Dr. Laura Baker
Postdoctoral Research Assistant
Responsibilities:
NCAS Climate PDRA working on the IMPETUS project
Research Interests:
- Seasonal forecasting, particularly for the North Atlantic and Europe
- Predictability of the North Atlantic Oscillation
- UK drought
- Extratropical weather systems
- Climate responses to short-lived climate forcers
Research Projects:
- IMPETUS: Improving prediction of UK drought for user decision-making
- ENDOWS: Engaging diverse stakeholders and publics with outputs from the UK Drought and Water Scarcity programme
- ECLIPSE: Evaluating the Climate and Air Quality Impacts of Short-lived pollutants
Postdoctoral & graduate student supervision
- Jonathan Beverley PhD student working on the Role of the Asian Summer Monsoon in European Summer Climate Variability, as part of the SummerTIME project.
Centaur Publications
2021
Baker, L., Shaffrey, L. and Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677
(2021)
Has the risk of a 1976 north-west European summer drought and heatwave event increased since the 1970s due to climate change?
Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society.
ISSN 1477-870X
doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.4172
Beverley, J. D., Woolnough, S. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0500-8514, Baker, L. H., Johnson, S. J., Weisheimer, A. and O'Reilly, C. H.
(2021)
Dynamical mechanisms linking Indian monsoon precipitation and the circumglobal teleconnection.
Climate Dynamics.
ISSN 0930-7575
doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-021-05825-6
2019
Parker, T., Woollings, T., Weisheimer, A., O'Reilly, C., Baker, L. and Shaffrey, L. (2019) Seasonal predictability of the winter North Atlantic Oscillation from a jet stream perspective. Geophysical Research Letters, 46 (16). pp. 10159-10167. ISSN 1944-8007 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2019GL084402
Beverley, J. D., Woolnough, S. J., Baker, L. H., Johnson, S. J. and Weisheimer, A. (2019) The northern hemisphere circumglobal teleconnection in a seasonal forecast model and its relationship to European summer forecast skill. Climate Dynamics, 52 (5-6). pp. 3729-3771. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-018-4371-4
2018
Baker, L. H., Shaffrey, L. C., Sutton, R. T., Weisheimer, A. and Scaife, A. A. (2018) An intercomparison of skill and overconfidence/underconfidence of the wintertime North Atlantic Oscillation in multimodel seasonal forecasts. Geophysical Research Letters, 45 (15). pp. 7808-7817. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2018GL078838
Baker, L., Shaffrey, L. and Scaife, A. A. (2018) Improved seasonal prediction of UK regional precipitation using atmospheric circulation. International Journal of Climatology, 38 (S1). e437-e453. ISSN 0899-8418 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.5382
Bannister, R. N., Migliorini, S., Rudd, A. C. and Baker, L. H. (2018) Methods of investigating forecast error sensitivity to ensemble size in a limited-area convection-permitting ensemble. Geoscientific Model Development Discussions. 260. ISSN 1991-962X doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-2017-260
2016
Bellouin, N., Baker, L., Hodnebrog, Ø., Olivié, D., Cherian, R., MacIntosh, C., Samset, B., Esteve, A., Aamaas, B., Quaas, J. and Myhre, G. (2016) Regional and seasonal radiative forcing by perturbations to aerosol and ozone precursor emissions. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 16 (21). pp. 13885-13910. ISSN 1680-7316 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-16-13885-2016
MacIntosh, C. R., Allan, R. P., Baker, L. H., Bellouin, N., Collins, W., Mousavi, Z. and Shine, K. P. (2016) Contrasting fast precipitation responses to tropospheric and stratospheric ozone forcing. Geophysical Research Letters, 43 (3). pp. 1263-1271. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/2015GL067231
2015
Baker, L., Collins, W. J., Olivie, D. J. L., Cherian, R., Myhre, G. and Quaas, J. (2015) Climate responses to anthropogenic emissions of short-lived climate pollutants. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 15 (14). pp. 8201-8216. ISSN 1680-7316 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-15-8201-2015
Vaughan, G., Methven, J., Anderson, D., Antonescu, B., Baker, L., Baker, T. P., Ballard, S. P., Bower, K. N., Brown, P. R. A., Chagnon, J., Choularton, T. W., Chylik, J., Connolly, P. J., Cook, P. A., Cotton, R. J., Crosier, J., Dearden, C., Dorsey, J. R., Frame, T. H. A., Gallagher, M. W., Goodliff, M., Gray, S. L., Harvey, B. J., Knippertz, P., Lean, H. W., Li, D., Lloyd, G., Martinez-Alvarado, O., Nicol, J., Norris, J., Öström, E., Owen, J., Parker, D. J., Plant, R. S., Renfrew, I. A., Roberts, N. M., Rosenberg, P., Rudd, A. C., Schultz, D. M., Taylor, J. P., Trzeciak, T., Tubbs, R., Vance, A. K., Van Leeuwen, P. J., Wellpott, A. and Woolley, A. (2015) Cloud banding and winds in intense European cyclones: results from the DIAMET project. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 96 (2). pp. 249-265. ISSN 1520-0477 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-13-00238.1
Stohl, A., Aamaas, B., Amann, M., Baker, L., Bellouin, N., Berntsen, T. K., Boucher, O., Cherian, R., Collins, W., Daskalakis, N., Dusinska, M., Eckhardt, S., Fuglestvedt, J. S., Harju, M., Heyes, C., Hodnebrog, Ø., Hao, J., Im, U., Kanakidou, M., Klimont, Z., Kupiainen, K., Law, K. S., Lund, M. T., Maas, R., MacIntosh, C., Myhre, G., Myriokefalitakis, S., Olivié, D., Quaas, J., Quennehen, B., Raut, J.-C., Rumbold, S. T., Samset, B. H., Schulz, M., Seland, Ø., Shine, K., Skeie, R. B., Wang, S., Yttri, K. E. and Zhu, T. (2015) Evaluating the climate and air quality impacts of short-lived pollutants. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 15 (18). pp. 10529-10566. ISSN 1680-7316 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-15-10529-2015
2014
Martinez-Alvarado, O., Baker, L. H., Gray, S. L., Methven, J. and Plant, R. S. (2014) Distinguishing the cold conveyor belt and sting jet air streams in an intense extratropical cyclone. Monthly Weather Review, 142 (8). pp. 2571-2595. ISSN 1520-0493 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-13-00348.1
Baker, L. H., Gray, S. L. and Clark, P. A. (2014) Idealised simulations of sting-jet cyclones. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 140 (678). pp. 96-110. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.2131
Baker, L., Rudd, A., Migliorini, S. and Bannister, R. (2014) Representation of model error in a convective-scale ensemble prediction system. Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics, 21. pp. 19-39. ISSN 1023-5809 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/npg-21-19-2014 (special issue 'Ensemble methods in geophysical sciences')
2013
Martinez-Alvarado, O., Gray, S. L., Clark, P. A. and Baker, L. H. (2013) Objective detection of sting jets in low-resolution datasets. Meteorological Applications, 20 (1). pp. 41-55. ISSN 1469-8080 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/met.297
Baker, L., Martinez-Alvarado, O., Methven, J. and Knippertz, P. (2013) Flying through extratropical cyclone Friedhelm. Weather, 68 (1). pp. 9-13. ISSN 1477-8696 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/wea.2047
2011
Gray, S. L., Martinez-Alvarado, O., Baker, L. H. and Clark, P. A. (2011) Conditional symmetric instability in sting-jet storms. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 137 (659). pp. 1482-1500. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.859
2009
Baker, L. (2009) Sting jets in severe northern European wind storms. Weather, 64 (6). pp. 143-148. ISSN 1477-8696 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/wea.397
Last update: 30th January 2019