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Department of Meteorology – University of Reading

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Dr. Laura Baker

Research Scientist (NCAS)


NCAS Climate PDRA working on the IMPETUS project

Research Interests:

  • Seasonal forecasting, particularly for the North Atlantic and Europe
  • Predictability of the North Atlantic Oscillation
  • UK drought
  • Extratropical weather systems
  • Climate responses to short-lived climate forcers

Research Projects:

  • IMPETUS: Improving prediction of UK drought for user decision-making
  • ENDOWS: Engaging diverse stakeholders and publics with outputs from the UK Drought and Water Scarcity programme
  • ECLIPSE: Evaluating the Climate and Air Quality Impacts of Short-lived pollutants

Postdoctoral & graduate student supervision

  • Jonathan Beverley PhD student working on the Role of the Asian Summer Monsoon in European Summer Climate Variability, as part of the SummerTIME project.

  • My home page

    Centaur Publications

    Jump to: 2024 | 2023 | 2021 | 2019 | 2018 | 2016 | 2015 | 2014 | 2013 | 2011 | 2009
    Number of items: 22.


    Weisheimer, A., Baker, L. H. ORCID:, Bröcker, J., Garfinkel, C. I., Hardiman, S. C., Hodson, D. L. R. ORCID:, Palmer, T. N., Robson, J. I. ORCID:, Scaife, A. A., Screen, J. A., Shepherd, T. G., Smith, D. N. and Sutton, R. T. ORCID: (2024) The signal-to-noise paradox in climate forecasts: revisiting our understanding and identifying future priorities. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 105 (3). E651-E659. ISSN 1520-0477 doi:

    Simpson, I., Hanna, E., Baker, L. ORCID:, Sun, Y. and Wei, H.-L. (2024) North Atlantic atmospheric circulation indices: links with summer and winter temperature and precipitation in north-west Europe, including persistence and variability. International Journal of Climatology. ISSN 1097-0088 doi:


    Baker, L. ORCID:, Charlton-Perez, A. and Mattu, K. L. (2023) Skilful sub-seasonal forecasts of aggregated temperature over Europe. Meteorological Applications, 30 (6). e2169. ISSN 1469-8080 doi:


    Beverley, J. D., Woolnough, S. J. ORCID:, Baker, L. H. ORCID:, Johnson, S. J., Weisheimer, A. and O'Reilly, C. H. ORCID: (2021) Dynamical mechanisms linking Indian monsoon precipitation and the circumglobal teleconnection. Climate Dynamics, 57. pp. 2615-2636. ISSN 0930-7575 doi:

    Baker, L. ORCID:, Shaffrey, L. ORCID: and Hawkins, E. ORCID: (2021) Has the risk of a 1976 north-west European summer drought and heatwave event increased since the 1970s due to climate change? Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 147 (741). pp. 4143-4162. ISSN 1477-870X doi:


    Parker, T., Woollings, T., Weisheimer, A., O'Reilly, C., Baker, L. ORCID: and Shaffrey, L. ORCID: (2019) Seasonal predictability of the winter North Atlantic Oscillation from a jet stream perspective. Geophysical Research Letters, 46 (16). pp. 10159-10167. ISSN 1944-8007 doi:

    Beverley, J. D., Woolnough, S. J. ORCID:, Baker, L. H. ORCID:, Johnson, S. J. and Weisheimer, A. (2019) The northern hemisphere circumglobal teleconnection in a seasonal forecast model and its relationship to European summer forecast skill. Climate Dynamics, 52 (5-6). pp. 3729-3771. ISSN 0930-7575 doi:


    Baker, L. H. ORCID:, Shaffrey, L. C. ORCID:, Sutton, R. T. ORCID:, Weisheimer, A. and Scaife, A. A. (2018) An intercomparison of skill and overconfidence/underconfidence of the wintertime North Atlantic Oscillation in multimodel seasonal forecasts. Geophysical Research Letters, 45 (15). pp. 7808-7817. ISSN 0094-8276 doi:

    Baker, L. ORCID:, Shaffrey, L. ORCID: and Scaife, A. A. (2018) Improved seasonal prediction of UK regional precipitation using atmospheric circulation. International Journal of Climatology, 38 (S1). e437-e453. ISSN 0899-8418 doi:

    Bannister, R. N., Migliorini, S., Rudd, A. C. and Baker, L. H. ORCID: (2018) Methods of investigating forecast error sensitivity to ensemble size in a limited-area convection-permitting ensemble. Geoscientific Model Development Discussions. 260. ISSN 1991-962X doi:


    Bellouin, N. ORCID:, Baker, L. ORCID:, Hodnebrog, Ø., Olivié, D., Cherian, R., MacIntosh, C., Samset, B., Esteve, A., Aamaas, B., Quaas, J. and Myhre, G. (2016) Regional and seasonal radiative forcing by perturbations to aerosol and ozone precursor emissions. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 16 (21). pp. 13885-13910. ISSN 1680-7316 doi:

    MacIntosh, C. R., Allan, R. P. ORCID:, Baker, L. H. ORCID:, Bellouin, N. ORCID:, Collins, W. ORCID:, Mousavi, Z. and Shine, K. P. ORCID: (2016) Contrasting fast precipitation responses to tropospheric and stratospheric ozone forcing. Geophysical Research Letters, 43 (3). pp. 1263-1271. ISSN 0094-8276 doi:


    Baker, L. ORCID:, Collins, W. J. ORCID:, Olivie, D. J. L., Cherian, R., Myhre, G. and Quaas, J. (2015) Climate responses to anthropogenic emissions of short-lived climate pollutants. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 15 (14). pp. 8201-8216. ISSN 1680-7316 doi:

    Vaughan, G., Methven, J. ORCID:, Anderson, D., Antonescu, B., Baker, L. ORCID:, Baker, T. P., Ballard, S. P., Bower, K. N., Brown, P. R. A., Chagnon, J., Choularton, T. W., Chylik, J., Connolly, P. J., Cook, P. A., Cotton, R. J., Crosier, J., Dearden, C., Dorsey, J. R., Frame, T. H. A., Gallagher, M. W., Goodliff, M., Gray, S. L. ORCID:, Harvey, B. J. ORCID:, Knippertz, P., Lean, H. W., Li, D., Lloyd, G., Martinez-Alvarado, O. ORCID:, Nicol, J., Norris, J., Öström, E., Owen, J., Parker, D. J., Plant, R. S. ORCID:, Renfrew, I. A., Roberts, N. M., Rosenberg, P., Rudd, A. C., Schultz, D. M., Taylor, J. P., Trzeciak, T., Tubbs, R., Vance, A. K., Van Leeuwen, P. J., Wellpott, A. and Woolley, A. (2015) Cloud banding and winds in intense European cyclones: results from the DIAMET project. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 96 (2). pp. 249-265. ISSN 1520-0477 doi:

    Stohl, A., Aamaas, B., Amann, M., Baker, L. ORCID:, Bellouin, N. ORCID:, Berntsen, T. K., Boucher, O., Cherian, R., Collins, W. ORCID:, Daskalakis, N., Dusinska, M., Eckhardt, S., Fuglestvedt, J. S., Harju, M., Heyes, C., Hodnebrog, Ø., Hao, J., Im, U., Kanakidou, M., Klimont, Z., Kupiainen, K., Law, K. S., Lund, M. T., Maas, R., MacIntosh, C., Myhre, G., Myriokefalitakis, S., Olivié, D., Quaas, J., Quennehen, B., Raut, J.-C., Rumbold, S. T., Samset, B. H., Schulz, M., Seland, Ø., Shine, K. ORCID:, Skeie, R. B., Wang, S., Yttri, K. E. and Zhu, T. (2015) Evaluating the climate and air quality impacts of short-lived pollutants. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 15 (18). pp. 10529-10566. ISSN 1680-7316 doi:


    Martinez-Alvarado, O. ORCID:, Baker, L. H. ORCID:, Gray, S. L. ORCID:, Methven, J. ORCID: and Plant, R. S. ORCID: (2014) Distinguishing the cold conveyor belt and sting jet air streams in an intense extratropical cyclone. Monthly Weather Review, 142 (8). pp. 2571-2595. ISSN 1520-0493 doi:

    Baker, L. H. ORCID:, Gray, S. L. ORCID: and Clark, P. A. ORCID: (2014) Idealised simulations of sting-jet cyclones. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 140 (678). pp. 96-110. ISSN 1477-870X doi:

    Baker, L. ORCID:, Rudd, A., Migliorini, S. and Bannister, R. (2014) Representation of model error in a convective-scale ensemble prediction system. Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics, 21. pp. 19-39. ISSN 1023-5809 doi: (special issue 'Ensemble methods in geophysical sciences')


    Martinez-Alvarado, O. ORCID:, Gray, S. L. ORCID:, Clark, P. A. ORCID: and Baker, L. H. ORCID: (2013) Objective detection of sting jets in low-resolution datasets. Meteorological Applications, 20 (1). pp. 41-55. ISSN 1469-8080 doi:

    Baker, L. ORCID:, Martinez-Alvarado, O. ORCID:, Methven, J. ORCID: and Knippertz, P. (2013) Flying through extratropical cyclone Friedhelm. Weather, 68 (1). pp. 9-13. ISSN 1477-8696 doi:


    Gray, S. L. ORCID:, Martinez-Alvarado, O. ORCID:, Baker, L. H. ORCID: and Clark, P. A. ORCID: (2011) Conditional symmetric instability in sting-jet storms. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 137 (659). pp. 1482-1500. ISSN 1477-870X doi:


    Baker, L. ORCID: (2009) Sting jets in severe northern European wind storms. Weather, 64 (6). pp. 143-148. ISSN 1477-8696 doi:

    This list was generated on Thu Apr 25 03:22:52 2024 UTC.

    Last update: 25th October 2023

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