Earth System Prediction

Earth System Prediction
Advancing the Frontiers of Earth System Prediction (AFESP)
Earth System Prediction
Advancing the Frontiers of Earth System Prediction (AFESP)
Earth System Prediction
Advancing the Frontiers of Earth System Prediction (AFESP)

Advancing the Frontiers of Earth System Prediction (AFESP) is a new 15-year research programme at the University of Reading in partnership with ECMWF.

News and Events

Earth System Prediction PhD opportunities – 2025 Call for PhD applicants.

Science Plan

AFESP will deliver sustained investments to tackle some of the far-term and difficult research challenges in global Earth System Prediction.

The Research Programme on Advancing the Frontiers of Earth System Prediction (AFESP) is a £30million 15-year investment by the University of Reading, in partnership with the European Centre for Medium-Range Forecasts (ECMWF), the UK Met Office and the National Centre for Atmospheric Science. It will deliver sustained investments to tackle some of the far-term (10–15 year) and difficult (high-risk, high-reward) research challenges in global Earth System prediction.

By enhancing our capabilities in global data assimilation, simulation and analysis, the research programme will deliver a new class of accurate, reliable and usable forecasts, aiming to re-define the medium-range predictability limit from two to at least four weeks, enabling a wide range of new scientific and societal applications.