2024

Mason, D. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6092-6081 and Dance, S. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1690-3338 (2024) Improved urban flood detection in deeper floods using Synthetic Aperture Radar double scattering intensity and interferometric coherence. Journal of Applied Remote Sensing. ISSN 1931-3195 (In Press)

Hu, G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4305-3658 and Dance, S. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1690-3338 (2024) Sampling and misspecification errors in the estimation of observation-error covariance matrices using observation-minus-background and observation-minus-analysis statistics. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.4750

Vandaele, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0693-8011, Dance, S. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1690-3338 and Ojha, V. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9256-1192 (2024) Deep learning for automated trash screen blockage detection using cameras: actionable information for flood risk management. Journal of Hydroinformatics, 26 (4). pp. 889-903. ISSN 1465-1734 doi: https://doi.org/10.2166/hydro.2024.013

Hu, G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4305-3658 and Dance, S. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1690-3338 (2024) A novel localized fast multipole method for computations with spatially correlated observation error statistics in data assimilation. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 16 (6). e2023MS003871. ISSN 1942-2466 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2023MS003871

2023

Hooker, H., Dance, S. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1690-3338, Mason, D. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6092-6081, Bevington, J. and Shelton, K. (2023) A multi-system comparison of forecast flooding extent using a scale-selective approach. Hydrology Research, 54 (10). pp. 1115-1133. ISSN 2224-7955 doi: https://doi.org/10.2166/nh.2023.025

Hooker, H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5135-3952, Dance, S. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1690-3338, Mason, D. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6092-6081, Bevington, J. and Shelton, K. (2023) Assessing the spatial spread–skill of ensemble flood maps with remote-sensing observations. Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, 23 (8). pp. 2769-2785. ISSN 1684-9981 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-23-2769-2023

Matthews, G., Cloke, H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1472-868X, Dance, S. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1690-3338, Hansford, E., Mazzetti, C. and Prudhomme, C. (2023) Co-design and co-production of flood forecast products: summary of a hybrid workshop. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 104 (5). E1058-E1066. ISSN 1520-0477 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-23-0061.1

Mason, D. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6092-6081, Dance, S. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1690-3338 and Cloke, H. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1472-868X (2023) Towards improved urban flood detection using Sentinel-1: dependence of the ratio of post- to pre-flood double scattering cross-sections on building orientation. Journal of Applied Remote Sensing, 17 (1). 016507. ISSN 1931-3195 doi: https://doi.org/10.1117/1.JRS.17.016507

Hu, G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4305-3658, Dance, S. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1690-3338, Bannister, R. N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6846-8297, Chipilski, H. G., Guillet, O., Macpherson, B., Weissmann, M. and Yussouf, N. (2023) Progress, challenges and future steps in data assimilation for convection-permitting numerical weather prediction: report on the virtual meeting held on 10 and 12 November 2021. Atmospheric Science Letters, 24 (1). e1130. ISSN 1530-261X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/asl.1130

Vandaele, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0693-8011, Dance, S. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1690-3338 and Ojha, V. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9256-1192 (2023) Calibrated river-level estimation from river cameras using convolutional neural networks. Environmental Data Science, 2. e11. ISSN 2634-4602 doi: https://doi.org/10.1017/eds.2023.6

2022

Hooker, H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5135-3952, Dance, S. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1690-3338, Mason, D. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6092-6081, Bevington, J. and Shelton, K. (2022) Spatial scale evaluation of forecast flood inundation maps. Journal of Hydrology, 612 (Part B). 128170. ISSN 0022-1694 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2022.128170

Matthews, G., Barnard, C., Cloke, H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1472-868X, Dance, S. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1690-3338, Jurlina, T., Mazzetti, C. and Prudhomme, C. (2022) Evaluating the impact of post-processing medium-range ensemble streamflow forecasts from the European Flood Awareness System. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 26 (11). pp. 2939-2968. ISSN 1027-5606 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-26-2939-2022

Bell, Z., Dance, S. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1690-3338 and Waller, J. A. (2022) Exploring the characteristics of a vehicle-based temperature dataset for kilometre-scale data assimilation. Meteorological Applications, 29 (3). e2058. ISSN 1469-8080 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/met.2058

Tabeart, J. M., Dance, S. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1690-3338, Lawless, A. S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3016-6568, Nichols, N. K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1133-5220 and Waller, J. A. (2022) New bounds on the condition number of the Hessian of the preconditioned variational data assimilation problem. Numerical Linear Algebra with Applications, 29 (1). e2405. ISSN 1099-1506 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/nla.2405

2021

Hu, G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4305-3658 and Dance, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1690-3338 (2021) Efficient computation of matrix-vector products with full observation weighting matrices in data assimilation. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 147 (741). pp. 4101-4121. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.4170

Vandaele, R., Dance, S. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1690-3338 and Ojha, V. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9256-1192 (2021) Deep learning for automated river-level monitoring through river camera images: an approach based on water segmentation and transfer learning. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 25 (8). pp. 4435-4453. ISSN 1027-5606 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-25-4435-2021

Waller, J. A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7783-6434, Dance, S. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1690-3338 and Lean, H. W. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1274-4619 (2021) Evaluating errors due to unresolved scales in convection permitting numerical weather prediction. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 147 (738). pp. 2657-2669. ISSN 0035-9009 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.4043

Mason, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6092-6081, Bevington, J., Dance, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1690-3338, Revilla-Romero, B., Smith, R., Vetra-Carvalho, S. and Cloke, H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1472-868X (2021) Improving urban flood mapping by merging Synthetic Aperture Radar-derived flood footprints with flood hazard maps. Water, 13 (11). 1577. ISSN 2073-4441 doi: https://doi.org/10.3390/w13111577

Mirza, A. K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6350-9080, Dance, S. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1690-3338, Rooney, G. G., Simonin, D., Stone, E. K. and Waller, J. A. (2021) Comparing diagnosed observation uncertainties with independent estimates: a case study using aircraft‐based observations and a convection‐permitting data assimilation system. Atmospheric Science Letters, 22 (5). el01029. ISSN 1530-261X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/asl.1029

Vandaele, R., Dance, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1690-3338 and Ojha, V. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9256-1192 (2021) Automated water segmentation and river level detection on camera images using transfer learning. In: 42nd German Conference on Pattern Recognition (DAGM GCPR 2020), 28 Sep - 1 Oct 2020, pp. 232-245. doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-71278-5

Mason, D. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6092-6081, Dance, S. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1690-3338 and Cloke, H. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1472-868X (2021) Floodwater detection in urban areas using Sentinel-1 and WorldDEM data. Journal of Applied Remote Sensing, 15 (3). 032003. ISSN 1931-3195 doi: https://doi.org/10.1117/1.JRS.15.032003

Blair, G. S., Bassett, R., Bastin, L., Beevers, L., Borrajo, M. I., Brown, M., Dance, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1690-3338, Dionescu, A., Edwards, L., Ferrario, M. A., Fraser, R., Fraser, H., Gardner, S., Henrys, P., Hey, T., Homann, S., Huijbers, C., Hutchison, J., Jonathan, P., Lamb, R., Laurie, S., Leeson, A., Leslie, D., McMillan, M., Nundloll, V., Oyebamiji, O., Philipson, J., Pope, V., Prudden, R., Reis, S., Salama, M., Samreen, F., Sejdinovic, D., Simm, W., Street, R., Thornton, L., Towe, R., Vande Hey, J., Vieno, M., Waller, J. and Watkins, J. (2021) The role of digital technologies in responding to the grand challenges of the natural environment: the Windermere accord. Patterns, 2 (1). 100156. ISSN 2666-3899 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.patter.2020.100156

2020

Vetra-Carvalho, S., Dance, S. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1690-3338, Mason, D. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6092-6081, Waller, J. A., Cooper, E. S., Smith, P. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4570-4127 and Tabeart, J. M. (2020) Collection and extraction of water level information from a digital river camera image dataset. Data In Brief, 33. 106338. ISSN 2352-3409 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.dib.2020.106338

Mason, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6092-6081, Garcia Pintado, J., Cloke, H. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1472-868X, Dance, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1690-3338 and Munoz-Sabater, J., (2020) Assimilating high resolution remotely sensed soil moisture into a distributed hydrologic model to improve runoff prediction. ECMWF Technical Memoranda. 867. Technical Report. ECMWF, Reading, UK. doi: https://doi.org/10.21957/5isuz4a91

Tabeart, J. M., Dance, S.L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1690-3338, Lawless, A.S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3016-6568, Migliorini, S., Nichols, N. K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1133-5220, Smith, F. and Waller, J. A. (2020) The impact of using reconditioned correlated observation error covariance matrices in the Met office 1D-Var system. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 146 (728). pp. 1372-1390. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.3741

Bell, Z., Dance, S. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1690-3338 and Waller, J. A. (2020) Accounting for observation uncertainty and bias due to unresolved scales with the Schmidt-Kalman filter. Tellus A: Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography, 72 (1). pp. 1-21. ISSN 1600-0870 doi: https://doi.org/10.1080/16000870.2020.1831830

Tabeart, J. M., Dance, S. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1690-3338, Lawless, A. S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3016-6568, Nichols, N. K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1133-5220 and Waller, J. A. (2020) Improving the condition number of estimated covariance matrices. Tellus A: Dynamic Meteorology & Oceanography, 72 (1). pp. 1-19. ISSN 1600-0870 doi: https://doi.org/10.1080/16000870.2019.1696646

2019

Simonin, D., Waller, J. A., Ballard, S. P., Dance, S. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1690-3338 and Nichols, N. K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1133-5220 (2019) A pragmatic strategy for implementing spatially correlated observation errors in an operational system: an application to Doppler radial winds. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 145 (723). pp. 2772-2790. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.3592

Cooper, E. S., Dance, S. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1690-3338, Garcia-Pintado, J., Nichols, N. K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1133-5220 and Smith, P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4570-4127 (2019) Observation operators for assimilation of satellite observations in fluvial inundation forecasting. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 23. pp. 2541-2559. ISSN 1027-5606 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-23-2541-2019

Hintz, K. S., O'Boyle, K., Dance, S. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1690-3338, Al-Ali, S., Ansper, I., Blaauboer, D., Clark, M., Cress, A., Dahoui, M., Darcy, R., Hyrkkanen, J., Isaksen, L., Kaas, E., Korsholm, U. S., Lavanant, M., Le Bloa, G., Mallet, E., McNicholas, C., Onvlee-Hooimeijer, J., Sass, B., Siirand, V., Vedel, H., Waller, J. A. and Yang, X. (2019) Collecting and utilising crowdsourced data for numerical weather prediction: propositions from the meeting held in Copenhagen, 4–December 5, 2018. Atmospheric Science Letters, 20 (7). e921. ISSN 1530-261X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/asl.921

Dance, S. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1690-3338, Ballard, S. P., Bannister, R. N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6846-8297, Clark, P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1001-9226, Cloke, H. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1472-868X, Darlington, T., Flack, D. L. A., Gray, S. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8658-362X, Hawkness-Smith, L., Husnoo, N., Illingworth, A. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5774-8410, Kelly, G. A., Lean, H. W., Li, D., Nichols, N. K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1133-5220, Nicol, J. C., Oxley, A., Plant, R. S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8808-0022, Roberts, N. M., Roulstone, I., Simonin, D., Thompson, R. J. and Waller, J. A. (2019) Improvements in forecasting intense rainfall: results from the FRANC (forecasting rainfall exploiting new data assimilation techniques and novel observations of convection) project. Atmosphere, 10 (3). 125. ISSN 2073-4433 doi: https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos10030125

Waller, J. A., Bauernschubert, E., Dance, S. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1690-3338, Nichols, N. K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1133-5220, Potthast, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6794-2500 and Simonin, D. (2019) Observation error statistics for Doppler radar radial wind superobservations assimilated into the DWD COSMO-KENDA system. Monthly Weather Review, 147. pp. 3351-3364. ISSN 0027-0644 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-19-0104.1

Mirza, A. K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6350-9080, Ballard, S. P., Dance, S. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1690-3338, Rooney, G. G. and Stone, E. K. (2019) Towards operational use of aircraft‐derived observations: a case study at London Heathrow airport. Meteorological Applications, 26 (4). pp. 542-555. ISSN 1469-8080 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/met.1782

2018

Mason, D. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6092-6081, Dance, S. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1690-3338, Vetra-Carvalho, S. and Cloke, H. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1472-868X (2018) Robust algorithm for detecting floodwater in urban areas using Synthetic Aperture Radar images. Journal of Applied Remote Sensing, 12 (4). 045011. ISSN 1931-3195 doi: https://doi.org/10.1117/1.JRS.12.045011

Tabeart, J. M., Dance, S. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1690-3338, Haben, S. A., Lawless, A. S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3016-6568, Nichols, N. K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1133-5220 and Waller, J. A. (2018) The conditioning of least squares problems in variational data assimilation. Numerical Linear Algebra with Applications, 25 (5). e2165. ISSN 1099-1506 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/nla.2165

Waller, J. A., Garcia-Pintado, J., Mason, D. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6092-6081, Dance, S. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1690-3338 and Nichols, N. K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1133-5220 (2018) Technical note: assessment of observation quality for data assimilation in flood models. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 22. pp. 3983-3992. ISSN 1027-5606 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-3983-2018

Cooper, E. S., Dance, S. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1690-3338, Garcia-Pintado, J., Nichols, N. K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1133-5220 and Smith, P. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4570-4127 (2018) Observation impact, domain length and parameter estimation in data assimilation for flood forecasting. Environmental Modelling and Software, 104. pp. 199-214. ISSN 1364-8152 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsoft.2018.03.013

Janjic, T., Bormann, N., Bocquet, M., Carton, J. A., Cohn, S. E., Dance, S. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1690-3338, Losa, S. N., Nichols, N. K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1133-5220, Potthast, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6794-2500, Waller, J. A. and Weston, P. (2018) On the representation error in data assimilation. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 144 (713). pp. 1257-1278. ISSN 0035-9009 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.3130

Fowler, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3650-3948, Dance, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1690-3338 and Waller, J. (2018) On the interaction of observation and prior error correlations in data assimilation. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 144 (710). pp. 48-62. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.3183

2017

Waller, J. A., Dance, S. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1690-3338 and Nichols, N. K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1133-5220 (2017) On diagnosing observation error statistics with local ensemble data assimilation. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 143 (708). pp. 2677-2686. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.3117

Pinnington, E. M., Casella, E., Dance, S. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1690-3338, Lawless, A. S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3016-6568, Morison, J. I. L., Nichols, N. K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1133-5220, Wilkinson, M. and Quaife, T. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6896-4613 (2017) Understanding the effect of disturbance from selective felling on the carbon dynamics of a managed woodland by combining observations with model predictions. JGR-Biogeosciences, 122 (4). pp. 886-902. ISSN 2169-8961 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/2017JG003760

Cordoba, M., Dance, S. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1690-3338, Kelly, G. A., Nichols, N. K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1133-5220 and Waller, J. A. (2017) Diagnosing atmospheric motion vector observation errors for an operational high resolution data assimilation system. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 143 (702). pp. 333-341. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.2925

2016

Pinnington, E. M., Casella, E., Dance, S. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1690-3338, Lawless, A. S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3016-6568, Morison, J. I. L., Nichols, N. K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1133-5220, Wilkinson, M. and Quaife, T. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6896-4613 (2016) Investigating the role of prior and observation error correlations in improving a model forecast of forest carbon balance using Four Dimensional Variational data assimilation. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, 228-229. pp. 299-314. ISSN 0168-1923 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agrformet.2016.07.006

Mirza, A. K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6350-9080, Ballard, S. P., Dance, S. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1690-3338, Maisey, P., Rooney, G. G. and Stone, E. K. (2016) Comparison of aircraft-derived observations with in situ research aircraft measurements. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 142 (701). pp. 2949-2967. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.2864

Waller, J. A., Simonin, D., Dance, S. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1690-3338, Nichols, N. K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1133-5220 and Ballard, S. P. (2016) Diagnosing observation error correlations for Doppler radar radial winds in the Met Office UKV model using observation-minus-background and observation-minus-analysis statistics. Monthly Weather Review, 144 (10). pp. 3533-3551. ISSN 0027-0644 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-15-0340.1

Waller, J. A., Ballard, S. P., Dance, S. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1690-3338, Kelly, G., Nichols, N. K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1133-5220 and Simonin, D. (2016) Diagnosing horizontal and inter-channel observation error correlations for SEVIRI observations using observation-minus-background and observation-minus-analysis statistics. Remote Sensing, 8 (7). 851. ISSN 2072-4292 doi: https://doi.org/10.3390/rs8070581

Mason, D. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6092-6081, Garcia-Pintado, J., Cloke, H. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1472-868X and Dance, S. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1690-3338 (2016) Evidence of a topographic signal in surface soil moisture derived from ENVISAT ASAR wide swath data. International Journal of Applied Earth Observation and GeoInformation, 45. pp. 178-186. ISSN 0303-2434 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jag.2015.02.004

Waller, J. A., Dance, S. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1690-3338 and Nichols, N. K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1133-5220 (2016) Theoretical insight into diagnosing observation error correlations using observation-minus-background and observation-minus-analysis statistics. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 142 (694). pp. 418-431. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.2661

2015

Mason, D. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6092-6081, Garcia-Pintado, J., Cloke, H. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1472-868X and Dance, S. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1690-3338 (2015) The potential of flood forecasting using a variable-resolution global Digital Terrain Model and flood extents from Synthetic Aperture Radar images. Frontiers in Earth Science, 3. 43. ISSN 2296-6463 doi: https://doi.org/10.3389/feart.2015.00043

Garcia-Pintado, J., Mason, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6092-6081, Dance, S. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1690-3338, Cloke, H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1472-868X, Neal, J. C., Freer, J. and Bates, P. D. (2015) Satellite-supported flood forecasting in river networks: a real case study. Journal of Hydrology, 523. pp. 706-724. ISSN 0022-1694 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2015.01.084

2014

Smith, P. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4570-4127, Dance, S. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1690-3338 and Nichols, N. K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1133-5220, (2014) A joint state and parameter estimation scheme for nonlinear dynamical systems. Technical Report. Dept of Mathematics & Statistics, University of Reading pp24.

Waller, J. A., Dance, S. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1690-3338, Lawless, A. S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3016-6568 and Nichols, N. K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1133-5220 (2014) Estimating correlated observation error statistics using an ensemble transform Kalman filter. Tellus A, 66. 23294. ISSN 1600-0870 doi: https://doi.org/10.3402/tellusa.v66.23294

Browne, P. A., Charlton-Perez, C. and Dance, S. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1690-3338 (2014) RMetS special interest group meeting: high resolution data assimilation. Atmospheric Science Letters, 15 (4). pp. 354-357. ISSN 1530-261X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/asl2.512

Waller, J. A., Dance, S. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1690-3338, Lawless, A. S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3016-6568, Nichols, N. K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1133-5220 and Eyre, J. R. (2014) Representativity error for temperature and humidity using the Met Office high-resolution model. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 140 (681). pp. 1189-1197. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.2207

Stewart, L. M., Dance, S. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1690-3338, Nichols, N. K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1133-5220, Eyre, J. R. and Cameron, J. (2014) Estimating interchannel observation-error correlations for IASI radiance data in the Met Office system. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 140 (681). pp. 1236-1244. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.2211

Mason, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6092-6081, Garcia-Pintado, J. and Dance, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1690-3338 (2014) Improving flood inundation monitoring and modelling using remotely sensed data. Civil Engineering Surveyor. pp. 34-37.

2013

Garcia-Pintado, J., Neal, J., Mason, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6092-6081, Dance, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1690-3338 and Bates, P. (2013) Scheduling satellite-based SAR acquisition for sequential assimilation of water level observations into flood modelling. Journal of Hydrology, 495. pp. 252-266. ISSN 0022-1694 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2013.03.050

Stewart, L. M., Dance, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1690-3338 and Nichols, N. K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1133-5220 (2013) Data assimilation with correlated observation errors: experiments with a 1-D shallow water model. Tellus A, 65. 19546. ISSN 1600-0870 doi: https://doi.org/10.3402/tellusa.v65i0.19546

Smith, P. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4570-4127, Thornhill, G. D., Dance, S. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1690-3338, Lawless, A. S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3016-6568, Mason, D. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6092-6081 and Nichols, N. K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1133-5220 (2013) Data assimilation for state and parameter estimation: application to morphodynamic modelling. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 139 (671 Part B). pp. 314-327. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.1944

2012

Thornhill, G. D., Mason, D. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6092-6081, Dance, S. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1690-3338, Lawless, A. S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3016-6568, Nichols, N. K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1133-5220 and Forbes, H. R. (2012) Integration of a 3D Variational data assimilation scheme with a coastal area morphodynamic model of Morecambe Bay. Coastal Engineering, 69. pp. 82-96. ISSN 0378-3839 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.coastaleng.2012.05.010

2011

Baxter, G.M., Dance, S.L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1690-3338, Lawless, A.S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3016-6568 and Nichols, N.K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1133-5220 (2011) Four-dimensional variational data assimilation for high resolution nested models. Computers & Fluids, 46 (1). pp. 137-141. ISSN 0045-7930 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.compfluid.2011.01.023

Pocock, J. A., Dance, S. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1690-3338 and Lawless, A. S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3016-6568 (2011) State estimation using the particle filter with mode tracking. Computers & Fluids, 46 (1). pp. 392-397. ISSN 0045-7930 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.compfluid.2011.02.009

Smith, P. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4570-4127, Dance, S. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1690-3338 and Nichols, N. K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1133-5220 (2011) A hybrid data assimilation scheme for model parameter estimation: application to morphodynamic modelling. Computers & Fluids, 46 (1). pp. 436-441. ISSN 0045-7930 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.compfluid.2011.01.010

Rennie, S. J., Dance, S. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1690-3338, Illingworth, A. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5774-8410, Ballard, S. P. and Simonin, D. (2011) 3D-Var assimilation of insect-derived Doppler radar radial winds in convective cases using a high resolution model. Monthly Weather Review, 139 (4). pp. 1148-1163. ISSN 1520-0493 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/2010MWR3482.1

2010

Rennie, S. J., Illingworth, A. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5774-8410, Dance, S. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1690-3338 and Ballard, S. P. (2010) The accuracy of Doppler radar wind retrievals using insects as targets. Meteorological Applications, 17 (4). pp. 419-432. ISSN 1469-8080 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/met.174

Dance, S. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1690-3338, Baines, M. J., Lawless, A. S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3016-6568, Mason, D. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6092-6081, Nichols, N. K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1133-5220, Scott, T. R., Sweby, P. K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0009-0003-8488-0251, Smith, P. and Thornhill, G. D. (2010) Use of data assimilation methods in coastal sediment models. In: Flood Risk from Extreme Events (FREE) Final Science Meeting, 20 October, London. (Unpublished)

Thornhill, G. D., Scott, T. R., Dance, S. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1690-3338, Mason, D. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6092-6081, Nichols, N. K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1133-5220, Baines, M. J., Horsburgh, K. and Sweby, P. K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0009-0003-8488-0251 (2010) Data assimilation and morphodynamic modelling of Morecambe Bay. In: National Centre for Earth Observation Annual Conference, 28-30 September 2010, Leicester. (Unpublished)

Mason, D. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6092-6081, Scott, T. R. and Dance, S. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1690-3338 (2010) Remote sensing of intertidal morphological change in Morecambe Bay, U.K., between 1991 and 2007. Estuarine, Coastal and Shelf Science, 87 (3). pp. 487-496. ISSN 0272-7714 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecss.2010.01.015

Petrie, R. E. and Dance, S. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1690-3338 (2010) Ensemble-based data assimilation and the localisation problem. Weather, 65 (3). pp. 65-69. ISSN 0043-1656 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/wea.505

Dance, S. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1690-3338 and Zou, Q. P. (2010) HESS Opinions ``Ensembles, uncertainty and flood prediction''. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences Discussions, 7 (3). pp. 3591-3611. ISSN 1812-2116 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/hessd-7-3591-2010

Rennie, S.J., Illingworth, A.J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5774-8410 and Dance, S.L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1690-3338 (2010) On differentiating ground clutter and insect echoes from Doppler weather radars using archived data. Atmospheric Measurement Techniques Discussions, 3 (2). pp. 1843-1860. ISSN 1867-8610 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/amtd-3-1843-2010

2009

Smith, P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4570-4127, Dance, S. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1690-3338, Baines, M. J., Nichols, N. K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1133-5220 and Scott, T. R. (2009) Variational data assimilation for parameter estimation: application to a simple morphodynamic model. Ocean Dynamics, 59 (5). pp. 697-708. ISSN 1616-7341 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10236-009-0205-6

Smith, P. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4570-4127, Dance, S. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1690-3338, Baines, M. J., Nichols, N. K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1133-5220 and Scott, T. R. (2009) Variational data assimilation for morphodynamic model parameter estimation. In: Centre for Australian Weather and Climate Research (CAWCR) Workshop on Ensemble Prediction and Data Assimilation, February 2009, Australian Bureau of Meteorology, Melbourne.

Smith, P. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4570-4127, Dance, S. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1690-3338 and Nichols, N. K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1133-5220, (2009) Data assimilation for morphodynamic model parameter estimation: a hybrid approach. Mathematics Report . 2/2009. Technical Report. University of Reading, Department of Mathematics

Feng, L., Palmer, P.I., Boesch, H. and Dance, S. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1690-3338 (2009) Estimating surface CO2 fluxes from space-borne dry air mole fraction observations using an Ensemble Kalman filter. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 9 (8). pp. 2619-2633. ISSN 1680-7316

Nichols, N. K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1133-5220, Baxter, G., Dance, S. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1690-3338 and Lawless, A. S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3016-6568 (2009) Issues in high resolution data assimilation. In: The 8th International Workshop on Adjoint Model Applications in Dynamic Meteorology, May 2009, Tannersville, PA, USA.

Stewart, L., Cameron, J., Dance, S. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1690-3338, English , S., Eyre, J. and Nichols, N. K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1133-5220, (2009) Observation error correlations in IASI radiance data. Mathematics Report . 1/2009. Technical Report. University of Reading, Department of Mathematics

Thornhill, G. D., Scott, T. R., Smith, P.J., Dance, S. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1690-3338, Mason, D. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6092-6081, Nichols, N. K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1133-5220, Baines, M. J., Horsburgh, K.J., Sweby, P. K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0009-0003-8488-0251 and Lawless, A. S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3016-6568 (2009) Progress on “Changing coastlines: data assimilation for morphodynamic prediction and predictability”. In: Third NERC FREE Conference, 10-11 September, Plymouth. (Unpublished)

Stewart, L., Cameron, J., Dance, S. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1690-3338, English, S., Eyre, J. and Nichols, N. K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1133-5220 (2009) Quantifying observation error correlations in remotely sensed data. In: Centre for Australian Weather and Climate Research (CAWCR) Workshop on Ensemble Prediction and Data Assimilation, February 2009, Australian Bureau of Meteorology, Melbourne,.

Stewart, L., Cameron, J., Dance, S. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1690-3338, English, S., Eyre, J. and Nichols, N. K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1133-5220 (2009) Quantifying observation error correlations in remotely sensed data. In: The 8th International Workshop on Adjoint Model Applications in Dynamic Meteorology, May 2009, Tannersville, PA, USA.

Dance, S. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1690-3338, Butala, M., Nichols, N. K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1133-5220 and Petrie, R. E. (2009) Stability and localization in the ensemble square root filter. In: The 8th International Workshop on Adjoint Model Applications in Dynamic Meteorology, May 2009, Tannersville, PA, USA.

Smith, P. J., Dance, S. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1690-3338, Baines, M. J., Nichols, N. K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1133-5220 and Scott, T. R. (2009) Variational data assimilation for morphodynamic model parameter estimation. In: The 8th International Workshop on Adjoint Model Applications in Dynamic Meteorology, May 2009, Tannersville, PA, USA.

2008

Stewart, L.M., Dance, S. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1690-3338 and Nichols, N.K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1133-5220 (2008) Correlated observation errors in data assimilation. International Journal for Numerical Methods in Fluids, 56 (8). pp. 1521-1527. ISSN 0271-2091 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/fld.1636

Scott, T. R., Smith, P. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4570-4127, Dance, S. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1690-3338, Mason, D.C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6092-6081, Baines, M.J., Nichols, N.K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1133-5220, Horsburgh, K.J., Sweby, P.K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0009-0003-8488-0251 and Lawless, A.S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3016-6568 (2008) Data assimilation for morphodynamic prediction and predictability. In: Coastal Engineering 2008 Proceedings of the 31st International Conference. World Scientific, pp. 2386-2398. doi: https://doi.org/10.1142/9789814277426_0197

Feng, L., Palmer, P. I., Boesch, H. and Dance, S.L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1690-3338 (2008) Estimating surface CO2 fluxes from space-borne dry air mole fraction observations using an Ensemble Kalman filter. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics Discussions, 8. pp. 19917-19955. ISSN 1680-7375

Livings, D. M., Dance, S. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1690-3338 and Nichols, N. K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1133-5220 (2008) Unbiased Ensemble Square Root Filters. Physica D: Nonlinear Phenomena, 237 (8). pp. 1021-1028. ISSN 0167-2789 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.physd.2008.01.005

2007

Stewart, L. M., Dance, S. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1690-3338 and Nichols, N. K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1133-5220 (2007) Correlated observation errors in data assimilation. In: Proceedings of the Ninth International ICFD Conference on Numerical Methods for Fluid Dynamics, March 26 – 29, 2007. ICFD, Reading.

Scott, T. R., Smith, P. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4570-4127, Dance, S.L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1690-3338, Mason, D.C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6092-6081, Nichols, N.K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1133-5220, Baines, M.J., Horsburgh, K., Sweby, P. K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0009-0003-8488-0251 and Lawless, A.S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3016-6568 (2007) Progress on Changing coastlines: data assimilation for morphodynamic prediction and predictability. In: 2nd NERC Conference on Flood Risk from Extreme Events (FREE). (Unpublished)

Baxter, G. M., Dance, S. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1690-3338, Lawless, A. S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3016-6568, Nichols, N. K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1133-5220 and Ballard, S. P. (2007) Towards Multi-scale Data Assimilation for High Resolution Nested Models. In: Proceedings of the Ninth International ICFD Conference on Numerical Methods for Fluid Dynamics, March 26 – 29, 2007. ICFD, Reading.

Dance, S. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1690-3338, Livings, D. M. and Nichols, N. K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1133-5220 (2007) Unbiased ensemble square root filters. PAMM - Proceedings in Applied Mathematics and Mechanics, 7 (1). pp. 1026505-1026506. ISSN 1617-7061 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/pamm.200700603

2004

Dance, S. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1690-3338, Climent, E. and Maxey, M. R. (2004) Collision barrier effects on the bulk flow in a random suspension. Physics Of Fluids, 16 (3). pp. 828-831.

Dance, S. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1690-3338 (2004) Issues in high resolution limited area data assimilation for quantitative precipitation forecasting. Physica D-Nonlinear Phenomena, 196 (1-2). pp. 1-27.

2003

Dance, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1690-3338 (2003) Incorporation of lubrication effects into the force-coupling method for particulate two-phase flow. Journal of Computational Physics, 189 (1). pp. 212-238. ISSN 0021-9991 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/S0021-9991(03)00209-2

Dance, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1690-3338 and Maxey, M.R. (2003) Particle density stratification in transient sedimentation. Physical Review E, 68 (3). 031403. ISSN 1539-3755 doi: https://doi.org/10.1103/PhysRevE.68.031403