Dr. Laura Wilcox
Associate Professor of Aerosol-Climate Interactions (NCAS)
Research Interests:
- The impact of atmospheric aerosol on climate and climate change
- The response of large-scale circulation to regional radiative forcing
- The climate impact of aviation
Research Projects:
- RAMIP (Regional Aerosol Model Intercomparison Project) will quantify the role of anthropogenic aerosol in the spread in near-term climate projections. The experiments are based on the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways and designed to quantify the role of global and regional aerosol changes in near-term projections, and explore sensitivities to aerosol type and location. Please get in touch if you would like to participate.
- CATHY (Climate implications of rapid changes in Asian Anthropogenic Aerosol emissions: Temperature, Hydrological cycle and variabilitY) is quantifying climate related hazards resulting from ongoing and projected changes in Asian aerosol emissions. The range of climate impacts and societal hazards may dominate regionally over greenhouse gas induced trends for the next several decades, but are not well understood. I am analysing global responses to local aerosol changes in climate models with a range of complexities to better understand the physical mechanisms involved.
- TerraFIRMA is assessing a range of climate mitigation strategies and investigating the risks and consequences associated with overshooting key global warming targets, including the risk of rapid change in a range of regional climate phenomena and the potential reversibility of any triggered changes. My work focusses on the role of near-future changes in anthropogenic aerosol emissions, and the potential air quality co-benefits in climate mitigation strategies.
Previous Research Projects:
- Climate Science for Service Partnership: China (CSSP China)
We are working to understand the regional climate responses to changes in anthropogenic and natural aerosol changes. We are investigating the physical drivers of changes in seasonal-mean climate, temperature and precipitation extremes, and circulation patterns that make poor air quality events more likely.
- The North Atlantic Climate System Integrated Study (ACSIS)
ACSIS aims to detect, explain and predict changes in the North Atlantic climate system. I am working to quantify the role of aerosol in shaping change in the North Atlantic Climate System from the 19th century to the near future.
- EMERGENCE
This project will assess the impact of climate change on climate hazards in the past and present and project forward their changes into the future. There is a focus on the next 30 years because of the relevance of this time scale for adaptation strategies. Our group in Reading is quantifying the effect of aerosol on climate hazards, with a particular focus on the monsoons.
- Securing Multidisciplinary UndeRstanding and Prediction of Hiatus and Surge events (SMURPHS)
The aim of SMURPHS is to understand the causes of periods where the rate of global-mean surface temperature is increased or decreased at decadal time-scales compared with long term (multi-decadal) trends. My work will characterise the interactions between the climate response to anthropogenic aerosol emissions and natural variability.
- EUropean CLimate and weather Events: Interpretation and Attribution (EUCLEIA)
EUCLEIA facilitated new scientific developments that provided the foundation of an operational attribution service. I quantified the role of air-sea interactions in the attribution of extreme weather events in Europe, and quantified the relative roles of natural and anthropogenic contributions to the extreme summers of 2012 and 2015, and the extreme winter of 2009-2010.
- The impacts of aerosol on climate and the water cycle (PAGODA)
Aerosol affects the hydrological cycle through a range of mechanisms: perturbing the net radiation input at the surface and the top of the atmosphere, altering the microphysics of clouds, and changing the temperature structure of the atmosphere. I identified aerosol influences on the water cycle, and quantified the relative importance of sources of uncertainty in aerosol radiative forcing.
Postdoctoral & graduate student supervision
Current:
- Catherine Toolan, PhD student: The role of anthropogenic aerosol in near-future sub-Saharan precipitation change
- Steve Rumbold is an NCAS research scientist whose work includes simulating the global sources, sinks, and transport of anthropogenic aerosol and investigating the associated impact on air quality and climate
Past:
- Michael Lai, PhD student: Understanding the influence of anthropogenic aerosols on the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation and related climate impacts.
- Liang Guo is an NCAS research scientist working on the role of anthropogenic aerosol in Chinese climate as part of CSSP China
- Paul-Arthur Monerie is an NCAS research scientist working on aerosol-monsoon interactions as part of EMERGENCE.
- Alcide Zhao is an NCAS research scientist working on the role of dust in Chinese climate as part of CSSP China
Centaur Publications
2024
Samset, B. H., Wilcox, L. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493 and Allen, R. J. (2024) Broader research efforts and assessments needed to uncover the complex climate effects of regional changes in aerosol emissions. PLOS Climate, 3 (10). e0000508. ISSN 2767-3200 doi: https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pclm.0000508
Collins, M., Beverley, J. D., Bracegirdle, T. J., Catto, J., McCrystall, M., Dittus, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9598-6869, Freychet, N., Grist, J., Hegerl, G. C., Holland, P. R., Holmes, C., Josey, S. A., Joshi, M., Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Lo, E., Lord, N., Mitchell, D., Monerie, P.-A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5304-9559, Priestley, M. D. K., Scaife, A., Screen, J., Senior, N., Sexton, D., Shuckburgh, E., Siegert, S., Simpson, C., Stephenson, D. B., Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583, Thompson, V., Wilcox, L. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493 and Woollings, T. (2024) Emerging signals of climate change from the equator to the poles: new insights into a warming world. Frontiers in Science, 2. 1340323. ISSN 2813-6330 doi: https://doi.org/10.3389/fsci.2024.1340323
Iles, C. E., Samset, B. H., Sandstad, M., Schuhen, N., Wilcox, L. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493 and Lund, M. T. (2024) Strong regional trends in extreme weather over the next two decades under high- and low-emissions pathways. Nature Geoscience, 17. pp. 845-850. ISSN 1752-0908 doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41561-024-01511-4
Samset, B. H., Lund, M. T., Fuglestvedt, J. S. and Wilcox, L. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493 (2024) 2023 temperatures reflect steady global warming and internal sea surface temperature variability. Communications Earth and Environment, 5. 460. ISSN 2662-4435 doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-024-01637-8
Liu, Z., Bollasina, M. A. and Wilcox, L. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493 (2024) Impact of Asian aerosols on the summer monsoon strongly modulated by regional precipitation biases. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 24 (12). pp. 7227-7252. ISSN 1680-7324 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-24-7227-2024
Monerie, P.-A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5304-9559, Chadwick, R., Wilcox, L. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493 and Turner, A. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876 (2024) An uncertain future change in aridity over the tropics. Environmental Research Letters, 19 (5). 054048. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ad42b8
Allen, R. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1616-9719, Samset, B. H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8013-1833, Wilcox, L. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493 and Fisher, R. A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3260-9227 (2024) Are northern hemisphere boreal forest fires more sensitive to future aerosol mitigation than to greenhouse gas–driven warming? Science Advances, 10 (13). eadl4007. ISSN 2375-2548 doi: https://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.adl4007
Fiedler, S., Naik, V., O'Connor, F. M., Smith, C. J., Griffiths, P., Kramer, R. J., Takemura, T., Allen, R. J., Im, U., Kasoar, M., Modak, A., Turnock, S., Voulgarakis, A., Watson-Parris, D., Westervelt, D. M., Wilcox, L. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493, Zhao, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8300-5872, Collins, W. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7419-0850, Schulz, M., Myhre, G. and Forster, P. M. (2024) Interactions between atmospheric composition and climate change - progress in understanding and future opportunities from AerChemMIP, PDRMIP, and RFMIP. Geoscientific Model Development, 17 (6). pp. 2387-2417. ISSN 1991-9603 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-17-2387-2024
2023
Wilcox, L. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493, Allen, R. J., Samset, B. H., Bollasina, M. A., Griffiths, P. T., Keeble, J. M., Lund, M. T., Makkonen, R., Merikanto, J., O'Donnell, D., Paynter, D. J., Persad, G. G., Rumbold, S. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8138-4541, Takemura, T., Tsigaridis, K., Undorf, S. and Westervelt, D. M. (2023) The regional aerosol model intercomparison project (RAMIP). Geoscientific Model Development, 16 (15). pp. 4451-4479. ISSN 1991-9603 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-16-4451-2023
Persad, G., Samset, B. H., Wilcox, L. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493, Allen, R. J., Bollasina, M. A., Booth, B. B. B., Bonfils, C., Crocker, T., Joshi, M., Lund, M. T., Marvel, K., Merikanto, J., Nordling, K., Undorf, S., van Vuuren, D. P., Westervelt, D. M. and Zhao, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8300-5872 (2023) Rapidly evolving aerosol emissions are a dangerous omission from near-term climate risk assessments. Environmental Research Climate, 2 (3). 032001. ISSN 2752-5295 doi: https://doi.org/10.1088/2752-5295/acd6af
Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911, Sutton, R. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 and Wilcox, L. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493 (2023) Decadal trends in surface solar radiation and cloud cover over the North Atlantic sector during the last four decades: drivers and physical processes. Climate Dynamics, 60. pp. 2533-2546. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-022-06438-3
Monerie, P.-A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5304-9559, Dittus, A. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9598-6869, Wilcox, L. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493 and Turner, A. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876 (2023) Uncertainty in simulating twentieth century West African precipitation trends: the role of anthropogenic aerosol emissions. Earth's Future, 11 (2). e2022EF002995. ISSN 2328-4277 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2022EF002995
2022
Persad, G. G., Samset, B. H. and Wilcox, L. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493 (2022) Aerosols must be part of climate risk assessments. Nature, 611. pp. 662-664. ISSN 0028-0836 doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/d41586-022-03763-9
Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Menary, M. B., Sutton, R. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583, Mecking, J., Gregory, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644, Jones, C., Sinha, B., Stevens, D. P. and Wilcox, L. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493 (2022) The role of anthropogenic aerosol forcing in the 1850-1985 strengthening of the AMOC in CMIP6 historical simulations. Journal of Climate, 35 (20). pp. 3243-3263. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-22-0124.1
Bollasina, M. A. and Wilcox, L. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493 (2022) Atmospheric and oceanic dynamical responses to changes in aerosol. In: Carslaw, K. S. (ed.) Aerosols and Climate. Elsevier, pp. 545-570. ISBN 9780128197660 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/B978-0-12-819766-0.00018-3
Monerie, P.-A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5304-9559, Wilcox, L. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493 and Turner, A. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876 (2022) Effects of anthropogenic aerosol and greenhouse gas emissions on Northern Hemisphere monsoon precipitation: mechanisms and uncertainty. Journal of Climate, 35 (8). pp. 2305-2326. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-21-0412.1
Zhao, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8300-5872, Ryder, C. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9892-6113 and Wilcox, L. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493 (2022) How well do the CMIP6 models simulate dust aerosols? Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 22. pp. 2095-2119. ISSN 1680-7316 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-22-2095-2022
Lai, W. K. M., Robson, J. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Wilcox, L. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493 and Dunstone, N. (2022) Mechanisms of internal Atlantic multidecadal variability in HadGEM3-GC3.1 at two different resolutions. Journal of Climate, 35 (4). pp. 1365-1383. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-21-0281.1
2021
Herbert, R., Wilcox, L. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493, Joshi, M., Highwood, E. and Frame, D. (2021) Nonlinear response of Asian summer monsoon precipitation to emission reductions in South and East Asia. Environmental Research Letters, 17 (1). 014005. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ac3b19
Zhang, J., Furtado, K., Turnock, S. T., Mulcahy, J. P., Wilcox, L. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493, Booth, B. B., Sexton, D., Wu, T., Zhang, F. and Liu, Q. (2021) The role of anthropogenic aerosols in the anomalous cooling from 1960 to 1990 in the CMIP6 Earth System Models. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 21 (24). pp. 18609-18627. ISSN 1680-7316 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-21-18609-2021
Dittus, A. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9598-6869, Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Robson, J. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Smith, D. M. and Wilcox, L. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493 (2021) Drivers of recent North Pacific decadal variability: the role of aerosol forcing. Earth's Future, 9 (12). e2021EF002249. ISSN 2328-4277 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2021EF002249
Guo, L., Wilcox, L. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493, Bollasina, B., Turnock, S. T., Lund, M. T. and Zhang, L. (2021) Competing effects of aerosol reductions and circulation changes for future improvements in Beijing haze. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics Discussions, 21 (19). pp. 15299-15308. ISSN 1680-7375 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-21-15299-2021
Muelmenstaedt, J. and Wilcox, L. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493 (2021) The fall and rise of the global climate model. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 13 (9). ISSN 1942-2466 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2021MS002781
Liu, Z., Bollasina, M. A., Wilcox, L. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493, Rodríguez, J. M. and Regayre, L. A. (2021) Contrasting the role of regional and remote circulation in driving Asian monsoon biases in MetUM GA7.1. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 126 (14). e2020JD034342. ISSN 2169-8996 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2020JD034342
Zhang, L., Wilcox, L. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493, Dunstone, N. J., Paynter, D. J., Hu, S., Bollasina, M., Li, D., Shonk, J. K. P. and Zou, L. (2021) Future changes in Beijing haze events under different anthropogenic aerosol emission scenarios. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 21. pp. 7499-7514. ISSN 1680-7316 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-21-7499-2021
Lee, D. S., Fahey, D. W., Skowron, A., Allen, M. R., Burkhardt, U., Chen, Q., Doherty, S. J., Freeman, S., Forster, P. M., Fuglestvedt, J., Gettelman, A., De León, R. R., Lim, L. L., Lund, M. T., Millar, R. J., Owen, B., Penner, J. E., Pitari, G., Prather, M. J., Sausen, R. and Wilcox, L. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493 (2021) The contribution of global aviation to anthropogenic climate forcing for 2000 to 2018. Atmospheric Environment, 244. 117834. ISSN 1352-2310 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosenv.2020.117834
2020
Shonk, J. K. P., Turner, A. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876, Chevuturi, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2815-7221, Wilcox, L. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493, Dittus, A. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9598-6869 and Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677 (2020) Uncertainty in aerosol radiative forcing impacts the simulated global monsoon in the 20th century. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics Discussions, 20 (23). pp. 14903-14915. ISSN 1680-7375 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-20-14903-2020
Hari, V., Villarini, G., Karmakar, S., Wilcox, L. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493 and Collins, M. (2020) Northward propagation of the Inter Tropical Convergence Zone and strengthening of Indian summer monsoon rainfall. Geophysical Research Letters, 43 (23). e2020GL089823. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2020GL089823
Wilcox, L. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493, Liu, Z., Samset, B. H., Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Lund, M. T., Nordling, K., Undorf, S., Bollasina, M., Ekman, A. M. L., Krishnan, S., Merikanto, J. and Turner, A. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876 (2020) Accelerated increases in global and Asian summer monsoon precipitation from future aerosol reductions. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 20 (20). pp. 11955-11977. ISSN 1680-7316 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-20-11955-2020
Collins, M., Barreiro, M., Frölicher, T., Kang, S., Karumuri, A., Roxy Koll, M., Singh, D., Tedeschi, R. G., Wang, G., Wilcox, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493 and Wu, B. (2020) Frontiers in climate predictions and projections. Frontiers in climate, 2. ISSN 2624-9553 doi: https://doi.org/10.3389/fclim.2020.571245
Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Aksenov, Y., Bracegirdle, T. J., Dimdore-Miles, O., Griffiths, P. T., Grosvenor, D. P., Hodson, D. L.R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7159-6700, Keeble, J., MacIntosh, C., Megann, A., Osprey, S., Povey, A. C., Schröder, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2351-4306, Yang, M., Archibald, A. T., Carslaw, K. S., Gray, L., Jones, C., Kerridge, B., Knappett, D., Kuhlbrodt, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2328-6729, Russo, M., Sellar, A., Siddans, R., Sinha, B., Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583, Walton, J. and Wilcox, L. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493 (2020) The evaluation of the North Atlantic climate system in UKESM1 historical simulations for CMIP6. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 12 (9). e2020MS002126. ISSN 1942-2466 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2020MS002126
Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911, Sutton, R. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583, Shaffrey, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2696-752X and Wilcox, L. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493 (2020) Attribution of 2012 extreme climate events: does air-sea interaction matter? Climate Dynamics, 55 (5-6). pp. 1225-1245. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-020-05321-3
Menary, M. B., Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Allan, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447, Booth, B. B. B., Cassou, C., Gastineau, G., Gregory, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644, Hodson, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7159-6700, Jones, C., Mignot, J., Ringer, M., Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583, Wilcox, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493 and Zhang, R. (2020) Aerosol-forced AMOC changes in CMIP6 historical simulations. Geophysical Research Letters. e2020GL088166. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2020GL088166
Allan, R. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447, Barlow, M., Byrne, M. P., Cherchi, A., Douville, H., Fowler, H. J., Gan, T. Y., Pendergrass, A. G., Rosenfeld, D., Swann, A. L. S., Wilcox, L. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493 and Zolina, O. (2020) Advances in understanding large-scale responses of the water cycle to climate change. Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences, 1472 (1). pp. 49-75. ISSN 1749-6632 doi: https://doi.org/10.1111/nyas.14337
Dittus, A. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9598-6869, Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Wilcox, L. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493, Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583, Smith, C. J., Andrews, M. B. and Forster, P. M. (2020) Sensitivity of historical climate simulations to uncertain aerosol forcing. Geophysical Research Letters, 47 (13). e2019GL085806. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2019GL085806
Tian, F., Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911, Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 and Wilcox, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493 (2020) Processes shaping the spatial pattern and seasonality of the surface air temperature response to anthropogenic forcing. Climate Dynamics, 54 (9-10). pp. 3959-3975. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-020-05211-8
Krishnan, S., Ekman, A. M. L., Hansson, H.-C., Riipinen, I., Lewinschal, A., Wilcox, L. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493 and Dallafior, T. (2020) The roles of the atmosphere and ocean in driving Arctic warming due to European aerosol reductions. Geophysical Research Letters, 47 (7). e2019GL086681. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2019GL086681
Luo, F., Wilcox, L. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493, Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911, Su, Q., Chen, W., Dunstone, N., Li, S. and Gao, Y. (2020) Projected near-term changes of temperature extremes in Europe and China under different aerosol emissions. Environmental Research Letters, 15 (3). 034013. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ab6b34
2019
Scannell, C., Booth, B. B. B., Dunstone, N. J., Rowell, D. P., Bernie, D. J., Kasoar, M., Voulgarakis, A., Wilcox, L. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493, Acosta Navarro, J. C., Seland, Ø. and Paynter, D. J. (2019) The influence of remote aerosol forcing from industrialised economies on the future evolution of East and West African rainfall. Journal of Climate, 32 (23). pp. 8335-8354. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-18-0716.1
Samset, B. H., Lund, M. T., Bollasina, M. A., Myhre, G. and Wilcox, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493 (2019) Emerging Asian aerosol patterns. Nature Geoscience, 12. pp. 582-584. ISSN 1752-0894 doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41561-019-0424-5
Vautard, R., Christidis, N., Ciavarella, A., Alvarez-Castro, C., Bellprat, O., Christiansen, B., Colfescu, I., Cowan, T., Doblas-Reyes, F., Eden, J., Hauser, M., Hegerl, G., Hempelmann, N., Klehmet, K., Lott, F., Nangini, C., Orth, R., Radanovics, S., Seneviratne, S. I., van Oldenborgh, G. J., Stott, P., Tett, S., Wilcox, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493 and Yiou, P. (2019) Evaluation of the HadGEM3-A simulations in view of detection and attribution of human influence on extreme events in Europe. Climate Dynamics, 52 (1-2). pp. 1187-1210. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-018-4183-6
Chen, W., Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911, Wilcox, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493, Luo, F., Dunstone, N. and Highwood, E. J. (2019) Attribution of recent trends in temperature extremes over China: role of changes in anthropogenic aerosol emissions over Asia. Journal Of Climate, 32. pp. 7539-7560. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-18-0777.1
Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911, Wilcox, L. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493, Highwood, E. J. and Sutton, R. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 (2019) Impacts of recent decadal changes in Asian aerosols on the East Asian summer monsoon: roles of aerosol–radiation and aerosol–cloud interactions. Climate Dynamics, 53 (5-6). pp. 3235-3256. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-019-04698-0 (Dong, B., Wilcox, L.J., Highwood, E.J. et al. Clim Dyn (2019). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-019-04698-0)
Wilcox, L. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493, Dunstone, N., Lewinschal, A., Bollasina, M., Ekman, A. M. L. and Highwood, E. J. (2019) Mechanisms for a remote response to Asian aerosol emissions in boreal winter. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 19. pp. 9081-9095. ISSN 1680-7375 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-19-9081-2019
2018
Booth, B. B., Harris, G. R., Jones, A., Wilcox, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493, Hawcroft, M. and Carslaw, K. S. (2018) Comments on “rethinking the lower bound on aerosol radiative forcing”. Journal of Climate, 31 (22). pp. 9407-9412. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0369.1
Wilcox, L. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493, Yiou, P., Hauser, M., Lott, F. C., van Oldenborgh, G. J., Colfescu, I., Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911, Hegerl, G., Shaffrey, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2696-752X and Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 (2018) Multiple perspectives on the attribution of the extreme European summer of 2012 to climate change. Climate Dynamics, 50 (9-10). pp. 3537-3555. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-017-3822-7
Christiansen, B., Alvarez-Castro, C., Christidis, N., Ciavarella, A., Colfescu, I., Cowan, T., Eden, J., Hauser, M., Hempelmann, N., Klehmet, K., Lott, F., Nangini, C., van Oldenborgh, G. J., Orth, R., Stott, P., Tett, S., Vautard, R., Wilcox, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493 and Yiou, P. (2018) Was the cold European winter 2009-2010 modified by anthropogenic climate change? An attribution study. Journal of Climate. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-17-0589.1
2017
Hauser, M., Gudmundsson, L., Orth, R., Jezequel, A., Haustein, K., Vautard, R., van Oldenborgh, G. J., Wilcox, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493 and Seneviratne, S. I. (2017) Methods and model dependency of extreme event attribution: the 2015 European drought. Earth's Future. ISSN 2328-4277 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/2017EF000612
2016
Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911, Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583, Shaffrey, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2696-752X and Wilcox, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493 (2016) The 2015 European heat wave. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 97. S57-S62. ISSN 1520-0477 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-16-0140.1
Steptoe, H., Wilcox, L. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493 and Highwood, E. J. (2016) Is there a robust effect of anthropogenic aerosols on the Southern Annular Mode? Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 121 (17). 10,029-10,042. ISSN 2169-8996 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/2015JD024218
Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911, Sutton, R. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583, Highwood, E. J. and Wilcox, L. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493 (2016) Preferred response of the East Asian summer monsoon to local and non-local anthropogenic sulphur dioxide emissions. Climate Dynamics, 46 (5). pp. 1733-1751. ISSN 1432-0894 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-015-2671-5
2015
Wilcox, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493, Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911, Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 and Highwood, E. (2015) The 2014 hot, dry summer in Northeast Asia. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 96 (12). S105-S110. ISSN 1520-0477 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-15-00123.1
Hegerl, G. C., Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186, Allan, R. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447, Ingram, W. J., Polson, D., Trenberth, K. E., Chadwick, R. S., Arkin, P. A., Sarojini, B. B., Becker, A., Dai, A., Durack, P. J., Easterling, D., Fowler, H. J., Kendon, E. J., Huffman, G. J., Liu, C., Marsh, R., New, M., Osborn, T. J., Skliris, N., Stott, P. A., Vidale, P.-L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1800-8460, Wijffels, S. E., Wilcox, L. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493, Willett, K. M. and Zhang, X. (2015) Challenges in quantifying changes in the global water cycle. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 96 (7). pp. 1097-1115. ISSN 1520-0477 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-13-00212.1
Wilcox, L. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493, Highwood, E. J., Booth, B. B. B. and Carslaw, K. S. (2015) Quantifying sources of inter-model diversity in the cloud albedo effect. Geophysical Research Letters, 42 (5). pp. 1568-1575. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/2015GL063301
2014
Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911, Sutton, R. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583, Highwood, E. and Wilcox, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493 (2014) The impacts of European and Asian anthropogenic sulphur dioxide emissions on Sahel rainfall. Journal of Climate, 27 (18). pp. 7000-7017. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00769.1
Polson, D., Bollasina, M., Hegerl, G. C. and Wilcox, L. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493 (2014) Decreased monsoon precipitation in the Northern Hemisphere due to anthropogenic aerosols. Geophysical Research Letters, 41 (16). pp. 6023-6029. ISSN 1944-8007 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/2014GL060811
2013
Wilcox, L.J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493, Highwood, E.J. and Dunstone, N.J. (2013) The influence of anthropogenic aerosol on multi-decadal variations of historical global climate. Environmental Research Letters, 8 (2). 024033. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/8/2/024033
Wilcox, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493 and Charlton-Perez, A. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8179-6220 (2013) Final warming of the Southern Hemisphere polar vortex in high- and low-top CMIP5 models. Journal of Geophysical Research - Atmospheres, 118 (6). pp. 2535-2546. ISSN 0148-0227 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/jgrd.50254
Charlton-Perez, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8179-6220, Baldwin, M. P., Birner, T., Black, R. X., Butler, A. H., Calvo, N., Davis, N. A., Gerber, E. P., Gillett, N., Hardiman, S., Kim, J., Krüger, K., Lee, Y.-Y., Manzini, E., McDaniel, B. A., Polvani, L., Reichler, T., Shaw, T. A., Sigmond, M., Son, S.-W., Toohey, M., Wilcox, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493, Yoden, S., Christiansen, B., Lott, F., Shindell, D., Yukimoto, S. and Watanabe, S. (2013) On the lack of stratospheric dynamical variability in low-top versions of the CMIP5 models. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 118 (6). pp. 2494-2505. ISSN 2169-8996 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/jgrd.50125
Bracegirdle, T. J., Shuckburgh, E., Sallee, J.-B., Wang, Z., Meijers, A. J. S., Bruneau, N., Phillips, T. and Wilcox, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493 (2013) Assessment of surface winds over the Atlantic, Indian and Pacific Ocean sectors of the Southern Ocean in CMIP5 models: historical bias, forcing response, and state dependence. Journal of Geophysical Research - Atmospheres, 118 (2). pp. 547-562. ISSN 0148-0227 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/jgrd.50153
2012
Wilcox, L.J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493, Shine, K.P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2672-9978 and Hoskins, B.J. (2012) Radiative forcing due to aviation water vapour emissions. Atmospheric Environment, 63. pp. 1-13. ISSN 1352-2310 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosenv.2012.08.072
Santer, B. D., Painter, J. F., Mears, C. A., Doutriaux, C., Caldwell, P., Arblaster, J. M., Cameron-Smith, P. J., Gillett, N. P., Gleckler, P. J., Lanzante, J., Perlwitz, J., Solomon, S., Stott, P. A., Taylor, K. E., Terray, L., Thorne, P. W., Wehner, M. F., Wentz, F. J., Wigley, T. M. L., Wilcox, L. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493 and Zou, C.-Z. (2012) Identifying human influences on atmospheric temperature. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 110 (1). pp. 26-33. ISSN 0027-8424 doi: https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1210514109
Chalmers, N., Highwood, E. J., Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Sutton, R. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 and Wilcox, L. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493 (2012) Aerosol contribution to the rapid warming of near-term climate under RCP 2.6. Geophysical Research Letters, 39 (18). L18709. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2012GL052848
Wilcox, L. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493, Charlton-Perez, A. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8179-6220 and Gray, L. J. (2012) Trends in Austral jet position in ensembles of high- and low-top CMIP5 models. Journal of Geophysical Research - Atmospheres, 117. D13115. ISSN 0148-0227 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2012JD017597
Wilcox, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493, Hoskins, B. and Shine, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2672-9978 (2012) A global blended tropopause based on ERA data, Part I: Climatology. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 138 (664). pp. 561-575. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.951
Wilcox, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493, Hoskins, B. and Shine, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2672-9978 (2012) A global blended tropopause based on ERA data, Part II: trends and tropical broadening. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 138 (664). pp. 576-584. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.910
Last update: 8th November 2024