2024

Weisheimer, A., Baker, L. H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0738-9488, Bröcker, J., Garfinkel, C. I., Hardiman, S. C., Hodson, D. L. R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7159-6700, Palmer, T. N., Robson, J. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Scaife, A. A., Screen, J. A., Shepherd, T. G., Smith, D. N. and Sutton, R. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 (2024) The signal-to-noise paradox in climate forecasts: revisiting our understanding and identifying future priorities. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 105 (3). E651-E659. ISSN 1520-0477 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-24-0019.1

2023

Kim, W. M., Ruprich-Robert, Y., Zhao, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8300-5872, Yeager, S. and Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X (2023) North Atlantic response to observed North Atlantic oscillation surface heat flux in three climate models. Journal of Climate. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-23-0301.1 (In Press)

Zhao, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8300-5872, Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583, Lai, M., Mecking, J., Yeager, S. and Petit, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7922-9363 (2023) Large diversity in AMOC internal variability across NEMO-based climate models. Climate Dynamics. ISSN 1432-0894 (In Press)

Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583, Menary, M. B. and Lai, M. W.K. (2023) Contrasting internally and externally generated Atlantic Multidecadal Variability and the role for AMOC in CMIP6 historical simulations. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences, 381 (2262). 20220194. ISSN 1471-2962 doi: https://doi.org/10.1098/rsta.2022.0194

Zhang, M., Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911, Schiemann, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3095-9856 and Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X (2023) Summer compound heatwaves over China: projected changes at different global warming levels and related physical processes. Climate Dynamics. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-023-07001-4 (Zhang, M., Dong, B., Schiemann, R. et al. Summer compound heatwaves over China: projected changes at different global warming levels and related physical processes. Clim Dyn (2023). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-023-07001-4)

Petit, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7922-9363, Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Ferreira, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3243-9774 and Jackson, L. C. (2023) Understanding the sensitivity of the North Atlantic subpolar overturning in different resolution versions of HadGEM3-GC3.1. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 128 (10). e2023JC019672. ISSN 2169-9291 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2023JC019672

Monerie, P.-A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5304-9559, Robson, J. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Ndiaye, C. D., Song, C. and Turner, A. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876 (2023) CMIP6 skill at predicting interannual to multi-decadal summer monsoon precipitation variability. Environmental Research Letters, 18 (9). 094002. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/acea96

Marcheggiani, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3571-608X, Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Monerie, P.-A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5304-9559, Bracegirdle, T. J. and Smith, D. (2023) Decadal predictability of the North Atlantic eddy-driven jet in winter. Geophysical Research Letters, 50 (8). e2022GL102071. ISSN 1944-8007 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2022GL102071

O'Reilly, C. H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8630-1650, Patterson, M., Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Monerie, P.-A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5304-9559, Hodson, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7159-6700 and Ruprich-Robert, Y. (2023) Challenges with interpreting the impact of Atlantic Multidecadal Variability using SST-restoring experiments. npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 6. 14. ISSN 2397-3722 doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-023-00335-0

2022

Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Menary, M. B., Sutton, R. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583, Mecking, J., Gregory, J. M., Jones, C., Sinha, B., Stevens, D. P. and Wilcox, L. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493 (2022) The role of anthropogenic aerosol forcing in the 1850-1985 strengthening of the AMOC in CMIP6 historical simulations. Journal of Climate, 35 (20). pp. 3243-3263. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-22-0124.1

Hodson, D. L. R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7159-6700, Bretonnière, P.-A., Cassou, C., Davini, P., Klingaman, N. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303, Lohmann, K., Lopez-Parages, J., Martín-Rey, M., Moine, M.-P., Monerie, P.-A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5304-9559, Putrasahan, D. A., Roberts, C. D., Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Ruprich-Robert, Y., Sanchez-Gomez, E., Seddon, J. and Senan, R. (2022) Coupled climate response to Atlantic Multidecadal Variability in a multi-model multi-resolution ensemble. Climate Dynamics, 59. pp. 805-836. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-022-06157-9

Dimdore-Miles, O., Gray, L., Osprey, S., Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 and Sinha, B. (2022) Interactions between the stratospheric polar vortex and Atlantic circulation on seasonal to multi-decadal timescales. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 22 (7). pp. 4867-4893. ISSN 1680-7316 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-22-4867-2022

Jackson, L. C., Biastoch, A., Buckley, M. W., Desbruyères, D. G., Frajka-Williams, E., Moat, B. and Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X (2022) The evolution of the North Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation since 1980. Nature Reviews Earth & Environment, 3. pp. 241-254. ISSN 2662-138X doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/s43017-022-00263-2

Lai, W. K. M., Robson, J. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Wilcox, L. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493 and Dunstone, N. (2022) Mechanisms of internal Atlantic multidecadal variability in HadGEM3-GC3.1 at two different resolutions. Journal of Climate, 35 (4). pp. 1365-1383. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-21-0281.1

2021

Bracegirdle, T. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8868-4739, Lu, H. and Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X (2021) Early-winter North Atlantic low-level jet latitude biases in climate models: implications for simulated regional atmosphere-ocean linkages. Environmental Research Letters, 17 (1). ISSN 1748-9326 doi: https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ac417f

Dittus, A. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9598-6869, Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Robson, J. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Smith, D. M. and Wilcox, L. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493 (2021) Drivers of recent North Pacific decadal variability: the role of aerosol forcing. Earth's Future, 9 (12). e2021EF002249. ISSN 2328-4277 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2021EF002249

Monerie, P.-A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5304-9559, Robson, J. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Dunstone, N. J. and Turner, A. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876 (2021) Skilful seasonal predictions of Global Monsoon summer precipitation with DePreSys3. Environmental Research Letters, 16 (10). ISSN 1748-9326 doi: https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ac2a65

Menary, M. B., Mignot, J. and Robson, J. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X (2021) Skilful decadal predictions of subpolar North Atlantic SSTs using CMIP model-analogues. Environmental Research Letters, 16 (6). ISSN 1748-9326 doi: https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ac06fb

Ruprich-Robert, Y., Moreno-Chamarro, E., Levine, X., Bellucci, A., Cassou, C., Castruccio, F., Davini, P., Eade, R., Gastineau, G., Hermanson, L., Hodson, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7159-6700, Lohmann, K., Lopez-Parages, J., Monerie, P.-A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5304-9559, Nicoli, D., Qasmi, S., Roberts, C. D., Sanchez-Gomez, E., Danabasoglu, G., Dunstone, N., Martin-Rey, M., Msadek, R., Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Smith, D. and Tourigny, E. (2021) Impacts of Atlantic multidecadal variability on the tropical Pacific: a multi-model study. npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 4 (1). 33. ISSN 2397-3722 doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-021-00188-5

Ortega, P., Robson, J. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Menary, M., Sutton, R. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583, Blaker, A., Germe, A., Hirschi, J. J.-M., Sinha, B., Hermanson, L. and Yeager, S. (2021) Labrador Sea subsurface density as a precursor of multidecadal variability in the North Atlantic: a multi-model study. Earth System Dynamics, 12 (2). pp. 419-438. ISSN 2190-4987 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-419-2021

Monerie, P.-A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5304-9559, Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911 and Hodson, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7159-6700 (2021) Role of the Atlantic multidecadal variability in modulating East Asian climate. Climate Dynamics, 56. pp. 381-398. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-020-05477-y

2020

Polo, I., Haines, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2768-2374, Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X and Thomas, C. (2020) Can the boundary profiles at 26° N be used to extract buoyancy-forced Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation signals? Ocean Science, 16 (5). pp. 1067-1088. ISSN 1812-0784 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/os-16-1067-2020

Sinha, B., Sévellec, F., Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X and Nurser, G. (2020) Surging of global surface temperature due to decadal legacy of ocean heat uptake. Journal of Climate, 33 (18). pp. 8025-8045. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0874.1

Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Aksenov, Y., Bracegirdle, T. J., Dimdore-Miles, O., Griffiths, P. T., Grosvenor, D. P., Hodson, D. L.R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7159-6700, Keeble, J., MacIntosh, C., Megann, A., Osprey, S., Povey, A. C., Schröder, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2351-4306, Yang, M., Archibald, A. T., Carslaw, K. S., Gray, L., Jones, C., Kerridge, B., Knappett, D., Kuhlbrodt, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2328-6729, Russo, M., Sellar, A., Siddans, R., Sinha, B., Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583, Walton, J. and Wilcox, L. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493 (2020) The evaluation of the North Atlantic climate system in UKESM1 historical simulations for CMIP6. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 12 (9). e2020MS002126. ISSN 1942-2466 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2020MS002126

Dunstone, N., Smith, D., Yeager, S., Danabasoglu, G., Monerie, P.-A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5304-9559, Hermanson, L., Eade, R., Ineson, S., Robson, J. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Scaife, A. A. and Ren, H.-L. (2020) Skilful interannual climate prediction from two large initialised model ensembles. Environmental Research Letters, 15 (9). 094083. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ab9f7d

Smith, D. M., Scaife, A. A., Eade, R., Athanasiadis, P., Bellucci, A., Bethke, I., Bilbao, R., Borchert, L. F., Caron, L.-P., Counillon, F., Danabasoglu, G., Delworth, T., Doblas-Reyes, F. J., Dunstone, N. J., Estella-Perez, V., Flavoni, S., Hermanson, L., Keenlyside, N., Kharin, V., Kimoto, M., Merryfield, W. J., Mignot, J., Mochizuki, T., Modali, K., Monerie, P.-A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5304-9559, Müller, W. A., Nicoli, D., Ortega, P., Pankatz, K., Pohlmann, H., Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Ruggieri, P., Sospedra-Alfonso, R., Swingedouw, D., Wang, Y., Wild, S., Yeager, S., Yang, X. and Zhang, L. (2020) North Atlantic climate far more predictable than models imply. Nature, 583. 7818. ISSN 0028-0836 doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-020-2525-0

Menary, M. B., Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Allan, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447, Booth, B. B. B., Cassou, C., Gastineau, G., Gregory, J., Hodson, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7159-6700, Jones, C., Mignot, J., Ringer, M., Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583, Wilcox, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493 and Zhang, R. (2020) Aerosol-forced AMOC changes in CMIP6 historical simulations. Geophysical Research Letters. e2020GL088166. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2020GL088166

Andrews, M. B., Ridley, J. K., Wood, R. A., Andrews, T., Blockley, E. W., Booth, B., Burke, E., Dittus, A. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9598-6869, Florek, P., Gray, L. J., Haddad, S., Hardiman, S. C., Hermanson, L., Hodson, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7159-6700, Hogan, E., Jones, G. S., Knight, J. R., Kuhlbrodt, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2328-6729, Misios, S., Mizielinski, M. S., Ringer, M. A., Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X and Sutton, R. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 (2020) Historical simulations with HadGEM3-GC3.1 for CMIP6. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 12 (6). e2019MS001995. ISSN 1942-2466 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2019MS001995

Hermanson, L., Bilbao, R., Dunstone, N., Ménégoz, M., Ortega, P., Pohlmann, H., Robson, J. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Smith, D. M., Strand, G., Timmreck, C., Yeager, S. and Danabasoglu, G. (2020) Robust multi-year climate impacts of volcanic eruptions in decadal prediction systems. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 125 (9). e2019JD031739. ISSN 2169-8996 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2019JD031739

Tian, F., Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911, Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 and Wilcox, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493 (2020) Processes shaping the spatial pattern and seasonality of the surface air temperature response to anthropogenic forcing. Climate Dynamics, 54 (9-10). pp. 3959-3975. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-020-05211-8

2019

Jackson, L. C., Dubois, C., Forget, G., Haines, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2768-2374, Harrison, M., Iovino, D., Kӧhl, A., Mignac, D., Masina, S., Peterson, K. A., Piecuch, C. G., Roberts, C., Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Storto, A., Toyoda, T., Valdivieso, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1738-7016, Wilson, C., Wang, Y. and Zuo, H. (2019) The mean state and variability of the North Atlantic circulation: a perspective from ocean reanalyses. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 124 (12). pp. 9141-9170. ISSN 2169-9291 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2019JC015210

Tian, F., Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911, Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 and Tett, S. (2019) Projected near term changes in the East Asian summer monsoon and its uncertainty. Environmental Research Letters, 14 (8). 084038. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ab28a6

Monerie, P.-A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5304-9559, Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911, Dieppois, B., Pohl, B. and Dunstone, N. (2019) Predicting the seasonal evolution of southern African summer precipitation in the DePreSys3 prediction system. Climate Dynamics, 52 (11). pp. 6491-6510. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-018-4526-3

Monerie, P.-A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5304-9559, Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911, Hodson, D. L. R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7159-6700 and Klingaman, N. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303 (2019) Effect of the Atlantic Multidecadal Variability on the global monsoon. Geophysical Research Letters, 46 (3). pp. 1765-1775. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2018GL080903

Moat, B. I., Sinha, B., Josey, S. A., Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Ortega, P., Sévellec, F., Holliday, N. P., McCarthy, G. D., New, A. L. and Hirschi, J. J.-M. (2019) Insights into decadal North Atlantic sea surface temperature and ocean heat content variability from an eddy-permitting coupled climate model. Journal of Climate, 32 (18). pp. 6137-6161. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-18-0709.1

2018

Menary, M. B., Kuhlbrodt, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2328-6729, Ridley, J., Andrews, M. B., Dimdore-Miles, O. B., Deshayes, J., Eade, R., Gray, L., Ineson, S., Mignot, J., Roberts, C. D., Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Wood, R. A. and Xavier, P. (2018) Preindustrial control simulations with HadGEM3-GC3.1 for CMIP6. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 10 (12). pp. 3049-3075. ISSN 1942-2466 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2018MS001495

Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Sutton, R. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583, Archibald, A., Cooper, F., Christensen, M., Gray, L. J., Holliday, N. P., Macintosh, C., McMillan, M., Moat, B., Russo, M., Tilling, R., Carslaw, K., Desbruyères, D., Embury, O. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1661-7828, Feltham, D. L., Grosvenor, D. P., Josey, S., King, B., Lewis, A., McCarthy, G. D., Merchant, C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4687-9850, New, A. L., O'Reilly, C. H., Osprey, S. M., Read, K., Scaife, A., Shepherd, A., Sinha, B., Smeed, D., Smith, D., Ridout, A., Woollings, T. and Yang, M. (2018) Recent multivariate changes in the North Atlantic climate system, with a focus on 2005-2016. International Journal of Climatology, 38 (12). pp. 5050-5076. ISSN 0899-8418 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.5815

Tian, F., Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911, Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X and Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 (2018) Forced decadal changes in the East Asian summer monsoon: the roles of greenhouse gases and anthropogenic aerosols. Climate Dynamics, 51 (9-10). pp. 3699-3715. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-018-4105-7

Monerie, P.-A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5304-9559, Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911 and Dunstone, N. (2018) A role of the Atlantic Ocean in predicting summer surface air temperature over North East Asia? Climate Dynamics, 51 (1-2). pp. 473-491. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-017-3935-z

Alexander-Turner, R., Ortega, P. and Robson, J. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X (2018) How robust are the surface temperature fingerprints of the Atlantic Overturning Meridional Circulation on monthly time‐scales? Geophysical Research Letters, 45 (8). pp. 3559-3567. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2017GL076759

Sutton, R. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583, McCarthy, G. D., Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Sinha, B., Archibald, A. T. and Gray, L. J. (2018) Atlantic Multidecadal Variability and the U.K. ACSIS program. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 99 (2). pp. 415-425. ISSN 1520-0477 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-16-0266.1

Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Polo, I., Hodson, D. L. R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7159-6700, Stevens, D. P. and Shaffrey, L. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2696-752X (2018) Decadal prediction of the North Atlantic subpolar gyre in the HiGEM high-resolution climate model. Climate Dynamics, 50 (3-4). pp. 921-937. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-017-3649-2

Thornalley, D. J. R., Oppo, D. W., Ortega, P., Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Brierley, C. M., Davis, R., Hall, I. R., Moffa-Sanchez, P., Rose, N. L., Spooner, P. T., Yashayaev, I. and Keigwin, L. D. (2018) Anomalously weak Labrador Sea convection and Atlantic overturning during the past 150 years. Nature, 556 (7700). pp. 227-230. ISSN 0028-0836 doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-018-0007-4

2017

Ortega, P., Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Sutton, R. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 and Andrews, M. B. (2017) Mechanisms of decadal variability in the Labrador Sea and the wider North Atlantic in a high-resolution climate model. Climate Dynamics, 49 (7-8). pp. 2625-2647. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-016-3467-y

Yeager, S. G. and Robson, J. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X (2017) Recent progress in understanding and predicting Atlantic decadal climate variability. Current Climate Change Reports, 3 (2). pp. 112-127. ISSN 2198-6061 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s40641-017-0064-z

Shaffrey, L. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2696-752X, Hodson, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7159-6700, Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Stevens, D. P., Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Polo, I., Stevens, I., Sutton, R. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583, Lister, G., Iwi, A., Smith, D. and Stephens, A. (2017) Decadal predictions with the HiGEM high resolution global coupled climate model: description and basic evaluation. Climate Dynamics, 48 (1). pp. 297-311. ISSN 1432-0894 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-016-3075-x

Monerie, P.-A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5304-9559, Sanchez-Gomez, E., Pohl, B., Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X and Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911 (2017) Impact of internal variability on projections of Sahel precipitation change. Environmental Research Letters, 12 (11). 114003. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/aa8cda

2016

Zhang, R., Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583, Danabasoglu, G., Delworth, T. L., Kim, W. M., Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X and Yeager, S. G. (2016) Comment on “The Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation without a role for ocean circulation”. Science, 352 (6293). p. 1527. ISSN 1095-9203 doi: https://doi.org/10.1126/science.aaf1660

Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Ortega, P. and Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 (2016) A reversal of climatic trends in the North Atlantic since 2005. Nature Geoscience, 9 (7). pp. 513-517. ISSN 1752-0894 doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/ngeo2727

2015

Menary, M. B., Hodson, D. L. R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7159-6700, Robson, J. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Sutton, R. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 and Wood, R. A. (2015) A mechanism of internal decadal atlantic ocean variability in a high-resolution coupled climate model. Journal of Climate, 28 (19). pp. 7764-7785. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0106.1

Menary, M. B., Hodson, D. L. R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7159-6700, Robson, J. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Sutton, R. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583, Wood, R. A. and Hunt, J. A. (2015) Exploring the impact of CMIP5 model biases on the simulation of North Atlantic decadal variability. Geophysical Research Letters, 42 (14). pp. 5926-5934. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/2015GL064360

2014

Hermanson, L., Dunstone, N., Haines, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2768-2374, Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Smith, D. and Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 (2014) A novel transport assimilation method for the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation at 26°N. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 140 (685). pp. 2563-2572. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.2321

Hodson, D. L. R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7159-6700, Robson, J. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X and Sutton, R. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 (2014) An anatomy of the cooling of the North Atlantic Ocean in the 1960s and 1970s. Journal of Climate, 27 (21). pp. 8229-8243. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00301.1

Polo, I., Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 and Balmaseda, M. A. (2014) The importance of wind and buoyancy forcing for the boundary density variations and the geostrophic component of the AMOC at 26°N. Journal of Physical Oceanography, 44 (9). pp. 2387-2408. ISSN 0022-3670 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JPO-D-13-0264.1

Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911, Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 and Smith, D. (2014) The interpretation and use of biases in decadal climate predictions. Journal of Climate, 27 (8). pp. 2931-2947. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00473.1

Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 and Smith, D. (2014) Decadal predictions of the cooling and freshening of the North Atlantic in the 1960s and the role of ocean circulation. Climate Dynamics, 42 (9-10). pp. 2353-2365. ISSN 1432-0894 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-014-2115-7

Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Hodson, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7159-6700, Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677 and Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 (2014) Atlantic overturning in decline? Nature Geoscience, 7 (1). pp. 2-3. ISSN 1752-0894 doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/ngeo2050

2013

Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 and Smith, D. (2013) Predictable climate impacts of the decadal changes in the ocean in the 1990s. Journal of Climate, 26 (17). pp. 6329-6339. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00827.1

Zhang, R., Delworth, T. L., Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583, Hodson, D. L. R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7159-6700, Dixon, K. W., Held, I. M., Kushnir, Y., Marshall, J., Ming, Y., Msadek, R., Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Rosati, A. J., Ting, M. and Vecchi, G. A. (2013) Have aerosols caused the observed Atlantic multidecadal variability? Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 70 (4). pp. 1135-1144. ISSN 1520-0469 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JAS-D-12-0331.1

2012

Vecchi, G. A., Msadek, R., Delworth, T. L., Dixon, K. W., Guilyardi, E., Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Karspeck, A. R., Mignot, J., Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Rosati, A. and Zhang, R. (2012) Comment on “Multiyear prediction of monthly mean Atlantic meridional overturning circulation at 26.5°N”. Science, 338 (6107). p. 604. ISSN 1095-9203 doi: https://doi.org/10.1126/science.1222566

Robson, J.I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Sutton, R.T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 and Smith, D.M. (2012) Initialized decadal predictions of the rapid warming of the North Atlantic Ocean in the mid 1990s. Geophysical Research Letters, 39 (L19713). ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2012GL053370

Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583, Lohmann, K., Smith, D. and Palmer, M. D. (2012) Causes of the rapid warming of the North Atlantic ocean in the mid-1990s. Journal of Climate, 25 (12). pp. 4116-4134. ISSN 0894-8755 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00443.1

2011

Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583, Smith, D. and Keenlyside, N. (2011) Evaluating the potential for statistical decadal predictions of sea surface temperatures with a perfect model approach. Climate Dynamics, 37 (11-12). pp. 2495-2509. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-011-1023-3

2006

Robson, J. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Gohar, L. K., Hurley, M. D., Shine, K. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2672-9978 and Wallington, T. J. (2006) Revised IR spectrum, radiative efficiency and global warming potential of nitrogen trifluoride. Geophysical Research Letters, 33 (10). doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2006GL026210