disturbances and climate variability: A review of recent developments. Weather and Climate Dynamics, 6, 43–112. https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-6-43-2025
  5. Bharati, P., Deb, P., & Hunt, K. M. R. (2025). Pacific Decadal Oscillation-driven interdecadal variability of snowfall over the Karakoram and the Western Himalayas. Weather and Climate Dynamics, 6(1), 197–210. https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-6-197-2025
  6. Hunt, K. M. R., & Bloomfield, H. C. (2025). Building and explaining data-driven energy demand models for Indian states. Environmental Research: Energy, 2(2), 025003. https://doi.org/10.1088/2753-3751/adc7bc
  7. Maciel-Tiburcio, A., Martínez-Alvarado, O., & Rodríguez-Hernández, O. (2025). Evaluating bias correction methods for wind power estimation using numerical meteorological models. Renewable Energy, 247, 122927. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.renene.2025.122927
  8. James, L. A., Dacre, H. F., & Harvey, N. J. (2024). How dependent are quantitative volcanic ash concentration and along-flight dosage forecasts to model structural choices? Meteorological Applications, 31(5), e70003. https://doi.org/10.1002/met.70003
  9. Richardson, D. S., Cloke, H. L., Methven, J. A., & Pappenberger, F. (2024). Jumpiness in ensemble forecasts of Atlantic tropical cyclone tracks. Weather and Forecasting, 39(1), 203–215. https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-23-0113.1
  10. Craig, P. M., & Hawkins, E. (2024). Digitizing observations from the 1861–1875 Met Office Daily Weather Reports using citizen scientist volunteers. Geoscience Data Journal, 11(4), 608–622. https://doi.org/10.1002/gdj3.236