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Dr Florence Rabier, Director-General of ECMWF, has accepted the invitation to deliver the seminar. 

ECMWF: Numerical Earth System Modelling, impact of observations and applications

The vision for the scientific and computational advances leading to operational global weather predictions in 10 years’ time, as outlined in ECMWF Strategy, calls for an Earth System model, close to km-scale resolution with 50 or more ensemble members. A few objectives are:

  • A seamless Ensemble Earth system maximising the use of current and upcoming observations through consistent and accurate modelling with realistic water, energy and carbon cycles.
  • Use of advanced high-performance computing big data and AI methodologies to create a Digital Twin of the Earth with a breakthrough in realism.
  • Detailed Earth system simulations of the past, present and future for the prediction of extreme and specifically high impact weather events up to a few weeks ahead and for the monitoring of the environment.

To achieve this vision, the global observing system needs to continue to provide high quality observations of the whole Earth system. Furthermore, many more observations are needed to enable high-resolution models to be initialised and yet today there are still many data gaps. I will present developments at ECMWF towards achieving its strategy, the methods used to evaluate the impact of observations in Numerical Weather Prediction and the results of a range of collaborative studies.

Iconic climate stripes depicting global warming shared worldwide

Climate Stripes

Department scientists in the news…


UAE Ambassador Visits University of Reading Weather Scientists

  •  His Excellency Mansoor Abulhoul, Ambassador of the United Arab Emirates to the UK, paid a visit to the University of Reading’s world-leading weather scientists this week.

Met department scientist explained why May was so cold

Award for scientist providing cutting edge atmospheric electricity data

Our scientists use weather forecasts to direct conservation of elephants

Leaders in climate change research, communication and action

  • Department scientists play leading role in climate change research and communication

Missions to return humans to the Moon at risk from solar storms

  • New research improves understanding of the link between extreme space weather and the solar cycle

Department’s NCAS and NCEO research centres certified as world-leading

  • Two national science centres for the study the Earth’s atmosphere, oceans, land and ice, both with key groups at the University of Reading, have been certified as world-leading

New techniques to better use weather forecasts for a green electricity grid

  • New research on how weather influences renewable electricity production

Sudden stratospheric warming increases chance of cold spell

  • Our scientists provide expert assessment of how changes many kilometres above our heads have a bearing on weather patterns over the next few weeks

Data assimilation – from model-driven to data-driven

Irreversible sea level rise from Greenland ice melt?

  • New research led by Professor Jonathan Gregory has demonstrated how climate change could lead to irreversible sea level rise far in the future as temperatures continue to rise and the Greenland ice sheet continues to decline

UK still lacks serious plan to address invisible threat of heat

  • a new study involving members of the department argues that the UK’s approach to dealing with heatwaves is inadequate compared to visible, yet far less deadly, disasters like floods and storms.

Alliance of top Universities urge G20 leaders to prioritise net zero emissions

  • The University of Reading has joined an international coalition of leading climate research universities in issuing its first declaration ahead of the G20 Summit

New research could improve prediction of tropical rainfall changes

Professor Giles Harrison to receive 2021 EGU Christiaan Huygens Medal

Our climate scientists play leading role in climate change adaptation event

  • Professors Rowan Sutton, Ted Shepherd, Nigel Arnell and Pier Luigi Vidale contribute to Is the UK on track to adapt to climate change? conference, jointly hosted by the National Centre for Atmospheric Science (NCAS), the UK Climate Resilience programme (UKCR) Champions and the Committee on Climate Change (CCC).

Awards for our scientists advancing weather forecasting, climate science and aviation safety

  • Internationally renowned climate scientist Professor Keith Shine has been awarded the Mason Gold Medal, the premier award of the Royal Meteorological Society
  • Dr Dacre, Associate Professor of Dynamical Meteorology at Reading, received the FitzRoy Prize for her leading research on volcanic ash clouds and their risk to aviation.
  • Dr Joanne Waller was jointly awarded the L F Richardson Prize for her innovative research, undertaken while in the department, into better understanding uncertainties in weather forecasting methods, and how doing so can improve weather predictions.

Solar storm forecasts for Earth improved with help from the public

  • Solar storm analysis carried out by an army of citizen scientists has helped researchers devise a new and more accurate way of forecasting when Earth will be hit by harmful space weather.






Our Changing Climate: Past, Present and Future – Public Lecture by Professor Ed Hawkins in the Palmer Building, Wednesday 17th October (View lecture)

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