2024

Hermoso, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1893-4181, Rivière, G., Harvey, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6510-8181, Methven, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7636-6872 and Schemm, S. (2024) A dynamical interpretation of the intensification of the winter North Atlantic jet stream in reanalysis. Journal of Climate, 37 (22). pp. 5853-5881. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-23-0757.1

Rivière, G., Delanoë, J., Doyle, J. D., Methven, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7636-6872, Barrell, C., Fearon, M., Gray, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8658-362X, Johnson, A., Jourdan, O., Lachlan-Cope, T., Renfrew, I., Torn, R. D., Volonte, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0278-952X, Weiss, A., Wimmer, M., Aubry, C., Baudoux, A., Bazile, E., Beeden, D., Bennett, M., Biernat, K., Bitz, C. M., Blanchard-Wrigglesworth, E., Bounissou, S., Bray, M., Burg, T., Burzdak, J., Businger, S., Capute, P., Caudoux, C., Cavallo, S., Cossalter, L., Cozzolino, C., Croad, H., Douet, V., Elvidge, A., Finocchio, P., Gourbeyre, C., Harvey, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6510-8181, Huet, K., Hutchinson, T., Ladkin, R., Marshland, K., Martinez-Alvarado, O. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5285-0379, Mioche, G., Pantillon, F., Paquette, C., Parsons, D. B., Persson, O., Raillard, L., Raut, J.-C., Seity, Y., Trules, J., Vignon, E. and Wang, X. (2024) The THINICE field campaign: Interactions between Arctic cyclones, tropopause polar vortices, clouds and sea ice in summer. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. ISSN 1520-0477 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/bams-d-23-0143.1 (In Press)

Charlton-Perez, A. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8179-6220, Dacre, H. F. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4328-9126, Driscoll, S., Gray, S. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8658-362X, Harvey, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6510-8181, Harvey, N. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0973-5794, Hunt, K. M. R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1480-3755, Lee, R. W. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1946-5559, Swaminathan, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5853-2673, Vandaele, R. and Volonté, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0278-952X (2024) Do AI models produce better weather forecasts than physics-based models? A quantitative evaluation case study of Storm Ciarán. npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 7. 93. ISSN 2397-3722 doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-024-00638-w

2023

Croad, H. L., Methven, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7636-6872, Harvey, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6510-8181, Keeley, S. P. E., Volonté, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0278-952X and Hodges, K. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X (2023) A climatology of summer-time Arctic cyclones using a modified phase space. Geophysical Research Letters, 50 (22). e2023GL105993. ISSN 1944-8007 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2023GL105993

Harvey, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6510-8181, Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677 and Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 (2023) Storylines for future changes of the North Atlantic jet and associated impacts on the UK. International Journal of Climatology, 43 (10). pp. 4424-4441. ISSN 1097-0088 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.8095

Croad, H. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5124-4860, Methven, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7636-6872, Harvey, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6510-8181, Keeley, S. P. E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8046-765X and Volonté, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0278-952X (2023) The role of boundary layer processes in summer-time Arctic cyclones. Weather and Climate Dynamics, 4 (3). pp. 617-638. ISSN 2698-4016 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-4-617-2023

Bulgin, C. E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4368-7386, Mecking, J. V., Harvey, B. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6510-8181, Jevrejeva, S., McCarroll, N. F., Merchant, C. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4687-9850 and Sinha, B. (2023) Dynamic sea-level changes and potential implications for storm surges in the UK: a storylines perspective. Environmental Research Letters, 18 (4). 044033. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/acc6df

Hardy, S., Methven, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7636-6872, Schwendike, J., Harvey, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6510-8181 and Cullen, M. (2023) Examining the dynamics of a Borneo vortex using a balance approximation tool. Weather and Climate Dynamics, 4 (4). pp. 1019-1043. ISSN 2698-4024 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-4-1019-2023

2022

Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911, Sutton, R. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583, Shaffrey, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2696-752X and Harvey, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6510-8181 (2022) Recent decadal weakening of the summer Eurasian westerly jet attributable to anthropogenic aerosol emissions. Nature Communications, 13. 1148. ISSN 2041-1723 doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-022-28816-5

2021

Saffin, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6744-7785, Methven, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7636-6872, Bland, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2706-2853, Harvey, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6510-8181 and Sanchez, C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5069-6849 (2021) Circulation conservation in the outflow of warm conveyor belts and consequences for Rossby wave evolution. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. ISSN 0035-9009 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.4143

Ruggieri, P., Bellucci, A., Nicol`ı, D., Athanasiadis, P., Gualdi, S., Cassou, C., Castruccio, F., Danabasoglu, G., Davini, P., Dunstone, N., Eade, R., Gastineau, G., Harvey, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6510-8181, Hermanson, L., Qasmi, S.¨ı., Ruprich-Robert, Y., Sanchez-Gomez, E., Smith, D., Wild, S. and Zampieri, M. (2021) Atlantic multidecadal variability and North Atlantic jet: a multi-model view from the decadal climate prediction project. Journal of Climate, 34 (1). pp. 347-360. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0981.1

2020

Woiwode, W., Dörnbrack, A., Polichtchouk, I., Johansson, S., Harvey, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6510-8181, Höpfner, M., Ungermann, J. and Friedl-Vallon, F. (2020) Technical note: lowermost-stratospheric moist bias in ECMWF IFS model diagnosed from airborne GLORIA observations during winter/spring 2016. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics Discussions, 20. pp. 15379-15387. ISSN 1680-7316 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-2020-367

Harvey, B. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6510-8181, Cook, P., Shaffrey, L. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2696-752X and Schiemann, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3095-9856 (2020) The response of the northern hemisphere storm tracks and jet streams to climate change in the CMIP3, CMIP5, and CMIP6 climate models. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 125 (23). e2020JD032701. ISSN 2169-8996 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2020JD032701

Schäfler, A., Harvey, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6510-8181, Methven, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7636-6872, Doyle, J. D., Rahm, S., Reitebuch, O., Weiler, F. and Witschas, B. (2020) Observation of jet stream winds during NAWDEX and characterization of systematic meteorological analysis errors. Monthly Weather Review, 148 (7). pp. 2889-2907. ISSN 0027-0644 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-19-0229.1

Harvey, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6510-8181, Methven, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7636-6872, Sanchez, C. and Schaefler, A. (2020) Diabatic generation of negative potential vorticity and its impact on the North Atlantic jet stream. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 146 (728). pp. 1477-1497. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.3747

2018

Harvey, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6510-8181, Methven, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7636-6872 and Ambaum, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6824-8083 (2018) An adiabatic mechanism for the reduction of jet meander amplitude by potential vorticity filamentation. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 75. pp. 4091-4106. ISSN 1520-0469 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JAS-D-18-0136.1

Novakova, L., Ambaum, M. H. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6824-8083 and Harvey, B. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6510-8181 (2018) Baroclinic adjustment and dissipative control of storm tracks. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 75 (9). pp. 2955-2970. ISSN 1520-0469 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JAS-D-17-0210.1

Woollings, T., Barriopedro, D., Methven, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7636-6872, Son, S.-W., Martius, O., Harvey, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6510-8181, Sillmann, J., Lupo, A. R. and Seneviratne, S. (2018) Blocking and its response to climate change. Current Climate Change Reports, 4 (3). pp. 287-300. ISSN 2198-6061 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s40641-018-0108-z

Schäfler, A., Craig, G., Wernli, H., Arbogast, P., Doyle, J. D., McTaggart-Cowan, R., Methven, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7636-6872, Rivière, G., Ament, F., Boettcher, M., Bramberger, M., Cazenave, Q., Cotton, R., Crewell, S., Delanoë, J., Dörnbrack, A., Ehrlich, A., Ewald, F., Fix, A., Grams, C. M., Gray, S. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8658-362X, Grob, H., Groß, S., Hagen, M., Harvey, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6510-8181, Hirsch, L., Jacob, M., Kölling, T., Konow, H., Lemmerz, C., Lux, O., Magnusson, L., Mayer, B., Mech, M., Moore, R., Pelon, J., Quinting, J., Rahm, S., Rapp, M., Rautenhaus, M., Reitebuch, O., Reynolds, C. A., Sodemann, H., Spengler, T., Vaughan, G., Wendisch, M., Wirth, M., Witschas, B., Wolf, K. and Zinner, T. (2018) The North Atlantic Waveguide and Downstream Impact Experiment. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 99 (8). pp. 1607-1637. ISSN 1520-0477 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-17-0003.1

Li, C., Michel, C., Graff, L. S., Bethke, I., Zappa, G., Bracegirdle, T. J., Fischer, E., Harvey, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6510-8181, Iversen, T., King, M. P., Krishnan, H., Lierhammer, L., Mitchell, D., Scinocca, J., Shiogama, H., Stone, D. A. and Wettstein, J. J. (2018) Midlatitude atmospheric circulation responses under 1.5C and 2.0C warming and implications for regional impacts. Earth System Dynamics, 9 (2). pp. 359-382. ISSN 2190-4987 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-9-359-2018

2017

Harvey, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6510-8181, Methven, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7636-6872, Eagle, C. and Lean, H. (2017) Does the representation of flow structure and turbulence at a cold front converge on multi-scale observations with model resolution? Monthly Weather Review, 145 (11). pp. 4345-4363. ISSN 0027-0644 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-16-0479.1

Mitchell, D., Davini, P., Harvey, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6510-8181, Massey, N., Haustein, K., Woollings, T., Jones, R., Otto, F., Guillod, B., Sparrow, S., Wallom, D. and Allen, M. (2017) Assessing mid-latitude dynamics in extreme event attribution systems. Climate Dynamics, 48 (11-12). pp. 3889-3901. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-016-3308-z

2016

Kennedy, D., Parker, T., Woollings, T., Harvey, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6510-8181 and Shaffrey, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2696-752X (2016) The response of high-impact blocking weather systems to climate change. Geophysical Research Letters, 43 (13). pp. 7250-7258. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/2016GL069725

Harvey, B. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6510-8181, Methven, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7636-6872 and Ambaum, M. H. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6824-8083 (2016) Rossby wave propagation on potential vorticity fronts with finite width. Journal of Fluid Mechanics, 794. pp. 775-797. ISSN 0022-1120 doi: https://doi.org/10.1017/jfm.2016.180

2015

Harvey, B. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6510-8181, Shaffrey, L. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2696-752X and Woollings, T. J. (2015) Deconstructing the climate change response of the Northern Hemisphere wintertime storm tracks. Climate Dynamics, 45 (9). pp. 2847-2860. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-015-2510-8

Vaughan, G., Methven, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7636-6872, Anderson, D., Antonescu, B., Baker, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0738-9488, Baker, T. P., Ballard, S. P., Bower, K. N., Brown, P. R. A., Chagnon, J., Choularton, T. W., Chylik, J., Connolly, P. J., Cook, P. A., Cotton, R. J., Crosier, J., Dearden, C., Dorsey, J. R., Frame, T. H. A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6542-2173, Gallagher, M. W., Goodliff, M., Gray, S. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8658-362X, Harvey, B. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6510-8181, Knippertz, P., Lean, H. W., Li, D., Lloyd, G., Martinez-Alvarado, O. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5285-0379, Nicol, J., Norris, J., Öström, E., Owen, J., Parker, D. J., Plant, R. S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8808-0022, Renfrew, I. A., Roberts, N. M., Rosenberg, P., Rudd, A. C., Schultz, D. M., Taylor, J. P., Trzeciak, T., Tubbs, R., Vance, A. K., Van Leeuwen, P. J., Wellpott, A. and Woolley, A. (2015) Cloud banding and winds in intense European cyclones: results from the DIAMET project. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 96 (2). pp. 249-265. ISSN 1520-0477 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-13-00238.1

2014

Harvey, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6510-8181, Shaffrey, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2696-752X and Woollings, T. (2014) Equator-to-pole temperature differences and the extra-tropical storm track responses of the CMIP5 climate models. Climate Dynamics, 43 (5-6). pp. 1171-1182. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-013-1883-9

Woollings, T., Harvey, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6510-8181 and Masato, G. (2014) Arctic warming, atmospheric blocking and cold European winters in CMIP5 models. Environmental Research Letters, 9 (1). 014002. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/9/1/014002

2012

Woollings, T., Harvey, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6510-8181, Zahn, M. and Shaffrey, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2696-752X (2012) On the role of the ocean in projected atmospheric stability changes in the Atlantic polar low region. Geophysical Research Letters, 39 (24). L24802. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2012GL054016

Harvey, B. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6510-8181, Shaffrey, L. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2696-752X, Woollings, T. J., Zappa, G. and Hodges, K. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X (2012) How large are projected 21st century storm track changes? Geophysical Research Letters, 39 (18). L18707. ISSN 1944–8007 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2012GL052873

2011

Harvey, B. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6510-8181, Ambaum, M. H. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6824-8083 and Carton, X. J. (2011) Instability of shielded surface temperature vortices. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 68. pp. 964-971. ISSN 1520-0469 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/2010jas3669.1

Harvey, B. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6510-8181 and Ambaum, M. H. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6824-8083 (2011) Perturbed Rankine vortices in surface quasi-geostrophic dynamics. Geophysical & Astrophysical Fluid Dynamics, 105 (4-5). pp. 377-391. ISSN 1029-0419 doi: https://doi.org/10.1080/03091921003694719

2010

Harvey, B. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6510-8181 and Ambaum, M. H. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6824-8083 (2010) Instability of surface-temperature filaments in strain and shear. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 136 (651). pp. 1506-1513. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.651