2024

Keel, T., Brierley, C., Edwards, T. and Frame, T. H. A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6542-2173 (2024) Exploring uncertainty of trends in the North Pacific Jet position. Geophysical Research Letters, 51 (16). e2024GL109500. ISSN 1944-8007 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2024GL109500

Gainford, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2484-8316, Gray, S. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8658-362X, Frame, T. H. A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6542-2173, Porson, A. N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5023-8522 and Milan, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9309-5365 (2024) Improvements in the spread–skill relationship of precipitation in a convective‐scale ensemble through blending. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. ISSN 0035-9009 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.4754

Wolf, G., Ferrett, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4726-847X, Methven, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7636-6872, Frame, T. H. A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6542-2173, Holloway, C. E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9903-8989, Martinez-Alvarado, O. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5285-0379 and Woolnough, S. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0500-8514 (2024) Comparison of probabilistic forecasts of extreme precipitation for a global and convection-permitting ensemble and hybrid statistical-dynamical method based on equatorial wave information. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.4627

2023

Gonzalez, P. L. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0154-0087, Howard, E., Ferrett, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4726-847X, Frame, T. H. A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6542-2173, Martinez-Alvarado, O. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5285-0379, Methven, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7636-6872 and Woolnough, S. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0500-8514 (2023) Weather patterns in Southeast Asia: enhancing high-impact weather sub-seasonal forecast skill. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 149 (750). pp. 19-39. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.4378

2022

Howard, E., Thomas, S., Frame, T. H. A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6542-2173, Gonzalez, P. L. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0154-0087, Methven, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7636-6872, Martinez-Alvarado, O. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5285-0379 and Woolnough, S. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0500-8514 (2022) Weather patterns in Southeast Asia: relationship with tropical variability and heavy precipitation. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 148 (743). pp. 747-769. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.4227

2021

Ferrett, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4726-847X, Frame, T. H. A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6542-2173, Methven, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7636-6872, Holloway, C. E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9903-8989, Webster, S., Stein, T. H.M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9215-5397 and Cafaro, C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8063-4887 (2021) Evaluating convection-permitting ensemble forecasts of precipitation over Southeast Asia. Weather and Forecasting, 36 (4). pp. 1199-1217. ISSN 0882-8156 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-20-0216.1

2019

Lee, S. H., Williams, P. D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9713-9820 and Frame, T. H. A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6542-2173 (2019) Increased shear in the North Atlantic upper-level jet stream over the past four decades. Nature, 572. pp. 639-642. ISSN 0028-0836 doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-019-1465-z

Cafaro, C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8063-4887, Frame, T. H. A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6542-2173, Methven, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7636-6872, Roberts, N. and Bröcker, J. (2019) The added value of convection-permitting ensemble forecasts of sea breeze compared to a Bayesian forecast driven by the global ensemble. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 145 (721). pp. 1780-1798. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.3531

2017

Drew, D. R., Cannon, D. J., Barlow, J. F., Coker, P. J. and Frame, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6542-2173 (2017) The importance of forecasting regional wind power ramping: a case study for the UK. Renewable Energy, 114. pp. 1201-1208. ISSN 0960-1481 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.renene.2017.07.069

Frame, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6542-2173, Harrison, G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0693-347X, Hewson, T. and Roberts, N. (2017) Meteorological Risk: extra-tropical cyclones, tropical cyclones and convective storms. In: Poljansek, K., Marin Ferrer, M., De Groeve, T. and Clark, I. (eds.) Science for Disaster Risk Management 2017: Knowing Better and Losing Less. Publications Office of the European Union, Luxembourg, pp. 246-256. ISBN 9789279606793 doi: https://doi.org/10.2788/688605

2015

Frame, T. H. A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6542-2173, Methven, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7636-6872, Roberts, N. M. and Titley, H. A. (2015) Predictability of frontal waves and cyclones. Weather and Forecasting, 30 (5). pp. 1291-1302. ISSN 0882-8156 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-15-0039.1

Vaughan, G., Methven, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7636-6872, Anderson, D., Antonescu, B., Baker, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0738-9488, Baker, T. P., Ballard, S. P., Bower, K. N., Brown, P. R. A., Chagnon, J., Choularton, T. W., Chylik, J., Connolly, P. J., Cook, P. A., Cotton, R. J., Crosier, J., Dearden, C., Dorsey, J. R., Frame, T. H. A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6542-2173, Gallagher, M. W., Goodliff, M., Gray, S. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8658-362X, Harvey, B. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6510-8181, Knippertz, P., Lean, H. W., Li, D., Lloyd, G., Martinez-Alvarado, O. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5285-0379, Nicol, J., Norris, J., Öström, E., Owen, J., Parker, D. J., Plant, R. S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8808-0022, Renfrew, I. A., Roberts, N. M., Rosenberg, P., Rudd, A. C., Schultz, D. M., Taylor, J. P., Trzeciak, T., Tubbs, R., Vance, A. K., Van Leeuwen, P. J., Wellpott, A. and Woolley, A. (2015) Cloud banding and winds in intense European cyclones: results from the DIAMET project. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 96 (2). pp. 249-265. ISSN 1520-0477 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-13-00238.1

2013

Frame, T.H.A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6542-2173, Methven, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7636-6872, Gray, S.L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8658-362X and Ambaum, M.H.P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6824-8083 (2013) Flow-dependent predictability of the North Atlantic Jet. Geophysical Research Letters, 40 (10). pp. 2411-2416. ISSN 1944-8007 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/grl.50454

2011

Frame, T. H. A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6542-2173, Ambaum, M. H. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6824-8083, Gray, S. L. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8658-362X and Methven, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7636-6872 (2011) Ensemble prediction of transitions of the North Atlantic eddy-driven jet. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 137 (658). pp. 1288-1297. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.829

2010

De Vries, H., Methven, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7636-6872, Frame, T. H. A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6542-2173 and Hoskins, B. J. (2010) Baroclinic waves with parameterized effects of moisture interpreted using Rossby wave components. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 67 (9). pp. 2766-2784. ISSN 1520-0469 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/2010JAS3410.1

Frame, T. H. A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6542-2173 and Gray, L. J. (2010) The 11-yr solar cycle in ERA-40 data: an update to 2008. Journal of Climate, 23 (8). pp. 2213-2222. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/2009JCLI3150.1

2009

de Vries, H., Methven, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7636-6872, Frame, T. H. A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6542-2173 and Hoskins, B. J. (2009) An interpretation of baroclinic initial value problems: results for simple basic states with nonzero interior PV gradients. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 66 (4). pp. 864-882. ISSN 1520-0469 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/2008JAS2774.1

2006

Frame, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6542-2173, Nichols, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1133-5220 and Thorpe, A. J. (2006) Targeting observations using singular vectors. In: The Fourth WMO International Symposium on Assimilation of Observations in Meteorology and Oceanography, 2006.

2005

Frame, T. H. A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6542-2173, Nichols, N. K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1133-5220 and Thorpe, A. J. (2005) Structure and evolution of singular vectors in the Eady model. International Journal For Numerical Methods In Fluids, 47 (8-9). pp. 1003-1009.

2004

Frame, T.H.A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6542-2173, Nichols, N. K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1133-5220 and Thorpe, A. J. (2004) Sensitivity to initial conditions in numerical weather prediction. In: Proceedings of the ICFD International Conference on Numerical Methods for Fluid Dynamics, Oxford, University of Oxford.