2011

Turner, A. G. and Slingo, J. M. (2011) Using idealized snow forcing to test teleconnections with the Indian summer monsoon in the Hadley Centre GCM. Climate Dynamics, 36 (9-10). pp. 1717-1735. ISSN 1432-0894 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-010-0805-3

Yang, G. Y., Hoskins, B. J. and Slingo, J. M. (2011) Equatorial waves in opposite QBO phases. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 68 (4). pp. 839-862. ISSN 1520-0469 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/2010JAS3514.1

Black, E., Brayshaw, D., Slingo, J. and Hoskins, B. (2011) Future climate of the Middle East. In: Mithen, S. and Black, E. (eds.) Water, Life and Civilisation: Climate, Environment and Society in the Jordan Valley. International Hydrology Series. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, pp. 51-62. ISBN 9780521769570

Brayshaw, D., Black, E., Hoskins, B. and Slingo, J. (2011) Past climates of the Middle East. In: Mithen, S. and Black, E. (eds.) Water, Life and Civilisation: Climate, Environment and Society in the Jordan Valley. International Hydrology Series. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, pp. 25-50. ISBN 9780521769570

Black, E., Hoskins, B., Slingo, J. and Brayshaw, D. (2011) The present-day climate of the Middle East. In: Mithen, S. and Black, E. (eds.) Water, Life and Civilisation: Climate, Environment and Society in the Jordan Valley. International Hydrology Series. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, pp. 13-24. ISBN 9780521769570

Turner, A. G., Sperber, K., Slingo, J. M., Meehl, G., Mechoso, C. R., Kimoto, M. and Giannini, A. (2011) Modelling monsoons: understanding and predicting current and future behaviour. In: Chang, C.-P., Ding, Y., Lau, G. N.-C., Johnson, R. H., Wang, B. and Yasunari, T. (eds.) The global monsoon system: research and forecast, 2nd edition. World scientific series on Asia-Pacific weather and climate, 5. World Scientific/WMO, London Singapore New Jersey, pp. 421-454. ISBN 9789814343404

Lei, Y., Hoskins, B. and Slingo, J. (2011) Exploring the interplay between natural decadal variability and anthropogenic climate change in summer rainfall over China. Part I: Observational evidence. Journal of Climate, 24 (17). pp. 4584-4599. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/2010JCLI3794.1

Klingaman, N. P., Woolnough, S. J., Weller, H. and Slingo, J. M. (2011)The impact of finer-resolution air-sea coupling on the intraseasonal oscillation of the Indian monsoon. Journal of Climate, 24 (10). pp. 2451-2468. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/2010JCLI3868.1

2010

Toniazzo, T., Mechoso, C. R., Shaffrey, L. C. and Slingo, J. M. (2010)Upper-ocean heat budget and ocean eddy transport in the south-east Pacific in a high-resolution coupled model. Climate Dynamics, 35 (7-8). pp. 1309-1329. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-009-0703-8

Shukla, J., Palmer, T. N., Hagedorn, R., Hoskins, B., Kinter, J., Marotzke, J., Miller, M. and Slingo, J. (2010) Toward a new generation of world climate research and computing facilities. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 91 (10). pp. 1407-1412. ISSN 1520-0477 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/2010BAMS2900.1

Vidale, P. L., Roberts, M., Hodges, K., Strachan, J., Demory, M.-E. and Slingo, J. (2010) Tropical Cyclones in a hieararchy of climate models of increasing resolution. In: Charabi, Y. (ed.) Indian ocean tropical cyclones and climate change. Earth and environmental science, 1. Springer, pp. 9-14. doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-90-481-3109-9_2

2009

Turner, A. G. and Slingo, J. M. (2009) Subseasonal extremes of precipitation and active-break cycles of the Indian summer monsoon in a climate-change scenario. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 135 (640). pp. 549-567. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.401

Shaffrey, L. C., Stevens, I., Norton, W., Roberts, M. J., Vidale, P. L., Harle, J. D., Jrrar, A., Stevens, D. P., Woodage, M. J., Demory, M.-E., Donners, J., Clark, D. B., Clayton, A., Cole, J. W., Wilson, S. S., Connolley, W. M., Davies, T. M., Iwi, A. M., Johns, T. C., King, J. C., New, A. L., Slingo, J. M., Slingo, A., Steenman-Clark, L. and Martin, G. M. (2009) U.K. HiGEM: The New U.K. High-Resolution Global Environment Model—Model Description and Basic Evaluation. Journal of Climate, 22 (8). pp. 1861-1896. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/2008JCLI2508.1

Slingo, J. M., Bates, K., Nikiforakis, N., Piggott, M., Roberts, M., Shaffrey, L., Stevens, I., Vidale, P. L. and Weller, H. (2009) Developing the next-generation climate system models: challenges and achievements.Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences, 367 (1890). pp. 815-831. ISSN 1364-503X doi: https://doi.org/10.1098/rsta.2008.0207

Osborne, T. M., Slingo, J. M., Lawrence, D. and Wheeler, T. R. (2009)Examining the interaction of growing crops with local climate using a coupled crop-climate model. Journal of Climate, 22 (6). pp. 1393-1411. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/2008JCLI2494.1

Yang, G. Y., Slingo, J. M. and Hoskins, B. J. (2009) Convectively coupled equatorial waves in high resolution Hadley centre climate models. Journal of Climate, 22 (8). pp. 1897-1919. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/2008JCLI2630.1

Klingaman, N. P., Weller, H., Woolnough, S. J., Inness, P. M. and Slingo, J. M. (2009) Coupled simulations of the Indian monsoon intraseasonal oscillation using a fine-resolution mixed-layer ocean model. Proceedings of the ECMWF Workshop on Ocean-Atmosphere Interaction. pp. 195-205.

Shukla, J., Hagedorn, R., Miller, M., Palmer, T. N., Hoskins, B., Kinter, J., Marotzke, J. and Slingo, J. (2009) Strategies: Revolution in climate prediction is both necessary and possible: A declaration at the World Modelling Summit for Climate Prediction. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 90 (2). pp. 175-178. ISSN 1520-0477 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/2008BAMS2759.1

Turner, A. G. and Slingo, J. M. (2009) Uncertainties in future projections of extreme precipitation in the Indian monsoon region. Atmospheric Science Letters, 10 (3). pp. 152-158. ISSN 1530-261X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/asl.223

Lloyd, J., Guilyardi, E., Weller, H. and Slingo, J. M. (2009) The role of atmosphere feedbacks during ENSO in the CMIP3 models. Atmospheric Science Letters, 10 (3). pp. 170-176. ISSN 1530-261X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/asl.227

2008

Bernie, D.J., Guilyardi, E., Madec, G., Slingo, J.M., Woolnough, S.J. and Cole, J. (2008) Impact of resolving the diurnal cycle in an ocean-atmosphere GCM. Part 2: A diurnally coupled CGCM. Climate Dynamics, 31 (7-8). pp. 909-925. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-008-0429-z

Klingaman, N. P., Inness, P.M., Weller, H. and Slingo, J.M. (2008) The Importance of High-Frequency Sea Surface Temperature Variability to the Intraseasonal Oscillation of Indian Monsoon Rainfall. Journal of Climate, 21 (23). pp. 6119-6140. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/2008JCLI2329.1

Klingaman, N. P., Weller, H., Slingo, J.M. and Inness, P.M. (2008) The intraseasonal variability of the Indian summer monsoon using TMI sea surface temperatures and ECMWF reanalysis. Journal of Climate, 21 (11). pp. 2519-2539. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/2007JCLI1850.1

2007

Bernie, D. J., Guilyardi, E., Madec, G., Slingo, J. M. and Woolnough, S. W.(2007) Impact of resolving the diurnal cycle in an ocean-atmosphere GCM. Part 1: A diurnally forced OGCM. Climate Dynamics, 29 (6). pp. 575-590. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-007-0249-6

Yang, G.Y., Hoskins, B.J. and Slingo, J. M. (2007) Convectively coupled equatorial waves: Part I: Horizontal and vertical structure. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 64 (10). pp. 3406-3423. ISSN 1520-0469 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JAS4017.1

Yang, G.Y., Hoskins, B. J. and Slingo, J.M. (2007) Convectively coupled equatorial waves: Part II: propagation characteristics. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 64 (10). pp. 3424-3427. ISSN 1520-0469 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JAS4018.1

Yang, G.Y., Hoskins, B. J. and Slingo, J.M. (2007) Convectively coupled equatorial waves: Part III: Synthesis structures and their forcing and evolution. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 64 (10). pp. 3438-3451. ISSN 1520-0469 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JAS4019.1

Turner, A.G., Inness, P.M. and Slingo, J.M. (2007) The effect of doubled CO2 and model basic state biases on the monsoon-ENSO system. I: Mean response and interannual variability. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 133 (626). pp. 1143-1157. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.82

Turner, A.G., Inness, P.M. and Slingo, J.M. (2007) The effect of doubled CO2 and model basic state biases on the monsoon-ENSO system. II: Changing ENSO regimes. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 133. pp. 1159-1173. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.83

Spencer, H., Sutton, R. and Slingo, J.M. (2007) El Nino in a Coupled Climate Model: Sensitivity to changes in mean state induced by heat flux and wind stress corrections. Journal of Climate, 20 (10). pp. 2273-2298. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI4111.1

Osborne, T. M., Lawrence, D.M., Challinor, A. J., Slingo, J.M. and Wheeler, T. R. (2007) Development and assessment of a coupled crop-climate model. Global Change Biology, 13 (1). pp. 169-183. ISSN 1354-1013 doi: https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-2486.2006.01274.x

2006

Challinor, A. J., Wheeler, T. R., Osborne, T. M. and Slingo, J. M. (2006)Assessing the vulnerability of crop productivity to climate change thresholds using an integrated crop-climate model. In: Schellnhuber, J., Cramer, W., Nakicenovic, N., Wigley, T. M. L. and Yohe, G. (eds.) Avoiding Dangerous Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, pp. 187-194. ISBN 9780521864718 doi: https://doi.org/10.2277/0521864712

Krishnan, R., Ramesh, K. V., Samala, B. K., Meyers, G., Slingo, J. M. and Fennessy, M. J. (2006) Indian Ocean-monsoon coupled interactions and impending monsoon droughts. Geophysical Research Letters, 33 (8). ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2006GL025811

Inness, P. M. and Slingo, J. M. (2006) The interaction of the Madden-Julian Oscillation with the Maritime Continent in a GCM. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 132 (618). pp. 1645-1667. ISSN 1477-870X

Ringer, M. A., Martin, G. M., Greeves, C. Z., Hinton, T. J., James, P. M., Pope, V. D., Scaife, A. A., Stratton, R. A., Inness, P. M., Slingo, J. M. and Yang, G. Y. (2006) The physical properties of the atmosphere in the new Hadley Centre Global Environmental Model (HadGEM1). Part II: Aspects of variability and regional climate. Journal Of Climate, 19 (7). pp. 1302-1326. ISSN 1520-0442

Saith, N. and Slingo, J. (2006) The role of the Madden-Julian Oscillation in the El Nino and Indian drought of 2002. International Journal Of Climatology, 26 (10). pp. 1361-1378. ISSN 0899-8418

2005

Turner, A.G., Inness, P.M. and Slingo, J.M. (2005) The role of the basic state in the ENSO-monsoon relationship and implications for predictability. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 131 (607). pp. 781-804. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1256/qj.04.70

Wheeler, T. R., Challinor, A. J., Craufurd, P. Q., Slingo, J. M. and Grimes, D. I. F. (2005) Forecasting the harvest - from proverbs to PCs. Biologist, 52 (1). pp. 45-49.

Spencer, H., Sutton, R. T., Slingo, J. M., Roberts, M. and Black, E. (2005)Indian Ocean climate and dipole variability in Hadley Centre coupled GCMs. Journal Of Climate, 18 (13). pp. 2286-2307. ISSN 1520-0442

Slingo, J. M., Challinor, A. J., Hoskins, B. J. and Wheeler, T. R. (2005)Introduction: food crops in a changing climate. Philosophical Transactions Of The Royal Society B, 360. doi: https://doi.org/10.1098/rstb.2005.1755

Bernie, D. J., Woolnough, S. J., Slingo, J. M. and Guilyardi, E. (2005)Modeling diurnal and intraseasonal variability of the ocean mixed layer.Journal Of Climate, 18 (8). pp. 1190-1202. ISSN 1520-0442

Slingo, J. M., Inness, P. M. and Sperber, K. R. (2005) Modeling the MJO.In: Waliser, D. E. and Lau, W. K. M. (eds.) Intraseasonal Variability in the Atmosphere-Ocean Climate System. Springer Praxis Books, pp. 361-388.

Challinor, A. J., Slingo, J. M., Wheeler, T. R. and Doblas-Reyes, F. J. (2005)Probabilistic simulations of crop yield over western India using the DEMETER seasonal hindcast ensembles. Tellus Series A-Dynamic Meteorology And Oceanography, 57 (3). pp. 498-512.

Challinor, A. J., Wheeler, T. R., Slingo, J. M. and Hemming, D. (2005)Quantification of physical and biological uncertainty in the simulation of the yield of a tropical crop using present-day and doubled CO2 climates.Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B-Biological Sciences, 360 (1463). pp. 2085-2094. ISSN 0962-8436 doi: https://doi.org/10.1098/rstb.2005.1740

Challinor, A. J., Wheeler, T. R., Slingo, J. M., Craufurd, P. Q. and Grimes, D. I. F. (2005) Simulation of crop yields using ERA-40: Limits to skill and nonstationarity in weather-yield relationships. Journal of Applied Meteorology, 44 (4). pp. 516-531. ISSN 0894-8763 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JAM2212.1

Slingo, J., Spencer, H., Hoskins, B., Berrisford, P. and Black, E. (2005) The meteorology of the Western Indian Ocean, and the influence of the east African highlands. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences, 363 (1826). pp. 25-42. ISSN 1364-503X doi: https://doi.org/10.1098/rsta.2004.1473

2004

Challinor, A. J., Wheeler, T. R., Craufurd, P. Q., Slingo, J. M. and Grimes, D. I. F. (2004) Design and optimisation of a large-area process-based model for annual crops. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, 124 (1-2). pp. 99-120. ISSN 0168-1923 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agrformet.2004.01.002

Osborne, T. M., Lawrence, D. M., Slingo, J. M., Challinor, A. J. and Wheeler, T. R. (2004) Influence of vegetation on the local climate and hydrology in the tropics: sensitivity to soil parameters. Climate Dynamics, 23 (1). pp. 45-61. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-004-0421-1

Guilyardi, E. and UNSPECIFIED (2004) Representing El Niño in coupled ocean–atmosphere GCMs: the dominant role of the atmospheric component. Journal of Climate, 17 (24). pp. 4623-4629. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-3260.1

Gissila, T., Black, E., Grimes, D. I. F. and Slingo, J. M. (2004) Seasonal forecasting of the Ethiopian summer rains. International Journal Of Climatology, 24 (11). pp. 1345-1358.

Spencer, H., Slingo, J. M. and Davey, M. K. (2004) Seasonal predictability of ENSO teleconnections: the role of the remote ocean response. Climate Dynamics, 22 (5). pp. 511-526.

Lengaigne, M. E., Guilyardi, E., Boulanger, J. P., Menkes, C., Delecluse, P., Inness, P., Cole, J. and Slingo, J. M. (2004) Triggering of El Niño by westerly wind events in a coupled general circulation model. Climate Dynamics. doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-004-0457-2

Lengaigne, M. E., Boulanger, J.-P., Delecluse, P., Menkes, C., Guilyardi, E.and Slingo, J. M. (2004) Westerly wind events in the Tropical Pacific and their influence on the coupled ocean-atmosphere system: A review. In: Wang, C., Xie, S. and Carton, J. A. (eds.) Earth Climate: The Ocean-atmosphere interaction. AGU Geophysical Monograph, 147. American Geophysical Union, Washington D. C., pp. 49-70.

Woolnough, S. J., Slingo, J. M. and Hoskins, B. J. (2004) The diurnal cycle of convection and atmospheric tides in an aquaplanet. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 61. pp. 2559-2573. ISSN 1520-0469 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JAS3290.1

2003

Slingo, J.M., Guilyardi, E., Hodges, K.I., Hoskins, B.J., Inness, P.M., Lawrence, D.M., Neale, R., Osborne, T.M., Spencer, H. and Yang, G.Y., (2003) How good is the Hadley Centre climate model? Research at CGAM on identifying and understanding model systematic errors: 1999-2002 - CGAM/NCAS Report. Technical Report. UNSPECIFIED

Yang, G.Y., Hoskins, B.J. and Slingo, J.M. (2003) Convectively coupled equatorial waves: A new methodology for identifying wave structures in observational data. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 60 (14). 1637-1654.. ISSN 1520-0469 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0469(2003)060<1637:CCEWAN>2.0.CO;2

Spencer, H. and Slingo, J. M. (2003) The simulation of peak and delayed ENSO teleconnections. Journal of Climate, 16 (11). pp. 1757-1774. ISSN 0894-8755 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0442(2003)016<1757:TSOPAD>2.0.CO;2

Inness, P.M. and Slingo, J.M. (2003) Simulation of the Madden-Julian oscillation in a coupled general circulation model. Part I: Comparison with observations and an atmosphere-only GCM. Journal Of Climate, 16. pp. 345-364. ISSN 1520-0442

Inness, P.M., Slingo, J.M., Guilyardi, E. and Cole, J. (2003) Simulation of the Madden-Julian oscillation in a coupled general circulation model. Part II: The role of the basic state. Journal Of Climate, 16. pp. 365-382. ISSN 1520-0442

Challinor, A. J., Slingo, J. M., Wheeler, T. R., Craufurd, P. Q. and Grimes, D. I. F. (2003) Toward a combined seasonal weather and crop productivity forecasting system: Determination of the working spatial scale. Journal of Applied Meteorology, 42 (2). pp. 175-192. ISSN 0894-8763

Neale, R. and Slingo, J.M. (2003) The maritime continent and its role in the global climate: A GCM study. Journal Of Climate, 16. pp. 834-848. ISSN 1520-0442

Black, E., Slingo, J.M. and Sperber, K.R. (2003) An observational study of the relationship between excessively strong short rains in coastal East Africa and Indian Ocean SST. Monthly Weather Review, 131. pp. 74-94.

2002

Slingo, J., Inness, P., Neale, R., Woolnough, S. and Yang, G. (2002) Scale interactions on diurnal to seasonal timescales and their relevance to model systematic errors. Annals of Geophysics, 46 (1). pp. 139-155. ISSN 2037-416X doi: https://doi.org/10.4401/ag-3383

2001

Yang, G. Y. and Slingo, J. (2001) The diurnal cycle in the tropics. Monthly Weather Review, 129 (4). pp. 784-801. ISSN 0027-0644 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0493(2001)129<0784:TDCITT>2.0.CO;2

Inness, P. M., Slingo, J. M., Woolnough, S. J., Neale, R. B. and Pope, V. D.(2001) Organisation of tropical convection in a GCM with varying vertical resolution: Implications for the simulation of the Madden-Julian Oscillation. Climate Dynamics, 17 (10). pp. 777-793. ISSN 1432-0894 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s003820000148

Woolnough, S. J., Slingo, J. M. and Hoskins, B. J. (2001) The organisation of tropical convection by intraseasonal sea surface temperature anomalies. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 127 (573). pp. 887-908. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.49712757310

2000

Woolnough, S. J., Slingo, J. M. and Hoskins, B. J. (2000) The relationship between convection and sea surface temperature on intraseasonal timescales. Journal of Climate, 13 (12). pp. 2086-2104. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0442(2000)013<2086:TRBCAS>2.0.CO;2

1999

Annamalai, H., Slingo, J. M., Sperber, K. R. and Hodges, K. (1999) The mean evolution and variability of the Asian summer monsoon: Comparison of ECMWF and NCEP-NCAR reanalyses. Monthly Weather Review, 127 (6). pp. 1157-1186. ISSN 1520-0493 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0493(1999)127<1157:TMEAVO>2.0.CO;2

1996

Matthews, A. J., Hoskins, B. J., Slingo, J. M. and Blackburn, M. (1996)Development of convection along the SPCZ within a Madden-Julian oscillation. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 122 (531). pp. 669-688. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.49712253106

1994

Slingo, J. M., Blackburn, M., Betts, A., Brugge, R., Hodges, K. I., Hoskins, B. J., Miller, M., Steenman-Clark, L. and Thuburn, J. (1994) Mean climate and transience in the tropics of the UGAMP GCM - sensitivity to convective parametrization. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 120 (518). pp. 881-922. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.49712051807