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Department of Meteorology – University of Reading

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Dr. Marlene Kretschmer

Senior Visiting Fellow

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Centaur Publications

Jump to: 2024 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016
Number of items: 24.


Mahecha, M. D. ORCID:, Bastos, A. ORCID:, Bohn, F. J. ORCID:, Eisenhauer, N. ORCID:, Feilhauer, H. ORCID:, Hickler, T. ORCID:, Kalesse‐Los, H. ORCID:, Migliavacca, M. ORCID:, Otto, F. E. L. ORCID:, Peng, J. ORCID:, Sippel, S. ORCID:, Tegen, I. ORCID:, Weigelt, A. ORCID:, Wendisch, M. ORCID:, Wirth, C., Al‐Halbouni, D. ORCID:, Deneke, H. ORCID:, Doktor, D. ORCID:, Dunker, S. ORCID:, Duveiller, G. ORCID:, Ehrlich, A. ORCID:, Foth, A. ORCID:, García‐García, A. ORCID:, Guerra, C. A. ORCID:, Guimarães‐Steinicke, C. ORCID:, Hartmann, H., Henning, S. ORCID:, Herrmann, H. ORCID:, Hu, P. ORCID:, Ji, C. ORCID:, Kattenborn, T. ORCID:, Kolleck, N. ORCID:, Kretschmer, M. ORCID:, Kühn, I. ORCID:, Luttkus, M. L. ORCID:, Maahn, M. ORCID:, Mönks, M. ORCID:, Mora, K. ORCID:, Pöhlker, M. ORCID:, Reichstein, M. ORCID:, Rüger, N. ORCID:, Sánchez‐Parra, B. ORCID:, Schäfer, M., Stratmann, F. ORCID:, Tesche, M. ORCID:, Wehner, B. ORCID:, Wieneke, S. ORCID:, Winkler, A. J. ORCID:, Wolf, S. ORCID:, Zaehle, S. ORCID:, Zscheischler, J. ORCID: and Quaas, J. ORCID: (2024) Biodiversity and climate extremes: known interactions and research gaps. Earth's Future, 12 (6). e2023EF003963. ISSN 2328-4277 doi:

Bommer, P. L., Kretschmer, M. ORCID:, Hedström, A., Bareeva, D. and Höhne, M. M.-C. (2024) Finding the right XAI method — a guide for the evaluation and ranking of explainable AI methods in climate science. Artificial Intelligence for the Earth Systems. ISSN 2769-7525 doi: (In Press)

Shaw, T. A., Arias, P. A., Collins, M., Coumou, D., Diedhiou, A., Garfinkel, C. I., Jain, S., Roxy, M. K., Kretschmer, M. ORCID:, Leung, L. R., Narsey, S., Martius, O., Seager, R., Shepherd, T. G., Sörensson, A. A., Stephenson, T., Taylor, M. and Wang, L. (2024) Regional climate change: consensus, discrepancies, and ways forward. Frontiers in Climate, 6. 1391634. ISSN 2624-9553 doi:


Messori, G. ORCID:, Kretschmer, M. ORCID:, Lee, S. H. ORCID: and Wendt, V. ORCID: (2022) Stratospheric downward wave reflection events modulate North American weather regimes and cold spells. Weather and Climate Dynamics, 3 (4). pp. 1215-1236. ISSN 2698-4024 doi:

Cohen, J. ORCID:, Agel, L., Barlow, M. ORCID:, Furtado, J. C. ORCID:, Kretschmer, M. ORCID: and Wendt, V. ORCID: (2022) The “polar vortex” winter of 2013/14. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 127 (17). e2022JD036493. ISSN 2169-8996 doi:

Karpechko, A. Y. ORCID:, Afargan‐Gerstman, H. ORCID:, Butler, A. H. ORCID:, Domeisen, D. I. V. ORCID:, Kretschmer, M. ORCID:, Lawrence, Z. ORCID:, Manzini, E. ORCID:, Sigmond, M. ORCID:, Simpson, I. R. ORCID: and Wu, Z. ORCID: (2022) Northern hemisphere stratosphere‐troposphere circulation change in CMIP6 models: 1. inter‐model spread and scenario sensitivity. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 127 (18). e2022JD036992. ISSN 2169-8996 doi:

Monnin, E., Kretschmer, M. ORCID: and Polichtchouk, I. (2022) The role of the timing of Sudden Stratospheric Warmings for precipitation and temperature anomalies in Europe. International Journal of Climatology, 42 (6). pp. 3448-3462. ISSN 0899-8418 doi:


Ludescher, J., Martin, M. ORCID:, Boers, N. ORCID:, Bunde, A., Ciemer, C. ORCID:, Fan, J. ORCID:, Havlin, S. ORCID:, Kretschmer, M. ORCID:, Kurths, J., Runge, J., Stolbova, V. ORCID:, Surovyatkina, E. ORCID: and Schellnhuber, H. J. (2021) Network-based forecasting of climate phenomena. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 118 (47). e1922872118. ISSN 0027-8424 doi:

Polkova, I., Afargan-Gerstman, H., Domeisen, D. I. V., King, M. P., Ruggieri, P., Athanasiadis, P., Dobrynin, M., Aarnes, Ø., Kretschmer, M. ORCID: and Baehr, J. (2021) Predictors and prediction skill for marine cold-air outbreaks over the Barents Sea. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 147 (738). pp. 2638-2656. ISSN 1477-870X doi:

Kretschmer, M. ORCID:, Adams, S. V., Arribas, A., Prudden, R., Robinson, N., Saggioro, E. ORCID: and Shepherd, T. G. ORCID: (2021) Quantifying causal pathways of teleconnections. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 102 (12). E2247-E2263. ISSN 1520-0477 doi:


Pfleiderer, P., Schleussner, C.-F., Geiger, T. and Kretschmer, M. ORCID: (2020) Robust predictors for seasonal Atlantic hurricane activity identified with causal effect networks. Weather and Climate Dynamics, 1 (2). pp. 313-324. ISSN 2698-4024 doi:

Lehmann, J., Kretschmer, M. ORCID:, Schauberger, B. and Wechsung, F. (2020) Potential for early forecast of Moroccan wheat yields based on climatic drivers. Geophysical Research Letters, 47 (12). e2020GL087516. ISSN 0094-8276 doi:

Matthias, V. and Kretschmer, M. ORCID: (2020) The influence of stratospheric wave reflection on North American cold spells. Monthly Weather Review, 148 (4). pp. 1675-1690. ISSN 0027-0644 doi:

Di Capua, G., Kretschmer, M. ORCID:, Donner, R. V., van den Hurk, B., Vellore, R., Krishnan, R. and Coumou, D. (2020) Tropical and mid-latitude teleconnections interacting with the Indian summer monsoon rainfall: a theory-guided causal effect network approach. Earth System Dynamics, 11 (1). pp. 17-34. ISSN 2190-4987 doi:

Saggioro, E. ORCID:, de Wiljes, J., Kretschmer, M. ORCID: and Runge, J. (2020) Reconstructing regime-dependent causal relationships from observational time series. Chaos: An Interdisciplinary Journal of Nonlinear Science, 30 (11). 113115. ISSN 1089-7682 doi:

Kretschmer, M. ORCID:, Zappa, G. and Shepherd, T. G. ORCID: (2020) The role of Barents-Kara sea ice loss in projected polar vortex changes. Weather and Climate Dynamics, 1 (2). pp. 715-730. ISSN 2698-4024 doi:


Cohen, J. ORCID:, Zhang, X. ORCID:, Francis, J., Jung, T. ORCID:, Kwok, R., Overland, J., Ballinger, T. J. ORCID:, Bhatt, U. S., Chen, H. W. ORCID:, Coumou, D., Feldstein, S., Gu, H., Handorf, D., Henderson, G. ORCID:, Ionita, M., Kretschmer, M. ORCID:, Laliberte, F., Lee, S., Linderholm, H. W. ORCID:, Maslowski, W., Peings, Y., Pfeiffer, K., Rigor, I., Semmler, T. ORCID:, Stroeve, J., Taylor, P. C. ORCID:, Vavrus, S., Vihma, T. ORCID:, Wang, S. ORCID:, Wendisch, M. ORCID:, Wu, Y. and Yoon, J. (2019) Divergent consensuses on Arctic amplification influence on midlatitude severe winter weather. Nature Climate Change, 10 (1). pp. 20-29. ISSN 1758-678X doi:

Runge, J., Nowack, P., Kretschmer, M. ORCID:, Flaxman, S. and Sejdinovic, D. (2019) Detecting and quantifying causal associations in large nonlinear time series datasets. Science Advances, 5 (11). eaau4996. ISSN 2375-2548 doi:

Di Capua, G., Kretschmer, M. ORCID:, Runge, J., Alessandri, A., Donner, R. V., van den Hurk, B., Vellore, R., Krishnan, R. and Coumou, D. (2019) Long-lead statistical forecasts of the Indian summer monsoon rainfall based on causal precursors. Weather and Forecasting, 34 (5). pp. 1377-1394. ISSN 0882-8156 doi:

Runge, J. ORCID:, Bathiany, S., Bollt, E., Camps-Valls, G., Coumou, D., Deyle, E., Glymour, C., Kretschmer, M. ORCID:, Mahecha, M. D. ORCID:, Muñoz-Marí, J., van Nes, E. H., Peters, J., Quax, R., Reichstein, M., Scheffer, M., Schölkopf, B., Spirtes, P., Sugihara, G., Sun, J. ORCID:, Zhang, K. and Zscheischler, J. ORCID: (2019) Inferring causation from time series in Earth system sciences. Nature Communications, 10 (1). 2553. ISSN 2041-1723 doi:


Kretschmer, M. ORCID:, Cohen, J., Matthias, V., Runge, J. and Coumou, D. (2018) The different stratospheric influence on cold-extremes in Eurasia and North America. npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 1 (1). ISSN 2397-3722 doi:

Kretschmer, M. ORCID:, Coumou, D., Agel, L., Barlow, M., Tziperman, E. and Cohen, J. (2018) More-persistent weak stratospheric polar vortex states linked to cold extremes. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 99 (1). pp. 49-60. ISSN 1520-0477 doi:


Kretschmer, M. ORCID:, Runge, J. ORCID: and Coumou, D. ORCID: (2017) Early prediction of extreme stratospheric polar vortex states based on causal precursors. Geophysical Research Letters, 44 (16). pp. 8592-8600. ISSN 0094-8276 doi:


Kretschmer, M. ORCID:, Coumou, D., Donges, J. F. and Runge, J. (2016) Using causal effect networks to analyze different arctic drivers of midlatitude winter circulation. Journal of Climate, 29 (11). pp. 4069-4081. ISSN 1520-0442 doi:

This list was generated on Tue Jun 25 17:33:32 2024 UTC.

Last update: 20th December 2022

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