Professor David Brayshaw
Professor in Climate Science and Energy Meteorology
Responsibilities:
- Joint Head of Department (Academic Staff and Teaching)
- Convenor: Climate Services and Climate Impact Modelling (MSc)
- Convenor: Climate Services and Climate Impact Modelling (Online course)
Group page:
- Energy meteorology: https://research.reading.ac.uk/met-energy
Research and teaching:
I founded and have led the Energy-Meteorology group since 2012. Our activities can be found on the Energy Meteorology research group website. More generally, I work on a wide range of problems in the area of climate impacts and climate services. In 2019 I initiated, co-wrote and lead-convened the new MSc-level module Climate Services and Climate Impact Modelling. A 6-week version of this course is offered to external students (online course) and a 2-week short-form is available via FutureLearn.
My research interests include:
- Impacts of weather and climate on complex human and environmental systems, especially energy
- Weather and climate risk
- Subseasonal to seasonal forecasting
- Large-scale atmospheric dynamics and extratropical storm tracks
Current research projects:
- Forecast value in complex decision-making systems (SCENARIO DTP)
- Climate change and energy system reliability (PhD student)
- Decadal climate forecasting for the energy sector (SCENARIO DTP)
- Modelling the frequency of extreme event forecasts for the management of funds for humanitarian action (SCENARIO DTP)
Previous research projects:
- CLimate-Energy modelling for Assessing Resilience: HEAt Decarbonisation and the Northwest European Supergrid (CLEARHEADS, EPSRC)
- Process-based climate simulation: advances in high-resolution modelling and European climate risk assessment (PRIMAVERA, H2020)
- Subseasonal to Seasonal forecasting for energy (S2S4E, H2020)
- Ocean dynamics as a driver of seasonal to decadal European atmospheric variability (ODYSEA)
- European Climatic Energy Mixes (ECEM)
- Subseasonal predictability for energy
- Renewable Energy Spatial Analysis Tool (RE-SAT)
- UK wind power extremes and predictability (with National Grid, see here for selected model and data outputs)
- Hydrological extremes and feedbacks in the changing water cycle HYDEF
- TEMPEST storm risk mitigation
- Understanding the Mediterranean storm track
- Spatio-climatic variability on environment-hosted land-based renewables (Microclimates)
- Water, Life and Civilisation
Current postdoctoral & graduate student supervision
- James Fallon is a third year PhD student in the SCENARIO DTP, seeking to understand forecast value in complex decision-making systems.
- Harshita Gupta is a second year PhD student in the SCENARIO DTP, exploring modelling the frequency of extreme event forecasts for the management of funds for humanitarian action (lead supervisor Liz Stephens).
- Izzi Ariail is a first year PhD student climate change impacts on energy system reliability.
- Ben Hutchins is a first year PhD student in the SCENARIO DTP examining the use of decadal forecasting for the energy sector.
Previous postdoctoral & graduate student supervision
- Hannah Bloomfield: energy-climate interactions through the CLEARHEADS, S2S4E and, previously, "Future Climate, Future Energy" (PhD with UK Met Office and Len Shaffrey).
- Paula Gonzalez: energy-climate interactions through the PRIMAVERA and S2S4E projects.
- David Livings: subseasonal predictability and forecasting for the energy sector in the S2S4E project.
- Gabriel Wolf : understanding of European climate extremes and quasi-stationary waves through the ODYSEA project.
- Emma Suckling: climate variability and predictability for energy systems through the S2S4E and ECEM projects.
- Dirk Cannon: UK wind power extremes and predictability (postdoc with National Grid).
- Francisco Santos-Alamillos: Optimising European renewable portfolios.
- Kostas Philippopoulos: Using Self Organising Maps to understand extreme wind power events in the UK.
- Giacomo Masato: Weather typing and climate change for energy.
- Adriaan Hilbers : Climate uncertainty in power system planning (PhD student at Imperial College, with Axel Gandy).
- Dan Hdidouan : The impact of climate change on renewable power systems (PhD at Imperial College, led by Iain Staffell with Rob Gross).
- Hazel Thornton: European climate and renewable energy generation - variabilty, mechanisms, predictability and impacts (Met Office PhD, co-supervised with Brian Hoskins and Adam Scaife).
- Alan Halford: impacts of weather and climate on telecommunications (EngD with BT and TSBE Centre, cosupervised by Stefan Smith).
- Kieran Lynch: Subseasonal forecasting for the energy sector (PhD with NERC and Centrica, cosupervisor Andrew Charlton-Perez).
- Caroline Holmes: The impact of Arctic sea ice change on midlatitude climate (PhD with NERC, cosupervised with Tim Woollings and Len Shaffrey).
Other interests
- Interdisciplinary research
- Working with industry and continuing professional development
- Mediterranean climate and palaeoclimate
Centaur Publications
2025
Hutchins, B. W. 
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0009-0001-0421-2399, Brayshaw, D. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362, Shaffrey, L. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2696-752X, Thornton, H. E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5527-7558 and Smith, D. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5708-694X
(2025)
Decadal prediction for the European energy sector.
Meteorological Applications, 32 (3).
e70054.
ISSN 1469-8080
doi: 10.1002/met.70054
Juckes, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1770-2132, Taylor, K. E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6491-2135, Antonio, F. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7693-0111, Brayshaw, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362, Buontempo, C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1874-5380, Cao, J., Durack, P. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2835-1438, Kawamiya, M., Kim, H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1083-8416, Lovato, T., Mackallah, C., Mizielinski, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3457-4702, Nuzzo, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8801-6917, Stockhause, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6636-4972, Visioni, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7342-2189, Walton, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7372-178X, Turner, B., O’Rourke, E. and Dingley, B.
(2025)
Baseline climate variables for earth system modelling.
Geoscientific Model Development, 18 (9).
pp. 2639-2663.
ISSN 1991-9603
doi: 10.5194/gmd-18-2639-2025
2023
Sundar, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0556-3967, Craig, M. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3031-5041, Payne, A. E., Brayshaw, D. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362 and Lehner, F. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4632-9701
(2023)
Meteorological drivers of resource adequacy failures in current and high renewable Western U.S. power systems.
Nature Communications, 14 (1).
6379.
ISSN 2041-1723
doi: 10.1038/s41467-023-41875-6
Hilbers, A. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9882-9479, Brayshaw, D. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362 and Gandy, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6777-0451
(2023)
Reducing climate risk in energy system planning: a posteriori time series aggregation for models with storage.
Applied Energy, 334.
120624.
ISSN 0306-2619
doi: 10.1016/j.apenergy.2022.120624
Fallon, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6321-7456, Brayshaw, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362, Methven, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7636-6872, Jensen, K. and Krug, L.
(2023)
A new framework for using weather‐sensitive surplus power reserves in critical infrastructure.
Meteorological Applications, 30 (6).
e2158.
ISSN 1469-8080
doi: 10.1002/met.2158
2022
Dubus, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3987-646X, Brayshaw, D. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362, Huertas-Hernando, D., Radu, D., Sharp, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6648-5835, Zappa, W. and Stoop, L. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2756-5653
(2022)
Towards a future-proof climate database for European energy system studies.
Environmental Research Letters, 17 (12).
121001.
ISSN 1748-9326
doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/aca1d3
Bett, P. E., Thornton, H. E., Troccoli, A., De Felice, M., Suckling, E., Dubus, L., Saint-Drenan, Y.-M. and Brayshaw, D. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362
(2022)
A simplified seasonal forecasting strategy, applied to wind and solar power in Europe.
Climate Services, 27.
100318.
ISSN 2405-8807
doi: 10.1016/j.cliser.2022.100318
Craig, M. T., Wohland, J., Stoop, L. P., Kies, A., Pickering, B., Bloomfield, H. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5616-1503, Browell, J., De Felice, M., Dent, C. J., Deroubaix, A., Frischmuth, F., Gonzalez, P. L. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0154-0087, Grochowitz, A., Gruber, K., Härtel, P., Kittel, M., Kotzur, L., Labuhn, I., Lundquist, J. K., Pflugradt, N., van der Wiel, K., Zeyringer, M. and Brayshaw, D. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362
(2022)
Overcoming the disconnect between energy system and climate modelling.
Joule, 6 (7).
pp. 1405-1417.
ISSN 2542-4351
doi: 10.1016/j.joule.2022.05.010
Deakin, M., Greenwood, D., Brayshaw, D. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362 and Bloomfield, H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5616-1503
(2022)
Comparing generator unavailability models with empirical distributions from Open Energy datasets.
In: 17th International Conference on Probabilistic Methods Applied to Power Systems (PMAPS), 12-15 June 2022, Online.
doi: 10.1109/PMAPS53380.2022.9810629
Bloomfield, H. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5616-1503, Brayshaw, D. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362, Deakin, M. and Greenwood, D.
(2022)
Hourly historical and near-future weather and climate variables for energy system modelling.
Earth System Science Data, 14 (6).
pp. 2749-2766.
ISSN 1866-3516
doi: 10.5194/essd-14-2749-2022
Domeisen, D. I.V., White, C. J., Afargan-Gerstman, H., Munoz, A. G., Jaiga, M. A., Vitart, F., Wulff, C. O., Antoine, S., Ardilouze, C., Batte, L., Bloomfield, H. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5616-1503, Brayshaw, D. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362, Camargo, S. J., Charlton-Perez, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8179-6220, Collins, D., Cowan, T., del Mar Chaves, M., Ferranti, L., Gomez, R., Gonzalez, P. L. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0154-0087, Gonzalez Romero, C., Infanti, J. M., Karozis, S., Kim, H., Kolstad, E. W., LaJoie, E., Lledo, L., Magnusson, L., Malguzzi, P., Manrique-Sunen, A., Mastrangelo, D., Materia, S., Medina, H., Palma, L., Pineda, L. E., Sfetsos, A., Son, S.-W., Soret, A., Strazzo, S. and Tian, D.
(2022)
Advances in the subseasonal prediction of extreme events: relevant case studies across the globe.
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 103 (6).
pp. 1473-1501.
ISSN 1520-0477
doi: 10.1175/BAMS-D-20-0221.1
White, C. J., Domeisen, D. I.V., Acharya, N., Adefisan, E. A., Anderson, M. L., Aura, S., Balogun, A. A., Bertram, D., Bluhm, S., Brayshaw, D. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362, Browell, J., Büeler, D., Charlton-Perez, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8179-6220, Chourio, X., Christel, I., Coelho, C. A. S., DeFlorio, M. J., Monache, L. D., García-Solórzano, A. M., Giuseppe, F. D., Goddard, L., Gibson, P. B., González, C. R., Graham, R. J., Graham, R. M., Grams, C. M., Halford, A., Huang, W. T. K., Jensen, K., Kilavi, M., Lawal, K. A., Lee, R. W. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1946-5559, MacLeod, D., Manrique-Suñén, A., Martins, E. S. P. R., Maxwell, C. J., Merryfield, W. J., Muñoz, Á. G., Olaniyan, E., Otieno, G., Oyedepo, J. A., Palma, L., Pechlivanidis, I. G., Pons, D., Ralph, F. M., Reis, D. S., Remenyi, T. A., Risbey, J. S., Robertson, D. J. C., Robertson, A. W., Smith, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5053-4639, Soret, A., Sun, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2486-6146, Todd, M. C., Tozer, C. R., Vasconcelos, F. C., Vigo, I., Waliser, D. E., Wetterhall, F. and Wilson, R. G.
(2022)
Advances in the application and utility of subseasonal-to-seasonal predictions.
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 103 (6).
pp. 1448-1472.
ISSN 1520-0477
doi: 10.1175/BAMS-D-20-0224.1
Fallon, J. C., Bloomfield, H. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5616-1503, Brayshaw, D. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362, Sparrow, S. N., Wallom, D. C. H., Woollings, T., Brown, K., Dawkins, L., Palin, E., Houben, N., Huppmann, D. and Schyska, B. U.,
(2022)
Understanding climate risk in future energy systems: an energy-climate data hackathon.
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. 103.
Report.
American Meteorological Society
pp9.
ISSN 0003-0007
doi: 10.1175/BAMS-D-21-0305.1
Wolf, G., Brayshaw, D. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362 and Klingaman, N. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303
(2022)
Response of atmospheric quasi-stationary waves to La Niña conditions in Northern Hemisphere winter.
Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 148 (745).
pp. 1611-1622.
ISSN 1477-870X
doi: 10.1002/qj.4261
Greenwood, D. M., Deakin, M., Ilias, S., Brayshaw, D. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362 and Bloomfield, H. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5616-1503
(2022)
Capacity value of interconnectors for resource adequacy assessment in multi-region systems.
In: 17th International Conference on Probabilistic Methods Applied to Power Systems (PMAPS), 12-15 June 2022, Online.
doi: 10.1109/PMAPS53380.2022.9810649
Schuhen, N., Schaller, N., Bloomfield, H. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5616-1503, Brayshaw, D. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362, Lledó, L., Cionni, I. and Sillmann, J.
(2022)
Predictive skill of teleconnection patterns in twentieth century seasonal hindcasts and their relationship to extreme winter temperatures in Europe.
Geophysical Research Letters, 49 (11).
e2020GL092360.
ISSN 1944-8007
doi: 10.1029/2020GL092360
2021
Gonzalez, P. L. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0154-0087, Brayshaw, D. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362 and Ziel, F.
(2021)
A new approach to extended-range multi-model forecasting: sequential learning algorithms.
Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 147 (741).
pp. 4269-4289.
ISSN 1477-870X
doi: 10.1002/QJ.4177
Bloomfield, H. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5616-1503, Brayshaw, D. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362, Gonzalez, P. L. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0154-0087 and Charlton-Perez, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8179-6220
(2021)
Pattern-based conditioning enhances sub-seasonal prediction
skill of European national energy variables.
Meteorological Applications, 28 (4).
e2018.
ISSN 1469-8080
doi: 10.1002/met.2018
Bloomfield, H. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5616-1503, Brayshaw, D. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362, Gonzalez, P. L. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0154-0087 and Charlton-Perez, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8179-6220
(2021)
Sub-seasonal forecasts of demand, wind power and solar power
generation for 28 European Countries.
Earth System Science Data, 13 (5).
ISSN 1866-3516
doi: 10.5194/essd-13-2259-2021
Wohland, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8336-0009, Brayshaw, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362 and Pfenninger, S.
(2021)
Mitigating a century of European renewable variability with transmission and informed siting.
Environmental Research Letters, 16 (6).
064026.
ISSN 1748-9326
doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/abff89
Hilbers, A., Brayshaw, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362 and Gandy, A.
(2021)
Efficient quantification of the impact of demand and weather uncertainty in power system models.
IEEE Transactions on Power Systems, 36 (3).
pp. 1771-1779.
ISSN 0885-8950
doi: 10.1109/TPWRS.2020.3031187
Bloomfield, H. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5616-1503, Brayshaw, D. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362, Troccoli, A., Goodess, C. M., De Felice, M., Dubus, L., Bett, P. E. and Saint-Drenan, Y.-M.
(2021)
Quantifying the sensitivity of European power systems to energy scenarios and climate change projections.
Renewable Energy, 164.
pp. 1062-1075.
ISSN 0960-1481
doi: 10.1016/j.renene.2020.09.125
Bloomfield, H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5616-1503, Gonzalez, P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0154-0087, Lundquist, J., Stoop, L., Browell, J., Dargaville, R., De Felice, M., Gruber, K., Hilbers, A., Kies, A., Panteli, M., Thornton, H., Wohland, J., Zeyringer, M. and Brayshaw, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362
(2021)
The importance of weather and climate to energy systems: a workshop on next generation challenges in energy-climate modelling.
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 102 (1).
E159-E167.
ISSN 1520-0477
doi: 10.1175/BAMS-D-20-0256.1
Brayshaw, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362 and Bloomfield, H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5616-1503,
(2021)
Meteorological information to support the transition to clean energy.
Open Research Case Studies.
Report.
University of Reading
doi: 10.48683/1926.00100590
2020
Wohland, J., Brayshaw, D. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362, Bloomfield, H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5616-1503 and Wild, M.
(2020)
European multidecadal solar variability badly captured in all centennial reanalyses except CERA20C.
Environmental Research Letters, 15 (10).
ISSN 1748-9326
doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/aba7e6
Coker, P. J., Bloomfield, H. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5616-1503, Drew, D. R. and Brayshaw, D. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362
(2020)
Interannual weather variability and the challenges for Great Britain’s
electricity market design.
Renewable Energy, 150.
pp. 509-522.
ISSN 0960-1481
doi: 10.1016/j.renene.2019.12.082
Bloomfield, H. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5616-1503, Brayshaw, D. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362 and Charlton-Perez, A. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8179-6220
(2020)
Characterizing the winter meteorological drivers of the
European electricity system using targeted circulation
types.
Meteorological Applications, 27 (1).
e1858.
ISSN 1469-8080
doi: 10.1002/met.1858
Wolf, G., Czaja, A., Brayshaw, D. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362 and Klingaman, N. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303
(2020)
Connection between sea surface anomalies and atmospheric quasi-stationary waves.
Journal of Climate, 33 (1).
pp. 201-212.
ISSN 1520-0442
doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-18-0751.1
Hilbers, A. P., Brayshaw, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362 and Gandy, A.
(2020)
Importance subsampling for power system planning under multi-year demand and weather uncertainty.
In: International Conference on Probabilistic Methods Applied to Power Systems (PMAPS), 18-21 Aug 2020, Liege, Belgium.
doi: 10.1109/PMAPS47429.2020.9183591
Brayshaw, D. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362, Halford, A., Smith, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5053-4639 and Kjeld, J.
(2020)
Quantifying the potential for improved management of weather risk using subseasonal forecasting: the case of UK telecommunications infrastructure.
Meteorological Applications, 27 (1).
e1849.
ISSN 1469-8080
doi: 10.1002/met.1849
2019
Goodess, C. M., Troccoli, A., Acton, C., Anel, J. A., Bett, P. E., Brayshaw, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362, De Felice, M., Dorling, S. E., Dubus, L., Penny, L., Percy, B., Ranchin, T., Thomas, C., Trolliet, M. and Wald, L.
(2019)
Advancing climate services for the European renewable energy sector through capacity building and user engagement.
Climate Services, 16.
100139.
ISSN 2405-8807
doi: 10.1016/j.cliser.2019.100139
Hilbers, A. P., Brayshaw, D. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362 and Gandy, A.
(2019)
Importance subsampling: improving power system planning under climate-based uncertainty.
Applied Energy, 251.
113114.
ISSN 0306-2619
doi: 10.1016/j.apenergy.2019.04.110
Drew, D. R., Coker, P. J., Bloomfield, H. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5616-1503, Brayshaw, D. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362, Barlow, J. F. and Richards, A.
(2019)
Sunny windy Sundays.
Renewable Energy, 138.
pp. 870-875.
ISSN 0960-1481
doi: 10.1016/j.renene.2019.02.029
Thornton, H. E., Scaife, A., Hoskins, B., Brayshaw, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362, Smith, D., Dunstone, N., Stringer, N. and Bett, P. E.
(2019)
Skilful seasonal prediction of winter gas demand.
Environmental Research Letters, 14 (2).
024009.
ISSN 1748-9326
doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/aaf338
Gonzalez, P. L. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0154-0087, Brayshaw, D. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362 and Zappa, G.
(2019)
The contribution of North Atlantic atmospheric
circulation shifts to future wind speed projections
for wind power over Europe.
Climate Dynamics, 53 (7-8).
pp. 4095-4113.
ISSN 1432-0894
doi: 10.1007/s00382-019-04776-3
2018
Wolf, G., Brayshaw, D. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362, Klingaman, N. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303 and Czaja, A.
(2018)
Quasi-stationary waves and their impact on European weather and extreme events.
Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 144 (717).
pp. 2431-2448.
ISSN 1477-870X
doi: 10.1002/qj.3310
Troccoli, A., Goodess, C., Jones, P., Penny, L., Dorling, S., Harpham, C., Dubus, L., Parey, S., Claudel, S., Khong, D.-H., Bett, P. E., Thornton, H., Ranchin, T., Wald, L., Saint-Drenan, Y.-M., De Felice, M., Brayshaw, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362, Suckling, E., Percy, B. and Blower, J.
(2018)
Creating a proof-of-concept climate service to assess future renewable energy mixes in Europe: an overview of the C3S ECEM project.
Advances in Science and Research, 15.
pp. 191-205.
ISSN 1992-0636
doi: 10.5194/asr-15-191-2018
Brayshaw, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362
(2018)
Weather, climate and the nature of predictability.
In:
Weather & Climate Services for the Energy Industry.
Palgrave Pivot, Basingstoke, pp. 85-95.
ISBN 9783319684178
doi: 10.1007/978-3-319-68418-5_6
Brayshaw, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362
(2018)
The nature of weather and climate impacts in the energy sector.
In:
Weather & Climate Services for the Energy Industry.
Palgrave Pivot, Basingstoke, pp. 151-160.
ISBN 9783319684178
doi: 10.1007/978-3-319-68418-5_11
Bloomfield, H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5616-1503, Brayshaw, D. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362, Shaffrey, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2696-752X, Coker, P. J. and Thornton, H. E.
(2018)
The changing sensitivity of power systems to meteorological drivers: a case study of Great Britain.
Environmental Research Letters, 13 (5).
054028.
ISSN 1748-9326
doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/aabff9
2017
Santos-Alamillos, F. J., Brayshaw, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362, Methven, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7636-6872, Thomaidis, N. S., Ruiz-Arias, J. A. and Pozo-Vazquez, D.
(2017)
Exploring the meteorological potential for planning a high performance European Electricity Super-grid: optimal power capacity distribution among countries.
Environmental Research Letters, 12 (11).
114030.
ISSN 1748-9326
doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/aa8f18
Thornton, H. E., Scaife, A. A., Hoskins, B. J. and Brayshaw, D. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362
(2017)
The relationship between wind power, electricity demand and winter weather patterns in Great Britain.
Environmental Research Letters, 12 (6).
064017.
ISSN 1748-9326
doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/aa69c6
Cannon, D., Brayshaw, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362, Methven, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7636-6872 and Drew, D.
(2017)
Determining the bounds of skilful forecast range for probabilistic prediction of system-wide wind power generation.
Meteorologische Zeitschrift, 26 (3).
pp. 239-252.
ISSN 0941-2948
doi: 10.1127/metz/2016/0751
Peyron, O., Combourieu-Nebout, N., Brayshaw, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362, Goring, S., Andrieu-Ponel, V., Desprat, S., Fletcher, W., Gambin, B., Ioakim, C., Joannin, S., Kotthoff, U., Kouli, K., Montade, V., Pross, J., Sadori, L. and Magny, M.
(2017)
Precipitation changes in the Mediterranean basin during
the Holocene from terrestrial and marine pollen records:
a model–data comparison.
Climate of the Past, 13 (3).
pp. 249-265.
ISSN 1814-9324
doi: 10.5194/cp-2016-65
2016
Bloomfield, H. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5616-1503, Brayshaw, D. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362, Shaffrey, L. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2696-752X, Coker, P. J. and Thornton, H. E.
(2016)
Quantifying the increasing sensitivity of power systems to climate variability.
Environmental Research Letters, 11 (12).
124025.
ISSN 1748-9326
doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/11/12/124025
2015
Zappa, G., Hawcroft, M. K., Shaffrey, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2696-752X, Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186 and Brayshaw, D. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362
(2015)
Extratropical cyclones and the projected decline of winter Mediterranean precipitation in the CMIP5 models.
Climate Dynamics, 45 (7-8).
pp. 1727-1738.
ISSN 0930-7575
doi: 10.1007/s00382-014-2426-8
Dunning, C. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7311-7846, Turner, A. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876 and Brayshaw, D. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362
(2015)
The impact of monsoon intraseasonal variability on renewable power generation in India.
Environmental Research Letters, 10 (6).
064002.
ISSN 1748-9326
doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/10/6/064002
Cannon, D.J., Brayshaw, D.J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362, Methven, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7636-6872, Coker, P.J. and Lenaghan, D.
(2015)
Using reanalysis data to quantify extreme wind power generation statistics: a 33 year case study in Great Britain.
Renewable Energy, 75.
pp. 767-778.
ISSN 0960-1481
doi: 10.1016/j.renene.2014.10.024
Drew, D., Cannon, D., Brayshaw, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362, Barlow, J. and Coker, P.
(2015)
The impact of future offshore wind farms on wind power
generation in Great Britain.
Resources, 4 (1).
pp. 155-171.
ISSN 2079-9276
doi: 10.3390/resources4010155
2014
Cannon, D. and Brayshaw, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362
(2014)
An aggregated wind power generation model based on MERRA reanalysis data: MATLAB model and example data for the April 2014 wind farm distribution of Great Britain.
University of Reading.
Lynch, K. J., Brayshaw, D. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362 and Charlton-Perez, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8179-6220
(2014)
Verification of European subseasonal wind speed forecasts.
Monthly Weather Review, 142 (8).
pp. 2978-2990.
ISSN 1520-0493
doi: 10.1175/MWR-D-13-00341.1
2013
Kubik, M. L., Brayshaw, D. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362, Coker, P. J. and Barlow, J. F.
(2013)
Exploring the role of reanalysis data in simulating regional wind generation variability over Northern Ireland.
Renewable Energy, 57.
pp. 558-561.
ISSN 0960-1481
doi: 10.1016/j.renene.2013.02.012
Lavers, D. A., Allan, R. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447, Villarini, G., Lloyd-Hughes, B., Brayshaw, D. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362 and Wade, A. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5296-8350
(2013)
Future changes in atmospheric rivers and their implications for winter flooding in Britain.
Environmental Research Letters, 8 (3).
034010.
ISSN 1748-9326
doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/8/3/034010
Ely, C. R., Brayshaw, D. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362, Methven, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7636-6872, Cox, J. and Pearce, O.
(2013)
Implications of the North Atlantic Oscillation for a UK–Norway renewable power system.
Energy Policy, 62.
pp. 1420-1427.
ISSN 0301-4215
doi: 10.1016/j.enpol.2013.06.037
2012
Saulière, J., Brayshaw, D. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362, Hoskins, B. and Blackburn, M.
(2012)
Further investigation of the impact of idealised continents and SST distributions on the Northern Hemisphere storm tracks.
Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 69 (3).
pp. 840-856.
ISSN 0022-4928
doi: 10.1175/JAS-D-11-0113.1
Wade, A. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5296-8350, Smith, S. J., Black, E. C. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186, Brayshaw, D. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362, Holmes, P.A.C., El-Bastawesy, M., Rambeau, C. M. C. and Mithen, S. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3391-7443
(2012)
A new method for the determination of Holocene palaeohydrology.
Journal of Hydrology, 420-421.
pp. 1-16.
ISSN 0022-1694
doi: 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2011.10.033
Brayshaw, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362, Dent, C. and Zachary, S.
(2012)
Wind generation's contribution to supporting peak electricity demand: meteorological insights.
Proceedings of the Institution of Mechanical Engineers, Part O: Journal of Risk and Reliability, 226 (1).
pp. 44-50.
ISSN 1748-0078
doi: 10.1177/1748006X11417503
Abrantes, F., Voelker, A. (H. L.), Sierro, F. J., Naughton, F., Rodrigues, T., Cacho, I., Ariztegui, D., Brayshaw, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362, Sicre, M.-A. and Batista, L.
(2012)
Paleoclimate variability in the Mediterranean region.
In: Lionello, P. (ed.)
The Climate of the Mediterranean Region.
Elsevier, London, pp. 1-86.
ISBN 9780124160422
doi: 10.1016/B978-0-12-416042-2.00001-X
Woollings, T., Gregory, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644, Pinto, J. G., Reyers, M. and Brayshaw, D. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362
(2012)
Response of the North Atlantic storm track to climate change shaped by ocean–atmosphere coupling.
Nature Geoscience, 5 (5).
pp. 313-317.
ISSN 1752-0894
doi: 10.1038/ngeo1438
2011
Brayshaw, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362, Hoskins, B. and Blackburn, M.
(2011)
The basic ingredients of the North Atlantic Storm Track. Part II: Sea surface temperatures.
Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 68 (8).
pp. 1784-1805.
ISSN 0022-4928
doi: 10.1175/2011JAS3674.1
Brayshaw, D. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362, Troccoli, A., Fordham, R. and Methven, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7636-6872
(2011)
The impact of large scale atmospheric circulation patterns on wind power generation and its potential predictability: a case study over the UK.
Renewable Energy, 36 (8).
pp. 2087-2096.
ISSN 0960-1481
doi: 10.1016/j.renene.2011.01.025
Smith, S., Wade, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5296-8350, Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186, Brayshaw, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362, Rambeau, C. and Mithen, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3391-7443
(2011)
From global climate change to local impact in Wadi Faynan, southern Jordan: ten millennia of human settlement in its hydrological context.
In: Mithen, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3391-7443 and Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186 (eds.)
Water, Life and Civilisation: Climate, Environment and Society in the Jordan Valley.
International Hydrology Series.
Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, pp. 218-244.
ISBN 9780521769570
Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186, Brayshaw, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362, Slingo, J. and Hoskins, B.
(2011)
Future climate of the Middle East.
In: Mithen, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3391-7443 and Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186 (eds.)
Water, Life and Civilisation: Climate, Environment and Society in the Jordan Valley.
International Hydrology Series.
Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, pp. 51-62.
ISBN 9780521769570
Brayshaw, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362, Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186, Hoskins, B. and Slingo, J.
(2011)
Past climates of the Middle East.
In: Mithen, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3391-7443 and Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186 (eds.)
Water, Life and Civilisation: Climate, Environment and Society in the Jordan Valley.
International Hydrology Series.
Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, pp. 25-50.
ISBN 9780521769570
Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186, Brayshaw, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362, Black, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1396-4821 and Rambeau, C.
(2011)
Using proxy data, historical climate data and climate models to investigate aridification during the Holocene.
In: Mithen, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3391-7443 and Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186 (eds.)
Water, Life and Civilisation: Climate, Environment and Society in the Jordan Valley.
International Hydrology Series.
Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, pp. 105-112.
ISBN 9780521769570
Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186, Hoskins, B., Slingo, J. and Brayshaw, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362
(2011)
The present-day climate of the Middle East.
In: Mithen, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3391-7443 and Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186 (eds.)
Water, Life and Civilisation: Climate, Environment and Society in the Jordan Valley.
International Hydrology Series.
Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, pp. 13-24.
ISBN 9780521769570
Brayshaw, D. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362, Rambeau, C. M. C. and Smith, S. J.
(2011)
Changes in the Mediterranean climate during the Holocene: insights from global and regional climate modelling.
Holocene, 21 (1).
pp. 15-31.
ISSN 0959-6836
doi: 10.1177/0959683610377528
Roberts, N., Brayshaw, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362, Kuzucuoğlu, C., Perez, R. and Sadori, L.
(2011)
The mid-Holocene climatic transition in the Mediterranean: causes and consequences.
The Holocene, 21 (1).
pp. 3-13.
ISSN 0959-6836
doi: 10.1177/0959683610388058
Zachary, S., Dent, C. J. and Brayshaw, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362
(2011)
Challenges in quantifying wind generation's contribution to securing peak demand.
In: Power and Energy Society General Meeting, 2011 IEEE, 24-29 July 2011, San DIego, CA, USA, pp. 1-8.
Lavers, D., Allan, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447, Wood, E. F., Villarini, G., Brayshaw, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362 and Wade, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5296-8350
(2011)
Winter floods in Britain are connected to atmospheric rivers.
Geophysical Research Letters, 38 (23).
L23803.
ISSN 0094-8276
doi: 10.1029/2011GL049783
2010
Wade, A. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5296-8350, Black, E. C. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186, Brayshaw, D. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362, El-Bastawesy, M., Holmes, P. A. C., Butterfield, D., Nuimat, S. and Jamjoum, K.
(2010)
A model-based assessment of the effects of projected climate change on the water resources of Jordan.
Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society. Part A, 368 (1931).
pp. 5151-5172.
ISSN 1364-503X
doi: 10.1098/rsta.2010.0207
Black, E. C. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186, Brayshaw, D. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362 and Rambeau, C. M. C.
(2010)
Past, present and future precipitation in the Middle East: insights from models and observations.
Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences, 368 (1931).
pp. 5173-5184.
ISSN 1364-503X
doi: 10.1098/rsta.2010.0199
Brayshaw, D. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362, Hoskins, B. and Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186
(2010)
Some physical drivers of changes in the winter storm tracks over the North Atlantic and Mediterranean during the Holocene.
Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences, 368 (1931).
pp. 5185-5223.
ISSN 1364-503X
doi: 10.1098/rsta.2010.0180
2009
Brayshaw, D. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362, Hoskins, B. J. and Blackburn, M.
(2009)
The basic ingredients of the North Atlantic storm track. Part I: land-sea contrast and orography.
Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 66 (9).
pp. 2539-2558.
ISSN 1520-0469
doi: 10.1175/2009JAS3078.1
Brayshaw, D. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362, Woollings, T. J. and Vellinga, M.
(2009)
Tropical and extratropical responses of the North Atlantic atmospheric circulation to a sustained weakening of the MOC.
Journal of Climate, 22 (11).
pp. 3146-3155.
ISSN 1520-0442
doi: 10.1175/2008JCLI2594.1
2008
Brayshaw, D. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362, Hoskins, B. J. and Blackburn, M.
(2008)
The Storm-Track Response to Idealized SST Perturbations in an Aquaplanet GCM.
Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 65 (9).
pp. 2842-2860.
ISSN 1520-0469
doi: 10.1175/2008JAS2657.1
Last update: 6th December 2024
