Publications
Our publications
A list of our refereed publications going back to 1998, with selected publications before then.
If you have problems accessing any of these papers, please contact Keith Shine .
Keith Shine’s Researcher ID on the ISI Web of Science and ResearcherID is D-9093-2012, where a full list of his references can be found. See also Orcid ID 0000-0003-2672-9978
Publications in press
Mangini F, Irvine EA, Shine KP, Stringer MA The dependence of minimum-time routes over the North Atlantic on cruise altitude Meteorological Applications doi: 10.1002/met.1733
Publications in 2018
Checa-Garcia R, Hegglin MI, Kinnison DE, Plummer DA, Shine KP 2018: Historical tropospheric and stratospheric ozone radiative forcing using the CMIP6 database Geophys. Res. Lett., 45,doi:10.1002/2017GL076770.
Link to abstract
Publications in 2017
Elsey J, Coleman MD, Gardiner T, Shine KP 2017: Can measurements of the near-infrared solar spectral irradiance be reconciled? A new ground-based assessment between 4000-10000 cm-1. Geophysical Research Letters, 44:10071-10080 doi:10.1002/2017GL073902
Link to abstract (open access)
Myhre G, Myhre CL, Forster PM, Shine KP 2017 Correspondence: Halfway to doubling of CO2radiative forcing Nature Geoscience doi:10.1038/ngeo3036
Link to abstract
Aamaas B, Berntsen TK, Fuglestvedt JS, Shine KP, Collins WJ 2017: Regional temperature change potentials for short lived climate forcers from multiple models Atmos Chem Phys 17:10795-10809 doi:10.5194/acp-17-10795-2017
Link to abstract (open access)
Matthes S, Grewe V, Dahlmann K, Frömming C, Irvine E, Lim L, Linke F, Lührs V, Owen B, Shine K, Stromatas S, Yamashita H, Yin F 2017: A concept for multi-criteria environmental assessment of aircraft trajectories Aerospace 4:42 doi: 10.3390/aerospace4030042
Link to abstract (open access)
Lund MT, Aamaas B, Berntsen T, Bock L, Burkhardt U, Fuglestvedt JS, Shine KP 2017: Emission metrics for quantifying regional climate impacts of aviation Earth Syst. Dynam. 8:547-563doi:10.5194/esd-8-547-2017
Link to abstract (open access)
Gordon IE, Rothman LS, Hill C, Kochanov RV, Tan Y, Bernath PF, Birk M, Boudon V, Campargue A, Chance KV, Drouin BJ, Flaud J-M, Gamache RR, Hodges JT, Jacquemart D, Perevalov VI, Perrin A, Shine KP, Smith MAH, Tennyson J, oon GC, Tran H, Tyuterev VG, Barbe A, Császár AG, Devi VM, Furtenbacher T, Harrison JJ, Hartmann JM, Jolly A, Johnson TJ, Karman T, Kleiner I, Kyuberis AA, Loos J, Lyulin OM, Massie ST, Mikhailenko SN, Moazzen-Ahmadi N, Müller HSP, Naumenko OV, Nikitin AV, Polyansky OL, Rey M, Rotger M, Sharpe SW, Sung K, Starikova E, Tashkun SA, Vander Auwera J, Wagner G, Wilzewski J, Wcislo P, Yu S, Zak EJ: The HITRAN2016 Molecular Spectroscopic Database Journal of Quantitative Spectroscopy and Radiative Transfer (to appear) doi:10.1016/j.jqsrt.2017.06.038
Link to abstract (open access)
Myhre G, Forster PM, Samset BH, Hodnebrog Ø, Sillmann J, Aalbergsjø SG, Andrews T, Boucher O, Faluvegi G, Fläschner D, Kasoar M, Kharin V, Kirkevåg A, Lamarque J-F, Olivié, D, Richardson T, Shindell D, Shine KP, Stjern CW, Takemura T, Voulgarakis A, Zwiers F 2017: PDRMIP: A Precipitation Driver and Response Model Intercomparison Project, Protocol and preliminary results Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 98:1185-1198 doi: 10.1175/BAMS-D-16-0019.1.
Link to abstract (open access)
Grewe V, Matthes S, Frömming C, Brinkop S, Jöckel P, Gierens K, Champougny T, Fuglestvedt J, Hasselrud A, Irvine EA, Shine KP 2017: Feasibility of climate-optimized air traffic routing for trans-Atlantic flights Environmental Research Letters 12:034003 doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/aa5ba0
Link to abstract (open access)
Link to news article
Link to Institute of Physics press release
Publications in 2016
Etminan M, Myhre G, Highwood EJ, Shine KP 2016: Radiative forcing of carbon dioxide, methane and nitrous oxide: a significant revision of the methane radiative forcingGeophysical Research Letters 43:12614-12623 doi: 10.1002/2016GL071930.
Link to abstract (open access)
Short summary of the paper
Link to Ellie Highwood’s blog post on the paper
Checa-Garcia R, Shine KP, Hegglin MI 2016: The contribution of greenhouse gases to the recent slowdown in global-mean temperature trends
Environmental Research Letters 11:094018 doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/11/9/094018
Link to abstract (open access)
Link to news article
Irvine EA, Shine KP, Stringer MA 2016: What are the implications of climate change for trans-Atlantic aircraft routing and flight time?
Transportation Research Part D: Transport and Environment 47:44-53 doi:10.1016/j.trd.2016.04.014
Link to abstract (open access)
Allen MR, Fuglestvedt JS, Shine KP, Reisinger A, Pierrehumbert RT, Forster PM 2016: New use of global warming potentials to compare cumulative and short-lived climate pollutants
Nature Climate Change doi:10.1038/nclimate2998
Link to abstract
Blog post by two of the authors
Shine KP, Campargue A, Mondelain D, McPheat RA, Ptashnik IV, Weidmann D, 2016: The water vapour continuum in near-infrared windows – current understanding and prospects for its inclusion in spectroscopic databases
J. Molec. Spectroscopy 327:193-208 doi: 10.1016/j.jms.2016.04.011
Link to abstract (open access)
Samset BH, Myhre G, Forster PM, Hodnebrog O, Andrews T, Faluvegi G, Flaschner D, Kasoar M, Kharin V, Kirkevag A, Lamarque J-F, Olivie D, Richardson T, Shindell D, Shine KP, Takemura T, Voulgarakis A 2016: Fast and slow precipitation responses to individual climate forcers: A PDRMIP multi-model study
Geophys Res Lett 43:2782-2791 doi:10.1002/2015GL067231.
Link to abstract
Aamaas B, Berntsen TK, Fuglestvedt JS, Shine KP, Bellouin N 2016: Regional emission metrics for short-lived climate forcers from multiple models
Atmos Chem Phys 16:7451-7468 10.5194/acp-16-7451-2016
Link to abstract (open access)
Ptashnik, IV, McPheat R, Polyansky OL, Shine KP, Smith KM 2016: Intensities and self-broadening coefficients of the strongest water vapour lines in the 2.7 and 6.25 micron absorption bands
J Quant Spectrosc Radiat Transf 177:92-107 doi: 10.1016/j.jqsrt.2016.02.001
Link to abstract (open access)
Macintosh CR, Allan RP, Baker LH, Bellouin N, Collins W, Mousavi Z, Shine KP 2016: Contrasting fast precipitation responses to tropospheric and stratospheric ozone forcing
Geophys Res Lett 43:1263-1271 doi:10.1002/2015GL067231.
Link to abstract (open access)
Publications in 2015Shine KP, Allan RP, Collins WJ, Fuglestvedt, JS 2015: Metrics for linking emissions of gases and aerosols to global precipitation changes
Earth Syst Dynam 6:525-540 doi:10.5194/esd-6-525-2015
Link to abstract (open access)
Irvine EA, Shine KP 2015: Ice-supersaturation and the potential for contrail formation in a changing climate
Earth Syst Dynam 6:555-568 10.5194/esd-6-555-2015
Link to abstract (open access)
Stohl A, Aamaas B, Amann M, Baker LH, Bellouin N, Berntsen TK, Boucher O, Cherian R, Collins W, Daskalakis N, Dusinska M, Eckhardt S, Fuglestvedt JS, Harju M, Heyes C, Hodnebrog Ø, Hao J, Im U, Kanakidou M, Klimont Z, Kupiainen K, Law KS, Lund MT, Maas R, MacIntosh CR, Myhre G, Myriokefalitakis S, Olivié D, Quaas J, Quennehen B, Raut J-C, Rumbold ST, Samset BH, Schulz M, Seland Ø, Shine KP, Skeie RB, Wang S, Yttri KE, and Zhu T 2015: Evaluating the climate and air quality impacts of short-lived pollutants
Atmos Chem Phys 15:10529-10566 10.5194/acp-15-10529-2015
Link to abstract (open access)
Rädel G, Shine KP, Ptashnik IV 2015: Global radiative and climate effect of the water vapour continuum at visible and near-infrared wavelengths
Q J R Meteorol Soc 141:727-738 10.1002/qj.2385
Link to abstract (open access)
MacIntosh CR, Shine KP, Collins WJ 2015: Radiative forcing and climate metrics for ozone precursor emissions: the impact of multi-model averaging
Atmos Chem Phys 15:3957-3969 10.5194/acpd-14-27195-2014
Link to abstract (open access)
Shine KP 2015: Radiative forcing and climate change. In Encyclopedia of Aerospace Engineering R Blockley and W Shyy (Eds) John Wiley and Sons Ltd, Chichester, 10.1002/9780470686652.eae526.pub2
Update based on the original article by Keith Shine, Encyclopedia of Aerospace Engineering © 2010, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.
Link to abstract
Publications in 2014
Fuglestvedt JS, Samset BH, Shine KP 2014: Counteracting the climate effects of volcanic eruptions using short-lived greenhouse gases
Geophys Res Lett 41:8627-8635 10.1002/2014GL061886
Link to abstract
McLandress C, Shepherd TG, Reader MC, Plummer DA, Shine KP 2014: The climate impact of past changes in halocarbons and CO2 in the tropical UTLS region
J Climate 27:8646-8660 10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00232.1
Link to abstract
Maycock AC, Joshi MM, Shine KP, Davis SM, Rosenlof KH 2014: Changes in lower stratospheric water vapour and stratospheric temperature trends over the past 30 years
Q J R Meteorol Soc 140:2176-2185 10.1002/qj.2287
Link to abstract (open access)
Etminan M, Highwood EJ, Laube JC, McPheat R, Marston G, Shine KP, Smith KM 2014: Infrared Absorption Spectra, Radiative Efficiencies, and Global Warming Potentials of Newly-Detected Halogenated Compounds: CFC-113a, CFC-112 and HCFC-133a
Atmosphere 5:473-483 doi:10.3390/atmos5030473
Link to abstract (open access)
Grewe V, Champougny T, Matthes S, Frömming C, Brinkop S, Søvde OA, Irvine EA, Halscheidt L 2014: Reduction of the air traffic’s contribution to climate change: A REACT4C case study
Atmospheric Environment 94:616-625 10.1016/j.atmosenv.2014.05.059
Link to abstract
Irvine EA, Hoskins BJ, Shine KP 2014: A simple framework for assessing the trade-off between the climate impact of aviation carbon dioxide emissions and contrails for a single flight
Environmental Research Letters 9:064021 doi:10.1088/1748-9326/9/6/064021
Link to abstract (open access)
Irvine EA, Hoskins BJ, Shine KP 2014: A Lagrangian analysis of ice-supersaturated air over the North Atlantic
J Geophys Res 119:90-100 10.1002/2013JD020251
Link to abstract
Grewe V, Frömming C, Matthes S, Brinkop S, Ponater M, Dietmüller S, Jöckel1 P, Garny H, Tsati E, Søvde AO, Fuglestvedt J, Berntsen TK, Shine KP, Irvine EA, Champougny T, Hullah P 2014:Aircraft routing with minimal climate impact: the REACT4C climate cost function modelling approach (V1.0)
Geosci Model Dev 7:175-201 doi: 10.5194/gmd-7-175-2014
Link to abstract (open access)
Publications in 2013
Shine KP 2013: Climate Change. In “Pollution: Causes, Effects and Control” (Ed: R M Harrison) ISBN: 978-1-84973-648-0 Royal Society of Chemistry Publishing
Link to publisher’s website
Menang KP, Coleman MD, Gardiner TD, Ptashnik IV, Shine KP 2013: A high-resolution near-infrared extraterrestrial solar spectrum derived from ground-based Fourier transform spectrometer measurements
J Geophys Res: Atmos 118:5319-5531 10.1002/jgrd.50425
Link to abstract
Hodnebrog Ø, Etminan M, Fuglestvedt JS, Marston G, Myhre G, Nielsen CJ, Shine KP, Wallington TJ 2013: Global Warming Potentials and Radiative Efficiencies of Halocarbons and Related Compounds: A Comprehensive Review
Reviews of Geophysics 51:300-378 10.1002/rog.20013
Link to abstract
Menang K, Shine KP 2013: The effect of chosen extraterrestrial solar spectrum on clear-sky atmospheric absorption and heating rates in the near infrared . RADIATION PROCESSES IN THE ATMOSPHERE AND OCEAN (IRS2012): Proceedings of the International Radiation Symposium (IRC/IAMAS) (eds: Cahalan RF, Fischer J) Date: 6-10 August 2012 AIP Conf. Proc. 1531, pp. 520-523; doi:10.1063/1.4804821
Link to abstract
Ptashnik IV, Petrova TM, Ponomarev YuN, Shine KP, Solodov AA, Solodov AM 2013: Near-infrared water vapour self-continuum at close to room temperature .
J Quant Spec Radiat Transf 120:23-35 10.1016/j.jqsrt.2013.02.016
Link to abstract (open access)
Irvine EA, Hoskins BJ, Shine KP, Lunnon RW, Fromming C 2013: Characterizing north Atlantic weather patterns for climate-optimal routing .
Meteorological Applications 20:80-93 DOI: 10.1002/met.1291
Link to abstract
Maycock AC, Joshi MM, Shine KP, Scaife AA 2013: The circulation response to idealized changes in water vapor.
J Climate 26:545-561 DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00155.1
Link to abstract
Köhler MO, Rädel G, Shine KP, Rogers HL, Pyle JA 2013: Latitudinal variation of the effect of aviation NOx emissions on atmospheric ozone and methane and related climate metrics
Atmospheric Environment 64:1-9 DOI: 10.1016/j.atmosenv.2012.09.013
Link to abstract
Publications in 2012
Tol RSJ, Berntsen TK, O’Neill BC, Fuglestvedt JS, Shine KP 2012: A unifying framework for metrics for aggregating the climate effect of different emissions
Environmental Research Letters 7:044006 doi:10.1088/1748-9326/7/4/044006
Link to abstract (open access)
Wilcox LJ, Shine KP, Hoskins BJ 2012: Radiative forcing by aviation water vapour emissions
Atmospheric Environment 63:1-13 DOI: 10.1016/j.atmosenv.2012.08.072
Link to abstract
Lund MT, Berntsen T, Fuglestved JS, Ponater M. Shine KP 2012: How much information is lost by using global-mean climate metrics? An example using the transport sector .
Climatic Change 113:949-963 DOI:10.1007/s10584-011-0391-3
Link to abstract
Irvine EA, Hoskins BJ, Shine KP 2012: The dependence of contrail formation on the weather pattern and altitude in the North Atlantic
Geophys Res Lett 39:L12802 doi:10.1029/2012GL051909
Link to abstract
Maycock AC, Shine KP: Stratospheric water vapor and climate: Sensitivity to the representation in radiation codes
J Geophys Res 117:D13102 doi:10.1029/2012JD017484
Link to abstract
Shine KP, Ptashnik IV, Rädel G 2012: The water vapour continuum: brief history and recent developments .
Surveys in Geophysics 33:535-555 DOI: 10.1007/s10712-011-9170-y
Link to abstract
Costa SMS, Shine KP 2012: Outgoing longwave radiation due to directly-transmitted surface emission .
J Atmos Sci 69, 1865-1870 DOI: 10.1175/JAS-D-11-0248.1
Link to abstract
Ptashnik IV, McPheat RA, Shine KP, Smith KM, Williams RG 2012: Water vapour foreign continuum absorption in near infrared windows from laboratory measurements.
Phil Trans Roy Soc A 370:2557-2577 doi:10.1098/rsta.2011.0218
Link to abstract
Gardiner TD, Coleman M, Browning H, Tallis L, Ptashnik IV, Shine KP 2012: Absolute high spectral resolution measurements of surface solar radiation for detection of water vapour continuum absorption.
Phil Trans Roy Soc A 370:2590-2610 doi: 10.1098/rsta.2011.0221
Link to abstract
Newman SM, Green PD, Ptashnik IV, Gardiner TD, Coleman MD, McPheat RA, Smith KM 2012:Airborne and satellite remote sensing of the mid-infrared water vapour continuum
Phil Trans Roy Soc A370:2611-2636 doi:10.1098/rsta.2011.0223
Link to abstract
Wilcox LJ, Hoskins BJ, Shine KP 2012: A global blended tropopause based on ERA data. Part I Climatology
Q J R Meteorol Soc 138:561-575 DOI:10.1002/qj.951
Link to abstract
Data (including updated data for 1979-2014) available here
Wilcox LJ, Hoskins BJ, Shine KP 2012: A global blended tropopause based on ERA data. Part II: Trends and tropical broadening.
Q J R Meteorol Soc 138:576-584 DOI:10.1002/qj.951
Link to abstract
Jones HM, Haywood J, Marenco F, O’Sullivan D, Meyer J, Thorpe R, Gallagher MW, Krämer M, Bower KN, Rädel G, Rap A, Forster P, Coe H 2012 A methodology for in-situ and remote sensing of microphysical and radiative properties of contrails as they evolve into cirrus
Atmos Chem Phys 12:8157-8175
Link to abstract (open access)
Publications in 2011
Haywood JM, Bellouin N, Jones, A, Boucher O, Wild M, Shine KP: The roles of aerosol, water vapor and cloud in future global dimming/brightening.
J Geophys Res 116:D20203 doi:10.1029/2011JD016000
Link to abstract
Ptashnik IV, McPheat RA, Shine KP, Smith KM, Williams RG 2011: Water vapour continuum absorption in near-infrared windows derived from laboratory measurements.
J Geophys Res D16305, 10.1029/2011JD015603
Link to abstract
Tallis L, Coleman M, Gardiner T, Ptashnik IV, Shine KP 2011: Assessment of the consistency of H2O line intensities over the near-infrared using sun-pointing ground-based Fourier transform spectroscopy
J Quant Spectrosc Radiat Transf 112:2268-2280 10.1016/j.jqsrt.2011.06.007
Link to abstract
Crook JA, Forster PM, Stuber N 2011: Spatial Patterns of Modelled Climate Feedback and Contributions to Temperature Response and Polar Amplification
J Climate 24:3575-3592 10.1175/2011JCLI3863.1
Link to abstract
Seidel DJ, Gillett NP, Lanzante JR, Shine KP, Thorne PW 2011: Stratospheric temperature trends: our evolving understanding.
Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change 2:592-616 10.1002/wcc.125
Link to abstract
Bravo I, Marston G, Nutt DR, Shine KP 2011: Radiative efficiencies and global warming potentials using theoretically determined absorption cross-sections for several hydrofluoroethers (HFEs) and hydrofluoropolyethers (HFPEs)
J Quant Spectrosc Radiat Transf 112:1967-1977 10.1016/j.jqsrt.2011.05.001
Link to abstract
Maycock AC, Shine KP, Joshi MM 2011: The temperature response to stratospheric water vapour changes
Q J R Meteorol. Soc. 137:1070-1082 10.1002/qj.822
Link to abstract
Shine KP, Highwood EJ, Rädel G, Stuber N, Balkanski Y 2011: Climate model calculations of the impact of aerosols from road transport and shipping
Optica Atmosfery i Okeana 24:444-451
Also in Atmospheric and Oceanic Optics (ISSN 1024 8560), 2012, 25:62-70 doi: 10.1134/S1024856012010125
Link to abstract
Ptashnik IV, Shine KP, Vigasin AA 2011: Water vapour self-continuum and water dimers. 1. Review and analysis of recent work.
J Quant Spectrosc Radiat Transf 112:1286-1303 10.1016/j.jqsrt.2011.01.012
Link to abstract
Thorne PW, Lanzante JR, Peterson TC, Seidel DJ, Shine KP 2011: Tropospheric temperature trends: history of an ongoing controversy.
Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change 2:66-88 doi: 10.1002/wcc.80
Link to abstract
Maycock AC, Keeley SPE, Charlton-Perez AJ, Doblas-Reyes FJ 2011: Stratospheric circulation in seasonal forecasting models: Implications for seasonal prediction.
Climate Dynamics 36:309-321 10.1007/s00382-009-0665-x
Link to abstract
Myhre G, Shine KP, Rädel G, Gauss M, Isaksen ISA, Tang Q, Prather MJ, Williams JE, van Velthoven P, Dessens O, Koffi B, Szopa S, Hoor P, Grewe V, Borken-Kleefeld J, Berntsen TK, Fuglestvedt JS 2011: Radiative forcing due to changes in ozone and methane caused by the transport sector .
Atmospheric Environment 45:387-394 doi:10.1016/j.atmosenv.2010.10.001
Link to abstract
Publications in 2010
Bravo I, Aranda A., Hurley MD, Marston G, Nutt DR, Shine KP, Smith K, Wallington TJ 2010:Infrared absorption spectra, radiative efficiencies, and global warming potentials of perfluorocarbons: comparison between experiment and theory
J. Geophys. Res., 115:D24317 doi:10.1029/2010JD014771
Link to abstract
Olivié D, Stuber N 2010: Emulating AOGCM results using simple climate models
Climate Dynamics 35:1257-1287 doi: 10.1007/s00382-009-0725-2
Link to abstract
Shine KP 2010: Radiative forcing and climate change. In Encyclopedia of Aerospace Engineering R Blockley and W Shyy (Eds) John Wiley and Sons Ltd, Chichester, 10.1002/9780470686652.eae526 See Shine KP 2015 for update.
Link to abstract
Link to abstract of 2015 update
Ptashnik IV, Tretyakov MYu 2010: Comments on the Paper ‘Detection of the Absorption Spectra of Water Clusters under Atmospheric Conditions’ ,
JETP Lett., 91(5), 251-3
Link to abstract
Shine KP 2010: Climate effect of inhaled anaesthetics
British Journal of Anaesthesia 105:731-733
Link to paper
Rädel G, Shine KP 2010: Validating ECMWF forecasts for the occurrence of ice supersaturation using visual observations of persistent contrails and radiosonde measurements over England
Q.J.R.Meteorol.Soc 136:1723-1732 doi: 10.1002/qj.670
Link to abstract
Fuglestvedt JS, Shine KP, Cook J, Berntsen T, Lee DS, Stenke A, Skeie RB, Velders GJM, Waitz IA 2010: Assessment of transport impacts on climate and ozone: metrics
Atmospheric Environment 44:4648-4677 doi:10.1016/j.atmosenv.2009.04.044
Link to abstract
Ptashnik IV, Smith KM 2010 Water vapour line intensities and self-broadening coefficients in the 5000-5600 cm-1 spectral region
J. Quant. Spectrosc. Radiat. Trans 10:1317-1327 doi:10.1016/j.jqsrt.2010.01.007
Link to abstract
Joshi MM, Webb MJ, Maycock AC, Collins M 2010: Stratospheric water vapour and high climate sensitivity in a version of the HadSM3 climate model
Atmos Chem Phys 10:7161-7167
Link to abstract (open access)
Bravo I, Diaz-de-Mera Y, Aranda A, Smith K, Shine KP, Marston G 2010: Atmospheric chemistry of C4F9OC2H5 (HFE-7200), C4F9OCH3 (HFE-7100), C3F7OCH3 (HFE-7000) and C3F7CH2OH: temperature dependence of the kinetics of their reactions with OH radicals, atmospheric lifetimes and global warming potentials
Phys.Chem.Chem.Phys 12:5115-5125 doi: 10.1039/b923092k
Link to abstract
Dall Amico M, Gray LJ, Rosenlof KH, Scaife AA, Shine KP, Stott PA 2010: Climate model simulatipns of recent decades with improved stratospheric representation: variability and trends in the stratosphere
Climate Dynamics 34:381-398 doi: 10.1007/s00382-009-0604-x
Link to abstract
Balkanski Y, Myhre G, Gauss M, Rädel G, Highwood EJ, Shine KP 2010: Direct radiative effect of aerosols emitted by transport: from road, shipping and aviation
Atmos Chem Phys 10:4477-4489 doi:10.5194/acp-10-4477-2010
Link to abstract (open access)
Publications in 2009
Myhre G, Kvalevåg M, Rädel G, Cook J, Shine KP, Clark H, Karcher F, Markowicz J, Kardas A, Wolkenberg P, Ponater M, Forster P, Rap, A, De Leon RR 2009: Intercomparison of radiative forcing calculations of stratospheric water vapour and contrails
Meteorologische Zeitschrift 18:585-596
Link to abstract
Haywood JM, Allan RP, Bornemann J, Forster P, Francis PN, Milton S, Rädel G, Alexandru Rap A, Shine KP, Thorpe R 2009 Case Study of the radiative forcing of persistent contrails evolving into contrail-induced cirrus
J Geophys Res 114:D24201 doi:10.1029/2009JD012650
Link to abstract
Paynter DJ, Ptashnik IV, Shine KP, Smith KM, McPheat R, Williams RG 2009: Laboratory measurements of the water vapor continuum in the 1200 cm-1 – 8000 cm-1 region between 293 K and 351 K.
J Geophys Res 114:D21301, doi:10.1029/2008JD011355
Link to abstract
Boucher O, Friedlingstein P, Collins W, Shine KP 2009: Indirect GWP and GTP due to methane oxidation.
Environmental Research Letters 4:044007
Link to abstract (open access)
Shine KP 2009: The global warming potential: the need for an interdisciplinary retrial. An editorial comment
Climatic Change 96:467-472 doi: 10.1007/s10584-009-9647-6
Link to abstract
Hoor P., Borken-Kleefeld J., Caro D., Dessens O., Endresen O., Gauss M., Grewe V., Hauglustaine D., Isaksen I.S.A., Jöockel P., Lelieveld J., Myhre G., Meijer E., Olivie D., Prather M., Schnadt Poberaj C., Shine K.P., Staehelin J., Tang Q., van Aardenne J., van Velthoven P., and Sausen R. 2009: The impact of traffic emissions on atmospheric ozone and OH: Results from QUANTIFY
Atmos Chem Phys 9:3113-3136
Link to abstract (open access)
Martinerie P, Nourtier-Mazauric E, Barnola J-M, Sturges WT, Worton DR, Atlas D, Gohar LK, Shine KP, Brasseur GP 2009: Long-lived halocarbon trends and budgets from atmospheric chemistry modelling constrained with measurements in polar firn
Atmos Chem Phys 9:3911-3934
Link to abstract (open access)
Austin J, Wilson J, Akiyoshi H., Bekki S, Butchart N, Claud C, Forster P, Garcia RR, Gillett NP, Keckhut P, Langematz U, E.Manzini E, Nagashima T, Randel WJ, Rozanov E, Shepherd TG, Shibata K, Shine KP, Struthers H, Thompson D, Wu F, Yoden S 2009: Coupled chemistry climate model simulations of stratospheric temperatures and their trends for the recent past.
Geophysical Research Letters 36, L13809, doi:10.1029/2009GL038462
Link to abstract
Stone EJ, Lowe JA, Shine KP 2009: The impact of carbon capture and storage on climate.
Energy and Environmental Science 2:81-91
Link to abstract
Randel WJ, Shine KP, Austin J, Barnett J, Chantal C, Gillett NP, Keckhut P, Langematz U, Lin, R, Long C, Mears C, Miller A, Nash J, Seidel DJ, Thompson DWJ, Wu F, Yoden S 2009: An update of observed stratospheric temperature trends.
Journal of Geophysical Research 114:D02107 doi:10.1029/2008JD010421
Link to abstract
Gray LJ, Rumbold ST, Shine KP 2009: Stratospheric temperatures and radiative forcing responseto 11-year solar cycle changes in irradiance and ozone.
J Atmos Sci 66:2402-2417
Link to abstract
Publications in 2008
Köhler MO, Rädel G, Dessens O, Shine KP, Rogers HL, Wild O, Pyle JA 2008: Impact of perturbations of nitrogen oxide emissions from global aviation.
J Geophys Res 113:D11305, doi:10.1029/2007JD009140.
Link to abstract
Ptashnik IV 2008: Evidence for the contribution of water dimers to the near-IR water vapour self-continuum
J. Quant. Spectrosc. Radiat. Trans 109:831-852
Link to abstract
Rädel G, Shine KP 2008: Influence of aircraft cruise altitudes on radiative forcing by persistent contrails.
J Geophys Res 113:D07105 doi:10.1029/2007JD009117.
Link to abstract
Isaksen ISA, Rognerud B, Myhre G, Haigh JD, Rumbold ST, Shine KP, Zerefos C, Tourpali K, Randel W 2008: Radiative forcing from modelled and observed stratospheric ozone changes due to the 11-year solar cycle
Atmos. Chem. Phys. Discuss. 8:4353-4371.
Link to abstract
Shine KP, Barnett JJ, Randel WJ 2008: Temperature trends derived from Stratospheric Sounding Unit radiances: the effect of increasing CO2 on the weighting function.
Geophys. Res. Lett. 35:L02710, doi:10.1029/2007GL032218.
Link to abstract
Publications in 2007
Forster PMdeF, Shine KP, and Stuber N 2007: Corrigendum to “It is premature to include non-CO2 effects of aviation in emission trading schemes”
Atmospheric Environment 41:3941 doi:10.1016/j.atmosenv.2005.11.081
Link to abstract. Here is the original article
Gohar LK, Shine KP 2007: Equivalent CO2 and its use in understanding the climate effects of increased greenhouse gas concentrations.
Weather 62:307-311.
Link to abstract
Myhre G, Nilsen JS, Gulstad L, Shine KP, Rognerud B, Isaksen ISA 2007: Radiative forcing due to stratospheric water vapour from CH4 oxidation
Geophys. Lett. Res. 34:L01807 doi:1029/2006GL027472
Link to abstract
Paynter DJ, Ptashnik IV , Shine KP, Smith KM 2007: Pure water vapor continuum measurements between 3100 and 4400 cm-1: Evidence for water dimer absorption in near atmospheric conditions
Geophys. Res. Lett. 34:L12808, doi:10.1029/2007GL029259.
Link to abstract
Rädel G, Shine KP 2007: Evaluation of the use of radiosonde humidity data to predict the occurrence of persistent contrails
Q.J.Roy.Meteor.Soc. 133: 1413.1423 DOI: 10.1002/qj.128.
Link to abstract
Ptashnik IV 2007: Evaluation of suitable spectral intervals for near-IR laboratory detection of water vapour continuum absorption
J. Quant. Spectrosc. Radiat. Trans 108:146-160
Link to abstract
Shine KP, Berntsen TK, Fuglestvedt JS, Bieltvedt Skeie R, Stuber N 2007: Comparing the climate effect of emissions of short- and long-lived climate agents
Phil. Trans. R.Soc. A 365:1903-1914, doi:10.1098/rsta.2007.2050
Link to abstract
Shine KP and Sturges WT 2007: CO2 is not the only gas
Science 315:1804-1805, doi:10.1126/science.1141677
Link to summary
Link to full text
Stuber N, Forster PM de F 2007: The impact of diurnal variations of air traffic on contrail radiative forcing
Atmos. Chem. Phys. 7:3153–3162
Link to full text
Tompkins AM, Gierens K, and Radel G 2007: Ice supersaturation in the ECMWF integrated forecast system
Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc. 133: 53-63
Link to Abstract
Worton DE, Sturges WT, Gohar LK, Shine KP, Martinerie P, Oram DE, Humphrey SP, Begley P, Gunn L, Barnola JM, Schwander J and Mulvaney R 2007: Atmospheric trends and radiative forcings of CF4 and C2F6 inferred from firn air
Environ.Sci.Technol. 41:2184-2189 doi:10.1021/es061710t
Link to abstract
Publications in 2006
Butchart N, Scaife AA, Bourqui M, de Grandpre J, Hare SHE, Kettleborough J, Langematz U, Manzini E, Sassi F, Shibata K, Shindell D and Sigmond M 2006: Simulations of anthropogenic change in the strength of the Brewer-Dobson circulation.
Climate Dynamics 27, 727-741
Link to abstract
Casanova SEB, Shine KP, Gardiner T, Coleman M, Pegrum H 2006: Assessment of the consistency of near-infrared water vapor line intensities using high spectral resolution ground-based Fourier-transform measurements of solar radiation
J. Geophys Res.,111, D11302 doi 10.1029/2005JD006583
Link to abstract
Collins WD, Ramaswamy V, Schwarzkopf MD, Sun Y, Portmann RW Fu Q, Casanova SEB, Dufresne JL, Fillmore DW, Forster PMD, Galin VY, Gohar LK, Ingram WJ, Kratz DP, Lefebvre MP, Li J, Marquet P, Oinas V, Tsushima Y, Uchiyama T and Zhong WY 2006: Radiative forcing by well-mixed greenhouse gases: Estimates from climate models in the IPCC AR4
J. Geophys. Res. 111:D14317 doi:10.1029/2005JD006713
Link to abstract
Costa SMS and Shine KP 2006 An estimative of the global impact of multiple scattering by clouds on outgoing longwave radiation
Quart J R Met Soc., 132:885-895 doi:10.1256/qj.05.169
Link to abstract
Forster PMdeF, Shine KP, and Stuber N 2006: It is premature to include non-CO2 effects of aviation in emission trading schemes
Atmospheric Environment 40:1117-1121 doi 10.1016/j.atmosenv.2005.11.005
Link to abstract. Important: See also corrigendum
Gauss M, Myhre G, Isaksen ISA, Grewe V, Pitari G, Wild O, Collins WJ, Dentener FJ, Ellingsen K, Gohar LK, Hauglustaine DA, Iachetti D, Lamarque J-F, Mancini E, Mickley LJ, Prather MJ, Pyle JA, Sanderson MG, Shine KP, Stevenson DS, Sudo K, Szopa S, and Zeng G 2006:Radiative forcing since preindustrial times due to ozone change in the troposphere and the lower stratosphere
Atmos. Chem. Phys., 6, 575-599.
Link to abstract
Robson JI, Gohar LK, Hurley MD, Shine KP and Wallington TJ 2006: Revised IR spectrum, radiative efficiency and global warming potential of nitrogen trifluoride
Geophys. Res. Lett., 33:L10817 doi 10.10 29/2006GL026210
Link to abstract
Stuber N, Forster P, Radel G, and Shine KP 2006: The importance of the diurnal and annual cycle of air traffic for contrail radiative forcing
Nature , 441:864-867 doi:10.1038/nature04877
Link to abstract
Publications in 2005
Berntsen TK, Fuglestvedt JS, Joshi MM, Shine KP, Stuber N, Ponater M, Sausen R, Hauglustaine DA, Li L 2005: Response of climate to regional emissions of ozone precursors: sensitivities and warming potentials
Tellus 4: 283-304, doi:10.1111/j.1600-0889.2005.00152.x
Link to abstract
Bourqui_MS, Taylor CP, Shine KP 2005: A new fast stratospheric ozone chemistry scheme in an intermediate general circulation model. Part II: Application to effects of future increases in greenhouse gases
Quart J R Met Soc doi: 10.1256/qj.04.19
Link to abstract
Forster PMdeF, Collins M, 2004: Quantifying the water vapour feedback associated with post-Pinatubo cooling
Climate Dynamics 23:207-214
Link to abstract
Forster, P. M. de F., and M. Joshi 2005: The role of halocarbons in the climate change of the troposphere and stratosphere
Climate Change
doi 10.1007/s10584-005-5955-7
Link to abstract
Hurley, M. D., T. J. Wallington, G. A. Buchanan, L. K. Gohar, G. Marston, and K. P. Shine, 2005: IR spectrum and radiative forcing of CF4 revisitied.
J. Geophys. Res.,110 D02102, 10.1029/2004JD005201
Link to abstract
Johnson BT, 2005: The Semidirect Aerosol Effect: Comparison of a Single-Column Model with Large Eddy Simulation for Marine Stratocumulus
Journal of Climate doi: 10.1175/JCLI-3233.1
Link to abstract
Ptashnik IV, Smith KM, Shine KP, 2005: Self-broadened line parameters for water vapour in the spectral region 5000-5600cm-1
Journal of Molecular Spectroscopy232:186-201 doi:10.1016/j.jms.2005.04.008
Link to abstract
Shine KP, Berntsen TK, Fuglestvedt JS and Sausen R 2005: Scientific issues in the design of metrics for inclusion of NOx in global climate agreements
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences
232:186-201 doi 10.1073/pnas.0506865102
Link to abstract
Shine KP, Fuglestvedt JS, Hailemariam K, Stuber N, 2005: Alternatives to the global warming potential for comparing climate impacts of emissions of greenhouse gases
Climatic Change 68:281-302 doi:10.1007/s10584-005-1146-9
Link to abstract
Shine KP, Gohar LK, Hurley MD, Marston G, Martin D, Simmonds PG, Wallington TJ and Watkins M, 2005: Perfluorodecalin: global warming potential and first detection in the atmosphere
Atmospheric Environment 39:1759-1763 doi:10.1016/j.atmosenv.2005.01.001
Link to abstract
Taylor CP, Bourqui_MS 2005: A new fast stratospheric ozone chemistry scheme in an intermediate general circulation model. Part I: Description and evaluation
Quart J R Met Soc doi: 10.1256/qj.04.18
Link to abstract
Publications in 2004
Johnson BT, Shine KP, Forster PM, 2004: The semi-direct aerosol effect: Impact of absorbing aerosols on marine stratocumulus
Quart J Roy Met Soc 130: 1407-1422
Link to abstract
Gettelman A, Forster, PMD, Fujiwara M, Fu Q, Vomel H, Gohar LK, Johanson C, Ammerman M, 2004: Radiation balance of the tropical tropopause layer
J. Geophys. Res. 109, D07103, 10.1029/2003JD004190
Link to abstract
Gohar LK, Myhre G, Shine KP, 2004: Updated radiative forcing estimates of four halocarbons
J. Geophys. Res. 109, D01107, 10.1029/2003JD004320
Link to abstract
Forster PMdeF, Burkholder JB, Clerbaux C, Coheur PF, Dutta M, Gohar LK, Hurley MD, Myhre G, Portmann RW, Shine KP, Wallington TJ and Wuebbles D, 2004: Resolving the uncertainties in the radiative forcing of HFC-134a
J. Quant. Spectrosc. Radiat. Trans. 93:447-460 doi:10.10106/j.jqsrt.2004.08.038
Link to abstract
Ptashnik IV, Smith KM, Shine KP, Newnham DA, 2004: Laboratory measurements of water vapour continuum absorption in spectral region 5000-5600cm -1: Evidence for water dimers
Quart J Roy Met Soc 130:2391-2408
Link to abstract (450 kb)
Smith KM, Ptashnik I, Newnham DA, Shine KP, 2004: Absorption by water vapour in the 1 to 2 µm region
J. Quant. Spectrosc. Radiat. Trans., 83:735-749
Link to abstract
Publications in 2003
Joshi MM, Shine KP, 2003: A GCM study of volcanic eruptions as a cause of increased stratospheric water vapor
Journal of Climate 16:3525-3534
Link to abstract
Joshi M, Shine K, Ponater M, Stuber N, Sausen R, Li L 2003: A comparison of climate response to different radiative forcings in three general circulation models: towards an improved metric of climate change
Climate Dynamics 20:843-854
Link to abstract
Ptashnik IV, Shine KP 2003: Calculation of solar radiative fluxes in the atmosphere: The effect of the updates in spectroscopic data
Atmos. Oceanic Opt. 16: 251-255
Click here for an acrobat (.pdf) version (690 kb)
Sexton DMN, Grubb H, Shine KP, Folland CK 2003: Design and analysis of climate model experiments for the efficient estimation of anthropogenic signals
Journal of Climate 16: 1320-1336
Link to abstract
Shine KP, Cook J, Highwood EJ, Joshi MM 2003: Alternative to radiative forcing for estimating the relative importance of climate change mechanisms
Geophys. Res. Lett.,30, 2047 10.1029/2003GL018141
Link to abstract
Shine KP, Bourqui MS, Forster PMdeF, Hare SHE, Langematz U, Braesicke P, Grewe V, Ponater M, Schnadt C, Smith CA, Haigh JD, Austin J, Butchart N, Shindell DT, Randel WJ, Nagashima T, Portmann RW, Solomon S, Seidel DJ, Lanzante J, Klein S, Ramaswamy V, Schwarzkopf MD, 2003: A comparison of model-simulated trends in stratospheric temperatures
Quart J Roy Met Soc 129: 1565-1588
Link to abstract
Publications in 2002
Berntsen TK, Fuglestvedt JS, Joshi MM, Shine KP, Ponater M, Sausen R and Hauglustaine D 2002: Indirect forcings from emissions of NOx and CO: Is the location of emissions important?
Non-CO2 Greenhouse Gases: Scientific understanding, control options and policy aspectsEds. J. Van Ham et al., Millpress (Rotterdam) pp 363-371
Chagas JCS, Newnham DA, Smith KM, Shine KP 2002: Impact of new measurements of oxygen collision-induced absorption on estimates of short-wave atmospheric absorption
Quart J Roy Met Soc 128: 2377-2396
Link to abstract
Gettelman A, Forster PM de F 2002: Definition and climatology of the tropical tropopause layer
J. Met. Soc. Japan 80: 911-924
Link to abstract
Sausen R, Ponater M, Stuber N, Joshi M, Shine K and Li L 2002: Climate response to inhomogenously distributed forcing agents
Non-CO2 Greenhouse Gases: Scientific understanding, control options and policy aspectsEds. J. Van Ham et al., Millpress (Rotterdam) pp 377-383
Myhre G, Jonson JE, Bartnicki J, Stordal F, Shine KP 2002: Role of spatial and temporal variations in the computation of radiative forcing due to sulphate aerosols: A regional study
Quart J Roy Met Soc 128: 973-989
Link to abstract
Forster PM de F, Shine KP (2002): Assessing the climate impact and its uncertainty for trends in stratospheric water vapor
Geophys. Res. Lett. 29: 10.1029/2001GL013909
Link to abstract
Nielsen OJ, Nicolaisen FM, Bacher C, Hurley MD, Wallington TJ, Shine KP 2002: Infrared spectrum and global warming potential of SF5CF3
Atmospheric Environment 36:1237-1240
Link to abstract
Shine KP 2002: Atmospheric ozone and climate change
Ozone: Science and Engineering. 23:429-435
Link to abstract
Shine, KP and EJ Highwood 2002: Problems in quantifying natural and anthropogenic perturbations to the Earth’s energy balance
“Meteorology at the Millenium” Ed: RP Pearce, Academic pp 123-132
Link to Amazon!
Publications in 2000-2001
Forster PM de F, Tourpali K 2001: The effect of tropopause height changes on the calculation of ozone trends and their radiative forcing
J. Geophys. Res. 106: 12241-12252
Link to abstract
Forster PM de F, Ponater M, Zhong W 2001: Testing broadband radiation schemes for their ability to calculate the radiative forcing and temperature response to stratospheric water vapour and ozone changes
Meteorol Z. 10: 387-393
Link to abstract
Sihra, K, Hurley MD, Shine KP, Wallington TJ 2001: Updated radiative forcing estimates of sixty-five halocarbons and non-methane hydrocarbons
J Geophys Res 106: 20493-20506.
Link to abstract
Chagas JCS, Newnham DA, Smith KM, Shine KP 2001: Effects of improvements in near-infared water vapour line intensities on short-wave atmospheric absorption
Geophys Res Lett 28: 2401-2402
Link to abstract
Rosier SM, Shine KP 2000: The effect of two decades of ozone change on stratospheric temperatures as indicated by a general circulation model
Geophys Res Lett 27:2617-2620
Link to abstract
Sturges WT, Wallington TJ, Hurley MD, Shine KP, Sihra K, Engel A, Oram DE, Penkett SA, Mulvaney R, Brenninkmeijer CAM 2000: A potent greenhouse gas identified in the atmosphere: SF5CF3
Science 289:611-613
Link to abstract
Shine KP, 2000: Radiative forcing and climate change
Space Science Reviews 94:363-373
Link to abstract
Ballard J, Knight RJ, Newnham DA, Auwera JV, Herman M, Lonardo GD, Masciarelli G, Nicolaisen FM, Beukes JA, Christensen LK, McPheat R, Duxbury G, Freckleton R, Shine KP 2000: An intercomparison of laboratory measurements of absorption cross sections and integrated absorption intensities for HCFC-22
J Quant Spectrosc Radiat Transf 66: 109-128
Link to abstract
Forster PMdeF, Blackburn M, Glover R, Shine KP 2000: An examination of climate sensitivity for idealised climate change experiments in an intermediate general circulation model
Climate Dynamics 16:833-849
Highwood E, Shine KP 2000: Radiative forcing and global warming potentials of 11 halogenated compounds.
J Quant Spectrosc Radiat Transf 66:169-183
Publications in 1998-1999
Allan RP, Shine KP, Slingo A, Pamment JA 1999: The dependence of clear-sky outgoing longwave radiation on surface temperature and height dependent changes in relative humidity
Quart J Roy Meteorol Soc 125:2103-2126
Forster PMdeF 1999: Radiative forcing due to stratospheric ozone changes 1979-1997, using updated trend estimates
J Geophys Res 104:24395-24399
Forster PMdeF, Shine KP 1999: Stratospheric water vapour changes as a possible contributor to observed stratospheric cooling
Geophys Res Lett 26:3309-3312
Highwood E, Shine KP, Hurley MD, Wallington TJ 1999: Estimation of direct radiative forcing due to non-methane hydrocarbons
Atmos. Env. 33:759-767
Sabziparvar AA, Shine KP, Forster PMdeF 1999: A model derived global climatology of ultraviolet irradiance at the Earth’s surface
Photochem. PhotoBiol 69:193-202
Shine KP, Forster PMdeF 1999: The effect of human activity on radiative forcing of climate change: a review of recent developments
Global and Planetary Change 20:205-225
Freckleton RS, Highwood EJ, Shine KP,Wild O, Law KS, Sanderson MG 1998: Greenhouse gas radiative forcing: effects of averaging and inhomogeneities in trace gas distribution
Quart J Royal Meteorol Soc 124:2099-2127
Myhre G, Highwood EJ, Shine KP, Stordal F 1998: New estimates of radiative forcing due to well-mixed greenhouse gases
Geophys Res Lett 25:2715-2718
Pinnock S, Shine KP 1998: The effects of changes in HITRAN and uncertainties in the spectroscopy of infrared irradiance calculations
J Atmos Sci 55:1950-1964
Sabziparvar AA, Forster PMdeF, Shine KP 1998: Changes in ultraviolet radiation due to stratospheric and tropospheric ozone changes since pre-industrial times
J Geophys Res 103:26107-26113
Shine KP, Freckleton RS, Forster PMdeF 1998: Comment on “Climate forcing by stratospheric ozone depletion calculated from observed temperature trends”
Geophys Res Lett. 25:663-664
Stevenson DS, Johnson CE, Collins WJ, Derwent RG, Shine KP, Edwards JM 1998: Evolution of tropospheric ozone radiative forcing
Geophys Res Lett 25:3819-3822
Selected Publications before 1998
Berntsen T, Isaksen ISA, Fuglesvedt JS, Myhre G, Stordal F, Larsen, TA, Freckleton RS, Shine KP 1997: Effects of anthropogenic emissions on tropospheric ozone and radiative forcing
J.Geophys Res 102:28101-28126
Link to abstract
Christidis N, Hurley MD, Pinnock S, Shine KP, Wallington TJ 1997: Further calculations of the radiative forcing of CFC-11 and possible fluorocarbon replacements to the CFCs
J Geophys Res 102:19597-19609
Link to abstract
Forster PMdeF, Shine KP 1997: Radiative forcing and temperature trends from stratospheric ozone depletion
J Geophys Res 102:10841-10855
Link to abstract
Forster PMdeF, Freckleton RS, Shine KP 1997: On the concept of radiative forcing
Climate Dynamics 13:547-560
Haywood JM, Roberts DL, Slingo A, Edwards JM, Shine KP 1997: Global circulation model calculations of the radiative forcing of anthropogenic sulphate and soot aerosol
J Climate 10:1562-1577
Haywood JM, Shine KP 1997: Multi-spectral calculations of the radiative forcing of tropospheric sulphate and soot aerosols using a column model
Quart J Royal Meteorol Soc 123:1907-1931
Pinnock S, Hurley MD, Shine KP, Wallington TJ, Smyth TJ 1995: Radiative forcing of climate by hydrochlorofluorocarbons and hydrofluorocarbons .
J Geophys Res 100:23227-23238
Link to abstract
Haywood JM, Shine KP 1995: The effect of anthropogenic sulfate and soot aerosol on the clear sky planetary radiation budget .
Geophys Res Lett 22:603-606
Sun Z, Shine KP 1994: Studies of the radiative properties of ice and mixed phase clouds .
Q J R Meteorol Soc 120:111-137
Shine KP, Crane RG 1984: The sensitivity of a one-dimensional thermodynamic sea-ice model to changes in cloudiness .
J Geophys Res 89:10615-10622
Link to abstract