Skip to main content

Department of Meteorology – University of Reading

Show access keys

Dr. Natalie Harvey

Research Scientist

Research Interests:

  • Understanding atmospheric transport processes such as convection and boundary layer turbulence
  • Modelling the long range dispersion of volcanic ash using NAME
  • Forecast verification
  • Quantification and communication of uncertainty in natural hazard models
  • Boundary layer classification using remote sensing instruments

Research Projects:

  • Radar-supported Next-Generation Forecasting of Volcanic Ash Hazard (R4AsH)
  • Improving Model Processes for African Climate (IMPALA)
  • Robust Assessment and Communication of Environmental Risk (RACER)

Centaur Publications

Jump to: 2022 | 2020 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 | 2013
Number of items: 14.


Harvey, Natalie J. ORCID logoORCID:, Western, Luke M., Dacre, Helen F. and Capponi, Antonio (2022) Can decision theory help end-users take the appropriate action in an emergency? Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 103 (10). E2176-E2187. ISSN 1520-0477 doi:

Harvey, Natalie J. ORCID logoORCID:, Daleu, Chimene L., Stratton, Rachel A., Plant, Robert S. ORCID logoORCID:, Woolnough, Steven J. ORCID logoORCID: and Stirling, Alison J. (2022) The impact of surface heterogeneity on the diurnal cycle of deep convection. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 148 (749). pp. 3509-3527. ISSN 1477-870X doi:

Harvey, Natalie J. ORCID logoORCID:, Dacre, Helen F., Saint, Cameron, Prata, Andrew T. ORCID logoORCID:, Webster, Helen N. ORCID logoORCID: and Grainger, Roy G. (2022) Quantifying the impact of meteorological uncertainty on emission estimates and the risk to aviation using source inversion for the Raikoke 2019 eruption. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 22 (13). pp. 8529-8545. ISSN 1680-7316 doi:

Capponi, Antonio, Harvey, Natalie J. ORCID logoORCID:, Dacre, Helen F., Beven, Keith, Saint, Cameron, Wells, Cathie and James, Mike R. (2022) Refining an ensemble of volcanic ash forecasts using satellite retrievals: Raikoke 2019. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 22 (9). pp. 6115-6134. ISSN 1680-7316 doi:


Harvey, Natalie J., Dacre, Helen F., Webster, Helen N., Taylor, Isabelle A., Khanal, Sujan, Grainger, Roy G. and Cooke, Michael C. (2020) The impact of ensemble meteorology on inverse modeling estimates of volcano emissions and ash dispersion forecasts: Grímsvötn 2011. Atmosphere, 11 (10). 1022. ISSN 2073-4433 doi:

Daleu, C. L., Plant, R. S., Woolnough, S. J., Stirling, A. J. and Harvey, N. J (2020) Memory properties in cloud--resolving simulations of the diurnal cycle of deep convection. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 12 (8). e2019MS001897. ISSN 1942-2466 doi:


Dacre, Helen F. and Harvey, Natalie J. (2018) Characterising the atmospheric conditions leading to large error growth in volcanic ash cloud forecasts. Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology, 57 (4). pp. 1011-1019. ISSN 1558-8432 doi:

Harvey, Natalie J., Huntley, Nathan, Dacre, Helen F., Goldstein, Michael, Thomson, David and Webster, Helen (2018) Multi-level emulation of a volcanic ash transport and dispersion model to quantify sensitivity to uncertain parameters. Natural Hazards and Earth System Science, 18 (1). pp. 41-63. ISSN 1684-9981 doi:


Mulder, Kelsey J., Lickiss, Matthew, Harvey, Natalie, Black, Alison, Charlton-Perez, Andrew, Dacre, Helen and McCloy, Rachel (2017) Visualizing volcanic ash forecasts: scientist and stakeholder decisions using different graphical representations and conflicting forecasts. Weather, Climate and Society, 9 (3). pp. 333-348. ISSN 1948-8327 doi:


Dacre, Helen F., Harvey, Natalie J., Webley, Peter W. and Morton, Don (2016) How accurate are volcanic ash simulations of the 2010 Eyjafjallajökull eruption? Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 121 (7). pp. 3534-3547. ISSN 2169-8996 doi:

Harvey, Natalie and Dacre, Helen (2016) Spatial evaluation of volcanic ash forecasts using satellite observations. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 16 (2). pp. 861-872. ISSN 1680-7316 doi:


Harvey, N.J., Hogan, R.J. and Dacre, H.F. (2015) Evaluation of boundary-layer type in a weather forecast model utilising long-term Doppler lidar observations. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 141 (689). pp. 1345-1353. ISSN 1477-870X doi: (Part B)

Dacre, Helen, Grant, Alan, Harvey, Natalie, Thomson, David, Webster, Helen and Marenco, Franco (2015) Volcanic ash layer depth: processes and mechanisms. Geophysical Research Letters, 42 (2). pp. 637-645. ISSN 0094-8276 doi:


Harvey, Natalie J., Hogan, Robin J. and Dacre, Helen F. (2013) A method to diagnose boundary-layer type using Doppler lidar. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 139 (676). pp. 1681-1693. ISSN 1477-870X doi:

This list was generated on Sun Dec 3 11:54:49 2023 UTC.

Last update: 23rd November 2022

We use Javascript to improve your experience on, but it looks like yours is turned off. Everything will still work, but it is even more beautiful with Javascript in action. Find out more about why and how to turn it back on here.
We also use cookies to improve your time on the site, for more information please see our cookie policy.

Back to top