Professor Andrew Turner
Professor in Monsoon Systems (joint with NCAS-Climate)
Homepage: www.monsoon.org.ukFollow @agturnermonsoon
UoR responsibilities:
- Professor in Monsoon Systems
- Programme Director for BSc Atmospheric Science, NUIST-Reading Academy
Community responsibilities:
- Lead Author, IPCC Sixth Assessment Report WGI: The physical science basis
- Associate Editor of the Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society
- Member of the GEWEX/CLIVAR Monsoons Panel, which aims to design and promote internationally coordinated work in the global monsoons (2018-present)
- Co-Chair of the GEWEX/CLIVAR Monsoons Panel, which aims to design and promote internationally coordinated work in the global monsoons (2014-2018)
Research Interests:
- Fundamental monsoon processes and observations
- Tropical variability and prediction
- Climate change
Current Research Projects:
- (as PI) Indian Monsoon PRecipitation over Orography: Verification and Enhancement of understanding - follow-on funding (IMPROVE_FO; June 2021-present)
- (as Co-I) Climate Science for Services Partnership (CSSP)-China project (COSMIC; 2019-August 2021), led by Reinhard Schiemann
- (as Co-I, lead at UoR) Emergence of Climate Hazards (EMERGENCE; 2018-present), NERC Highlight Topic consortium led by Mat Collins at University of Exeter
Previous research Projects
- (as PI) Indian Monsoon PRecipitation over Orography: Verification and Enhancement of understanding (IMPROVE; September 2019-March 2021)
- (as PI) Seasonal Teleconnections to the Indian Monsoon: Understanding the Large-scale Atmospheric Tropical Environment (STIMULATE; September 2019-March 2021)
- (as Co-I) WCSSP-India (CASPER; September 2019-March 2021), led by Nick Klingaman; also involves University of Leeds and UK Centre for Ecology and Hydrology
- (as Co-I) Robust Spatial Projections of Real-World Climate Change (REAL Projections; 2016-2020), NERC-funded consortium led by Mat Collins at University of Exeter
- (as PI) Interaction of Convective Organisation and Monsoon Precipitation, Atmosphere, Surface and Sea (INCOMPASS, 2015-2020). This project involves a ground and airborne field campaign in 2016, using the FAAM aircraft. Also involves Met Office, University of Leeds and UK Centre for Ecology and Hydrology
- (as PI) Better understanding of Interregional Teleconnections for prediction in the Monsoon and Poles (BITMAP; 2016-2019) under the Belmont Forum/JPI-Climate Collaborative Research Action on Climate Predictability and Interregional linkages. Partnered with Valerio Lucarini (Hamburg) & Ashis Mitra and EN Rajagopal (NCMRWF, India)
- (as Co-I) CSSP-Tibetan Plateau (MESETA, 2015-2018), investigating the relative role of dynamic and thermodynamic forcing on the Asian monsoon and participating in the Global Monsoon MIP, and understanding Tibetan Plateau Vortices (TPVs) and their downstream impacts on East Asia. PI is Dr Reinhard Schiemann
- (as Co-I) CSSP Drivers of variability in the East Asian monsoon (DREAM, 2015-2018). PI is Dr Nick Klingaman
- (as Co-I) Improving Model Processes for African climate (IMPALA; 2015-2018) project under the DFID/NERC Future Climate For Africa (FCFA) programme (led by Dr Richard Graham/Dr Cath Senior at the Met Office
- (as PI) Monsoon Mission: India Ministry of Earth Science (MoES) (2014-2017)
- NERC Changing Water Cycle (South Asia) projects:
- (as Co-I, lead at UoR) Hydrometeorological feedbacks and changes in water storage and fluxes in northern India (Hydroflux-India) led by Dr Wouter Buytaert at Imperial College, to determine the local and large-scale monsoon impacts of changes in surface water relating to expansion of agriculture in the Ganges basin (2012-2015)
- (as PI) South Asian PRecIpitation: a SEamless Assessment (SAPRISE) led by Prof. Mat Collins at Exeter University, with Prof. Eleanor Highwood, to determine relative impact of local and remote aerosol forcing on the South Asian monsoon (2012-2015)
- (as PI) JWCRP Modelling Monsoon Systems (2010-2014). With Dr Gill Martin at Met Office
- (as PI) NERC Fellowship on The future of the Indian monsoon (2011-2014)
Current postdoctoral supervision:
- Dr Paul-Arthur Monerie on EMERGENCE (2020-present)
- Dr Arathy Menon on INCOMPASS (2016-2020) and COSMIC (2021)
- Dr Kieran Hunt on BITMAP (2016-2019) and IMPROVE/IMPROVE_FO (2019-present
Previous postdoctoral supervision:
- Dr James Mollard on STIMULATE (2019-2021)
- Dr Ambrogio Volonte on INCOMPASS (2016-2020) and COSMIC (2018-2021)
- Dr Jon Shonk on REAL Projections (2017-2020)
- Co-supervision of Dr Julia Curio on CSSP-China PERCHANCE (2018-2020), with Dr Reinhard Schiemann, led by Dr Nick Klingaman
- Co-supervision of Dr Liang Guo on CSSP-China PERCHANCE (2018-2020), with Dr Reinhard Schiemann, led by Dr Nick Klingaman
- Co-supervision of Dr Mike Wong on CSSP-Tibetan Plateau/MESETA (2015-2018), led by Dr Reinhard Schiemann
- Co-supervision of Dr Julia Curio on CSSP-Tibetan Plateau/MESETA (2015-2018), led by Dr Reinhard Schiemann
- Co-supervision of Dr Liang Guo on CSSP-DREAM (2015-2018), led by Dr Nick Klingaman
- Co-supervision of Dr Claudia Stephan on CSSP-DREAM (2015-2018), led by Dr Nick Klingaman
- Dr Linda Hirons on the IMPALA (2015-2018)
- Dr Amulya Chevuturi on Indian Monsoon Mission (2016-2017), with Dr Steve Woolnough
- Dr Stephanie Johnson (nee Bush) on Indian Monsoon Mission (2014-2015), with Dr Steve Woolnough
- Dr Charlie Williams on Changing Water Cycle (South Asia) Hydroflux-India (2013-2015)
- Dr Liang Guo on Changing Water Cycle (South Asia) SAPRISE (2012-2015), with Prof. Ellie Highwood
- Dr Stephanie Bush on JWCRP Modelling Monsoon Systems (2010-2014)
Current graduate student supervision:
- Catherine Toolan is a first-year PhD student under the NERC DTP SCENARIO programme; supervision led by Dr Laura Wilcox; with Prof. Bjørn Samset, CICERO, Oslo, on The role of anthropogenic aerosol in near-future sub-Saharan precipitation change
- Marimel Gler is a second-year PhD student under the NERC DTP SCENARIO programme co-supervised by Dr Linda Hirons, Dr Caroline Wainwright, and Dr Charline Marzin as CASE supervisor at the Met Office, on Modelling and forecasting the Indian Ocean dipole
- Md Rabiul Awal is a third-year PhD student under a University of Dhaka/World Bank grant, co-supervised with Dr David Ferreira (2020-present) on Hemispheric energy transports and the Asian monsoon
Previous graduate student supervision:
- Akshay Deoras on The Predictability and Representation of South Asian Monsoon Low-Pressure Systems in Reanalyses and Subseasonal-to-Seasonal Prediction Models; as lead supervisor, with Dr Kieran Hunt (2018-2022). Funded via the Maharashtra state government
- Alex Doyle on Use of Operational Weather Radars for Understanding Indian Monsoon Convection and Evaluating Convection-Permitting Models; as lead supervisor, with Dr Thorwald Stein (2018-2022). Funded via the NERC DTP SCENARIO
- Karl JohariChan on The intraseasonal variability of the Indian summer monsoon: Dynamics, thermodynamics and land-atmosphere-ocean interactions; as lead supervisor, with Dr Nick Klingaman (2016-2020)
- Ying Ying Toh on The role of Southeast Asia and Maritime Continent in tropical climate variability and teleconnections; as lead supervisor, with Dr Chris Holloway and previously Dr Stephanie Bush (2014-2019). Funded via the Hadiah Latihan Persekutuan (HLP) scholarship of the Malaysian Public Service Department
- Kieran Hunt on Event-based characterisation of synoptic systems in the monsoon trough region; as lead supervisor, with Dr Pete Inness and CASE supervisors Dr Richard Levine and Dr David Parker at the Met Office (2013-2016). Funded via a NERC award with CASE industrial top-up
- Deepthi Marathayil on The Indian Ocean mean state and variability in a high resolution coupled climate model: HiGEM; as co-supervisor with Dr Len Shaffrey (2008-2013). Funded via the British Council/UK-India Education Research Initiative (UKIERI) scheme
- Liang Guo on The effect of changes in anthropogenic aerosols on regional rainfall anomalies in China; as co-supervisor with Prof. Ellie Highwood and Dr Len Shaffrey (2008- 2012). Funded via Department of Meteorology International Scholarship
- Sridhar Gummadi on Simulating the impacts of extreme climate events on crop productivity in current and future climates in India; as co-supervisor with Prof. Tim Wheeler and Dr Tom Osborne (2007-2011). Funded via a FELIX scholarship
Centaur Publications
2023
Franco Díaz, Armenia, Klingaman, Nick ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303, Turner, Andy
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876, Dong, Buwen
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911 and Guo, Liang
(2023)
Effect of global and regional SST biases on the East Asian Summer Monsoon in the MetUM GA7 and GC3 configurations.
Climate Dynamics.
ISSN 1432-0894
(In Press)
Hunt, Kieran ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1480-3755 and Turner, Andy
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876
(2023)
Using interpretable gradient-boosted decision-tree ensembles to uncover novel dynamical relationships governing monsoon low-pressure systems.
Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society.
ISSN 1477-870X
(In Press)
Phadtare, Jayesh A., Fletcher, Jennifer K., Ross, Andrew N., Turner, Andrew G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876, Schiemann, Reinhard K. H.
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3095-9856 and Burns, Helen L.
(2023)
Unravelling the mechanism of summer monsoon rainfall modes over the West Coast of India using model simulations.
Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society.
ISSN 1477-870X
doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.4550
Deoras, Akshay, Turner, Andrew G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876, Hunt, Kieran M. R.
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1480-3755 and Priyanthika Jayawardena, I. M. Shiromani
(2023)
The influence of weather patterns and the Madden-Julian Oscillation on extreme precipitation over Sri Lanka.
Geophysical Research Letters, 50 (14).
e2023GL103727.
ISSN 0094-8276
doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2023GL103727
Monerie, Paul-Arthur, Robson, Jon I., Ndiaye, Cassien D., Song, Cenyao and Turner, Andrew G. (2023) CMIP6 skill at predicting interannual to multi-decadal summer monsoon precipitation variability. Environmental Research Letters. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/acea96 (In Press)
Di Capua, Giorgia, Coumou, Dim, Van den Hurk, Bart, Weisheimer, Antje, Turner, Andy ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876 and Donner, R. V.
(2023)
Validation of boreal summer tropical-extratropical causal links in seasonal forecasts.
Weather and Climate Dynamics.
ISSN 2698-4024
(In Press)
Palmer, Paul I., Wainwright, Caroline M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7311-7846, Dong, Bo, Maidment, Ross I., Wheeler, Kevin G., Gedney, Nicola, Hickman, Jonathan E., Madani, Nima, Folwell, Sonya S., Abdo, Gamal, Allan, Richard P.
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447, Black, Emily C. L., Feng, Liang, Gudoshava, Masilin, Haines, Keith
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2768-2374, Huntingford, Chris, Kilavi, Mary, Lunt, Mark F., Shaaban, Ahmed and Turner, Andrew G.
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876
(2023)
Drivers and impacts of Eastern African rainfall variability.
Nature Reviews Earth & Environment, 4.
pp. 254-270.
ISSN 2662-138X
doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/s43017-023-00397-x
Muetzelfeldt, Mark ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6851-7351, Schiemann, Reinhard
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3095-9856, Turner, Andy
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876, Vidale, Pier Luigi and Menon, Arathy
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9347-0578
(2023)
Intraseasonal oscillations of the Silk Road pattern lead to predictability in East Asian precipitation patterns and the Mei Yu front.
Environmental Research Communications, 5 (1).
015003.
ISSN 2515-7620
doi: https://doi.org/10.1088/2515-7620/acb040
Monerie, Paul-Arthur ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5304-9559, Dittus, Andrea J.
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9598-6869, Wilcox, Laura J.
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493 and Turner, Andy G.
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876
(2023)
Uncertainty in simulating twentieth century West African precipitation trends: the role of anthropogenic aerosol emissions.
Earth's Future, 11 (2).
e2022EF002995.
ISSN 2328-4277
2022
Phadtare, Jayesh A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2529-7600, Fletcher, Jennifer K.
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4892-3344, Ross, Andrew N.
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8631-3512, Turner, Andy G.
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876 and Schiemann, Reinhard K. H.
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3095-9856
(2022)
Froude‐number‐based rainfall regimes over the Western Ghats mountains of India.
Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society.
ISSN 0035-9009
doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.4367
Menon, Arathy, Turner, Andrew G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876, Volonte, Ambrogio
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0278-952X, Taylor, Christopher M., Webster, Stuart and Martin, Gill
(2022)
The role of mid-tropospheric moistening and land surface wetting in the progression of the 2016 Indian monsoon.
Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 148 (747).
pp. 3033-3055.
ISSN 1477-870X
doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.4183
Deoras, A., Turner, A. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876 and Hunt, K. M. R.
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1480-3755
(2022)
The structure of strong Indian monsoon low-pressure systems in Subseasonal-to-Seasonal prediction models.
Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 148 (746).
pp. 2147-2166.
ISSN 1477-870X
doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.4296
Volonté, Ambrogio ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0278-952X, Turner, Andrew G.
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876, Schiemann, Reinhard
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3095-9856, Vidale, Pier Luigi and Klingaman, Nicholas P.
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303
(2022)
Characterising the interaction of tropical and extratropical air masses controlling East Asian summer monsoon progression using a novel frontal detection approach.
Weather and Climate Dynamics, 3 (2).
pp. 575-599.
ISSN 2698-4024
doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-3-575-2022
Monerie, Paul-Arthur ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5304-9559, Wilcox, Laura J.
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493 and Turner, Andrew G.
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876
(2022)
Effects of anthropogenic aerosol and greenhouse gas emissions on Northern Hemisphere monsoon precipitation: mechanisms and uncertainty.
Journal of Climate, 35 (8).
pp. 2305-2326.
ISSN 1520-0442
doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-21-0412.1
Hunt, Kieran M. R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1480-3755, Turner, Andrew G.
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876 and Schiemann, Reinhard K. H.
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3095-9856
(2022)
Katabatic and convective processes drive two preferred peaks in the precipitation diurnal cycle over the Central Himalaya.
Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 148 (745).
pp. 1731-1751.
ISSN 1477-870X
doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.4275
Chevuturi, Amulya ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2815-7221, Klingaman, Nicholas P.
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303, Turner, Andrew G.
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876, Guo, Liang
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6004-3884 and Vidale, Pier Luigi
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1800-8460
(2022)
Projected changes in the East Asian hydrological cycle for different levels of future global warming.
Atmosphere, 13 (3).
405.
ISSN 2073-4433
doi: https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos13030405
Connors, S., Dionne, M., Hanak, G., Musulin, R., Aellen, N., Amjad, M., Bowen, S., Carrascal, D. R., Coppola, E., Moro, E. D., Dosio, A., Faria, S. H., Gan, T. Y., Gomis, M., Gutierrez, J. M., Hope, P., Kopp, R., Krakovska, S., Leitzell, K., Maraun, D., Masson-Delmotte, V., Matthews, R., Maycock, T., Paddam, S., Plattner, G.-K., Pui, A., Rahimi, M., Ranasinghe, R., Rogelj, J., Ruane, A. C., Szopa, S., Turner, Andy ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876, Vautard, R., Velichkova, Y., Weigel, A. and Zhang, X.,
(2022)
Climate Science: A Summary for Actuaries - What the IPCC Climate Change Report 2021 Means for the Actuarial Profession.
Technical Report.
International Actuarial Association, Ottawa, Canada.
pp61.
Hunt, Kieran Mark Rainwater ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1480-3755 and Turner, Andrew George
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876
(2022)
Non-linear intensification of monsoon low pressure systems by the BSISO.
Weather and Climate Dynamics, 3 (4).
pp. 1341-1358.
ISSN 2698-4024
doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-3-1341-2022
2021
Muetzelfeldt, Mark R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6851-7351, Schiemann, Reinhard
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3095-9856, Turner, Andy G.
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876, Klingaman, Nicholas P.
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303, Vidale, Pier Luigi and Roberts, Malcolm J.
(2021)
Evaluation of Asian summer precipitation in different
configurations of a high-resolution general circulation
model in a range of decision-relevant spatial scales.
Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 25 (12).
pp. 6381-6405.
ISSN 1027-5606
doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-25-6381-2021
Volonte, Ambrogio ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0278-952X, Muetzelfeldt, Mark
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6851-7351, Schiemann, Reinhard, Turner, Andy
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876 and Klingaman, Nick
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303
(2021)
Magnitude, scale, and dynamics of the 2020 Mei Yu rains and floods over China.
Advances in Atmospheric Sciences, 38.
pp. 2082-2096.
ISSN 0256-1530
doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00376-021-1085-z
Doyle, A. J., Stein, T. H. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9215-5397 and Turner, A. G.
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876
(2021)
2016 Monsoon convection and its place in the large-scale circulation using doppler radars.
Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 126 (22).
e2021JD035496.
ISSN 2169-8996
doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2021JD035496
Monerie, Paul-Arthur ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5304-9559, Robson, Jon I.
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Dunstone, Nick J. and Turner, Andrew George
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876
(2021)
Skilful seasonal predictions of Global Monsoon summer precipitation with DePreSys3.
Environmental Research Letters, 16 (10).
ISSN 1748-9326
doi: https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ac2a65
Deoras, Akshay, Hunt, Kieran M. R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1480-3755 and Turner, Andrew G.
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876
(2021)
Comparison of the prediction of Indian monsoon low pressure systems by subseasonal-to-seasonal prediction models.
Weather and Forecasting, 36 (3).
pp. 859-877.
ISSN 0882-8156
doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-20-0081.1
Hunt, Kieran M. R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1480-3755, Turner, Andrew G.
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876 and Schiemann, Reinhard K. H.
(2021)
How interactions between tropical depressions and western disturbances affect heavy precipitation in South Asia.
Monthly Weather Review, 149 (6).
pp. 1801-1825.
ISSN 0027-0644
doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-20-0373.1
Doyle, Alex, Stein, Thorwald ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9215-5397 and Turner, Andrew
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876
(2021)
Temporal patterns in radar-observed convective cell development during the 2016 monsoon onset.
Weather, 76 (6).
pp. 180-184.
ISSN 0043-1656
doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/wea.3969
Deoras, Akshay, Hunt, Kieran ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1480-3755 and Turner, Andy
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876
(2021)
The four varieties of South Asian monsoon low-pressure systems and their modulation by tropical intraseasonal variability.
Weather, 76 (6).
pp. 194-200.
ISSN 0043-1656
doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/wea.3997
Chevuturi, Amulya ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2815-7221, Turner, Andy
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876, Johnson, Stephanie, Weisheimer, Antje, Shonk, Jon, Stockdale, Timothy N and Senan, Retish
(2021)
Forecast skill of the Indian monsoon and its onset in the ECMWF seasonal forecasting system 5 (SEAS5).
Climate Dynamics, 56 (9-10).
pp. 2941-2957.
ISSN 0930-7575
doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-020-05624-5
Talib, J., Taylor, C.M., Duan, A. and Turner, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876
(2021)
Intraseasonal soil moisture-atmosphere feedbacks on the Tibetan Plateau circulation.
Journal of Climate, 34 (5).
pp. 1789-1807.
ISSN 1520-0442
doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-20-0377.1
Hunt, Kieran M. R., Turner, Andrew G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876, Stein, Thorwald H. M., Fletcher, Jennifer K. and Schiemann, Reinhard H.
(2021)
Modes of coastal precipitation over southwest India and their relationship to intraseasonal variability.
Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 147 (734).
pp. 181-201.
ISSN 1477-870X
doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.3913
Wang, B., Biasutti, M., Byrne, M. P., Castro, C., Chang, C.-P., Cook, K., Fu, R., Grimm, A. M., Ha, K.-J., Hendon, H., Kitoh, A., Krishnan, R., Lee, J.-Y., Li, J., Liu, J., Moise, A., Pascale, S., Roxy, M. K., Seth, A., Sui, C.-H., Turner, Andy, Yang, S., Yun, K.-S., Zhang, L. and Zhou, T. (2021) Monsoons climate change assessment. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 102 (1). E1-E19. ISSN 1520-0477 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-19-0335.1
Gulev, S. K., Thorne, P. W., Ahn, J., Dentener, F. J., Domingues, C. M., Gerland, S., Gong, D., Kaufman, D. S., Nnamchi, H. C., Quaas, J., Rivera, J. A., Sathyendranath, S., Smith, S. L., Trewin, B., von Schuckmann, K., Vose, R. S., Allan, Richard ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447, Collins, Bill
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7419-0850, Turner, Andy
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876 and Hawkins, Ed
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677
(2021)
Changing state of the climate system.
In: Masson-Delmotte, V., Zhai, P., Pirani, A., Connors, S. L., Péan, C., Berger, S., Caud, N., Chen, Y., Goldfarb, L., Gomis, M. I., Huang, M., Leitzell, K., Lonnoy, E., Matthews, J. B. R., Maycock, T. K., Waterfield, T., Yelekçi, O., Yu, R. and Zhou, B. (eds.)
Climate Change 2021: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change.
Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK, pp. 287-422.
doi: https://doi.org/10.1017/9781009157896.004
Deoras, Akshay, Hunt, Kieran M. R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1480-3755 and Turner, Andrew G.
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876
(2021)
Comparison of the prediction of Indian monsoon low-pressure systems by Subseasonal-to-Seasonal prediction models.
Weather and Forecasting, 36 (3).
pp. 859-877.
ISSN 0882-8156
doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-20-0081.1
Doblas-Reyes, F. J., Sorensson, A. A., Almazroui, M., Dosio, A., Gutowski, W. J., Haarsma, R., Hamdi, R., Hewitson, B., Kwon, W.-T., Lamptey, B. L., Maraun, D., Stephenson, T. S., Takayabu, I., Terray, L., Turner, Andy ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876 and Zuo, Z.
(2021)
Linking global to regional climate change.
In: Masson-Delmotte, V., Zhai, P., Pirani, A., Connors, S. L., Pean, C., Berger, S., Caud, N., Chen, Y., Goldfarb, L., Gomis, M. I., Huang, M., Leitzell, K., Lonnoy, E., Matthews, J. B. R., Maycock, T. K., Waterfield, T., Yelekci, O., Yu, R. and Zhou, B. (eds.)
Climate Change 2021: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change.
Cambridge University Press.
2020
Shonk, Jonathan K. P., Turner, Andrew G., Chevuturi, Amulya, Wilcox, Laura J., Dittus, Andrea J. and Hawkins, Ed (2020) Uncertainty in aerosol radiative forcing impacts the simulated global monsoon in the 20th century. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics Discussions, 20 (23). pp. 14903-14915. ISSN 1680-7375 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-20-14903-2020
Guo, Liang ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6004-3884, van der Ent, Ruud J.
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5450-4333, Klingaman, Nick P
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303, Demory, Marie-Estelle
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5764-3248, Vidale, Pier Luigi
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1800-8460, Turner, Andy G
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876, Stephan, Claudia and Chevuturi, Amulya
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2815-7221
(2020)
Effects of horizontal resolution and air-sea coupling on simulated moisture source for East Asian precipitation.
Geoscientific Model Development Discussions, 13 (12).
pp. 6011-6028.
ISSN 1991-962X
doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-13-6011-2020
Wilcox, Laura J., Liu, Zhen, Samset, Bjørn H., Hawkins, Ed, Lund, Marianne T., Nordling, Kalle, Undorf, Sabine, Bollasina, Massimo, Ekman, Annica M. L., Krishnan, Srinath, Merikanto, Joonas and Turner, Andy G. (2020) Accelerated increases in global and Asian summer monsoon precipitation from future aerosol reductions. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 20 (20). pp. 11955-11977. ISSN 1680-7316 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-20-11955-2020
Di Capua, G., Runge, J., Donner, R. V., van den Hurk, B., Turner, Andy G ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876, Vellore, R., Krishnan, R. and Coumou, D.
(2020)
Dominant patterns of boreal summer interactions between tropics and mid-latitude: causal relationships and the role of timescales.
Weather and Climate Dynamics, 1 (2).
pp. 519-539.
ISSN 2698-4024
doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-1-519-2020
Cui, Jiangpeng, Piao, Shilong, Huntingford, Chris, Wang, Xuhai, Lian, Xu, Chevuturi, Amulya, Turner, Andy G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876 and Kooperman, Gabriel J.
(2020)
Vegetation forcing modulates global land monsoon and water resources in a CO2-enriched climate.
Nature Communications, 11.
5184.
ISSN 2041-1723
doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-020-18992-7
Hunt, Kieran, Turner, Andy and Shaffrey, Len (2020) The impacts of climate change on the winter water cycle of the western Himalaya. Climate Dynamics, 55 (7-8). pp. 2287-2307. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-020-05383-3
Volonté, A., Turner, A. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876 and Menon, A.
(2020)
Airmass analysis of the processes driving the progression of the Indian summer monsoon.
Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 146 (731).
pp. 2949-2980.
ISSN 1477-870X
doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.3700
Turner, A. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876, Bhat, G. S., Martin, G. M., Parker, D. J., Taylor, C.M., Mitra, A. K., Tripathi, S. N., Milton, S., Rajagopal, E. N., Evans, J. G., Morrison, R., Pattnaik, S., Sekhar, M., Bhattacharya, B. K., Madan, R., Govindankutty, Mrudula, Fletcher, J. K., Willetts, P. D., Menon, A., Marsham, J. H., Hunt, K. M. R.
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1480-3755, Chakraborty, T., George, G., Krishnan, M., Sarangi, C., Belusic, D., Garcia-Carreras, L., Brooks, M., Webster, S., Brooke, J. K., Fox, C., Harlow, R. C., Langridge, J. M., Jayakumar, A., Boeing, S. J., Halliday, O., Bowles, J., Kent, J., O'Sullivan, D., Wilson, A., Woods, C., Rogers, S., Smout-Day, R., Tiddeman, D., Desai, D., Nigam, R., Paleri, S., Sattar, A., Smith, M., Anderson, D., Bauguitte, S., Carling, R., Chan, C., Devereau, S., Gratton, G., MacLeod, D., Nott, G., Pickering, M., Price, H., Rastall, S., Reed, C., Trembath, J., Woolley, A., Volonté, A. and New, B.
(2020)
Interaction of convective organisation with monsoon precipitation, atmosphere, surface and sea: the 2016 INCOMPASS field campaign in India.
Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 146 (731).
pp. 2828-2852.
ISSN 1477-870X
doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.3633
Jayakumar, A., Abel, Steven J., Turner, Andrew G., Mohandas, Saji, Sethunadh, Jisesh, O'Sullivan, D., Mitra, A. K. and Rajagopal, E. N. (2020) Performance of the NCMRWF convection-permitting model during contrasting monsoon phases of the 2016 INCOMPASS field campaign. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 146 (731). pp. 2928-2948. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.3689
Barton, Emma J., Taylor, Christopher M., Parker, Douglas J., Turner, Andrew G., Belusic, Danijel, Boeing, Steven J., Brooke, Jennifer K., Harlow, R. Chawn, Harris, Phil P., Hunt, Kieran ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1480-3755, Jayakumar, A. and Mitra, Ashis K.
(2020)
A case-study of land-atmosphere coupling during monsoon onset in northern India.
Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 146 (731).
pp. 2891-2905.
ISSN 1477-870X
doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.3538
Fletcher, Jennifer K., Parker, Douglas J., Turner, Andrew G., Menon, Arathy, Martin, Gill M., Birch, Cathryn E., Mitra, Ashis K., Mrudula, G., Hunt, Kieran M. R., Taylor, Christopher M., Houze, Robert A., Brodzik, Stella R. and Bhat, G. S. (2020) The dynamic and thermodynamic structure of the monsoon over southern India: new observations from the INCOMPASS IOP. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 146 (731). pp. 2867-2890. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.3439
Hazra, V., Pattnaik, S., Sisodiya, A., Baisya, H., Turner, Andy G. and Bhat, G. S. (2020) Assessing the performance of cloud microphysical parameterization over the Indian region: simulation of monsoon depressions and validation with INCOMPASS observations. Atmospheric Research, 239. 104925. ISSN 0169-8059 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosres.2020.104925
Huang, Xin, Zhou, Tianjun, Turner, Andy, Dai, A., Chen, X., Clark, Robin, Jiang, J., Man, W., Murphy, James, Rostron, J., Wu, Bo, Zhang, Lixia, Zhang, Wenxia and Zou, L. (2020) The recent decline and recovery of Indian summer monsoon rainfall: relative roles of external forcing and internal variability. Journal of Climate, 33 (12). pp. 5035-5060. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0833.1
Dosio, Alessandro, Turner, Andrew George, Tchio, Alain Tamoffo, Sylla, Mouhamadou Bamba, Lennard, Christopher, Jones, Richard, Terray, Laurent, Nikulin, Grigory and Hewitson, Bruce (2020) A tale of two futures: contrasting scenarios of future precipitation for West Africa from an ensemble of regional climate models. Environmental Research Letters, 15 (6). 064007. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ab7fde
Hu, Suqiong, Zhang, Wenjun, Turner, Andrew G. and Sun, Jiaren (2020) How does El Niño-Southern oscillation affect winter fog frequency over eastern China? Climate Dynamics, 54. pp. 1043-1056. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-019-05043-1
2019
Sisodiya, A., Pattnaik, S., Baisya, H., Bhat, G. S. and Turner, A. G. (2019) Simulation of location-specific severe thunderstorm events using high-resolution land data assimilation. Dynamics of Atmospheres and Oceans, 87. 101098. ISSN 0377-0265 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.dynatmoce.2019.101098
Hunt, K. M. R. and Turner, A. G. (2019) The role of the subtropical jet in deficient winter precipitation across the mid-Holocene Indus basin. Geophysical Research Letters, 46 (10). pp. 5452-5459. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2019GL081920
Brooks, James, Allan, James D., Williams, Paul I., Liu, Dantong, Fox, Cathryn, Haywood, Jim, Langridge, Justin M., Highwood, Ellie J., Kompalli, Sobhan K., O'Sullivan, Debbie, Babu, Suresh S., Satheesh, Sreedharan K., Turner, Andrew G. and Coe, Hugh (2019) Vertical and horizontal distribution of sub-micron aerosol chemical composition and physical characteristics across Northern India, during the pre-monsoon and monsoon seasons. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 19. pp. 5615-5634. ISSN 1680-7324 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-2018-1109
Guo, Liang, van der Ent, Ruud, Klingaman, Nick, Demory, Marie-Estelle, Vidale, Pier Luigi, Turner, Andy, Stephan, Claudia and Chevuturi, Amulya (2019) Moisture sources for East Asian precipitation: mean seasonal cycle and interannual variability. Journal of Hydrometeorology, 20. pp. 657-672. ISSN 1525-7541 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JHM-D-18-0188.1
Hunt, Kieran M. R., Turner, Andrew G. and Shaffrey, Len C. (2019) Representation of western disturbances in CMIP5 models. Journal of Climate, 32. pp. 1997-2011. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-18-0420.1
Stephan, Claudia C., Klingaman, Nicholas P. and Turner, Andrew G. (2019) A mechanism for the recently increased interdecadal variability of the Silk Road Pattern. Journal of Climate, 32. pp. 717-736. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-18-0405.1
Zhang, Wenjun, Wang, Ziqi, Stuecker, Malte. F., Turner, Andrew G., Jin, F.-F. and Geng, X. (2019) Impact of ENSO longitudinal position on teleconnections to the NAO. Climate Dynamics, 52 (1-2). pp. 257-274. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-018-4135-1
Zhang, Wenjun, Mei, Xuebin, Geng, Xin, Turner, Andrew G. and Jin, Fei-Fei (2019) A nonstationary ENSO-NAO relationship due to AMO modulation. Journal of Climate, 32. pp. 33-43. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-18-0365.1
Brooks, James, Liu, Dantong, Allan, James D., Williams, Paul I., Haywood, Jim, Highwood, Ellie J., Kompalli, Sobhan K., Babu, S. Suresh, Satheesh, Sreedharan K., Turner, Andrew G. and Coe, Hugh (2019) Black carbon physical and optical properties across northern India during pre-monsoon and monsoon seasons. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 19 (20). pp. 13079-13096. ISSN 1680-7316 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-19-13079-2019
Curio, Julia, Schiemann, Reinhard, Hodges, Kevin and Turner, Andrew G. (2019) Climatology of Tibetan Plateau Vortices in reanalysis data and a high-resolution global climate model. Journal of Climate, 32 (6). pp. 1933-1950. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-18-0021.1
Hunt, Kieran M. R., Turner, Andrew G. and Shaffrey, Len C. (2019) Falling trend of western disturbances in future climate simulations. Journal of Climate, 32. pp. 5037-5051. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-18-0601.1
Chevuturi, Amulya, Turner, Andrew G., Woolnough, Steven J., Martin, Gill M. and MacLachlan, Craig (2019) Indian summer monsoon onset forecast skill in the UK Met Office initialized coupled seasonal forecasting system (GloSea5-GC2). Climate Dynamics, 52 (11). pp. 6599-6617. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-018-4536-1
Wainwright, Caroline M., Hirons, Linda C., Klingaman, Nicholas P., Allan, Richard P., Black, Emily and Turner, Andrew G. (2019) The impact of air-sea coupling and ocean biases on the seasonal cycle of southern West African precipitation. Climate Dynamics, 53 (11). pp. 7027-7044. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-019-04973-0
2018
Guo, Liang, Klingaman, Nicholas P., Demory, Marie-Estelle, Vidale, Pier Luigi, Turner, Andrew G. and Stephan, Claudia C. (2018) The contributions of local and remote atmospheric moisture fluxes to East Asian precipitation and its variability. Climate Dynamics, 51 (11-12). pp. 4139-4156. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-017-4064-4
Hunt, K. M. R., Curio, J., Turner, A. G. and Schiemann, R. (2018) Subtropical westerly jet influence on occurrence of western disturbances and Tibetan plateau vortices. Geophysical Research Letters, 45 (16). pp. 8629-8636. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2018GL077734
Wong, Kai Chi, Liu, Senfeng, Turner, Andrew G. and Schiemann, Reinhard K. (2018) Different Asian monsoon rainfall responses to idealised orography sensitivity experiments in the HadGEM3-GA6 and FGOALS-FAMIL global climate models. Advances in Atmospheric Sciences, 35 (8). pp. 1049-1062. ISSN 0256-1530 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00376-018-7269-5
Curio, Julia, Chen, Yongren, Schiemann, Reinhard, Turner, Andrew G., Wong, Kai Chi, Hodges, Kevin and Li, Yueqin (2018) Comparison of a manual and an automated tracking method for Tibetan Plateau vortices. Advances in Atmospheric Sciences, 35 (8). pp. 965-980. ISSN 0256-1530 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00376-018-7278-4
Hirons, Linda and Turner, Andrew (2018) The impact of Indian Ocean mean-state biases in climate models on the representation of the East African short rains. Journal of Climate, 31 (16). pp. 6611-6631. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0804.1
Stephan, Claudia Christine, Klingaman, Nicholas Pappas, Vidale, Pier Luigi, Turner, Andrew George, Demory, Marie-Estelle and Guo, Liang (2018) A comprehensive analysis of coherent rainfall patterns in China and potential drivers. Part II: intraseasonal variability. Climate Dynamics, 51 (1-2). pp. 17-33. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-017-3904-6
Stephan, Claudia Christine, Klingaman, Nicholas Pappas, Vidale, Pier Luigi, Turner, Andrew George, Demory, Marie-Estelle and Guo, Liang (2018) A comprehensive analysis of coherent rainfall patterns in China and potential drivers. Part I: interannual variability. Climate Dynamics, 50 (11-12). pp. 4405-4424. ISSN 1432-0894 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-017-3882-8
Rai, Praveen, Joshi, Manoj, Dimri, A. P. and Turner, Andy (2018) The role of potential vorticity anomalies in the Somali Jet on Indian summer monsoon intraseasonal variability. Climate Dynamics, 50 (11-12). pp. 4149-4169. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-017-3865-9
Stephan, Claudia Christine, Klingaman, Nicholas P., Vidale, Pier Luigi, Turner, Andrew G., Demory, Marie-Estelle and Guo, Liang (2018) Interannual rainfall variability over China in the MetUM GA6 and GC2 configurations. Geoscientific Model Development, 11 (5). pp. 1823-1847. ISSN 1991-9603 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-11-1823-2018
Hunt, Kieran M. R., Turner, Andy G. and Shaffrey, Len C. (2018) Extreme daily rainfall in Pakistan and north India: scale-interactions, mechanisms, and precursors. Monthly Weather Review, 146 (4). pp. 1005-1022. ISSN 0027-0644 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-17-0258.1
Menon, A., Turner, A. G., Martin, G. M. and MacLachlan, C. (2018) Modelling the moistening of the free troposphere during the northwestward progression of Indian monsoon onset. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 144 (713). pp. 1152-1168. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.3281
George, Geet, Sarangi, Chandan, Tripathi, Sachchida Nand, Chakraborty, Tirthankar and Turner, Andrew (2018) Vertical structure and radiative forcing of monsoon clouds over Kanpur during the 2016 INCOMPASS field campaign. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 123 (4). pp. 2152-2174. ISSN 2169-8996 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/2017JD027759
Toh, Ying Ying, Turner, Andy G., Johnson, Stephanie J. and Holloway, Chris E. (2018) Maritime continent seasonal climate biases in AMIP experiments of the CMIP5 multimodel ensemble. Climate Dynamics, 50 (3-4). pp. 777-800. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-017-3641-x
Hunt, Kieran M. R., Turner, Andy G. and Shaffrey, Len C. (2018) The evolution, seasonality, and impacts of western disturbances. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 144 (710). pp. 278-290. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.3200
Stephan, Claudia Christine, Klingaman, Nicholas P., Vidale, Pier Luigi, Turner, Andrew G., Demory, Marie-Estelle and Guo, Liang (2018) Intraseasonal summer rainfall variability over China in the MetUM GA6 and GC2 configurations. Geoscientific Model Development, 11 (8). pp. 3215-3233. ISSN 1991-9603 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-11-3215-2018
Chevuturi, Amulya, Klingaman, Nicholas P., Turner, Andrew G. and Hannah, Shaun (2018) Projected changes in the Asian-Australian monsoon region in 1.5°C and 2.0°C global-warming scenarios. Earth's Future, 6 (3). pp. 339-358. ISSN 2328-4277 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/2017EF000734
2017
Hunt, Kieran M. and Turner, Andy G. (2017) The effect of soil moisture perturbations on Indian Monsoon Depressions in a numerical weather prediction model. Journal of Climate, 30 (21). pp. 8811-8823. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0733.1
Jayakumar, A., Turner, Andy, Johnson, Stephanie, Rajagopal, E., Mohandas, S. and Mitra, Ashis (2017) Boreal summer sub-seasonal variability of the South Asian monsoon in the Met Office GloSea5 initialized coupled model. Climate Dynamics, 49 (5-6). pp. 2035-2059. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-016-3423-x
Willetts, Peter D., Turner, Andy G., Martin, Gill M., Mrudula, G., Hunt, Kieran M., Parker, Douglas J., Taylor, Christopher M., Birch, Cathryn E., Mitra, Ashis K., Heming, J. T. and Brooks, M. E. (2017) The 2015 Indian summer monsoon onset - phenomena, forecasting and research flight planning. Weather, 72 (6). pp. 168-175. ISSN 1477-8696 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/wea.2819
Guo, Liang, Klingaman, Nick P., Vidale, Pier Luigi, Turner, Andy G., Demory, Marie-Estelle and Cobb, Alison (2017) Contribution of tropical cyclones to atmospheric moisture transport and rainfall over East Asia. Journal of Climate, 30 (10). pp. 3853-3865. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0308.1
Hunt, Kieran M. R. and Turner, Andrew G. (2017) The effect of horizontal resolution on Indian monsoon depressions in the Met Office NWP model. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 143 (705). pp. 1756-1771. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.3030
Sperber, Kenneth R., Cusiner, Edmee, Kitoh, Akio, Mechoso, Carlos R., Moise, Aurel, Moufouma-Okia, Wilfran, Schiro, Kathleen and Turner, Andrew G. (2017) Chapter 7: Modelling monsoons. In: Chang, Chih-Pei, Kuo, Hung-Chi, Lau, Ngar-Cheung, Johnson, Richard H., Wang, Bin and Wheeler, Matthew C. (eds.) The Global Monsoon System: Research and Forecast, 3rd edition. World Scientific Series on Asia-Pacific Weather and Climate, 9. World Scientific, Singapore, pp. 79-101. ISBN 9789813200906 doi: https://doi.org/10.1142/9789813200913_0007
Johnson, Stephanie J, Turner, Andy, Woolnough, Steven, Martin, G. and MacLachlan, C. (2017) An assessment of Indian monsoon seasonal forecasts and mechanisms underlying monsoon interannual variability in the Met Office GloSea5-GC2 system. Climate Dynamics, 48 (5). pp. 1447-1465. ISSN 1432-0894 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-016-3151-2
Turner, A. G. and Wang, B. (2017) Chapter 23: Interdecadal variability of the Asian summer monsoons. In: Chang, Chih-Pei, Kuo, Hung-Chi, Lau, Ngar-Cheung, Johnson, Richard H., Wang, Bin and Wheeler, Matthew C. (eds.) The Global Monsoon System: Research and Forecast, 3rd edition. World Scientific Series on Asia-Pacific Weather and Climate, 9. World Scientific, Singapore, pp. 289-301. ISBN 9789813200906 doi: https://doi.org/10.1142/9789813200913_0023
2016
Zhou, T., Turner, Andrew G., Kinter, J. L., Wang, B., Qian, Y., Chen, X., Wu, B., Wang, B., Liu, B., Zou, L. and Bian, He (2016) GMMIP (v1.0) contribution to CMIP6: Global Monsoons Model Inter-comparison Project. Geoscientific Model Development, 9 (10). pp. 3589-3604. ISSN 1991-9603 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-9-3589-2016
Hunt, K. M. R., Turner, Andy G. and Parker, D. E. (2016) The spatiotemporal structure of precipitation in Indian monsoon depressions. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 142 (701). pp. 3195-3210. ISSN 0035-9009 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.2901
Hunt, Kieran M. R., Turner, Andrew G., Inness, Peter M., Parker, David E. and Levine, Richard C. (2016) On the structure and dynamics of Indian monsoon depressions. Monthly Weather Review, 144 (9). pp. 3391-3416. ISSN 0027-0644 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-15-0138.1
Parker, D. J., Willetts, P., Birch, C., Turner, Andy G., Marsham, J. H., Taylor, C. M., Kolusu, S. and Martin, G. M. (2016) The interaction of moist convection and mid-level dry air in the advance of the onset of the Indian monsoon. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 142 (699). pp. 2256-2272. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.2815
Zhang, Wenjun, Li, Haiyan, Stuecker, Malte F., Jin, Fei-Fei and Turner, Andy (2016) A new understanding of El Niño's impact over East Asia: dominance of the ENSO combination mode. Journal of Climate, 29 (12). pp. 4347-4359. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0104.1
Johnson, Stephanie J., Levine, Richard C., Turner, Andy G., Martin, Gill M., Woolnough, Steven J., Schiemann, Reinhard, Mizielinski, Matthew S., Roberts, Malcolm J., Vidale, Pier Luigi, Demory, Marie-Estelle and Strachan, Jane (2016) The resolution sensitivity of the South Asian monsoon and Indo-Pacific in a global 0.35◦ AGCM. Climate Dynamics, 46 (3-4). pp. 807-831. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-015-2614-1
Guo, Liang, Turner, Andrew G. and Highwood, Eleanor J. (2016) Local and remote impacts of aerosol species on Indian summer monsoon rainfall in a GCM. Journal of Climate, 29 (19). pp. 6937-6955. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0728.1
2015
Prakash, Satya, Mitra, Ashis K., Momin, Imran M., Rajagopal, E. N., Basu, S., Collins, Mat, Turner, Andrew G., Achuto Rao, K. and Ashok, K. (2015) Seasonal intercomparison of observational rainfall datasets over India during the southwest monsoon season. International Journal of Climatology, 35 (9). pp. 2326-2338. ISSN 0899-8418 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.4129
Zhang, Wenjun, Li, Haiyan, Jin, Fei Fei, Stuecker, Malte F., Turner, Andrew G. and Klingaman, Nicholas P. (2015) The annual-cycle modulation of meridional asymmetry in ENSO’s atmospheric response and its dependence on ENSO zonal structure. Journal of Climate, 28 (14). pp. 5795-5812. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00724.1
Guo, Liang, Turner, Andy and Highwood, Ellie (2015) Impacts of 20th century aerosol emissions on the South Asian monsoon in the CMIP5 models. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 15 (11). pp. 6367-6378. ISSN 1680-7316 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-15-6367-2015
Dunning, C. M., Turner, A. G. and Brayshaw, D. J. (2015) The impact of monsoon intraseasonal variability on renewable power generation in India. Environmental Research Letters, 10 (6). 064002. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/10/6/064002
Bush, Stephanie J., Turner, Andy G., Woolnough, Steven J., Martin, Gill M. and Klingaman, Nick P. (2015) The effect of increased convective entrainment on Asian monsoon biases in the MetUM General Circulation Model. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 141 (686). pp. 311-326. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.2371
Zhang, Wenjun, Wang, Yalan, Jin, Fei-Fei, Stuecker, Malte F. and Turner, Andrew G. (2015) Impact of different El Niño types on the El Niño/IOD relationship. Geophysical Research Letters, 42 (20). pp. 8570-8576. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/2015GL065703
2014
Zhang, Wenjun, Jin, Fei-Fei and Turner, Andrew (2014) Increasing Autumn drought over Southern China associated with ENSO regime shift. Geophysical Research Letters, 41 (11). pp. 4020-4026. ISSN 1944-8007 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/2014GL060130
2013
Sperber, K. R., Annamalai, H., Kang, I.-S., Kitoh, A., Moise, A., Turner, A., Wang, B. and Zhou, T. (2013) The Asian summer monsoon: an intercomparison of CMIP5 vs. CMIP3 simulations of the late 20th century. Climate Dynamics, 41 (9-10). pp. 2711-2744. ISSN 1432-0894 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-012-1607-6
Collins, Mat, AchutaRao, Krishna, Ashok, Karamuri, Bhandari, Satyendra, Karumuri, Ashok, Mitra, Ashis, Prakash, Satya, Srivistava, Rohit and Turner, Andrew (2013) Observational challenges in evaluating climate models. Nature Climate Change, 3. pp. 940-941. ISSN 1758-6798 doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate2012
Levine, R.C., Turner, Andy, Marathayil, D. and Martin, G. (2013) The role of northern Arabian Sea surface temperature biases in CMIP5 model simulations and future projections of Indian summer monsoon rainfall. Climate Dynamics, 41 (1). pp. 155-172. ISSN 1432-0894 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-012-1656-x
Hannachi, A. and Turner, A. G. (2013) Isomap nonlinear dimensionality reduction and bimodality of Asian monsoon convection. Geophysical Research Letters, 40 (8). pp. 1653-1658. ISSN 1944-8007 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/grl.50351
Marathayil, D., Turner, A. G., Shaffrey, L. C. and Levine, R. C. (2013) Systematic winter sea-surface temperature biases in the northern Arabian Sea in HiGEM and the CMIP3 models. Environmental Research Letters, 8 (1). 014028. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/8/1/014028
Guo, Liang, Highwood, Ellie, Shaffrey, Len and Turner, Andy (2013) The effect of regional changes in anthropogenic aerosols on rainfall of the East Asian summer monsoon. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 13. pp. 1521-1534. ISSN 1680-7316 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-13-1521-2013
Joshi, Manoj, Turner, Andy G and Hope, C. (2013) The use of land-sea warming contrast under climate change to improve impact metrics. Climatic Change, 117 (4). pp. 951-960. ISSN 0165-0009 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-013-0715-6
Hannachi, A. and Turner, A. G. (2013) 20th century intraseasonal Asian monsoon dynamics viewed from Isomap. Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics, 20 (5). pp. 725-741. ISSN 1607-7946 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/npg-20-725-2013
2012
Turner, A. G., Joshi, M., Robertson, E. S. and Woolnough, S. J. (2012) The effect of Arabian Sea optical properties on SST biases and the South Asian summer monsoon in a coupled GCM. Climate Dynamics, 39 (3-4). pp. 811-826. ISSN 1432-0894 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-011-1254-3
Turner, A. G. and Annamalai, Hariharasubramanian (2012) Climate change and the South Asian summer monsoon. Nature Climate Change, 2. pp. 587-595. ISSN 1758-678X doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate1495
Krishnan, R., Sabin, T. P., Ayantika, D. C., Kitoh, A., Sugi, M., Murakami, H., Turner, A. G. , Slingo, J. M. and Rajendran, K. (2012) Will the South Asian monsoon overturning circulation stabilize any further? Climate Dynamics, 40 (1-2). pp. 187-211. ISSN 1432-0894 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-012-1317-0
Levine, Richard C. and Turner, Andrew G. (2012) Dependence of Indian monsoon rainfall on moisture fluxes across the Arabian Sea and the impact of coupled model sea surface temperature biases. Climate Dynamics, 38 (11-12). pp. 2167-2190. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-011-1096-z
2011
Turner, Andy G. and Slingo, Julia Mary (2011) Using idealized snow forcing to test teleconnections with the Indian summer monsoon in the Hadley Centre GCM. Climate Dynamics, 36 (9-10). pp. 1717-1735. ISSN 1432-0894 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-010-0805-3
Turner, Andrew George, Sperber, Kenneth, Slingo, Julia Mary, Meehl, Gerald, Mechoso, C. Roberto, Kimoto, Masahide and Giannini, Alessandra (2011) Modelling monsoons: understanding and predicting current and future behaviour. In: Chang, C.-P., Ding, Y, Lau, G. N-C, Johnson, R. H., Wang, B. and Yasunari, T. (eds.) The global monsoon system: research and forecast, 2nd edition. World scientific series on Asia-Pacific weather and climate, 5. World Scientific/WMO, London Singapore New Jersey, pp. 421-454. ISBN 9789814343404
2010
Woollings, Tim, Hannachi, Abdel, Hoskins, Brian and Turner, Andrew (2010) A regime view of the North Atlantic Oscillation and its response to anthropogenic forcing. Journal of Climate, 23 (6). pp. 1291-1307. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/2009JCLI3087.1
Turner, A. G. and Hannachi, A. (2010) Is there regime behavior in monsoon convection in the late 20th century? Geophysical Research Letters, 37. L16706. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2010GL044159
2009
Turner, Andrew George and Slingo, Julia Mary (2009) Subseasonal extremes of precipitation and active-break cycles of the Indian summer monsoon in a climate-change scenario. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 135 (640). pp. 549-567. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.401
Turner, Andrew George and Slingo, Julia Mary (2009) Uncertainties in future projections of extreme precipitation in the Indian monsoon region. Atmospheric Science Letters, 10 (3). pp. 152-158. ISSN 1530-261X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/asl.223
2008
Hannachi, A. and Turner, A. G. (2008) Preferred structures in large-scale circulation and the effect of doubling greenhouse gas concentration in HadCM3. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 134 (631). pp. 469-480. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.236
2007
Turner, A.G., Inness, P.M. and Slingo, J.M. (2007) The effect of doubled CO2 and model basic state biases on the monsoon-ENSO system. I: Mean response and interannual variability. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 133 (626). pp. 1143-1157. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.82
Turner, A.G., Inness, P.M. and Slingo, J.M. (2007) The effect of doubled CO2 and model basic state biases on the monsoon-ENSO system. II: Changing ENSO regimes. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 133. pp. 1159-1173. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.83
2005
Turner, A.G., Inness, P.M. and Slingo, J.M. (2005) The role of the basic state in the ENSO-monsoon relationship and implications for predictability. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 131 (607). pp. 781-804. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1256/qj.04.70
Last update: 25th August 2023