Our Publications

The project started in November 2020. The field campaign is planned for August 2022 which will collect the primary data that will be analysed in conjunction with numerical model experiments. The initial scientific findings are not anticipated until 2023 with more detailed scientific investigation continuing until the end of the project funding. International research and scientific publications are expected to continue on the basis of the project data legacy for many years to come.

Below are recent publications by the project team.

Authors/Creators/Editors Reading ID matches any of "90000334 90000250 90003964 90000737 90004991 90005015 90008916" AND Status matches any of "Published" - CentAUR

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Authors/Creators/Editors Reading ID matches any of "90000334 90000250 90003964 90000737 90004991 90005015 90008916" AND Status matches any of "Published"

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1. Hermoso, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1893-4181, Rivière, G., Harvey, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6510-8181, Methven, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7636-6872 and Schemm, S. (2024) A dynamical interpretation of the intensification of the winter North Atlantic jet stream in reanalysis. Journal of Climate, 37 (22). pp. 5853-5881. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-23-0757.1
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2. Bland, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2706-2853, Forbes, R., Gray, S. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8658-362X and Methven, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7636-6872 (2024) Processes controlling extratropical near-tropopause humidity and temperature in the ECMWF global weather forecast model. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.4873
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3. Volonte, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0278-952X and Riboldi, J. (2024) The origins of storm Ciarán: from diabatic Rossby wave to a warm-seclusion cyclone with a sting jet. Weather. ISSN 1477-8696 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/wea.7632
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4. Deoras, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0009-0006-5407-6520, Turner, A. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876, Volonté, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0278-952X and Menon, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9347-0578 (2024) The role of midlatitude dry air during the withdrawal of the Indian summer monsoon. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.4859
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5. Pantillon, F. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7205-4428, Davolio, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8704-1814, Avolio, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9692-6208, Calvo-Sancho, C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2457-9793, Carrió, D. S., Dafis, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1513-1930, Gentile, E. S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6878-5145, Gonzalez-Aleman, J. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5940-7356, Gray, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8658-362X, Miglietta, M. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2898-1595, Patlakas, P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3572-6851, Pytharoulis, I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5865-5216, Ricard, D., Ricchi, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7061-8442, Sanchez, C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5069-6849 and Flaounas, E. (2024) The crucial representation of deep convection for the cyclogenesis of Medicane Ianos. Weather and Climate Dynamics, 5 (3). pp. 1187-1205. ISSN 2698-4016 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-5-1187-2024
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6. Cuckow, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3955-5500, Dacre, H. F. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4328-9126, Martínez‐Alvarado, O. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5285-0379 and Smith, S. A. (2024) Quantifying the role of orographic processes in producing extreme precipitation: a case study of an atmospheric river associated with storm Bronagh. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 129 (18). e2023JD040557. ISSN 2169-8996 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2023jd040557
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7. Gray, S. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8658-362X and Volonté, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0278-952X (2024) Extreme low‐level wind jets in Storm Ciarán. Weather. ISSN 1477-8696 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/wea.7620
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8. Hernández-Yepes, J.G., Rodríguez-Hernández, O., López-Villalobos, C.A. and Martinez-Alvarado, O. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5285-0379 (2024) Atmospheric mesoscale modeling to simulate annual and seasonal wind speeds for wind energy production in Mexico. Sustainable Energy Technologies and Assessments, 68. 103848. ISSN 2213-1388 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.seta.2024.103848
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9. Gray, S. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8658-362X (2024) Mesoscale wind features in extratropical cyclones. In: Reference Module in Earth Systems and Environmental Sciences. Elsevier. ISBN 9780124095489 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/B978-0-323-96026-7.00081-3
10. Gainford, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2484-8316, Gray, S. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8658-362X, Frame, T. H. A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6542-2173, Porson, A. N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5023-8522 and Milan, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9309-5365 (2024) Improvements in the spread–skill relationship of precipitation in a convective‐scale ensemble through blending. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. ISSN 0035-9009 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.4754
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11. O'Reilly, C. H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8630-1650, Drouard, M., Ayarzagüena, B., Ambaum, M. H. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6824-8083 and Methven, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7636-6872 (2024) The role of storm-track dynamics in the intraseasonal variability of the winter ENSO teleconnection to the North Atlantic. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 150 (761). pp. 2069-2086. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.4691
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12. Wolf, G., Ferrett, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4726-847X, Methven, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7636-6872, Frame, T. H. A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6542-2173, Holloway, C. E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9903-8989, Martinez-Alvarado, O. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5285-0379 and Woolnough, S. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0500-8514 (2024) Comparison of probabilistic forecasts of extreme precipitation for a global and convection-permitting ensemble and hybrid statistical-dynamical method based on equatorial wave information. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.4627
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13. Diamond, R., Schroeder, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2351-4306, Sime, L. C., Ridley, J. and Feltham, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2289-014X (2024) The significance of the melt-pond scheme in a CMIP6 global climate model. Journal of Climate, 37 (1). pp. 249-268. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-22-0902.1
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14. Richardson, D. S., Cloke, H. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1472-868X, Methven, J. A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7636-6872 and Pappenberger, F. (2024) Jumpiness in ensemble forecasts of Atlantic tropical cyclone tracks. Weather and Forecasting, 39 (1). pp. 203-215. ISSN 1520-0434 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-23-0113.1
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15. Aylmer, J. R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5159-0608, Ferreira, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3243-9774 and Feltham, D. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2289-014X (2024) Impact of ocean heat transport on sea ice captured by a simple energy balance model. Communications Earth & Environment, 5. 406. ISSN 2662-4435 doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-024-01565-7
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16. Charlton-Perez, A. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8179-6220, Dacre, H. F. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4328-9126, Driscoll, S., Gray, S. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8658-362X, Harvey, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6510-8181, Harvey, N. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0973-5794, Hunt, K. M. R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1480-3755, Lee, R. W. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1946-5559, Swaminathan, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5853-2673, Vandaele, R. and Volonté, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0278-952X (2024) Do AI models produce better weather forecasts than physics-based models? A quantitative evaluation case study of Storm Ciarán. npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 7. 93. ISSN 2397-3722 doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-024-00638-w
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17. Wernli, H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9674-4837 and Gray, S. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8658-362X (2024) The importance of diabatic processes for the dynamics of synoptic-scale extratropical weather systems – a review. Weather and Climate Dynamics, 5 (4). pp. 1299-1408. ISSN 2698-4016 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-5-1299-2024
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18. Craig, P. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9213-4599, Ferreira, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3243-9774 and Methven, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7636-6872 (2023) A Lagrangian perspective on the Atlantic and Pacific precipitation-evaporation asymmetry. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 128 (24). e2023JD039087. ISSN 2169-8996 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2023JD039087
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19. Dacre, H. F. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4328-9126, Martinez-Alvarado, O. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5285-0379 and Hodges, K. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X (2023) Precipitation efficiencies in a climatology of Southern Ocean extratropical cyclones. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 128 (24). e2023JD039239. ISSN 2169-8996 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2023JD039239
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20. Dunion, J. P., Davis, C., Titley, H., Greatrex, H., Yamaguchi, M., Methven, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7636-6872, Ashrit, R., Wang, Z., Yu, H., Fontan, A.-C., Brammer, A., Kucas, M., Ford, M., Papin, P., Prates, F., Mooney, C., Kruczkiewicz, A., Chakraborty, P., Burton, A., DeMaria, M., Torn, R. and Vigh, J. L. (2023) Recommendations for improved tropical cyclone formation and position probabilistic forecast products. Tropical Cyclone Research and Review. ISSN 2589-3025 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tcrr.2023.11.003
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